UEFA Champions League Matchday 8 Wed, Jan 27 · 20:00 Parc des Princes, Paris
Paris Saint Germain 1st · 6 pts · 2 played
VS— Compare
Galatasaray 35th · 0 pts · 2 played
Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel2,253 kmRest days4.2 · 3.3Matches / 14d3 · 3
Real contextStrength only
Paris Saint Germain—%
Draw—%
Galatasaray—%
Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.
Weather (Paris)

Forecast from 12 Jan

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for Paris Saint Germain and Galatasaray. These describe recorded performance and do not change the match forecast. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals per category, with at most three per team.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses the observed pre-match Playing style averages already shown for this fixture. Window size is not xG coverage, and the two averages can have different denominators. Result statistics use completed matches recorded up to now; their window can differ from the Playing style profile. Season points and xPts are not included here.

Headlines

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack

Attack insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Defence

Defence insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Streaks

Streaks insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Team strength

Paris Saint GermainGalatasaray
— L90 StrengthIn forecast —
89 Current StrengthIn forecast 62
91 AttackIn forecast 57
83 DefenceIn forecast 55
96 Form indexContext 59
In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Paris Saint Germain

Attack—
Defense risk—

Galatasaray

Attack—
Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Paris Saint GermainGalatasaray
5.00 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.00
1.50 Goals concededVia Att/Def 3.50
— xGVia Att/Def 0.85
— xG allowedVia Att/Def 2.27
— Goals minus xGContext +0.15
100% Scored inContext 100%
0% Clean sheetsContext 0%
25.00 ShotsContext 7.50
12.00 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 3.00
48% On target shareContext 40%
15.50 Shots in the boxContext 5.50
58% Box shareContext 70%
20% ConversionContext 13%
— OffsidesContext —
18.00 Shots allowedContext 14.50
6.50 On target allowedVia Att/Def 8.00
5.50 BlocksContext 3.00
4.50 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.50
69% Save rateContext 44%
59% PossessionIn forecast 46%
588 PassesContext 402
524 Accurate passesContext 343
89% Pass accuracyContext 85%
7.25 Team ratingContext 6.25
9.50 FoulsContext 11.00
8.00 Fouls sufferedContext 11.50
0.50 Yellow cardsContext 2.50
0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00
This league season, per match · 2 and 2 games
2.50 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.90
1.30 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.80
2.37 xGVia Att/Def 1.97
1.28 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.22
+0.13 Goals minus xGContext -0.07
100% Scored inContext 90%
10% Clean sheetsContext 30%
21.50 ShotsContext 19.20
7.80 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 6.50
36% On target shareContext 34%
12.50 Shots in the boxContext 13.20
56% Box shareContext 69%
12% ConversionContext 10%
3.33 OffsidesContext 3.43
11.90 Shots allowedContext 11.50
4.30 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.78
3.22 BlocksContext 3.56
4.14 Goalkeeper savesContext 2.78
78% Save rateContext 64%
67% PossessionIn forecast 57%
702 PassesContext 460
632 Accurate passesContext 397
90% Pass accuracyContext 86%
7.07 Team ratingContext 6.86
7.00 FoulsContext 11.60
11.20 Fouls sufferedContext 11.60
1.00 Yellow cardsContext 1.80
0.00 Red cardsContext 0.20
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games
In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Paris Saint Germain
Rest4.2 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d3all competitions
Travel0 km1,748 km in 14d
Schedule load20%Moderate
Form 96 · 15 pts vs 6.2 for an average club · +4.9 vs expected
  • W17 OctA · Strasbourg3–12.4 xPts
  • W14 OctA · Manchester City4–20.9 xPts
  • W10 OctH · Le Mans3–12.6 xPts
  • W20 SepA · Marseille2–12.0 xPts
  • W13 SepA · Stade Brestois 291–02.1 xPts
Galatasaray
Rest3.3 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d3all competitions
Travel2,253 km2,716 km in 14d
Schedule load48%High
Form 59 · 9 pts vs 8.0 for an average club · -0.5 vs expected
  • W17 OctA · Genclerbirligi1–02.2 xPts
  • L13 OctH · Barcelona1–40.7 xPts
  • W9 OctH · Kasimpasa3–12.3 xPts
  • L19 SepA · Trabzonspor0–41.9 xPts
  • W13 SepH · Kocaelispor1–02.4 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery
Paris Saint Germain Galatasaray
Schedule loaddescriptive index, contextModerate · 20High · 48
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecastNoNo
Rest dayssince last match4.2Ligue 1 2026-2027, 23 Jan3.3Süper Lig 2026-2027, 24 Jan
Travel to venuefrom home stadium0 km2,253 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways1,748 km2,716 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days2 / 3 / 41 / 3 / 3
Next matchdays after this one2.83.7

