Football / The bigger picture

Insights.

Go beyond the result. Follow the patterns. See the evidence.

How to read the signals →

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Explore competitions →

Competition selects current clubs. Result windows include all recorded competitions; points comparisons use covered current-league matches.

League insights

Premier League · 24 signals · 16 clubs in this view

Explore all signals ↓

Automatically selected connections · one story per club · experimental Insight Score orders stories, not teams.

ArsenalDefensive consistency, positive chance balanceInsight Score68/100

Clean sheets and low goals conceded accompany a positive observed xG balance. The xG profile describes overall chance balance; it is not, by itself, proof of strong defending.

Clean sheetsLast 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions
6/9
Goals conceded / matchLast 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions
0.6
Observed xG difference / match10-match profile · exact dates unavailable
Observed match xG · available averages
+0.71
Sources, limitations & score
Insight Score 68/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
76.2
Recency
48.1
Context
80.0
Quality
65.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

  • Clean sheets — Premier League 2026-2027: 1.45 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
  • Goals conceded / match — Premier League 2026-2027: 1.45 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
  • Observed xG difference / match — Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.56; xG against 0.85. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
BrightonDefensive consistency, positive chance balanceInsight Score66/100

Clean sheets and low goals conceded accompany a positive observed xG balance. The xG profile describes overall chance balance; it is not, by itself, proof of strong defending.

Clean sheetsLast 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-18 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions
5/7
Goals conceded / matchLast 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-18 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions
0.7
Observed xG difference / match10-match profile · exact dates unavailable
Observed match xG · available averages
+0.74
Sources, limitations & score
Insight Score 66/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
77.5
Recency
48.1
Context
80.0
Quality
55.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

  • Clean sheets — Premier League 2026-2027: 1.45 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
  • Goals conceded / match — Premier League 2026-2027: 1.45 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
  • Observed xG difference / match — Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 2.01; xG against 1.27. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
ChelseaGoals at both endsInsight Score50/100

Scoring and conceding are both above the current league reference, with both teams scoring regularly. The result window spans all competitions; this comparison is not adjusted for opposition.

Goals scored / matchLast 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-24 → 2026-10-17 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions
2.4
Goals conceded / matchLast 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-24 → 2026-10-17 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions
1.9
Both teams scoredLast 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-24 → 2026-10-17 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions
71%
Observed xG difference / match10-match profile · exact dates unavailable
Observed match xG · available averages
−0.30
Sources, limitations & score
Insight Score 50/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
33.5
Recency
46.5
Context
80.0
Quality
55.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

  • Goals scored / match — Premier League 2026-2027: 1.45 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
  • Goals conceded / match — Premier League 2026-2027: 1.45 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
  • Both teams scored — Premier League 2026-2027: 1.45 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
  • Observed xG difference / match — Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.2; xG against 1.5. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Each signal belongs to one category. Categories sum to All signals; stories combine related evidence across categories.

Defence24 signals · 16 clubs

Select a row to explore the evidence. Scroll to see all columns →

Brighton Clean sheets 5 Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Scores73

Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Premier League 2026-2027: 1.45 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 73/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
77.5
Recency
96.2
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Brighton’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-23Aston VillaH4–0WYes
2026-08-30ChelseaA3–4LNo
2026-09-05LeedsH1–1DNo
2026-09-13CoventryA5–0WYes
2026-09-19ArsenalH3–0WYes
2026-10-10SunderlandA2–0WYes
2026-10-18Crystal PalaceH5–0WYes
Full club analysis →
Brighton Clean sheets in a row 4 Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Streak58

Consecutive matches without conceding start with the latest recorded result. Any goal conceded ends the run.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-18 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.

Insight Score 58/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
35.0
Recency
96.2
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Brighton’s perspective. Event: Clean sheets in a row.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-23Aston VillaH4–0WYes
2026-08-30ChelseaA3–4LNo
2026-09-05LeedsH1–1DNo
2026-09-13CoventryA5–0WYes
2026-09-19ArsenalH3–0WYes
2026-10-10SunderlandA2–0WYes
2026-10-18Crystal PalaceH5–0WYes

Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.

