Ajax

4th · Eredivisie · 18 points · Matches played: 9

5 points behind Feyenoord · Table & Fixtures →

L90 Strength L90 Strength is LOAD90’s own club strength rating on a fixed 0–100 scale, built from its Elo rating. League Strength uses the mean Elo of a league's clubs and a separate league calibration, so the two scores are not directly comparable.

+7.5 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.

Base L90 Strength changed +3.7 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number. 53.4+7.5
World Rank 70th Global, by Elo
Eredivisie Rank 3rd L90 Strength
Last GroningenA xG 2.9–1.4 5–2 Next Sparta RotterdamA 60%

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Upcoming fixtures

Ajax · All competitions

Forecast
Sparta RotterdamEredivisie 2026-2027 · Away 60% win 2.00 xPts AZ AlkmaarEredivisie 2026-2027 · Home 54% win 1.84 xPts TwenteEredivisie 2026-2027 · Away 32% win 1.20 xPts ADO Den HaagEredivisie 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts FeyenoordEredivisie 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts UtrechtEredivisie 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts CambuurEredivisie 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts GO Ahead EaglesEredivisie 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Willem IIEredivisie 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts GroningenEredivisie 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts TelstarEredivisie 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts HeerenveenEredivisie 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts ExcelsiorEredivisie 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts GO Ahead EaglesEredivisie 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts FeyenoordEredivisie 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts ADO Den HaagEredivisie 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts PEC ZwolleEredivisie 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts NEC NijmegenEredivisie 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts TwenteEredivisie 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts UtrechtEredivisie 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts PSV EindhovenEredivisie 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Fortuna SittardEredivisie 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts AZ AlkmaarEredivisie 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Sparta RotterdamEredivisie 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts CambuurEredivisie 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts

xPts = 3 × win probability + draw probability. — means no published forecast. Open a match for xG and the full forecast.

Results

Ajax · All competitions

Full time
GroningenEredivisie 2026-2027 · Away W 5–2 2.9–1.4 xG +1.6 Δpts NEC NijmegenEredivisie 2026-2027 · Home D 1–1 1.9–1.1 xG -1.2 Δpts ExcelsiorEredivisie 2026-2027 · Home D 2–2 — xG -1.1 Δpts Willem IIEredivisie 2026-2027 · Home W 5–1 — xG +0.4 Δpts Fortuna SittardEredivisie 2026-2027 · Away W 5–1 — xG +1.1 Δpts PSV EindhovenEredivisie 2026-2027 · Home L 1–3 — xG -1.0 Δpts TelstarEredivisie 2026-2027 · Away W 4–0 2.1–1.1 xG +1.3 Δpts HeerenveenEredivisie 2026-2027 · Home D 2–2 2.0–1.4 xG -1.0 Δpts PEC ZwolleEredivisie 2026-2027 · Away W 2–0 1.5–0.6 xG +1.1 Δpts

Score and actual xG show Ajax first. Δpts = points taken − pre-match xPts. — means data unavailable.

Current load Low · 0

Rest profile7 days since last match
0%
Schedule load1 matches in last 14 days
0%
Travel load57 km to venue, 294 km in 14 days
0%
Squad availability5 out, 2 key: S. Berghuis, Caio Henrique · Last match: 18 Oct
20%

Load before the next match, at Sparta Rotterdam, 25 Oct. Squad availability is shown separately and is not part of the score; availability is the share of squad weight missing, the same input the forecast uses for absences.

