Famalicao

13th · Primeira Liga · 7 points · Matches played: 8

17 points behind FC Porto · Table & Fixtures →

L90 Strength L90 Strength is LOAD90’s own club strength rating on a fixed 0–100 scale, built from its Elo rating. League Strength uses the mean Elo of a league's clubs and a separate league calibration, so the two scores are not directly comparable.

-8.5 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.

Base L90 Strength changed -1.5 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number. 38.1-8.5
World Rank 146th Global, by Elo
Primeira Liga Rank 5th L90 Strength
Last AlvercaH xG 0.4–2.9 1–4 Next Rio AveA 38%

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Upcoming fixtures

Famalicao · All competitions

Forecast
Rio AvePrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away 38% win 1.42 xPts SC BragaPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away 19% win 0.82 xPts AroucaPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home 43% win 1.56 xPts BenficaPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Academico ViseuPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts MoreirensePrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts FC PortoPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Casa PiaPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts GuimaraesPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts EstorilPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts MaritimoPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Santa ClaraPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts GIL VicentePrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts EstrelaPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Sporting CPPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts NacionalPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts AlvercaPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Rio AvePrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts SC BragaPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts AroucaPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts BenficaPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Academico ViseuPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts MoreirensePrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts FC PortoPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Casa PiaPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts GuimaraesPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts

xPts = 3 × win probability + draw probability. — means no published forecast. Open a match for xG and the full forecast.

Results

Famalicao · All competitions

Full time
AlvercaPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home L 1–4 0.4–2.9 xG -1.9 Δpts NacionalPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away W 4–0 — xG +1.3 Δpts Sporting CPPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home D 1–1 — xG +0.2 Δpts EstrelaPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away D 2–2 — xG -0.4 Δpts GIL VicentePrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home D 0–0 0.2–0.3 xG -0.6 Δpts Santa ClaraPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away L 0–1 1.1–1.4 xG -1.3 Δpts MaritimoPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home L 1–2 0.7–1.6 xG -2.2 Δpts EstorilPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away D 1–1 1.5–1.1 xG -0.5 Δpts

Score and actual xG show Famalicao first. Δpts = points taken − pre-match xPts. — means data unavailable.

Current load Low · 0

Rest profile12.9 days since last match
0%
Schedule load1 matches in last 14 days
0%
Travel load20 km to venue, 0 km in 14 days
0%
Squad availabilityFull squad available
0%

Load before the next match, at Rio Ave, 25 Oct. Squad availability is shown separately and is not part of the score; availability is the share of squad weight missing, the same input the forecast uses for absences.