Full club analysis →
Arsenal Clean sheets 6 Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Scores77

Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Premier League 2026-2027: 1.45 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 77/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
76.2
Recency
96.2
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Arsenal’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-21CoventryH3–0WYes
2026-08-31Aston VillaA1–0WYes
2026-09-06ChelseaH2–1WNo
2026-09-09NapoliA1–0WYes
2026-09-12SunderlandA2–0WYes
2026-09-19BrightonA0–3LNo
2026-10-10LeedsH2–1WNo
2026-10-13LilleH3–0WYes
2026-10-18Nottingham ForestA1–0WYes
Full club analysis →
Arsenal Goals conceded per match 0.6 Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Scores62

This conceding average meets the low-goals signal threshold. Compare it with the league reference; opponent strength and chance quality are not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Premier League 2026-2027: 1.45 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 62/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
33.7
Recency
96.2
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Arsenal’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-21CoventryH3–0W
2026-08-31Aston VillaA1–0W
2026-09-06ChelseaH2–1W
2026-09-09NapoliA1–0W
2026-09-12SunderlandA2–0W
2026-09-19BrightonA0–3L
2026-10-10LeedsH2–1W
2026-10-13LilleH3–0W
2026-10-18Nottingham ForestA1–0W
Full club analysis →
Crystal Palace Goals conceded away per match 2.4 Last 5 recorded away matches Scores54

An away-only conceding average that meets the descriptive threshold. Home results are excluded from this club window; the league reference includes both venues and does not adjust opposition.

Recorded scores · away only · Last 5 recorded away matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Premier League 2026-2027: 1.45 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-19 UTC. League reference includes home and away games; this club window is away only. Context only, without opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 54/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
27.9
Recency
96.2
Context
40.0
Quality
62.5

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 5 recorded away matches

Oldest → newest · scores from Crystal Palace’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-22EvertonA0–2L
2026-09-05FulhamA3–2W
2026-09-20LeedsA0–0D
2026-10-15LyonA2–3L
2026-10-18BrightonA0–5L
Full club analysis →
Sunderland Goals conceded away per match 2.2 Last 5 recorded away matches Scores52

An away-only conceding average that meets the descriptive threshold. Home results are excluded from this club window; the league reference includes both venues and does not adjust opposition.

Recorded scores · away only · Last 5 recorded away matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Premier League 2026-2027: 1.45 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-19 UTC. League reference includes home and away games; this club window is away only. Context only, without opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 52/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
22.0
Recency
96.2
Context
40.0
Quality
62.5

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 5 recorded away matches

Oldest → newest · scores from Sunderland’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-22IpswichA1–2L
2026-09-05BrentfordA1–1D
2026-09-20Manchester CityA3–5L
2026-10-15TorreenseA2–1W
2026-10-18BournemouthA0–2L
Full club analysis →
Brighton Goals conceded per match 0.7 Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Scores55

This conceding average meets the low-goals signal threshold. Compare it with the league reference; opponent strength and chance quality are not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Premier League 2026-2027: 1.45 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 55/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
25.2
Recency
96.2
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Brighton’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-23Aston VillaH4–0W
2026-08-30ChelseaA3–4L
2026-09-05LeedsH1–1D
2026-09-13CoventryA5–0W
2026-09-19ArsenalH3–0W
2026-10-10SunderlandA2–0W
2026-10-18Crystal PalaceH5–0W
Full club analysis →
Crystal Palace Goals conceded per match 2.2 Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Scores60

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Premier League 2026-2027: 1.45 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 60/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
29.1
Recency
96.2
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Crystal Palace’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-22EvertonA0–2L
2026-08-28Manchester CityH1–4L
2026-09-05FulhamA3–2W
2026-09-12IpswichH2–3L
2026-09-17Lech PoznanH4–0W
2026-09-20LeedsA0–0D
2026-10-11Nottingham ForestH3–1W
2026-10-15LyonA2–3L
2026-10-18BrightonA0–5L
Full club analysis →
Leeds Goals conceded per match 0.9 Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Scores53

This conceding average meets the low-goals signal threshold. Compare it with the league reference; opponent strength and chance quality are not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Premier League 2026-2027: 1.45 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 53/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
20.3
Recency
96.2
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Leeds’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-22Nottingham ForestA1–0W
2026-08-30BrentfordH1–1D
2026-09-05BrightonA1–1D
2026-09-14NewcastleH4–1W
2026-09-20Crystal PalaceH0–0D
2026-10-10ArsenalA1–2L
2026-10-18Manchester UnitedH1–1D
Full club analysis →
Manchester United Goals conceded away per match 1.6 Last 5 recorded away matches Scores46

An away-only conceding average that meets the descriptive threshold. Home results are excluded from this club window; the league reference includes both venues and does not adjust opposition.

Recorded scores · away only · Last 5 recorded away matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Premier League 2026-2027: 1.45 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-19 UTC. League reference includes home and away games; this club window is away only. Context only, without opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 46/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
4.4
Recency
96.2
Context
40.0
Quality
62.5

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 5 recorded away matches

Oldest → newest · scores from Manchester United’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-22Hull CityA0–2L
2026-09-06EvertonA2–2D
2026-09-20FulhamA1–1D
2026-10-13Atletico MadridA0–2L
2026-10-18LeedsA1–1D
Full club analysis →
Aston Villa Goals conceded away per match 1.6 Last 5 recorded away matches Scores45

An away-only conceding average that meets the descriptive threshold. Home results are excluded from this club window; the league reference includes both venues and does not adjust opposition.