Schedule difficulty all competitions

Each bar is one match: 50% match difficulty from current relative Elo strength + 50% calendar load (rest, match congestion and travel). Higher means harder, on a 0–100 scale. This is a descriptive index, not a win probability. Lighter bars are upcoming; the dashed line marks today. Grey marks missing data. 9 Aug at PEC Zwolle: Schedule difficulty 9/100; match difficulty 18/100
W
 Aug 16 Aug vs Heerenveen: Schedule difficulty 16/100; match difficulty 31/100
D
 30 Aug at Telstar: Schedule difficulty 12/100; match difficulty 23/100
W
 5 Sep vs PSV Eindhoven: Schedule difficulty 34/100; match difficulty 68/100
L
 Sep 12 Sep at Fortuna Sittard: Schedule difficulty 11/100; match difficulty 22/100
W
 15 Sep vs Willem II: Schedule difficulty 10/100; match difficulty 12/100
W
 19 Sep vs Excelsior: Schedule difficulty 19/100; match difficulty 22/100
D
 10 Oct vs NEC Nijmegen: Schedule difficulty 16/100; match difficulty 32/100
D
 Oct 18 Oct at Groningen: Schedule difficulty 15/100; match difficulty 30/100
W
 25 Oct at Sparta Rotterdam: Schedule difficulty 10/100; match difficulty 20/100 31 Oct vs AZ Alkmaar: Schedule difficulty 23/100; match difficulty 45/100 8 Nov at Twente: Schedule difficulty 22/100; match difficulty 43/100 Nov 22 Nov vs ADO Den Haag: Schedule difficulty 8/100; match difficulty 16/100 29 Nov at Feyenoord: Schedule difficulty 28/100; match difficulty 56/100 6 Dec vs Utrecht: Schedule difficulty 17/100; match difficulty 33/100 Dec 13 Dec vs Cambuur: Schedule difficulty 12/100; match difficulty 23/100 20 Dec at GO Ahead Eagles: Schedule difficulty 12/100; match difficulty 24/100 9 Jan at Willem II: Schedule difficulty 6/100; match difficulty 12/100 Jan 17 Jan vs Groningen: Schedule difficulty 15/100; match difficulty 30/100 23 Jan vs Telstar: Schedule difficulty 12/100; match difficulty 23/100 31 Jan at Heerenveen: Schedule difficulty 16/100; match difficulty 31/100 14 Feb at Excelsior: Schedule difficulty 11/100; match difficulty 22/100 Feb 21 Feb vs GO Ahead Eagles: Schedule difficulty 12/100; match difficulty 24/100 28 Feb vs Feyenoord: Schedule difficulty 28/100; match difficulty 56/100 7 Mar at ADO Den Haag: Schedule difficulty 8/100; match difficulty 16/100 Mar 14 Mar vs PEC Zwolle: Schedule difficulty 9/100; match difficulty 18/100 21 Mar at NEC Nijmegen: Schedule difficulty 16/100; match difficulty 32/100 4 Apr vs Twente: Schedule difficulty 22/100; match difficulty 43/100 Apr 11 Apr at Utrecht: Schedule difficulty 17/100; match difficulty 33/100 25 Apr at PSV Eindhoven: Schedule difficulty 34/100; match difficulty 68/100 2 May vs Fortuna Sittard: Schedule difficulty 11/100; match difficulty 22/100 May 9 May at AZ Alkmaar: Schedule difficulty 23/100; match difficulty 45/100 16 May vs Sparta Rotterdam: Schedule difficulty 10/100; match difficulty 20/100 23 May at Cambuur: Schedule difficulty 12/100; match difficulty 23/100

Schedule next 30 days · forecast and load

All fixtures and load →
Rest7 daysbefore SPA
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel / 14d294 kmaway trips
Schedule load0%Low
at Sparta RotterdamSun 25 Oct, 15:45 Eredivisie 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 18 60%win19%draw21%loss Low load · 7 d rest vs AZ AlkmaarSat 31 Oct, 20:00 Eredivisie 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 47 54%win21%draw25%loss Low load · 6.2 d rest at TwenteSun 8 Nov, 13:30 Eredivisie 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 48 32%win24%draw44%loss Low load · 7.7 d rest
Win · draw · loss: LOAD90 forecastLoad bar: rest, matches and travel before each game (context; only 4+ matches in 14 days changes the forecast)
Full match preview oneScored → at Sparta Rotterdam, 25 OctOdds, value, live score

Fixture Swing

Opponent opportunity across the next 5 matches · all competitions

2 of 5 forecasts available · Partial window

Attack Swing−3%

Baseline 4.85 → Forecast 4.71 expected goals · 2 included matches

Conceding Swing+9%

Baseline 2.67 → Forecast 2.90 expected goals conceded · 2 included matches

Opportunity for the next 5 matches
MatchAttackConceding riskGoals · Baseline → Forecast
at Sparta Rotterdam25 Oct · Eredivisie 2026-2027 +15% −4% 2.16 → 2.48
vs AZ Alkmaar31 Oct · Eredivisie 2026-2027 −17% +25% 2.69 → 2.23
at Twente8 Nov · Eredivisie 2026-2027 — — Opportunity unavailable
vs ADO Den Haag22 Nov · Eredivisie 2026-2027 — — Opportunity unavailable
at Feyenoord29 Nov · Eredivisie 2026-2027 — — Opportunity unavailable

Swing compares total forecast goals with total baseline goals for the included matches. Forecasts are available up to 21 days ahead. Missing snapshots and different model revisions are excluded; a partial window covers only the matches shown with values. Your team's own conditions are kept in each baseline.

Next match · Match Opportunity

Ajax

Baseline: average Eredivisie opponent

Attack Uplift +15% Expected goals Baseline2.16Forecast2.48
Conceding Risk −4% Expected goals conceded Baseline1.49Forecast1.43
Clean Sheet +1.4 pp Chance of conceding no goals Baseline22.6%Forecast24.0%