UEFA Champions League Matchday 8 Wed, Jan 27 · 20:00 Jan Breydelstadion, Brugge
Club Brugge KV 16th · 3 pts · 2 played
VS— Compare
Bodo/Glimt 24th · 3 pts · 2 played
Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel1,890 kmRest days4.2 · 8.1Matches / 14d3 · 1
Real contextStrength only
Club Brugge KV—%
Draw—%
Bodo/Glimt—%
Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.
Weather (Brugge)

Forecast from 12 Jan

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for Club Brugge KV and Bodo/Glimt. These describe recorded performance and do not change the match forecast. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals per category, with at most three per team.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses the observed pre-match Playing style averages already shown for this fixture. Window size is not xG coverage, and the two averages can have different denominators. Result statistics use completed matches recorded up to now; their window can differ from the Playing style profile. Season points and xPts are not included here.

Headlines

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack

Attack insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Defence

Defence insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Streaks

Streaks insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Team strength

Club Brugge KVBodo/Glimt
— L90 StrengthIn forecast —
75 Current StrengthIn forecast 58
86 AttackIn forecast 61
58 DefenceIn forecast 64
86 Form indexContext —
In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Club Brugge KV

Attack—
Defense risk—

Bodo/Glimt

Attack—
Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Club Brugge KVBodo/Glimt
3.00 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 0.50
3.00 Goals concededVia Att/Def 2.50
2.76 xGVia Att/Def —
3.62 xG allowedVia Att/Def —
+0.24 Goals minus xGContext —
100% Scored inContext 50%
0% Clean sheetsContext 50%
12.00 ShotsContext 7.00
5.00 Shots on targetVia Att/Def —
42% On target shareContext 21%
13.00 Shots in the boxContext 4.50
83% Box shareContext 65%
25% ConversionContext 7%
1.00 OffsidesContext 1.00
24.00 Shots allowedContext 17.00
9.00 On target allowedVia Att/Def 8.00
7.50 BlocksContext 5.00
6.00 Goalkeeper savesContext 5.00
67% Save rateContext 63%
56% PossessionIn forecast 41%
495 PassesContext 453
436 Accurate passesContext 376
88% Pass accuracyContext 83%
6.75 Team ratingContext 6.54
14.50 FoulsContext 7.50
10.00 Fouls sufferedContext 6.50
3.50 Yellow cardsContext 0.50
0.00 Red cardsContext 0.50
This league season, per match · 2 and 2 games
2.50 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 2.10
1.00 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.80
2.61 xGVia Att/Def 1.42
1.74 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.62
-0.11 Goals minus xGContext +0.68
100% Scored inContext 80%
50% Clean sheetsContext 30%
17.00 ShotsContext 10.60
5.80 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 5.22
34% On target shareContext 44%
13.70 Shots in the boxContext 8.22
76% Box shareContext 73%
15% ConversionContext 20%
1.67 OffsidesContext 1.33
15.70 Shots allowedContext 18.70
4.60 On target allowedVia Att/Def 6.30
4.60 BlocksContext 5.88
3.50 Goalkeeper savesContext 4.22
76% Save rateContext 68%
62% PossessionIn forecast 47%
580 PassesContext 504
515 Accurate passesContext 422
89% Pass accuracyContext 84%
7.17 Team ratingContext 7.09
9.20 FoulsContext 10.44
11.10 Fouls sufferedContext 9.22
1.80 Yellow cardsContext 1.40
0.10 Red cardsContext 0.10
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games
In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Club Brugge KV
Rest4.2 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d3all competitions
Travel0 km1,151 km in 14d
Schedule load15%Low
Form 86 · 12 pts vs 7.0 for an average club · +3.1 vs expected
  • W13 OctA · Inter4–30.9 xPts
  • W10 OctA · RAAL La Louvière4–12.3 xPts
  • W20 SepH · Genk3–01.9 xPts
  • W13 SepH · Antwerp3–12.4 xPts
  • L8 SepH · Aston Villa2–31.5 xPts
Bodo/Glimt
Rest8.1 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel1,890 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load20%Moderate
Form 65 · 3 pts vs 1.2 for an average club · +1.5 vs expected
  • W14 OctH · Borussia Dortmund1–01.2 xPts
  • L10 SepA · Bayern München0–50.4 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery
Club Brugge KV Bodo/Glimt
Schedule loaddescriptive index, contextLow · 15Moderate · 20
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecastNoNo
Rest dayssince last match4.2Belgian Pro League 2026-2027, 23 Jan8.1UEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase, 19 Jan
Travel to venuefrom home stadium0 km1,890 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways1,151 km0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days1 / 3 / 30 / 1 / 1
Next matchdays after this one2.8—