Schedule difficulty all competitions

Each bar is one match: 50% match difficulty from current relative Elo strength + 50% calendar load (rest, match congestion and travel). Higher means harder, on a 0–100 scale. This is a descriptive index, not a win probability. Lighter bars are upcoming; the dashed line marks today. Grey marks missing data. 7 Aug at Estoril: Schedule difficulty 20/100; match difficulty 33/100
D
 Aug 16 Aug vs Maritimo: Schedule difficulty 13/100; match difficulty 26/100
L
 23 Aug at Santa Clara: Schedule difficulty 33/100; match difficulty 46/100
L
 30 Aug vs GIL Vicente: Schedule difficulty 28/100; match difficulty 46/100
D
 5 Sep at Estrela: Schedule difficulty 24/100; match difficulty 31/100
D
 Sep 13 Sep vs Sporting CP: Schedule difficulty 43/100; match difficulty 86/100
D
 19 Sep at Nacional: Schedule difficulty 20/100; match difficulty 28/100
W
 12 Oct vs Alverca: Schedule difficulty 22/100; match difficulty 43/100
L
 Oct 25 Oct at Rio Ave: Schedule difficulty 16/100; match difficulty 32/100 1 Nov at SC Braga: Schedule difficulty 33/100; match difficulty 65/100 Nov 6 Nov vs Arouca: Schedule difficulty 23/100; match difficulty 46/100 30 Nov at Benfica: Schedule difficulty 46/100; match difficulty 85/100 6 Dec vs Academico Viseu: Schedule difficulty 22/100; match difficulty 44/100 Dec 13 Dec at Moreirense: Schedule difficulty 19/100; match difficulty 37/100 20 Dec vs FC Porto: Schedule difficulty 42/100; match difficulty 83/100 27 Dec at Casa Pia: Schedule difficulty 15/100; match difficulty 29/100 10 Jan vs Guimaraes: Schedule difficulty 20/100; match difficulty 40/100 Jan 17 Jan vs Estoril: Schedule difficulty 17/100; match difficulty 33/100 24 Jan at Maritimo: Schedule difficulty 19/100; match difficulty 26/100 31 Jan vs Santa Clara: Schedule difficulty 26/100; match difficulty 46/100 7 Feb at GIL Vicente: Schedule difficulty 26/100; match difficulty 46/100 Feb 14 Feb vs Estrela: Schedule difficulty 16/100; match difficulty 31/100 21 Feb at Sporting CP: Schedule difficulty 46/100; match difficulty 86/100 28 Feb vs Nacional: Schedule difficulty 14/100; match difficulty 28/100 7 Mar at Alverca: Schedule difficulty 22/100; match difficulty 43/100 Mar 14 Mar vs Rio Ave: Schedule difficulty 16/100; match difficulty 32/100 21 Mar vs SC Braga: Schedule difficulty 33/100; match difficulty 65/100 4 Apr at Arouca: Schedule difficulty 23/100; match difficulty 46/100 Apr 11 Apr vs Benfica: Schedule difficulty 43/100; match difficulty 85/100 18 Apr at Academico Viseu: Schedule difficulty 22/100; match difficulty 44/100 25 Apr vs Moreirense: Schedule difficulty 19/100; match difficulty 37/100 2 May at FC Porto: Schedule difficulty 42/100; match difficulty 83/100 May 9 May vs Casa Pia: Schedule difficulty 15/100; match difficulty 29/100 16 May at Guimaraes: Schedule difficulty 20/100; match difficulty 40/100

Schedule next 30 days · forecast and load

All fixtures and load →
Rest12.9 daysbefore RIO
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel / 14d0 kmaway trips
Schedule load0%Low
at Rio AveSun 25 Oct, 18:00 Primeira Liga 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 21 38%win27%draw35%loss Low load · 12.9 d rest at SC BragaSun 1 Nov, 20:30 Primeira Liga 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 56 19%win24%draw57%loss Low load · 7.1 d rest vs AroucaFri 6 Nov, 20:45 Primeira Liga 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 34 43%win27%draw30%loss Low load · 5 d rest
Win · draw · loss: LOAD90 forecastLoad bar: rest, matches and travel before each game (context; only 4+ matches in 14 days changes the forecast)
Full match preview oneScored → at Rio Ave, 25 OctOdds, value, live score

Fixture Swing

Opponent opportunity across the next 5 matches · all competitions

3 of 5 forecasts available · Partial window

Attack Swing+4%

Baseline 3.74 → Forecast 3.90 expected goals · 3 included matches

Conceding Swing−2%

Baseline 4.47 → Forecast 4.40 expected goals conceded · 3 included matches

Opportunity for the next 5 matches
MatchAttackConceding riskGoals · Baseline → Forecast
at Rio Ave25 Oct · Primeira Liga 2026-2027 +24% −17% 1.14 → 1.41
at SC Braga1 Nov · Primeira Liga 2026-2027 −14% +16% 1.15 → 0.99
vs Arouca6 Nov · Primeira Liga 2026-2027 +4% −4% 1.46 → 1.51
at Benfica30 Nov · Primeira Liga 2026-2027 — — Opportunity unavailable
vs Academico Viseu6 Dec · Primeira Liga 2026-2027 — — Opportunity unavailable

Swing compares total forecast goals with total baseline goals for the included matches. Forecasts are available up to 21 days ahead. Missing snapshots and different model revisions are excluded; a partial window covers only the matches shown with values. Your team's own conditions are kept in each baseline.

Next match · Match Opportunity

Famalicao

Baseline: average Primeira Liga opponent

Attack Uplift +24% Expected goals Baseline1.14Forecast1.41
Conceding Risk −17% Expected goals conceded Baseline1.60Forecast1.33
Clean Sheet +6.3 pp Chance of conceding no goals Baseline20.2%Forecast26.5%