UEFA Champions League Matchday 8 Wed, Jan 27 · 20:00 Fußball Arena München, München
Bayern München 10th · 4 pts · 2 played
VS— Compare
Real Betis 9th · 6 pts · 2 played
Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel1,858 kmRest days4.2 · 3.2Matches / 14d3 · 3
Real contextStrength only
Bayern München—%
Draw—%
Real Betis—%
Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.
Weather (München)

Forecast from 12 Jan

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for Bayern München and Real Betis. These describe recorded performance and do not change the match forecast. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals per category, with at most three per team.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses the observed pre-match Playing style averages already shown for this fixture. Window size is not xG coverage, and the two averages can have different denominators. Result statistics use completed matches recorded up to now; their window can differ from the Playing style profile. Season points and xPts are not included here.

Headlines

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack

Attack insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Defence

Defence insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Streaks

Streaks insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Team strength

Bayern MünchenReal Betis
— L90 StrengthIn forecast —
93 Current StrengthIn forecast 72
96 AttackIn forecast 79
90 DefenceIn forecast 59
78 Form indexContext 80
In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Bayern München

Attack—
Defense risk—

Real Betis

Attack—
Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Bayern MünchenReal Betis
4.00 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 3.00
1.50 Goals concededVia Att/Def 2.00
— xGVia Att/Def 1.74
— xG allowedVia Att/Def 0.82
— Goals minus xGContext +1.26
100% Scored inContext 100%
50% Clean sheetsContext 0%
24.00 ShotsContext 18.50
10.00 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 6.00
42% On target shareContext 32%
13.50 Shots in the boxContext 11.00
57% Box shareContext 60%
17% ConversionContext 16%
2.50 OffsidesContext —
5.00 Shots allowedContext 8.50
— On target allowedVia Att/Def 3.50
— BlocksContext 2.00
— Goalkeeper savesContext —
25% Save rateContext 60%
66% PossessionIn forecast 56%
609 PassesContext 534
556 Accurate passesContext 466
91% Pass accuracyContext 87%
7.06 Team ratingContext 6.90
6.50 FoulsContext 13.50
9.50 Fouls sufferedContext 13.00
1.50 Yellow cardsContext 3.50
0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00
This league season, per match · 2 and 2 games
3.60 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 2.10
0.90 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.80
3.27 xGVia Att/Def 1.71
1.12 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.79
+0.33 Goals minus xGContext +0.39
90% Scored inContext 100%
40% Clean sheetsContext 30%
22.80 ShotsContext 16.70
9.80 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 6.20
43% On target shareContext 37%
13.40 Shots in the boxContext 10.00
59% Box shareContext 58%
16% ConversionContext 13%
2.90 OffsidesContext 1.40
8.10 Shots allowedContext 14.60
3.11 On target allowedVia Att/Def 6.00
3.50 BlocksContext 3.50
2.38 Goalkeeper savesContext 4.33
70% Save rateContext 67%
68% PossessionIn forecast 52%
693 PassesContext 504
625 Accurate passesContext 438
90% Pass accuracyContext 87%
7.30 Team ratingContext 6.98
8.60 FoulsContext 10.70
8.70 Fouls sufferedContext 11.90
0.90 Yellow cardsContext 1.80
0.00 Red cardsContext 0.10
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games
In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Bayern München
Rest4.2 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d3all competitions
Travel0 km3,261 km in 14d
Schedule load25%Moderate
Form 78 · 11 pts vs 7.4 for an average club · -1.8 vs expected
  • W17 OctH · RB Leipzig6–12.4 xPts
  • D13 OctA · Viking3–32.8 xPts
  • D10 OctA · FC Augsburg2–22.4 xPts
  • W18 SepH · Union Berlin7–02.8 xPts
  • W13 SepA · SV Elversberg2–12.4 xPts
Real Betis
Rest3.2 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d3all competitions
Travel1,858 km781 km in 14d
Schedule load43%High
Form 80 · 10 pts vs 6.1 for an average club · +2.3 vs expected
  • L17 OctH · Barcelona2–50.8 xPts
  • W14 OctH · FC Porto3–21.4 xPts
  • W11 OctH · Osasuna5–22.0 xPts
  • D20 SepA · Deportivo La Coruna1–11.6 xPts
  • W17 SepH · Getafe1–02.0 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery
Bayern München Real Betis
Schedule loaddescriptive index, contextModerate · 25High · 43
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecastNoNo
Rest dayssince last match4.2Bundesliga 2026-2027, 23 Jan3.2La Liga 2026-2027, 24 Jan
Travel to venuefrom home stadium0 km1,858 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways3,261 km781 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days2 / 3 / 52 / 3 / 5
Next matchdays after this one2.83.8

