Lillestrom vs Bournemouth

UEFA Europa League Matchday 7 Thu, Jan 21 · 17:45 Åråsen Stadion, Kjeller

Lillestrom 23rd · 1 pts · 2 played LD

VS— Compare

Bournemouth 5th · 6 pts · 2 played WW

Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel1,309 kmRest days41.9 · 5.1Matches / 14d0 · 1

Real contextStrength only

Lillestrom—%

Draw—%

Bournemouth—%

Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.

Weather (Kjeller)

Forecast from 6 Jan

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Headlines

Attack

Defence

Alert Bournemouth 1.6 Goals conceded per match Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

Streaks

Not enough recorded data for this category yet.

Team strength

Lillestrom

Bournemouth

— L90 StrengthIn forecast —

27 Current StrengthIn forecast 77

23 AttackIn forecast 83

31 DefenceIn forecast 82

— Form indexContext 74

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Lillestrom

Attack—

Defense risk—

Bournemouth

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Lillestrom

Bournemouth

1.00 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 2.50

1.50 Goals concededVia Att/Def 0.50

— xGVia Att/Def —

— xG allowedVia Att/Def —

— Goals minus xGContext —

100% Scored inContext 100%

0% Clean sheetsContext 50%

14.50 ShotsContext 17.50

4.00 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 5.50

28% On target shareContext 31%

7.00 Shots in the boxContext 11.50

56% Box shareContext 68%

7% ConversionContext 14%

1.50 OffsidesContext 2.50

13.00 Shots allowedContext 10.50

5.50 On target allowedVia Att/Def 3.00

4.00 BlocksContext —

3.50 Goalkeeper savesContext 2.50

64% Save rateContext 83%

58% PossessionIn forecast 54%

475 PassesContext 415

393 Accurate passesContext 332

83% Pass accuracyContext 80%

6.63 Team ratingContext 7.03

11.50 FoulsContext 12.00

13.00 Fouls sufferedContext 16.00

1.50 Yellow cardsContext 3.00

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00

This league season, per match · 2 and 2 games

1.00 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.50

1.00 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.50

— xGVia Att/Def 1.82

— xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.15

— Goals minus xGContext -0.32

75% Scored inContext 90%

25% Clean sheetsContext 20%

— ShotsContext 15.80

— Shots on targetVia Att/Def 5.10

28% On target shareContext 32%

— Shots in the boxContext 9.60

— Box shareContext 62%

7% ConversionContext 10%

— OffsidesContext 2.00

— Shots allowedContext 10.30

— On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.11

6.00 BlocksContext 3.29

— Goalkeeper savesContext 2.86

64% Save rateContext 61%

55% PossessionIn forecast 53%

— PassesContext 434

— Accurate passesContext 353

— Pass accuracyContext 81%

— Team ratingContext 6.86

12.75 FoulsContext 12.20

11.25 Fouls sufferedContext 12.70

1.75 Yellow cardsContext 2.80

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 4 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Lillestrom LD

Rest41.9 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d0all competitions

Travel0 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

Form 30 · 1 pts vs 3.4 for an average club · -1.7 vs expected

D15 OctA · Sparta Praha1–11.1 xPts
L17 SepH · Torreense1–21.7 xPts

Bournemouth WLLWW

Rest5.1 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel1,309 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load12%Low

Form 74 · 9 pts vs 6.1 for an average club · +0.1 vs expected

W18 OctH · Sunderland2–01.8 xPts
W15 OctH · Sturm Graz3–02.3 xPts
L10 OctA · Chelsea1–51.3 xPts
L20 SepH · Liverpool0–11.6 xPts
W17 SepA · Real Sociedad2–11.8 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Lillestrom	Bournemouth
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Low · 12
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	41.9UEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase, 10 Dec	5.1Premier League 2026-2027, 16 Jan
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	1,309 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	0 km	0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	0 / 0 / 0	1 / 1 / 5
Next matchdays after this one	7.1	1.9

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Lillestrom Last XI · not confirmed

4-3-3 · vs Sparta Praha (A) 1–1, 15 Oct

12P. Dahlberg(G)

26W. Paintsil 47S. Kristiansen 28L. Gabrielsen 2Lars Ranger

14G. Nyheim 21F. Ottosson 29Y. Ibrahimaj

20Vá 8F. Gulbrandsen 22D. Bassi

Bournemouth Last XI · not confirmed

4-2-3-1 · vs Sunderland (H) 2–0, 18 Oct

1Đ. Petrović(G)

3A. Truffert 14António Silva 5J. Hill 15A. Smith

10R. Christie 12T. Adams

16M. Tavernier 4L. Cook 37Rayan

9Evanilson

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Lillestrom Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Bournemouth Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Lillestrom · Home 0.00points per game · 1 home games

W-D-L: 0-0-1
Scored: 1.00
Conceded: 2.00

Bournemouth · Away 3.00points per game · 1 away games

W-D-L: 1-0-0
Scored: 2.00
Conceded: 1.00

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Head to head

No earlier meetings in our data.

Goals & match trends

	Lillestrom	Bournemouth
Scored per game	1.00	2.50
Conceded per game	1.50	0.50
Match goals	2.50	3.00
Over 1.5	100%	100%
Over 2.5	50%	100%
Over 3.5	0%	0%
Both teams scored	100%	50%
Clean sheets	0%	50%
Failed to score	0%	0%
Games	2	2

	Lillestrom	Bournemouth
Scored per game	1.00	1.50
Conceded per game	1.00	1.50
Match goals	2.00	3.00
Over 1.5	75%	90%
Over 2.5	50%	60%
Over 3.5	0%	30%
Both teams scored	75%	70%
Clean sheets	25%	20%
Failed to score	25%	10%
Games	4	10

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Lillestrom	Bournemouth	League
Corners
Corners won	6.00	5.00
Corners conceded	4.00	6.50
Match total	10.00	11.50	9.76
Over 8.5	50% 1/2	100% 2/2
Over 9.5	50% 1/2	100% 2/2
Over 10.5	50% 1/2	50% 1/2
Cards
Cards	1.50	3.00
Opponent cards	4.00	3.00
Match total	5.50	6.00	3.76
Over 3.5	100% 2/2	100% 2/2
Over 4.5	100% 2/2	100% 2/2

	Lillestrom	Bournemouth	League
Corners
Corners won	6.25	4.60
Corners conceded	5.50	4.60
Match total	11.75	9.20	9.76
Over 8.5	75% 3/4	50% 5/10
Over 9.5	75% 3/4	40% 4/10
Over 10.5	50% 2/4	30% 3/10
Cards
Cards	1.75	2.80
Opponent cards	2.75	1.80
Match total	4.50	4.60	3.76
Over 3.5	75% 3/4	70% 7/10
Over 4.5	75% 3/4	60% 6/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.