Lyon

1st · Ligue 1 · 14 points · Matches played: 7

League leaders · Table & Fixtures →

L90 Strength L90 Strength is LOAD90’s own club strength rating on a fixed 0–100 scale, built from its Elo rating. League Strength uses the mean Elo of a league's clubs and a separate league calibration, so the two scores are not directly comparable.

-4.8 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.

Base L90 Strength changed +4.5 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number. 60.4-4.8
World Rank 54th Global, by Elo
Ligue 1 Rank 2nd L90 Strength
Last NiceH xG 1.6–1.6 2–1 Next 1899 HoffenheimA 37%

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Upcoming fixtures

Lyon · All competitions

Forecast
1899 HoffenheimUEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase · Away 37% win 1.35 xPts Paris Saint GermainLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away 9% win 0.41 xPts AngersLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home 77% win 2.44 xPts Real SociedadUEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase · Away 31% win 1.16 xPts Stade Brestois 29Ligue 1 2026-2027 · Away 44% win 1.55 xPts LilleLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts LillestromUEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase · Home — win — xPts MonacoLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Estac TroyesLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Union St. GilloiseUEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase · Home — win — xPts MarseilleLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Le MansLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts LorientLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts JagielloniaUEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase · Away — win — xPts StrasbourgLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Bayer LeverkusenUEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase · Home — win — xPts LilleLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts RennesLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts LensLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts LE HavreLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts ToulouseLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts MonacoLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Estac TroyesLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts MarseilleLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts NiceLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts StrasbourgLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts AngersLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Stade Brestois 29Ligue 1 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts AuxerreLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Paris Saint GermainLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Le MansLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts LorientLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Paris FCLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts

xPts = 3 × win probability + draw probability. — means no published forecast. Open a match for xG and the full forecast.

Results

Lyon · All competitions

Full time
NiceLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home W 2–1 1.6–1.6 xG +0.8 Δpts Crystal PalaceUEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase · Home W 3–2 1.8–1.6 xG +1.5 Δpts LensLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away L 1–2 0.9–1.4 xG -1.1 Δpts RennesLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home W 4–0 — xG +1.4 Δpts AnderlechtUEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase · Away W 2–1 1.3–1.4 xG +1.7 Δpts Paris FCLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away D 0–0 — xG -0.4 Δpts AuxerreLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home W 3–1 — xG +0.8 Δpts LE HavreLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home D 1–1 1.7–0.7 xG -1.2 Δpts FenerbahceUEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - Play-off round · Home L 1–2 — xG — Δpts ToulouseLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away W 2–0 0.7–2.8 xG +1.5 Δpts FenerbahceUEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - Play-off round · Away D 1–1 — xG — Δpts Sparta PrahaUEFA Champions League 2026-2027 · Home W 3–0 — xG — Δpts Sparta PrahaUEFA Champions League 2026-2027 · Away L 1–2 — xG — Δpts

Score and actual xG show Lyon first. Δpts = points taken − pre-match xPts. — means data unavailable.

Current load Moderate · 21

Rest profile4 days since last match
0%
Schedule load3 matches in last 14 days
30%
Travel load486 km to venue, 1,084 km in 14 days
20%
Squad availability4 out, 2 key: L. Openda, C. Tolisso · Last match: 18 Oct
17%

Load before the next match, at 1899 Hoffenheim, 22 Oct. Squad availability is shown separately and is not part of the score; availability is the share of squad weight missing, the same input the forecast uses for absences.