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Bayern München Last XI · not confirmed
4-2-3-1 · vs RB Leipzig (H) 6–1, 17 Oct
40J. Urbig(G)
11N. Brown 3M. Kim 2D. Upamecano 27K. Laimer
45A. Pavlović 6J. Kimmich
14L. Díaz 34I. Saibari 17M. Olise
9H. Kane
Real Betis Last XI · not confirmed
4-2-3-1 · vs Barcelona (H) 2–5, 17 Oct
1Álvaro Vallés(G)
11Fran García 16Valentín Gómez 3Diego Llorente 2Héctor Bellerín
25Dani Ceballos 6F. Bernal
10A. Ezzalzouli 8Pablo Fornals 20G. Lo Celso
9C. Hernández

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences
Bayern München Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Real Betis Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Bayern München · Home 3.00points per game · 1 home games
W-D-L
1-0-0
Scored
5.00
Conceded
0.00
Real Betis · Away 3.00points per game · 1 away games
W-D-L
1-0-0
Scored
3.00
Conceded
2.00

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Head to head

No earlier meetings in our data.

Goals & match trends

Bayern MünchenReal BetisForecast
Scored per game 4.003.00
Conceded per game 1.502.00
Match goals 5.505.00
Over 1.5 100%100%
Over 2.5 100%100%
Over 3.5 100%100%
Both teams scored 50%100%
Clean sheets 50%0%
Failed to score 0%0%
Games22
Bayern MünchenReal BetisForecast
Scored per game 3.602.10
Conceded per game 0.901.80
Match goals 4.503.90
Over 1.5 80%70%
Over 2.5 80%60%
Over 3.5 70%50%
Both teams scored 60%70%
Clean sheets 40%30%
Failed to score 10%0%
Games1010

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

Bayern MünchenReal BetisLeague
Corners
Corners won10.505.00
Corners conceded3.503.00
Match total14.008.009.71
Over 8.5100% 2/250% 1/2
Over 9.550% 1/250% 1/2
Over 10.550% 1/20% 0/2
Cards
Cards2.003.50
Opponent cards2.002.50
Match total4.006.003.80
Over 3.550% 1/2100% 2/2
Over 4.550% 1/2100% 2/2
Bayern MünchenReal BetisLeague
Corners
Corners won8.444.90
Corners conceded3.785.90
Match total12.2210.809.71
Over 8.5100% 9/970% 7/10
Over 9.578% 7/970% 7/10
Over 10.567% 6/950% 5/10
Cards
Cards1.001.90
Opponent cards1.902.60
Match total2.904.503.80
Over 3.540% 4/1060% 6/10
Over 4.510% 1/1060% 6/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Goal timing

Bayern München2 games · scored 8 · conceded 3
1 0-15
16-30
1 31-45
3 46-60
2 61-75
3 1 76-90
Real Betis2 games · scored 6 · conceded 4
1 0-15
16-30
1 1 31-45
3 1 46-60
1 1 61-75
1 76-90
Bayern München10 games · scored 36 · conceded 9
3 2 0-15
5 1 16-30
3 1 31-45
10 1 46-60
7 2 61-75
8 2 76-90
Real Betis10 games · scored 21 · conceded 18
1 2 0-15
1 2 16-30
8 3 31-45
5 5 46-60
2 3 61-75
4 3 76-90

scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.

Scenario lab Soon

Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.

Next fixtures UEFA Champions League

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