Sevilla

6th · La Liga · 14 points · Matches played: 9

13 points behind Barcelona · Table & Fixtures →

L90 Strength L90 Strength is LOAD90’s own club strength rating on a fixed 0–100 scale, built from its Elo rating. League Strength uses the mean Elo of a league's clubs and a separate league calibration, so the two scores are not directly comparable.

+3.3 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.

Base L90 Strength changed +2.5 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number. 49.7+3.3
World Rank 80th Global, by Elo
La Liga Rank 11th L90 Strength
Last Real MadridA xG 0.8–2.3 1–4 Next OsasunaH 45%

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Upcoming fixtures

Sevilla · All competitions

Forecast
OsasunaLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home 45% win 1.63 xPts GetafeLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away 32% win 1.27 xPts AlavesLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home 44% win 1.59 xPts Real BetisLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Real SociedadLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts MalagaLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts ElcheLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Racing SantanderLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts VillarrealLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Celta VigoLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Rayo VallecanoLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts ValenciaLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Athletic ClubLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Real BetisLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts EspanyolLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Real MadridLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts OsasunaLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Real SociedadLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts AlavesLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts ElcheLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts BarcelonaLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Deportivo La CorunaLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Atletico MadridLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts LevanteLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Celta VigoLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Racing SantanderLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts VillarrealLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts GetafeLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts MalagaLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts

xPts = 3 × win probability + draw probability. — means no published forecast. Open a match for xG and the full forecast.

Results

Sevilla · All competitions

Full time
Real MadridLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away L 1–4 0.8–2.3 xG -0.4 Δpts LevanteLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away D 3–3 2.6–2.0 xG -0.2 Δpts BarcelonaLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home L 1–3 0.4–3.5 xG -0.6 Δpts Deportivo La CorunaLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away W 1–0 0.7–0.1 xG +1.8 Δpts ValenciaLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home W 1–0 0.9–0.1 xG +1.3 Δpts EspanyolLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away D 1–1 0.5–1.2 xG -0.3 Δpts Atletico MadridLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home L 1–3 0.9–0.9 xG -1.3 Δpts Athletic ClubLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away W 3–1 0.4–1.3 xG +1.9 Δpts Rayo VallecanoLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home W 2–1 2.2–1.9 xG +1.7 Δpts

Score and actual xG show Sevilla first. Δpts = points taken − pre-match xPts. — means data unavailable.

Current load Low · 0

Rest profile8 days since last match
0%
Schedule load1 matches in last 14 days
0%
Travel loadHome match, 781 km in 14 days
0%
Squad availability7 out, 2 key: Miguel Sierra, Jon Guridi · Last match: 18 Oct
20%

Load before the next match, vs Osasuna, 26 Oct. Squad availability is shown separately and is not part of the score; availability is the share of squad weight missing, the same input the forecast uses for absences.