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Club Brugge KV Last XI · not confirmed
4-5-1 · vs Inter (A) 4–3, 13 Oct
1Y. Sommer(G)
65J. Seys 44B. Mechele 58J. Spileers 64K. Sabbe
11J. Virgili 20H. Vanaken 8F. Potts 10H. Vetlesen 9Carlos Forbs
7N. Tresoldi
Bodo/Glimt Last XI · not confirmed
4-4-2 · vs Borussia Dortmund (H) 1–0, 14 Oct
12N. Haikin(G)
15F. Bjørkan 5H. Aleesami 6J. Gundersen 20F. Sjøvold
10J. Hauge 19S. Fet 7P. Berg 8S. Auklend
9A. Helmersen 11O. Blomberg

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences
Club Brugge KV Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Bodo/Glimt Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Club Brugge KV · Home 0.00points per game · 1 home games
W-D-L
0-0-1
Scored
2.00
Conceded
3.00
Bodo/Glimt · Away 0.00points per game · 1 away games
W-D-L
0-0-1
Scored
0.00
Conceded
5.00

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Head to head last 2 of 2 meetings

2 Club Brugge KV wins0 draws0 Bodo/Glimt wins
Goals per game2.00 – 0.50 Over 2.550% Both scored50% Clean sheets50% · 0%
  • 14 Dec 2023Club Brugge KV3–1Bodo/Glimt
  • 5 Oct 2023Bodo/Glimt0–1Club Brugge KV

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

Club Brugge KVBodo/GlimtForecast
Scored per game 3.000.50
Conceded per game 3.002.50
Match goals 6.003.00
Over 1.5 100%50%
Over 2.5 100%50%
Over 3.5 100%50%
Both teams scored 100%0%
Clean sheets 0%50%
Failed to score 0%50%
Games22
Club Brugge KVBodo/GlimtForecast
Scored per game 2.502.17
Conceded per game 1.001.83
Match goals 3.504.00
Over 1.5 80%83%
Over 2.5 80%83%
Over 3.5 40%67%
Both teams scored 50%50%
Clean sheets 50%33%
Failed to score 0%17%
Games106

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

Club Brugge KVBodo/GlimtLeague
Corners
Corners won3.503.50
Corners conceded4.507.50
Match total8.0011.009.71
Over 8.550% 1/2100% 2/2
Over 9.50% 0/250% 1/2
Over 10.50% 0/250% 1/2
Cards
Cards3.501.00
Opponent cards2.501.00
Match total6.002.003.80
Over 3.5100% 2/20% 0/2
Over 4.5100% 2/20% 0/2
Club Brugge KVBodo/GlimtLeague
Corners
Corners won7.303.89
Corners conceded3.407.22
Match total10.7011.119.71
Over 8.570% 7/1078% 7/9
Over 9.560% 6/1044% 4/9
Over 10.540% 4/1044% 4/9
Cards
Cards1.901.50
Opponent cards2.102.10
Match total4.003.603.80
Over 3.550% 5/1030% 3/10
Over 4.550% 5/1030% 3/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Goal timing

Club Brugge KV2 games · scored 6 · conceded 6
1 0-15
2 1 16-30
2 31-45
46-60
3 61-75
1 2 76-90
Bodo/Glimt2 games · scored 1 · conceded 5
0-15
16-30
31-45
1 1 46-60
1 61-75
3 76-90
Club Brugge KV10 games · scored 25 · conceded 10
2 1 0-15
4 2 16-30
5 3 31-45
4 46-60
6 1 61-75
4 3 76-90
Bodo/Glimt10 games · scored 21 · conceded 18
0-15
4 2 16-30
5 2 31-45
4 1 46-60
5 3 61-75
3 10 76-90

scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.

Scenario lab Soon

Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.

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