Napoli vs Viking – 27 Jan 2027

UEFA Champions League Matchday 8 Wed, Jan 27 · 20:00 Stadio Diego Armando Maradona, Napoli

Napoli 32nd · 0 pts · 2 played LL

VS— Compare

Viking 27th · 1 pts · 2 played LD

Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel2,101 kmRest days3.1 · 7Matches / 14d3 · 1

Real contextStrength only

Napoli—%

Draw—%

Viking—%

Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.

Weather (Napoli)

Forecast from 12 Jan

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Headlines

Attack

Insight Napoli +1.02 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for1.81xG against0.79

Defence

Streaks

Not enough recorded data for this category yet.

Team strength

Napoli

Viking

— L90 StrengthIn forecast —

61 Current StrengthIn forecast 16

61 AttackIn forecast 18

70 DefenceIn forecast 23

44 Form indexContext —

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Napoli

Attack—

Defense risk—

Viking

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Napoli

Viking

0.50 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 2.00

2.00 Goals concededVia Att/Def 3.00

— xGVia Att/Def —

— xG allowedVia Att/Def —

— Goals minus xGContext —

50% Scored inContext 100%

0% Clean sheetsContext 0%

8.00 ShotsContext 8.00

3.00 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 3.50

38% On target shareContext 44%

6.00 Shots in the boxContext 6.00

65% Box shareContext 71%

6% ConversionContext 25%

2.00 OffsidesContext —

21.50 Shots allowedContext 20.00

6.00 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.50

6.50 BlocksContext 8.00

3.50 Goalkeeper savesContext —

58% Save rateContext 63%

45% PossessionIn forecast 37%

444 PassesContext 299

375 Accurate passesContext 211

85% Pass accuracyContext 71%

6.38 Team ratingContext 6.44

13.50 FoulsContext 12.00

9.50 Fouls sufferedContext 10.50

2.50 Yellow cardsContext 2.50

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00

This league season, per match · 2 and 2 games

1.20 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.83

1.10 Goals concededVia Att/Def 2.17

1.81 xGVia Att/Def —

0.79 xG allowedVia Att/Def —

-0.61 Goals minus xGContext —

80% Scored inContext 100%

40% Clean sheetsContext 0%

14.70 ShotsContext 10.67

5.00 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.33

34% On target shareContext 41%

10.20 Shots in the boxContext 7.33

67% Box shareContext 70%

8% ConversionContext 17%

2.90 OffsidesContext 2.33

16.20 Shots allowedContext 16.50

4.20 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.17

5.13 BlocksContext 5.17

2.90 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.25

69% Save rateContext 68%

53% PossessionIn forecast 44%

516 PassesContext 359

450 Accurate passesContext 269

87% Pass accuracyContext 75%

6.82 Team ratingContext 6.67

9.00 FoulsContext 13.33

9.40 Fouls sufferedContext 10.83

1.10 Yellow cardsContext 2.17

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 6 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Napoli WDWLL

Rest3.1 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d3all competitions

Travel0 km7,357 km in 14d

Schedule load33%Moderate

Form 44 · 7 pts vs 7.7 for an average club · -1.7 vs expected

L17 OctA · Venezia0–12.3 xPts
L13 OctA · Villarreal1–31.1 xPts
W10 OctH · Frosinone3–02.1 xPts
D20 SepA · Fiorentina1–11.6 xPts
W13 SepH · Bologna1–01.7 xPts

Viking LD

Rest7 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel2,101 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load20%Moderate

Form 47 · 1 pts vs 1.4 for an average club · +0.5 vs expected

D13 OctH · Bayern München3–30.1 xPts
L9 SepA · VfB Stuttgart1–30.3 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Napoli	Viking
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Moderate · 33	Moderate · 20
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	3.1Serie A 2026-2027, 24 Jan	7UEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase, 20 Jan
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	2,101 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	7,357 km	0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	1 / 3 / 6	1 / 1 / 1
Next matchdays after this one	3.9	—

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Napoli Last XI · not confirmed

3-4-2-1 · vs Venezia (A) 0–1, 17 Oct

1A. Meret(G)

5B. Badiashile 13A. Rrahmani 31S. Beukema

37L. Spinazzola 68S. Lobotka 6B. Gilmour 22G. Di Lorenzo

8S. McTominay 23Giovane

20L. Lucca

Viking Last XI · not confirmed

4-3-3 · vs Bayern München (H) 3–3, 13 Oct

1A. Østbø(G)

28K. Haugen 25H. Falchener 6G. Stensness 5H. Heggheim

7K. Askildsen 8J. Bell 16H. Bjørdal

10Z. Tripić 22E. Botheim 20P. Christiansen

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Napoli Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Viking Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Napoli · Home 0.00points per game · 1 home games

W-D-L: 0-0-1
Scored: 0.00
Conceded: 1.00

Viking · Away 0.00points per game · 1 away games

W-D-L: 0-0-1
Scored: 1.00
Conceded: 3.00

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Head to head

No earlier meetings in our data.

Goals & match trends

	Napoli	Viking
Scored per game	0.50	2.00
Conceded per game	2.00	3.00
Match goals	2.50	5.00
Over 1.5	50%	100%
Over 2.5	50%	100%
Over 3.5	50%	100%
Both teams scored	50%	100%
Clean sheets	0%	0%
Failed to score	50%	0%
Games	2	2

	Napoli	Viking
Scored per game	1.20	2.25
Conceded per game	1.10	2.25
Match goals	2.30	4.50
Over 1.5	60%	100%
Over 2.5	40%	100%
Over 3.5	20%	100%
Both teams scored	40%	100%
Clean sheets	40%	0%
Failed to score	20%	0%
Games	10	4

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Napoli	Viking	League
Corners
Corners won	2.50	4.50
Corners conceded	5.00	9.50
Match total	7.50	14.00	9.71
Over 8.5	0% 0/2	100% 2/2
Over 9.5	0% 0/2	50% 1/2
Over 10.5	0% 0/2	50% 1/2
Cards
Cards	2.50	2.50
Opponent cards	1.50	2.00
Match total	4.00	4.50	3.80
Over 3.5	50% 1/2	50% 1/2
Over 4.5	50% 1/2	50% 1/2

	Napoli	Viking	League
Corners
Corners won	3.88	4.67
Corners conceded	5.38	6.17
Match total	9.26	10.84	9.71
Over 8.5	63% 5/8	67% 4/6
Over 9.5	38% 3/8	50% 3/6
Over 10.5	13% 1/8	50% 3/6
Cards
Cards	1.10	2.17
Opponent cards	1.60	2.17
Match total	2.70	4.34	3.80
Over 3.5	20% 2/10	50% 3/6
Over 4.5	10% 1/10	50% 3/6

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.