Manchester City

1st · Premier League · 21 points · Matches played: 7

League leaders · Table & Fixtures →

L90 Strength L90 Strength is LOAD90’s own club strength rating on a fixed 0–100 scale, built from its Elo rating. League Strength uses the mean Elo of a league's clubs and a separate league calibration, so the two scores are not directly comparable.

-2.2 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.

Base L90 Strength changed +0.6 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number. 90.7-2.2
World Rank 4th Global, by Elo
Premier League Rank 2nd L90 Strength
Last IpswichH xG 3.6–1.7 3–2 Next AEK Athens FCH 78%

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Manchester City · All competitions

Forecast
AEK Athens FCUEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase · Home 78% win 2.47 xPts Aston VillaPremier League 2026-2027 · Away 41% win 1.44 xPts BrightonPremier League 2026-2027 · Home 52% win 1.77 xPts RB LeipzigUEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase · Away 56% win 1.88 xPts Nottingham ForestPremier League 2026-2027 · Away 54% win 1.82 xPts FulhamPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts NapoliUEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase · Home — win — xPts ArsenalPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts LeedsPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts BrentfordPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts BarcelonaUEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase · Away — win — xPts ChelseaPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Hull CityPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts NewcastlePremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts EvertonPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts TottenhamPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts LeedsPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Nottingham ForestPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts LensUEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase · Away — win — xPts BrightonPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Sporting CPUEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase · Home — win — xPts ArsenalPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts FulhamPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts TottenhamPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts NewcastlePremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Hull CityPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts EvertonPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts CoventryPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Manchester UnitedPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts BournemouthPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Crystal PalacePremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts ChelseaPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts BrentfordPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts LiverpoolPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts IpswichPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Aston VillaPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts SunderlandPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts

xPts = 3 × win probability + draw probability. — means no published forecast. Open a match for xG and the full forecast.

Results

Manchester City · All competitions

Full time
IpswichPremier League 2026-2027 · Home W 3–2 3.6–1.7 xG +0.4 Δpts Paris Saint GermainUEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase · Home L 2–4 2.5–1.9 xG -1.9 Δpts LiverpoolPremier League 2026-2027 · Away W 3–0 1.4–0.9 xG +1.5 Δpts SunderlandPremier League 2026-2027 · Home W 5–3 2.8–3.6 xG +0.7 Δpts Manchester UnitedPremier League 2026-2027 · Away W 1–0 1.1–1.0 xG +1.5 Δpts FC PortoUEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase · Away W 2–0 2.3–0.3 xG — Δpts CoventryPremier League 2026-2027 · Home W 1–0 2.1–1.4 xG +0.4 Δpts Crystal PalacePremier League 2026-2027 · Away W 4–1 2.2–0.7 xG +1.2 Δpts BournemouthPremier League 2026-2027 · Home W 2–1 2.3–0.7 xG +1.1 Δpts

Score and actual xG show Manchester City first. Δpts = points taken − pre-match xPts. — means data unavailable.

Current load Moderate · 23

Rest profile3.2 days since last match
53%
Schedule load3 matches in last 14 days
30%
Travel loadHome match, 99 km in 14 days
0%
Squad availabilityFull squad available · Last match: 17 Oct
0%

Load before the next match, vs AEK Athens FC, 20 Oct. Squad availability is shown separately and is not part of the score; availability is the share of squad weight missing, the same input the forecast uses for absences.

