Everton

8th · Premier League · 10 points · Matches played: 7

11 points behind Manchester City · Table & Fixtures →

L90 Strength L90 Strength is LOAD90’s own club strength rating on a fixed 0–100 scale, built from its Elo rating. League Strength uses the mean Elo of a league's clubs and a separate league calibration, so the two scores are not directly comparable.

-2.3 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.

Base L90 Strength changed -2.0 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number. 66.8-2.3
World Rank 36th Global, by Elo
Premier League Rank 13th L90 Strength
Last ChelseaH xG 0.5–1.6 0–2 Next ArsenalA 10%

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Upcoming fixtures

Everton · All competitions

Forecast
ArsenalPremier League 2026-2027 · Away 10% win 0.45 xPts NewcastlePremier League 2026-2027 · Away 31% win 1.16 xPts CoventryPremier League 2026-2027 · Home 53% win 1.81 xPts BrentfordPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts LiverpoolPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Aston VillaPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts FulhamPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts BrightonPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Nottingham ForestPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts SunderlandPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Manchester CityPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts LeedsPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Aston VillaPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts CoventryPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts BrentfordPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts LiverpoolPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts NewcastlePremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts LeedsPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts SunderlandPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Nottingham ForestPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Manchester CityPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Manchester UnitedPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts TottenhamPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Crystal PalacePremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts BournemouthPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts BrightonPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts FulhamPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Hull CityPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts ChelseaPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts ArsenalPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts IpswichPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts

xPts = 3 × win probability + draw probability. — means no published forecast. Open a match for xG and the full forecast.

Results

Everton · All competitions

Full time
ChelseaPremier League 2026-2027 · Home L 0–2 0.5–1.6 xG -1.5 Δpts Hull CityPremier League 2026-2027 · Away D 2–2 1.7–1.4 xG -0.7 Δpts IpswichPremier League 2026-2027 · Home W 1–0 2.2–1.4 xG +1.0 Δpts TottenhamPremier League 2026-2027 · Away D 0–0 1.1–0.7 xG -0.3 Δpts Manchester UnitedPremier League 2026-2027 · Home D 2–2 1.0–0.7 xG -0.2 Δpts BournemouthPremier League 2026-2027 · Away D 1–1 1.8–2.2 xG +0.1 Δpts Crystal PalacePremier League 2026-2027 · Home W 2–0 1.1–2.0 xG +1.5 Δpts

Score and actual xG show Everton first. Δpts = points taken − pre-match xPts. — means data unavailable.

Current load Low · 0

Rest profile7.1 days since last match
0%
Schedule load2 matches in last 14 days
0%
Travel load286 km to venue, 357 km in 14 days
0%
Squad availability1 out, 1 key: V. Mykolenko · Last match: 17 Oct
7%

Load before the next match, at Arsenal, 24 Oct. Squad availability is shown separately and is not part of the score; availability is the share of squad weight missing, the same input the forecast uses for absences.

