Hapoel Beer Sheva
Attack—
Defense risk—
Our take
Hapoel Beer Sheva are slight favourites.
Hapoel Beer Sheva are the stronger side on L90 Strength (28 vs 21). Hapoel Beer Sheva usually keep the ball (60% on average), which points to more chances at both ends. Hapoel Beer Sheva have 14.1 days of rest, OFI 14.1 and have to travel 997 km.
Away travel997 kmRest days14.1 · 14.1Matches / 14d0 · 0
Hapoel Beer Sheva53%
Draw24%
OFI23%
Hapoel Beer Sheva49%
Draw26%
OFI25%
Hapoel Beer Sheva53%
Draw24%
OFI23%
Hapoel Beer Sheva45%
Draw25%
OFI30%
Hapoel Beer Sheva51%
Draw24%
OFI25%
Over 2.5 59%
Both score 60%
Likeliest score 1–1
EloLambda forecast, updated 3 hours ago. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.
Weather (Beer Sheva)
Forecast from 21 Oct
Referee—Not appointed yet
Key insights
Automatic descriptive highlights for Hapoel Beer Sheva and OFI. These describe recorded performance and do not change the match forecast. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals per category, with at most three per team.Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.
Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.
xG Difference uses the observed pre-match Playing style averages already shown for this fixture. Window size is not xG coverage, and the two averages can have different denominators. Result statistics use completed matches recorded up to now; their window can differ from the Playing style profile. Season points and xPts are not included here.
Headlines
Attack
Not enough recorded data for this category yet.
Defence
Streaks
Not enough recorded data for this category yet.
Team strength
Hapoel Beer Sheva
OFI
28
L90 StrengthIn forecast
21
28
Current StrengthIn forecast
21
26
AttackIn forecast
18
31
DefenceIn forecast
25
—
Form indexContext
—
In forecastContext
L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.
Match Opportunity
Full analysisOFI
Attack—
Defense risk—
Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.
Playing style
Hapoel Beer ShevaOFI
0.50
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.50
1.00
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.00
0.92
xGVia Att/Def
—
1.47
xG allowedVia Att/Def
—
-0.42
Goals minus xGContext
—
50%
Scored inContext
100%
50%
Clean sheetsContext
50%
10.50
ShotsContext
5.50
3.00
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
2.00
29%
On target shareContext
36%
6.00
Shots in the boxContext
3.00
65%
Box shareContext
53%
5%
ConversionContext
27%
1.50
OffsidesContext
2.00
10.50
Shots allowedContext
23.00
3.50
On target allowedVia Att/Def
7.00
3.50
BlocksContext
6.00
2.50
Goalkeeper savesContext
6.00
71%
Save rateContext
86%
54%
PossessionIn forecast
33%
550
PassesContext
263
466
Accurate passesContext
173
85%
Pass accuracyContext
66%
6.57
Team ratingContext
6.60
13.50
FoulsContext
9.50
13.50
Fouls sufferedContext
18.00
2.00
Yellow cardsContext
2.00
0.00
Red cardsContext
0.00
1.20
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.50
1.10
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.20
—
xGVia Att/Def
0.66
—
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.32
—
Goals minus xGContext
+0.84
80%
Scored inContext
80%
50%
Clean sheetsContext
50%
13.25
ShotsContext
6.13
4.50
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
2.50
34%
On target shareContext
41%
9.25
Shots in the boxContext
4.00
71%
Box shareContext
59%
9%
ConversionContext
20%
2.50
OffsidesContext
1.71
15.50
Shots allowedContext
18.00
6.00
On target allowedVia Att/Def
6.88
3.75
BlocksContext
4.80
4.00
Goalkeeper savesContext
5.88
67%
Save rateContext
86%
63%
PossessionIn forecast
45%
569
PassesContext
373
489
Accurate passesContext
290
86%
Pass accuracyContext
78%
6.68
Team ratingContext
6.82
11.40
FoulsContext
11.10
13.00
Fouls sufferedContext
15.10
2.80
Yellow cardsContext
1.70
0.00
Red cardsContext
0.00
In forecastVia Att/DefContext
In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.
Recent performance last 5 · schedule
Hapoel Beer Sheva
DL
Rest14.1 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d0all competitions
Travel0 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 34 · 1 pts vs 2.9 for an average club · -1.2 vs expected
Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.
Full schedule & recovery
| Hapoel Beer Sheva |
OFI |
|
|---|---|---|
| Schedule loaddescriptive index, context | Low · 0 | Low · 12 |
| High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast | No | No |
| Rest dayssince last match | 14.1UEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase, 22 Oct | 14.1UEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase, 22 Oct |
| Travel to venuefrom home stadium | 0 km | 997 km |
| Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways | 0 km | 0 km |
| Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days | 0 / 0 / 2 | 0 / 0 / 2 |
| Next matchdays after this one | 20.9 | 21 |
All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.