Schedule difficulty all competitions

Each bar is one match: 50% match difficulty from current relative Elo strength + 50% calendar load (rest, match congestion and travel). Higher means harder, on a 0–100 scale. This is a descriptive index, not a win probability. Lighter bars are upcoming; the dashed line marks today. Grey marks missing data. 23 Aug vs Bournemouth: Schedule difficulty 14/100; match difficulty 28/100
W
 Aug 28 Aug at Crystal Palace: Schedule difficulty 10/100; match difficulty 19/100
W
 5 Sep vs Coventry: Schedule difficulty 7/100; match difficulty 13/100
W
 Sep 8 Sep at FC Porto: Schedule difficulty 26/100; match difficulty 31/100
W
 13 Sep at Manchester United: Schedule difficulty 18/100; match difficulty 31/100
W
 20 Sep vs Sunderland: Schedule difficulty 10/100; match difficulty 15/100
W
 11 Oct at Liverpool: Schedule difficulty 19/100; match difficulty 37/100
W
 Oct 14 Oct vs Paris Saint Germain: Schedule difficulty 28/100; match difficulty 47/100
L
 17 Oct vs Ipswich: Schedule difficulty 10/100; match difficulty 12/100
W
 20 Oct vs AEK Athens FC: Schedule difficulty 18/100; match difficulty 13/100 24 Oct at Aston Villa: Schedule difficulty 36/100; match difficulty 37/100 31 Oct vs Brighton: Schedule difficulty 18/100; match difficulty 35/100 4 Nov at RB Leipzig: Schedule difficulty 17/100; match difficulty 21/100 Nov 7 Nov at Nottingham Forest: Schedule difficulty 18/100; match difficulty 23/100 21 Nov vs Fulham: Schedule difficulty 10/100; match difficulty 19/100 24 Nov vs Napoli: Schedule difficulty 13/100; match difficulty 18/100 29 Nov at Arsenal: Schedule difficulty 31/100; match difficulty 62/100 2 Dec vs Leeds: Schedule difficulty 24/100; match difficulty 25/100 Dec 5 Dec at Brentford: Schedule difficulty 25/100; match difficulty 27/100 8 Dec at Barcelona: Schedule difficulty 57/100; match difficulty 58/100 12 Dec vs Chelsea: Schedule difficulty 37/100; match difficulty 28/100 19 Dec vs Hull City: Schedule difficulty 17/100; match difficulty 8/100 26 Dec at Newcastle: Schedule difficulty 12/100; match difficulty 23/100 29 Dec at Everton: Schedule difficulty 14/100; match difficulty 20/100 3 Jan vs Tottenham: Schedule difficulty 9/100; match difficulty 18/100 Jan 6 Jan at Leeds: Schedule difficulty 24/100; match difficulty 25/100 16 Jan vs Nottingham Forest: Schedule difficulty 12/100; match difficulty 23/100 20 Jan at Lens: Schedule difficulty 11/100; match difficulty 15/100 23 Jan at Brighton: Schedule difficulty 25/100; match difficulty 35/100 27 Jan vs Sporting CP: Schedule difficulty 28/100; match difficulty 36/100 30 Jan vs Arsenal: Schedule difficulty 55/100; match difficulty 62/100 6 Feb at Fulham: Schedule difficulty 17/100; match difficulty 19/100 Feb 10 Feb at Tottenham: Schedule difficulty 17/100; match difficulty 18/100 20 Feb vs Newcastle: Schedule difficulty 12/100; match difficulty 23/100 27 Feb at Hull City: Schedule difficulty 4/100; match difficulty 8/100 3 Mar vs Everton: Schedule difficulty 10/100; match difficulty 20/100 Mar 13 Mar at Coventry: Schedule difficulty 7/100; match difficulty 13/100 20 Mar vs Manchester United: Schedule difficulty 16/100; match difficulty 31/100 10 Apr at Bournemouth: Schedule difficulty 17/100; match difficulty 28/100 Apr 17 Apr vs Crystal Palace: Schedule difficulty 10/100; match difficulty 19/100 24 Apr at Chelsea: Schedule difficulty 14/100; match difficulty 28/100 1 May vs Brentford: Schedule difficulty 14/100; match difficulty 27/100 May 8 May vs Liverpool: Schedule difficulty 19/100; match difficulty 37/100 15 May at Ipswich: Schedule difficulty 6/100; match difficulty 12/100 23 May vs Aston Villa: Schedule difficulty 19/100; match difficulty 37/100 30 May at Sunderland: Schedule difficulty 8/100; match difficulty 15/100

Schedule next 30 days · forecast and load

All fixtures and load →
Rest3.2 daysbefore AEK
Matches / 14d3all competitions
Travel / 14d99 kmaway trips
Schedule load23%Moderate
vs AEK Athens FCTue 20 Oct, 20:00 UEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase · opponent L90 Strength 53 78%win13%draw9%loss Moderate load · 3.2 d rest · 3 in 14 d at Aston VillaSat 24 Oct, 12:30 Premier League 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 84 41%win22%draw37%loss Moderate load · 3.7 d rest · 4 in 14 d vs BrightonSat 31 Oct, 15:00 Premier League 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 83 52%win21%draw27%loss Low load · 7.1 d rest at RB LeipzigWed 4 Nov, 20:00 UEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase · opponent L90 Strength 68 56%win20%draw24%loss Low load · 4.2 d rest at Nottingham ForestSat 7 Nov, 17:30 Premier League 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 71 54%win21%draw25%loss Low load · 2.9 d rest
Win · draw · loss: LOAD90 forecastLoad bar: rest, matches and travel before each game (context; only 4+ matches in 14 days changes the forecast)
Full match preview oneScored → vs AEK Athens FC, 20 OctOdds, value, live score

Fixture Swing

Opponent opportunity across the next 3 matches · all competitions

3 of 3 forecasts available

Attack Swing+1%

Baseline 7.31 → Forecast 7.36 expected goals · 3 included matches

Conceding Swing+7%

Baseline 4.27 → Forecast 4.59 expected goals conceded · 3 included matches

Opportunity for the next 3 matches
MatchAttackConceding riskGoals · Baseline → Forecast
vs AEK Athens FC20 Oct · UEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase +19% −19% 2.56 → 3.04
at Aston Villa24 Oct · Premier League 2026-2027 −2% +10% 2.04 → 2.01
vs Brighton31 Oct · Premier League 2026-2027 −15% +29% 2.71 → 2.30

Swing compares total forecast goals with total baseline goals for the included matches. Forecasts are available up to 21 days ahead. Missing snapshots and different model revisions are excluded; a partial window covers only the matches shown with values. Your team's own conditions are kept in each baseline.

Next match · Match Opportunity

Manchester City

Baseline: average Premier League opponent

Attack Uplift +19% Expected goals Baseline2.56Forecast3.04
Conceding Risk −19% Expected goals conceded Baseline1.24Forecast1.00
Clean Sheet +7.7 pp Chance of conceding no goals Baseline29.0%Forecast36.7%