Schedule difficulty all competitions

Each bar is one match: 50% match difficulty from current relative Elo strength + 50% calendar load (rest, match congestion and travel). Higher means harder, on a 0–100 scale. This is a descriptive index, not a win probability. Lighter bars are upcoming; the dashed line marks today. Grey marks missing data. 22 Aug vs Crystal Palace: Schedule difficulty 24/100; match difficulty 47/100
W
 Aug 29 Aug at Bournemouth: Schedule difficulty 33/100; match difficulty 60/100
D
 6 Sep vs Manchester United: Schedule difficulty 32/100; match difficulty 64/100
D
 Sep 12 Sep at Tottenham: Schedule difficulty 23/100; match difficulty 46/100
D
 19 Sep vs Ipswich: Schedule difficulty 18/100; match difficulty 35/100
W
 11 Oct at Hull City: Schedule difficulty 13/100; match difficulty 26/100
D
 Oct 17 Oct vs Chelsea: Schedule difficulty 30/100; match difficulty 60/100
L
 24 Oct at Arsenal: Schedule difficulty 43/100; match difficulty 86/100 2 Nov at Newcastle: Schedule difficulty 27/100; match difficulty 54/100 Nov 6 Nov vs Coventry: Schedule difficulty 18/100; match difficulty 36/100 23 Nov at Brentford: Schedule difficulty 30/100; match difficulty 59/100 29 Nov vs Liverpool: Schedule difficulty 35/100; match difficulty 70/100 2 Dec at Aston Villa: Schedule difficulty 39/100; match difficulty 70/100 Dec 5 Dec vs Fulham: Schedule difficulty 36/100; match difficulty 48/100 12 Dec at Brighton: Schedule difficulty 45/100; match difficulty 68/100 19 Dec at Nottingham Forest: Schedule difficulty 27/100; match difficulty 53/100 26 Dec vs Sunderland: Schedule difficulty 21/100; match difficulty 41/100 29 Dec vs Manchester City: Schedule difficulty 44/100; match difficulty 80/100 1 Jan at Leeds: Schedule difficulty 40/100; match difficulty 57/100 Jan 5 Jan vs Aston Villa: Schedule difficulty 43/100; match difficulty 70/100 16 Jan at Coventry: Schedule difficulty 18/100; match difficulty 36/100 23 Jan vs Brentford: Schedule difficulty 30/100; match difficulty 59/100 30 Jan at Liverpool: Schedule difficulty 35/100; match difficulty 70/100 6 Feb vs Newcastle: Schedule difficulty 27/100; match difficulty 54/100 Feb 10 Feb vs Leeds: Schedule difficulty 29/100; match difficulty 57/100 20 Feb at Sunderland: Schedule difficulty 21/100; match difficulty 41/100 27 Feb vs Nottingham Forest: Schedule difficulty 27/100; match difficulty 53/100 3 Mar at Manchester City: Schedule difficulty 40/100; match difficulty 80/100 Mar 13 Mar at Manchester United: Schedule difficulty 32/100; match difficulty 64/100 20 Mar vs Tottenham: Schedule difficulty 23/100; match difficulty 46/100 10 Apr at Crystal Palace: Schedule difficulty 24/100; match difficulty 47/100 Apr 17 Apr vs Bournemouth: Schedule difficulty 30/100; match difficulty 60/100 24 Apr vs Brighton: Schedule difficulty 34/100; match difficulty 68/100 1 May at Fulham: Schedule difficulty 24/100; match difficulty 48/100 May 8 May vs Hull City: Schedule difficulty 13/100; match difficulty 26/100 15 May at Chelsea: Schedule difficulty 30/100; match difficulty 60/100 23 May vs Arsenal: Schedule difficulty 43/100; match difficulty 86/100 30 May at Ipswich: Schedule difficulty 21/100; match difficulty 35/100

Schedule next 30 days · forecast and load

All fixtures and load →
Rest7.1 daysbefore ARS
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel / 14d357 kmaway trips
Schedule load0%Low
at ArsenalSat 24 Oct, 15:00 Premier League 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 94 10%win16%draw74%loss Low load · 7.1 d rest at NewcastleMon 2 Nov, 20:00 Premier League 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 71 31%win24%draw45%loss Low load · 9.3 d rest vs CoventryFri 6 Nov, 20:00 Premier League 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 52 53%win23%draw24%loss Low load · 4 d rest
Win · draw · loss: LOAD90 forecastLoad bar: rest, matches and travel before each game (context; only 4+ matches in 14 days changes the forecast)
Full match preview oneScored → at Arsenal, 24 OctOdds, value, live score

Fixture Swing

Opponent opportunity across the next 3 matches · all competitions

3 of 3 forecasts available

Attack Swing0%

Baseline 4.21 → Forecast 4.19 expected goals · 3 included matches

Conceding Swing+2%

Baseline 5.47 → Forecast 5.57 expected goals conceded · 3 included matches

Opportunity for the next 3 matches
MatchAttackConceding riskGoals · Baseline → Forecast
at Arsenal24 Oct · Premier League 2026-2027 −35% +30% 1.29 → 0.83
at Newcastle2 Nov · Premier League 2026-2027 +12% −9% 1.29 → 1.45
vs Coventry6 Nov · Premier League 2026-2027 +17% −21% 1.63 → 1.91

Swing compares total forecast goals with total baseline goals for the included matches. Forecasts are available up to 21 days ahead. Missing snapshots and different model revisions are excluded; a partial window covers only the matches shown with values. Your team's own conditions are kept in each baseline.

Next match · Match Opportunity

Everton

Baseline: average Premier League opponent

Attack Downlift −35% Expected goals Baseline1.29Forecast0.83
Conceding Risk +30% Expected goals conceded Baseline1.96Forecast2.55
Clean Sheet −6.3 pp Chance of conceding no goals Baseline14.1%Forecast7.8%