Squad & lineups
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Last XI · not confirmed
1O. Marciano(G)
5Pedro Amador
15I. Nachmias
44Djibril Diop
2G. Mizrahi
7E. Peretz
25Lucas Ventura
17A. Forson
9Z. Ahmed
66I. Zlatanović
45M. Abu Rumi
OFI
Last XI · not confirmed
31N. Christogeorgos(G)
2K. Krizmanić
43D. Nikolaou
15A. Poungouras
3N. Athanasiou
41A. Bouchalakis
14T. Androutsos
24L. Dickmann
18T. Nuss
19K. Kodro
11T. Fountas
Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.
Key absences Hapoel Beer Sheva
No reported absences
OFI
No reported absences
Total impact vs full squads
- Hapoel Beer Sheva+0.0 pp
- Draw+0.0 pp
- OFI+0.0 pp
From eScored squad data: each player's weight is his role (core 3, starter 2, rotation 1, depth 0.5) times his share of minutes. Defenders and keepers count to the defence line, forwards to attack, midfielders half to each. EloLambda turns the lost share into fewer goals scored and more conceded (weight 0.1); the totals show how that moves the result chances.
Home / Away this season
Hapoel Beer Sheva · Home
1.00points per game · 1 home games
- W-D-L
- 0-1-0
- Scored
- 0.00
- Conceded
- 0.00
OFI · Away
0.00points per game · 1 away games
- W-D-L
- 0-0-1
- Scored
- 1.00
- Conceded
- 2.00
Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.
Head to head
No earlier meetings in our data.
Goals & match trends
| Hapoel Beer Sheva | OFI | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 0.50 | 1.50 | |
| Conceded per game | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Match goals | 1.50 | 2.50 | 3.07 |
| Over 1.5 | 50% | 100% | |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 50% | 59% |
| Over 3.5 | 0% | 0% | |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 50% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 50% | 50% | |
| Failed to score | 50% | 0% | |
| Games | 2 | 2 |
| Hapoel Beer Sheva | OFI | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.38 | 2.00 | |
| Conceded per game | 1.25 | 0.50 | |
| Match goals | 2.63 | 2.50 | 3.07 |
| Over 1.5 | 75% | 100% | |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 50% | 59% |
| Over 3.5 | 13% | 0% | |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 25% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 50% | 75% | |
| Failed to score | 13% | 0% | |
| Games | 8 | 4 |
Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.
Corners & cards
| Hapoel Beer Sheva | OFI | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 3.50 | 3.50 | |
| Corners conceded | 3.50 | 10.50 | |
| Match total | 7.00 | 14.00 | 9.76 |
| Over 8.5 | 0% 0/2 | 100% 2/2 | |
| Over 9.5 | 0% 0/2 | 100% 2/2 | |
| Over 10.5 | 0% 0/2 | 100% 2/2 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 2.00 | 2.00 | |
| Opponent cards | 2.00 | 2.50 | |
| Match total | 4.00 | 4.50 | 3.76 |
| Over 3.5 | 50% 1/2 | 100% 2/2 | |
| Over 4.5 | 50% 1/2 | 50% 1/2 | |
| Hapoel Beer Sheva | OFI | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 3.20 | 3.25 | |
| Corners conceded | 4.60 | 7.63 | |
| Match total | 7.80 | 10.88 | 9.76 |
| Over 8.5 | 20% 1/5 | 88% 7/8 | |
| Over 9.5 | 20% 1/5 | 75% 6/8 | |
| Over 10.5 | 20% 1/5 | 50% 4/8 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 3.30 | 1.80 | |
| Opponent cards | 2.10 | 2.80 | |
| Match total | 5.40 | 4.60 | 3.76 |
| Over 3.5 | 60% 6/10 | 100% 10/10 | |
| Over 4.5 | 60% 6/10 | 40% 4/10 | |
Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.
Goal timing
Hapoel Beer Sheva2 games · scored 1 · conceded 2
0-15
16-30
31-45
1
1
46-60
61-75
1
76-90
OFI2 games · scored 3 · conceded 2
1
0-15
1
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
1
2
76-90
Hapoel Beer Sheva9 games · scored 10 · conceded 11
1
1
0-15
16-30
2
1
31-45
2
2
46-60
2
1
61-75
3
6
76-90
OFI10 games · scored 15 · conceded 12
3
3
0-15
2
1
16-30
3
31-45
3
1
46-60
1
1
61-75
3
6
76-90
scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.
Scenario lab Beta
Numbers are home · draw · away chances. Pick a scenario to update the forecast at the top of the page.
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