Recorded scores · away only · Last 5 recorded away matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Premier League 2026-2027: 1.45 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-19 UTC. League reference includes home and away games; this club window is away only. Context only, without opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 45/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
4.4
Recency
93.0
Context
40.0
Quality
62.5

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 5 recorded away matches

Oldest → newest · scores from Aston Villa’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-23BrightonA0–4L
2026-09-05Hull CityA0–0D
2026-09-08Club Brugge KVA3–2W
2026-09-19TottenhamA3–2W
2026-10-17NewcastleA1–0W
Full club analysis →
Manchester City Clean sheets 4 Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Scores61

Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Premier League 2026-2027: 1.45 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 61/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
33.4
Recency
93.0
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Manchester City’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-23BournemouthH2–1WNo
2026-08-28Crystal PalaceA4–1WNo
2026-09-05CoventryH1–0WYes
2026-09-08FC PortoA2–0WYes
2026-09-13Manchester UnitedA1–0WYes
2026-09-20SunderlandH5–3WNo
2026-10-11LiverpoolA3–0WYes
2026-10-14Paris Saint GermainH2–4LNo
2026-10-17IpswichH3–2WNo
Full club analysis →
Everton Clean sheets 3 Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Scores55

Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Premier League 2026-2027: 1.45 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 55/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
27.5
Recency
93.0
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Everton’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-22Crystal PalaceH2–0WYes
2026-08-29BournemouthA1–1DNo
2026-09-06Manchester UnitedH2–2DNo
2026-09-12TottenhamA0–0DYes
2026-09-19IpswichH1–0WYes
2026-10-11Hull CityA2–2DNo
2026-10-17ChelseaH0–2LNo
Full club analysis →
Everton Goals conceded per match 1.0 Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Scores51

This conceding average meets the low-goals signal threshold. Compare it with the league reference; opponent strength and chance quality are not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Premier League 2026-2027: 1.45 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 51/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
15.4
Recency
93.0
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Everton’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-22Crystal PalaceH2–0W
2026-08-29BournemouthA1–1D
2026-09-06Manchester UnitedH2–2D
2026-09-12TottenhamA0–0D
2026-09-19IpswichH1–0W
2026-10-11Hull CityA2–2D
2026-10-17ChelseaH0–2L
Full club analysis →
Hull City Clean sheets 3 Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Scores55

Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Premier League 2026-2027: 1.45 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 55/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
27.5
Recency
93.0
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Hull City’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-22Manchester UnitedH2–0WYes
2026-08-29CoventryA1–0WYes
2026-09-05Aston VillaH0–0DYes
2026-09-12ChelseaA2–2DNo
2026-09-19NewcastleA1–2LNo
2026-10-11EvertonH2–2DNo
2026-10-17FulhamA0–1LNo
Full club analysis →
Ipswich Goals conceded per match 2.1 Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Scores54

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Premier League 2026-2027: 1.45 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 54/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
23.7
Recency
93.0
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Ipswich’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-22SunderlandH2–1W
2026-08-30Manchester UnitedA2–5L
2026-09-04LiverpoolH0–2L
2026-09-12Crystal PalaceA3–2W
2026-09-19EvertonA0–1L
2026-10-10FulhamH2–1W
2026-10-17Manchester CityA2–3L
Full club analysis →
Hull City Goals conceded per match 1.0 Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Scores51

This conceding average meets the low-goals signal threshold. Compare it with the league reference; opponent strength and chance quality are not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Premier League 2026-2027: 1.45 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 51/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
15.4
Recency
93.0
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Hull City’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-22Manchester UnitedH2–0W
2026-08-29CoventryA1–0W
2026-09-05Aston VillaH0–0D
2026-09-12ChelseaA2–2D
2026-09-19NewcastleA1–2L
2026-10-11EvertonH2–2D
2026-10-17FulhamA0–1L
Full club analysis →
Newcastle Goals conceded per match 2.0 Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Scores52

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Premier League 2026-2027: 1.45 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 52/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
18.8
Recency
93.0
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Newcastle’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-23LiverpoolH2–2D
2026-08-29TottenhamA2–0W
2026-09-05BournemouthH2–2D
2026-09-14LeedsA1–4L
2026-09-19Hull CityH2–1W
2026-10-12CoventryA1–4L
2026-10-17Aston VillaH0–1L
Full club analysis →
Coventry Goals conceded per match 2.0 Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Scores53