Schedule difficulty all competitions

Each bar is one match: 50% match difficulty from current relative Elo strength + 50% calendar load (rest, match congestion and travel). Higher means harder, on a 0–100 scale. This is a descriptive index, not a win probability. Lighter bars are upcoming; the dashed line marks today. Grey marks missing data. 15 Aug vs Rayo Vallecano: Schedule difficulty 29/100; match difficulty 57/100
W
 Aug 22 Aug at Athletic Club: Schedule difficulty 31/100; match difficulty 55/100
W
 29 Aug vs Atletico Madrid: Schedule difficulty 39/100; match difficulty 78/100
L
 6 Sep at Espanyol: Schedule difficulty 29/100; match difficulty 45/100
D
 Sep 11 Sep vs Valencia: Schedule difficulty 28/100; match difficulty 51/100
W
 16 Sep at Deportivo La Coruna: Schedule difficulty 28/100; match difficulty 45/100
W
 19 Sep vs Barcelona: Schedule difficulty 62/100; match difficulty 91/100
L
 12 Oct at Levante: Schedule difficulty 28/100; match difficulty 49/100
D
 Oct 18 Oct at Real Madrid: Schedule difficulty 46/100; match difficulty 86/100
L
 26 Oct vs Osasuna: Schedule difficulty 24/100; match difficulty 47/100 1 Nov at Getafe: Schedule difficulty 28/100; match difficulty 49/100 Nov 6 Nov vs Alaves: Schedule difficulty 24/100; match difficulty 48/100 22 Nov vs Real Betis: Schedule difficulty 35/100; match difficulty 70/100 29 Nov at Real Sociedad: Schedule difficulty 32/100; match difficulty 57/100 6 Dec vs Malaga: Schedule difficulty 21/100; match difficulty 42/100 Dec 13 Dec at Elche: Schedule difficulty 26/100; match difficulty 45/100 20 Dec vs Racing Santander: Schedule difficulty 22/100; match difficulty 43/100 3 Jan at Villarreal: Schedule difficulty 36/100; match difficulty 65/100 Jan 10 Jan vs Celta Vigo: Schedule difficulty 27/100; match difficulty 53/100 17 Jan at Rayo Vallecano: Schedule difficulty 32/100; match difficulty 57/100 24 Jan at Valencia: Schedule difficulty 29/100; match difficulty 51/100 31 Jan vs Athletic Club: Schedule difficulty 30/100; match difficulty 55/100 7 Feb at Real Betis: Schedule difficulty 35/100; match difficulty 70/100 Feb 14 Feb vs Espanyol: Schedule difficulty 23/100; match difficulty 45/100 21 Feb vs Real Madrid: Schedule difficulty 43/100; match difficulty 86/100 28 Feb at Osasuna: Schedule difficulty 27/100; match difficulty 47/100 7 Mar vs Real Sociedad: Schedule difficulty 29/100; match difficulty 57/100 Mar 14 Mar at Alaves: Schedule difficulty 27/100; match difficulty 48/100 21 Mar vs Elche: Schedule difficulty 23/100; match difficulty 45/100 4 Apr at Barcelona: Schedule difficulty 52/100; match difficulty 91/100 Apr 11 Apr vs Deportivo La Coruna: Schedule difficulty 25/100; match difficulty 45/100 18 Apr at Atletico Madrid: Schedule difficulty 45/100; match difficulty 78/100 21 Apr vs Levante: Schedule difficulty 29/100; match difficulty 49/100 2 May at Celta Vigo: Schedule difficulty 30/100; match difficulty 53/100 May 9 May at Racing Santander: Schedule difficulty 25/100; match difficulty 43/100 16 May vs Villarreal: Schedule difficulty 35/100; match difficulty 65/100 23 May vs Getafe: Schedule difficulty 25/100; match difficulty 49/100 30 May at Malaga: Schedule difficulty 21/100; match difficulty 42/100

Schedule next 30 days · forecast and load

All fixtures and load →
Rest8 daysbefore OSA
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel / 14d781 kmaway trips
Schedule load0%Low
vs OsasunaMon 26 Oct, 20:00 La Liga 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 46 45%win26%draw28%loss Low load · 8 d rest at GetafeSun 1 Nov, 13:00 La Liga 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 49 32%win30%draw38%loss Low load · 5.7 d rest vs AlavesFri 6 Nov, 20:00 La Liga 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 48 44%win27%draw29%loss Low load · 5.3 d rest
Win · draw · loss: LOAD90 forecastLoad bar: rest, matches and travel before each game (context; only 4+ matches in 14 days changes the forecast)
Full match preview oneScored → vs Osasuna, 26 OctOdds, value, live score

Fixture Swing

Opponent opportunity across the next 3 matches · all competitions

3 of 3 forecasts available

Attack Swing+3%

Baseline 3.99 → Forecast 4.13 expected goals · 3 included matches

Conceding Swing−16%

Baseline 4.22 → Forecast 3.54 expected goals conceded · 3 included matches

Opportunity for the next 3 matches
MatchAttackConceding riskGoals · Baseline → Forecast
vs Osasuna26 Oct · La Liga 2026-2027 +9% −9% 1.43 → 1.56
at Getafe1 Nov · La Liga 2026-2027 −4% −26% 1.14 → 1.09
vs Alaves6 Nov · La Liga 2026-2027 +4% −11% 1.43 → 1.48

Swing compares total forecast goals with total baseline goals for the included matches. Forecasts are available up to 21 days ahead. Missing snapshots and different model revisions are excluded; a partial window covers only the matches shown with values. Your team's own conditions are kept in each baseline.

Next match · Match Opportunity

Sevilla

Baseline: average La Liga opponent

Attack Uplift +9% Expected goals Baseline1.43Forecast1.56
Conceding Risk −9% Expected goals conceded Baseline1.29Forecast1.18
Clean Sheet +3.2 pp Chance of conceding no goals Baseline27.4%Forecast30.7%