Schedule difficulty all competitions

Each bar is one match: 50% match difficulty from current relative Elo strength + 50% calendar load (rest, match congestion and travel). Higher means harder, on a 0–100 scale. This is a descriptive index, not a win probability. Lighter bars are upcoming; the dashed line marks today. Grey marks missing data. 4 Aug at Sparta Praha: Schedule difficulty 20/100; match difficulty 28/100
L
 Aug 11 Aug vs Sparta Praha: Schedule difficulty 17/100; match difficulty 28/100
W
 18 Aug at Fenerbahce: Schedule difficulty 37/100; match difficulty 53/100
D
 22 Aug at Toulouse: Schedule difficulty 24/100; match difficulty 32/100
W
 26 Aug vs Fenerbahce: Schedule difficulty 32/100; match difficulty 53/100
L
 29 Aug vs LE Havre: Schedule difficulty 25/100; match difficulty 17/100
D
 4 Sep vs Auxerre: Schedule difficulty 20/100; match difficulty 25/100
W
 Sep 12 Sep at Paris FC: Schedule difficulty 17/100; match difficulty 28/100
D
 16 Sep at Anderlecht: Schedule difficulty 21/100; match difficulty 35/100
W
 19 Sep vs Rennes: Schedule difficulty 28/100; match difficulty 43/100
W
 9 Oct at Lens: Schedule difficulty 27/100; match difficulty 47/100
L
 Oct 15 Oct vs Crystal Palace: Schedule difficulty 27/100; match difficulty 53/100
W
 18 Oct vs Nice: Schedule difficulty 15/100; match difficulty 22/100
W
 22 Oct at 1899 Hoffenheim: Schedule difficulty 31/100; match difficulty 40/100 25 Oct at Paris Saint Germain: Schedule difficulty 56/100; match difficulty 82/100 31 Oct vs Angers: Schedule difficulty 18/100; match difficulty 16/100 5 Nov at Real Sociedad: Schedule difficulty 37/100; match difficulty 47/100 Nov 8 Nov at Stade Brestois 29: Schedule difficulty 31/100; match difficulty 28/100 21 Nov at Lille: Schedule difficulty 29/100; match difficulty 46/100 26 Nov vs Lillestrom: Schedule difficulty 12/100; match difficulty 23/100 29 Nov vs Monaco: Schedule difficulty 27/100; match difficulty 46/100 5 Dec at Estac Troyes: Schedule difficulty 13/100; match difficulty 11/100 Dec 10 Dec vs Union St. Gilloise: Schedule difficulty 37/100; match difficulty 59/100 13 Dec vs Marseille: Schedule difficulty 31/100; match difficulty 38/100 2 Jan at Le Mans: Schedule difficulty 14/100; match difficulty 22/100 Jan 16 Jan vs Lorient: Schedule difficulty 14/100; match difficulty 28/100 21 Jan at Jagiellonia: Schedule difficulty 23/100; match difficulty 26/100 23 Jan at Strasbourg: Schedule difficulty 34/100; match difficulty 37/100 28 Jan vs Bayer Leverkusen: Schedule difficulty 47/100; match difficulty 69/100 30 Jan vs Lille: Schedule difficulty 53/100; match difficulty 46/100 6 Feb at Rennes: Schedule difficulty 32/100; match difficulty 43/100 Feb 13 Feb vs Lens: Schedule difficulty 24/100; match difficulty 47/100 20 Feb at LE Havre: Schedule difficulty 12/100; match difficulty 17/100 27 Feb vs Toulouse: Schedule difficulty 16/100; match difficulty 32/100 6 Mar at Monaco: Schedule difficulty 23/100; match difficulty 46/100 Mar 13 Mar vs Estac Troyes: Schedule difficulty 6/100; match difficulty 11/100 21 Mar at Marseille: Schedule difficulty 19/100; match difficulty 38/100 3 Apr at Nice: Schedule difficulty 11/100; match difficulty 22/100 Apr 10 Apr vs Strasbourg: Schedule difficulty 19/100; match difficulty 37/100 17 Apr at Angers: Schedule difficulty 11/100; match difficulty 16/100 24 Apr vs Stade Brestois 29: Schedule difficulty 14/100; match difficulty 28/100 1 May at Auxerre: Schedule difficulty 13/100; match difficulty 25/100 May 9 May vs Paris Saint Germain: Schedule difficulty 41/100; match difficulty 82/100 16 May vs Le Mans: Schedule difficulty 11/100; match difficulty 22/100 22 May at Lorient: Schedule difficulty 17/100; match difficulty 28/100 29 May vs Paris FC: Schedule difficulty 14/100; match difficulty 28/100

Schedule next 30 days · forecast and load

All fixtures and load →
Rest4 daysbefore HOF
Matches / 14d3all competitions
Travel / 14d1,084 kmaway trips
Schedule load21%Moderate
at 1899 HoffenheimThu 22 Oct, 20:00 UEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase · opponent L90 Strength 49 37%win24%draw39%loss Moderate load · 4 d rest · 3 in 14 d at Paris Saint GermainSun 25 Oct, 19:45 Ligue 1 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 90 9%win14%draw77%loss Moderate load · 3 d rest · 3 in 14 d vs AngersSat 31 Oct, 19:45 Ligue 1 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 19 77%win14%draw9%loss Moderate load · 6 d rest · 3 in 14 d at Real SociedadThu 5 Nov, 17:45 UEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase · opponent L90 Strength 58 31%win23%draw46%loss Moderate load · 4.9 d rest · 3 in 14 d at Stade Brestois 29Sun 8 Nov, 16:15 Ligue 1 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 34 44%win24%draw32%loss Moderate load · 2.9 d rest · 3 in 14 d
Win · draw · loss: LOAD90 forecastLoad bar: rest, matches and travel before each game (context; only 4+ matches in 14 days changes the forecast)
Full match preview oneScored → at 1899 Hoffenheim, 22 OctOdds, value, live score

Fixture Swing

Opponent opportunity across the next 3 matches · all competitions

3 of 3 forecasts available

Attack Swing+4%

Baseline 5.30 → Forecast 5.54 expected goals · 3 included matches

Conceding Swing+32%

Baseline 4.28 → Forecast 5.68 expected goals conceded · 3 included matches

Opportunity for the next 3 matches
MatchAttackConceding riskGoals · Baseline → Forecast
at 1899 Hoffenheim22 Oct · UEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase −2% +7% 1.66 → 1.63
at Paris Saint Germain25 Oct · Ligue 1 2026-2027 −36% +101% 1.61 → 1.03
vs Angers31 Oct · Ligue 1 2026-2027 +42% −21% 2.03 → 2.88

Swing compares total forecast goals with total baseline goals for the included matches. Forecasts are available up to 21 days ahead. Missing snapshots and different model revisions are excluded; a partial window covers only the matches shown with values. Your team's own conditions are kept in each baseline.

Next match · Match Opportunity

Lyon

Baseline: average Ligue 1 opponent

Attack Downlift −2% Expected goals Baseline1.66Forecast1.63
Conceding Risk +7% Expected goals conceded Baseline1.56Forecast1.68
Clean Sheet −2.3 pp Chance of conceding no goals Baseline20.9%Forecast18.6%