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Paris Saint Germain Last XI · not confirmed
4-3-3 · vs Strasbourg (A) 3–1, 17 Oct
39M. Safonov(G)
12L. Digne 21L. Hernández 6I. Zabarnyi 33W. Zaïre-Emery
4Beraldo 27Dro Fernández 87João Neves
7K. Kvaratskhelia 9Ferran Torres 11M. Akliouche
Galatasaray Last XI · not confirmed
4-2-3-1 · vs Genclerbirligi (A) 1–0, 17 Oct
1U. Çakır(G)
17E. Elmalı 42A. Bardakcı 6D. Sánchez 7R. Sallai
8Gabriel Sara 99M. Lemina
53B. Yılmaz 83A. Batrakov 10L. Sané
45V. Osimhen

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences
Paris Saint Germain Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Galatasaray Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Paris Saint Germain · Home 3.00points per game · 1 home games
W-D-L
1-0-0
Scored
6.00
Conceded
1.00
Galatasaray · Away 0.00points per game · 1 away games
W-D-L
0-0-1
Scored
1.00
Conceded
3.00

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Head to head

No earlier meetings in our data.

Goals & match trends

Paris Saint GermainGalatasarayForecast
Scored per game 5.001.00
Conceded per game 1.503.50
Match goals 6.504.50
Over 1.5 100%100%
Over 2.5 100%100%
Over 3.5 100%100%
Both teams scored 100%100%
Clean sheets 0%0%
Failed to score 0%0%
Games22
Paris Saint GermainGalatasarayForecast
Scored per game 2.501.90
Conceded per game 1.401.80
Match goals 3.903.70
Over 1.5 90%80%
Over 2.5 90%80%
Over 3.5 60%80%
Both teams scored 90%60%
Clean sheets 10%30%
Failed to score 0%10%
Games1010

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

Paris Saint GermainGalatasarayLeague
Corners
Corners won4.502.50
Corners conceded6.503.50
Match total11.006.009.71
Over 8.5100% 2/20% 0/2
Over 9.550% 1/20% 0/2
Over 10.550% 1/20% 0/2
Cards
Cards0.502.50
Opponent cards1.001.00
Match total1.503.503.80
Over 3.50% 0/250% 1/2
Over 4.50% 0/250% 1/2
Paris Saint GermainGalatasarayLeague
Corners
Corners won5.576.40
Corners conceded4.143.20
Match total9.719.609.71
Over 8.571% 5/750% 5/10
Over 9.543% 3/730% 3/10
Over 10.529% 2/730% 3/10
Cards
Cards1.002.00
Opponent cards2.301.80
Match total3.303.803.80
Over 3.540% 4/1060% 6/10
Over 4.530% 3/1040% 4/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Goal timing

Paris Saint Germain2 games · scored 10 · conceded 3
2 0-15
2 16-30
2 31-45
2 2 46-60
1 1 61-75
1 76-90
Galatasaray2 games · scored 2 · conceded 7
1 0-15
1 1 16-30
1 31-45
3 46-60
2 61-75
76-90
Paris Saint Germain10 games · scored 25 · conceded 13
3 2 0-15
3 2 16-30
3 1 31-45
2 4 46-60
7 3 61-75
7 1 76-90
Galatasaray10 games · scored 19 · conceded 18
2 1 0-15
3 2 16-30
3 3 31-45
2 4 46-60
3 6 61-75
6 2 76-90

scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.

Scenario lab Soon

Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.

Next fixtures UEFA Champions League

View all fixtures →
Liverpool Lens Jan 2720:00 Arsenal Sabah FA Jan 2720:00 Manchester City Sporting CP Jan 2720:00 Paris Saint Germain Galatasaray Jan 2720:00 Bayern München Real Betis Jan 2720:00 Borussia Dortmund AEK Athens FC Jan 2720:00 PSV Eindhoven VfB Stuttgart Jan 2720:00 Feyenoord RB Leipzig Jan 2720:00 Napoli Viking Jan 2720:00 AS Roma Lille Jan 2720:00 Barcelona Como Jan 2720:00 Atletico Madrid Fenerbahce Jan 2720:00 Villarreal Manchester United Jan 2720:00 Shakhtar Donetsk Real Madrid Jan 2720:00 Slavia Praha Aston Villa Jan 2720:00 Club Brugge KV Bodo/Glimt Jan 2720:00 Slovan Bratislava Inter Jan 2720:00 Lask Linz FC Porto Jan 2720:00