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Premier League 2026-2027: 1.45 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 53/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
18.8
Recency
99.4
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Coventry’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-21ArsenalA0–3L
2026-08-29Hull CityH0–1L
2026-09-05Manchester CityA0–1L
2026-09-13BrightonH0–5L
2026-09-19Nottingham ForestA1–0W
2026-10-12NewcastleH4–1W
2026-10-19TottenhamA1–3L
Full club analysis →
Liverpool Clean sheets 3 Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Scores53

Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Premier League 2026-2027: 1.45 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 53/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
11.9
Recency
93.0
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Liverpool’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-23NewcastleA2–2DNo
2026-08-29Nottingham ForestH2–2DNo
2026-09-04IpswichA2–0WYes
2026-09-09Atletico MadridH2–1WNo
2026-09-12FulhamH0–0DYes
2026-09-20BournemouthA1–0WYes
2026-10-11Manchester CityH0–3LNo
2026-10-14Lask LinzA6–3WNo
2026-10-17BrentfordA2–1WNo
Full club analysis →
Aston Villa Clean sheets 3 Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Scores53

Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Premier League 2026-2027: 1.45 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 53/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
11.9
Recency
93.0
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Aston Villa’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-23BrightonA0–4LNo
2026-08-31ArsenalH0–1LNo
2026-09-05Hull CityA0–0DYes
2026-09-08Club Brugge KVA3–2WNo
2026-09-12Nottingham ForestH1–2LNo
2026-09-19TottenhamA3–2WNo
2026-10-10BrentfordH2–2DNo
2026-10-14FenerbahceH6–0WYes
2026-10-17NewcastleA1–0WYes
Full club analysis →
Chelsea Goals conceded per match 1.9 Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Scores50

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-24 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Premier League 2026-2027: 1.45 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 50/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
13.9
Recency
93.0
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Chelsea’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-24FulhamA3–2W
2026-08-30BrightonH4–3W
2026-09-06ArsenalA1–2L
2026-09-12Hull CityH2–2D
2026-09-18BrentfordA0–3L
2026-10-10BournemouthH5–1W
2026-10-17EvertonA2–0W
Full club analysis →
Sunderland Goals conceded per match 1.7 Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Scores53

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Premier League 2026-2027: 1.45 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 53/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
8.2
Recency
96.2
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Sunderland’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-22IpswichA1–2L
2026-08-30FulhamH1–0W
2026-09-05BrentfordA1–1D
2026-09-12ArsenalH0–2L
2026-09-16AZ AlkmaarH1–0W
2026-09-20Manchester CityA3–5L
2026-10-10BrightonH0–2L
2026-10-15TorreenseA2–1W
2026-10-18BournemouthA0–2L
Full club analysis →
Bournemouth Goals conceded per match 1.6 Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Scores51

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Premier League 2026-2027: 1.45 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 51/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
4.0
Recency
96.2
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Bournemouth’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-23Manchester CityA1–2L
2026-08-29EvertonH1–1D
2026-09-05NewcastleA2–2D
2026-09-12BrentfordH2–2D
2026-09-17Real SociedadA2–1W
2026-09-20LiverpoolH0–1L
2026-10-10ChelseaA1–5L
2026-10-15Sturm GrazH3–0W
2026-10-18SunderlandH2–0W
Full club analysis →

Showing 1–24 of 24 signals

About these insights
A little context goes a long way

Read the signal. Keep the context.

Insights describe what is recorded. Use club and match analysis to explore what comes next.

Insight Score · experimental editorial interest. This version uses 0.35D + 0.25R + 0.20C + 0.20Q. D measures heuristic deviation, R observation recency, C breadth of evidence families and Q data quality. These starting weights are uncalibrated. It is neither team strength, win probability, statistical significance nor forecast confidence. Related result signals share one family; different sources are not automatically statistically independent. Unknown dates receive zero recency; unknown xG coverage limits its quality component. League averages are context references, not opponent-adjusted estimates.

01

Check the window

Result signals use the last 10 recorded matches; away signals use the last 8 away matches. At least 5 are required. Missing and special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound.

02

Read the chart

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored or conceded, capped at 6; zero keeps a marker. Teal / amber / red means win / draw / loss. Faded bars mean the event did not happen. Open the evidence for full scores.

03

Separate the sources

xG uses observed Playing style averages before the next or latest league fixture; coverage can differ between inputs. xPts comes from stored LOAD90 forecasts on identical covered games, including labelled historical reconstructions.

Types alternate for variety. Values are ordered within their own metric, without a combined ranking. These descriptive signals do not change the LOAD90 forecast.

Explore methodology →