Feyenoord vs RB Leipzig

UEFA Champions League Matchday 8 Wed, Jan 27 · 20:00 Stadion Feijenoord, Rotterdam

Feyenoord 23rd · 3 pts · 2 played LW

VS— Compare

RB Leipzig 21st · 3 pts · 2 played LW

Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel548 kmRest days4.1 · 4.2Matches / 14d3 · 3

Real contextStrength only

Feyenoord—%

Draw—%

RB Leipzig—%

Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.

Weather (Rotterdam)

Forecast from 12 Jan

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Headlines

Attack

Defence

Streaks

Team strength

Feyenoord

RB Leipzig

— L90 StrengthIn forecast —

59 Current StrengthIn forecast 67

76 AttackIn forecast 76

61 DefenceIn forecast 53

92 Form indexContext 78

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Feyenoord

Attack—

Defense risk—

RB Leipzig

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Feyenoord

RB Leipzig

2.00 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.00

3.50 Goals concededVia Att/Def 2.00

— xGVia Att/Def —

— xG allowedVia Att/Def —

— Goals minus xGContext —

100% Scored inContext 100%

0% Clean sheetsContext 50%

8.50 ShotsContext 16.50

3.50 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 5.00

41% On target shareContext 30%

5.00 Shots in the boxContext 11.50

64% Box shareContext 68%

24% ConversionContext 6%

5.00 OffsidesContext —

17.50 Shots allowedContext 11.50

7.00 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.50

4.00 BlocksContext 1.50

3.50 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.50

50% Save rateContext 64%

38% PossessionIn forecast 47%

414 PassesContext 414

354 Accurate passesContext 361

86% Pass accuracyContext 87%

6.44 Team ratingContext 6.71

15.50 FoulsContext 11.00

14.00 Fouls sufferedContext 10.50

1.50 Yellow cardsContext 2.00

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00

This league season, per match · 2 and 2 games

3.40 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 2.10

1.70 Goals concededVia Att/Def 2.00

2.42 xGVia Att/Def 1.92

1.09 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.57

+0.98 Goals minus xGContext +0.18

100% Scored inContext 90%

30% Clean sheetsContext 40%

18.70 ShotsContext 16.40

7.50 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 5.90

40% On target shareContext 36%

12.80 Shots in the boxContext 11.60

68% Box shareContext 69%

18% ConversionContext 13%

2.71 OffsidesContext 1.29

12.50 Shots allowedContext 14.20

4.50 On target allowedVia Att/Def 6.50

3.67 BlocksContext 3.00

2.80 Goalkeeper savesContext 4.50

62% Save rateContext 69%

50% PossessionIn forecast 54%

473 PassesContext 508

410 Accurate passesContext 443

87% Pass accuracyContext 87%

7.06 Team ratingContext 6.97

10.20 FoulsContext 9.30

12.70 Fouls sufferedContext 12.30

1.30 Yellow cardsContext 1.30

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Feyenoord WWWWW

Rest4.1 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d3all competitions

Travel0 km4,431 km in 14d

Schedule load25%Moderate

Form 92 · 15 pts vs 8.3 for an average club · +5.2 vs expected

W17 OctA · Telstar4–32.1 xPts
W14 OctH · Como3–21.6 xPts
W10 OctH · AZ Alkmaar2–01.8 xPts
W20 SepH · Utrecht5–02.3 xPts
W13 SepA · PEC Zwolle7–02.0 xPts

RB Leipzig WLWWL

Rest4.2 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d3all competitions

Travel548 km1,505 km in 14d

Schedule load26%Moderate

Form 78 · 9 pts vs 5.5 for an average club · +1.7 vs expected

L17 OctA · Bayern München1–60.5 xPts
W13 OctH · PSV Eindhoven1–01.6 xPts
W10 OctH · Eintracht Frankfurt6–02.0 xPts
L20 SepA · Bayer Leverkusen0–21.1 xPts
W13 SepH · Hamburger SV5–02.2 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Feyenoord	RB Leipzig
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Moderate · 25	Moderate · 26
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	4.1Eredivisie 2026-2027, 23 Jan	4.2Bundesliga 2026-2027, 23 Jan
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	548 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	4,431 km	1,505 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	1 / 3 / 4	2 / 3 / 5
Next matchdays after this one	3.7	2.8

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Feyenoord Last XI · not confirmed

4-2-3-1 · vs Telstar (A) 4–3, 17 Oct

1T. Ernst(G)

35Mika Màrmol 24T. Kraaijeveld 4T. Watanabe 26G. Read

34C. Vanhoutte 8G. Zechiël

27G. Diarra 14S. Steijn 23A. Hadj Moussa

19Nacho Ferri

RB Leipzig Last XI · not confirmed

4-5-1 · vs Bayern München (A) 1–6, 17 Oct

26M. Vandevoordt(G)

22D. Raum 23C. Lukeba 4V. Orbán 16L. Klostermann

7A. Nusa 6E. Banzuzi 21N. El Aynaoui 20R. Reitz 10B. Gruda

28C. Nkunku

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Feyenoord Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

RB Leipzig Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Feyenoord · Home 3.00points per game · 1 home games

W-D-L: 1-0-0
Scored: 3.00
Conceded: 2.00

RB Leipzig · Away 0.00points per game · 1 away games

W-D-L: 0-0-1
Scored: 1.00
Conceded: 4.00

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 1 this season

Opponent	Feyenoord	RB Leipzig
Como	W 3–2 H	L 1–4 A
Points	3 of 3 · 3.00 per game	0 of 3 · 0.00 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head

No earlier meetings in our data.

Goals & match trends

	Feyenoord	RB Leipzig
Scored per game	2.00	1.00
Conceded per game	3.50	2.00
Match goals	5.50	3.00
Over 1.5	100%	50%
Over 2.5	100%	50%
Over 3.5	100%	50%
Both teams scored	100%	50%
Clean sheets	0%	50%
Failed to score	0%	0%
Games	2	2

	Feyenoord	RB Leipzig
Scored per game	3.40	2.10
Conceded per game	1.70	2.00
Match goals	5.10	4.10
Over 1.5	100%	90%
Over 2.5	90%	80%
Over 3.5	90%	60%
Both teams scored	70%	50%
Clean sheets	30%	40%
Failed to score	0%	10%
Games	10	10

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Feyenoord	RB Leipzig	League
Corners
Corners won	3.00	5.00
Corners conceded	2.50	5.00
Match total	5.50	10.00	9.71
Over 8.5	0% 0/2	50% 1/2
Over 9.5	0% 0/2	50% 1/2
Over 10.5	0% 0/2	50% 1/2
Cards
Cards	1.50	2.00
Opponent cards	2.00	2.00
Match total	3.50	4.00	3.80
Over 3.5	50% 1/2	50% 1/2
Over 4.5	50% 1/2	50% 1/2

	Feyenoord	RB Leipzig	League
Corners
Corners won	5.20	4.80
Corners conceded	3.70	5.70
Match total	8.90	10.50	9.71
Over 8.5	50% 5/10	70% 7/10
Over 9.5	50% 5/10	50% 5/10
Over 10.5	50% 5/10	50% 5/10
Cards
Cards	1.30	1.30
Opponent cards	1.40	1.30
Match total	2.70	2.60	3.80
Over 3.5	40% 4/10	30% 3/10
Over 4.5	20% 2/10	20% 2/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.