Slavia Praha vs Aston Villa

UEFA Champions League Matchday 8 Wed, Jan 27 · 20:00 Fortuna Arena, Praha

Slavia Praha 31st · 0 pts · 2 played LL

VS— Compare

Aston Villa 2nd · 6 pts · 2 played WW

Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel1,163 kmRest days8 · 4.2Matches / 14d1 · 3

Real contextStrength only

Slavia Praha—%

Draw—%

Aston Villa—%

Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.

Weather (Praha)

Forecast from 12 Jan

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Headlines

Attack

Defence

Streaks

Streak Aston Villa 6 Scoring in a row Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Scoring in a row

Team strength

Slavia Praha

Aston Villa

— L90 StrengthIn forecast —

38 Current StrengthIn forecast 82

41 AttackIn forecast 83

40 DefenceIn forecast 78

— Form indexContext 84

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Slavia Praha

Attack—

Defense risk—

Aston Villa

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Slavia Praha

Aston Villa

1.00 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 4.50

2.50 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.00

— xGVia Att/Def 2.74

— xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.79

— Goals minus xGContext +1.76

50% Scored inContext 100%

0% Clean sheetsContext 50%

17.50 ShotsContext 20.50

6.50 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 10.00

37% On target shareContext 49%

11.50 Shots in the boxContext 13.00

66% Box shareContext 63%

6% ConversionContext 22%

3.00 OffsidesContext 1.50

19.00 Shots allowedContext 14.50

7.00 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.50

5.50 BlocksContext 4.50

4.00 Goalkeeper savesContext 4.50

57% Save rateContext 82%

46% PossessionIn forecast 41%

334 PassesContext 363

253 Accurate passesContext 315

76% Pass accuracyContext 87%

6.43 Team ratingContext 7.48

11.00 FoulsContext 13.00

11.50 Fouls sufferedContext 11.50

1.00 Yellow cardsContext 1.50

0.50 Red cardsContext 0.00

This league season, per match · 2 and 2 games

0.70 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.80

2.40 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.40

1.09 xGVia Att/Def 1.52

1.95 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.66

-0.39 Goals minus xGContext +0.28

40% Scored inContext 70%

20% Clean sheetsContext 30%

12.60 ShotsContext 13.60

4.75 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 5.88

30% On target shareContext 35%

8.00 Shots in the boxContext 9.10

61% Box shareContext 65%

6% ConversionContext 13%

3.75 OffsidesContext 1.57

16.90 Shots allowedContext 15.60

7.70 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.50

4.60 BlocksContext 4.22

5.10 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.30

66% Save rateContext 73%

46% PossessionIn forecast 46%

329 PassesContext 404

248 Accurate passesContext 340

75% Pass accuracyContext 84%

6.59 Team ratingContext 6.91

15.70 FoulsContext 10.50

12.00 Fouls sufferedContext 12.20

1.90 Yellow cardsContext 1.70

0.20 Red cardsContext 0.00

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Slavia Praha LL

Rest8 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel0 km4,073 km in 14d

Schedule load10%Low

Form 25 · 0 pts vs 3.1 for an average club · -2.7 vs expected

L13 OctA · Sabah FA0–21.4 xPts
L10 SepH · Lens2–31.3 xPts

Aston Villa LWDWW

Rest4.2 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d3all competitions

Travel1,163 km325 km in 14d

Schedule load27%Moderate

Form 84 · 10 pts vs 5.3 for an average club · +1.5 vs expected

W17 OctA · Newcastle1–01.6 xPts
W14 OctH · Fenerbahce6–02.0 xPts
D10 OctH · Brentford2–21.7 xPts
W19 SepA · Tottenham3–21.5 xPts
L12 SepH · Nottingham Forest1–21.8 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Slavia Praha	Aston Villa
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 10	Moderate · 27
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	8UEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase, 19 Jan	4.2Premier League 2026-2027, 23 Jan
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	1,163 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	4,073 km	325 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	0 / 1 / 1	1 / 3 / 6
Next matchdays after this one	—	2.8

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Slavia Praha Last XI · not confirmed

4-2-3-1 · vs Sabah FA (A) 0–2, 13 Oct

35J. Markovič(G)

27T. Vlček 6C. N'Guessan 4D. Zima 3T. Holeš

23M. Sadílek 16D. Moses

10D. Šturm 17L. Provod 20E. Ayaosi

25T. Chorý

Aston Villa Last XI · not confirmed

4-2-3-1 · vs Newcastle (A) 1–0, 17 Oct

1Z. Suzuki(G)

29A. Wan-Bissaka 5T. Mings 3V. Lindelöf 2M. Cash

35João Gomes 8B. Kamara

10E. Buendía 44J. Manzambi 47Alysson Edward

11N. Jackson

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Slavia Praha Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Aston Villa Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Slavia Praha · Home 0.00points per game · 1 home games

W-D-L: 0-0-1
Scored: 2.00
Conceded: 3.00

Aston Villa · Away 3.00points per game · 1 away games

W-D-L: 1-0-0
Scored: 3.00
Conceded: 2.00

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Head to head

No earlier meetings in our data.

Goals & match trends

	Slavia Praha	Aston Villa
Scored per game	1.00	4.50
Conceded per game	2.50	1.00
Match goals	3.50	5.50
Over 1.5	100%	100%
Over 2.5	50%	100%
Over 3.5	50%	100%
Both teams scored	50%	50%
Clean sheets	0%	50%
Failed to score	50%	0%
Games	2	2

	Slavia Praha	Aston Villa
Scored per game	1.00	1.80
Conceded per game	2.50	1.40
Match goals	3.50	3.20
Over 1.5	100%	70%
Over 2.5	50%	70%
Over 3.5	50%	50%
Both teams scored	50%	50%
Clean sheets	0%	30%
Failed to score	50%	30%
Games	2	10

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Slavia Praha	Aston Villa	League
Corners
Corners won	6.00	7.00
Corners conceded	6.50	5.50
Match total	12.50	12.50	9.71
Over 8.5	100% 2/2	100% 2/2
Over 9.5	100% 2/2	50% 1/2
Over 10.5	50% 1/2	50% 1/2
Cards
Cards	1.50	1.50
Opponent cards	2.00	2.50
Match total	3.50	4.00	3.80
Over 3.5	50% 1/2	50% 1/2
Over 4.5	50% 1/2	50% 1/2

	Slavia Praha	Aston Villa	League
Corners
Corners won	4.00	4.00
Corners conceded	5.89	5.00
Match total	9.89	9.00	9.71
Over 8.5	78% 7/9	50% 5/10
Over 9.5	56% 5/9	30% 3/10
Over 10.5	22% 2/9	30% 3/10
Cards
Cards	2.10	1.80
Opponent cards	2.40	2.80
Match total	4.50	4.60	3.80
Over 3.5	70% 7/10	60% 6/10
Over 4.5	70% 7/10	50% 5/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.