Manchester United

13th · Premier League · 7 points · Matches played: 7

14 points behind Manchester City · Table & Fixtures →

L90 Strength L90 Strength is LOAD90’s own club strength rating on a fixed 0–100 scale, built from its Elo rating. League Strength uses the mean Elo of a league's clubs and a separate league calibration, so the two scores are not directly comparable.

-2.4 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.

Base L90 Strength changed -2.7 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number. 79.4-2.4
World Rank 16th Global, by Elo
Premier League Rank 6th L90 Strength
Last LeedsA xG 0.9–1.0 1–1 Next ComoA 34%

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Manchester United · All competitions

Forecast
ComoUEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase · Away 34% win 1.28 xPts BournemouthPremier League 2026-2027 · Home 40% win 1.44 xPts ChelseaPremier League 2026-2027 · Away 31% win 1.17 xPts AS RomaUEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase · Home 47% win 1.66 xPts Aston VillaPremier League 2026-2027 · Home 38% win 1.39 xPts LiverpoolPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Sporting CPUEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase · Away — win — xPts BrentfordPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts NewcastlePremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts CoventryPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts RB LeipzigUEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase · Home — win — xPts Crystal PalacePremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts ArsenalPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Nottingham ForestPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts SunderlandPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts BrightonPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts NewcastlePremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Aston VillaPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Bayern MünchenUEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase · Home — win — xPts LiverpoolPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts VillarrealUEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase · Away — win — xPts BrentfordPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts ChelseaPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts BrightonPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Nottingham ForestPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts ArsenalPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts SunderlandPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts EvertonPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Manchester CityPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Hull CityPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts IpswichPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Crystal PalacePremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts CoventryPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts BournemouthPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts LeedsPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts TottenhamPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts FulhamPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts

xPts = 3 × win probability + draw probability. — means no published forecast. Open a match for xG and the full forecast.

Results

Manchester United · All competitions

Full time
LeedsPremier League 2026-2027 · Away D 1–1 0.9–1.0 xG -0.2 Δpts Atletico MadridUEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase · Away L 0–2 1.0–1.5 xG -1.1 Δpts TottenhamPremier League 2026-2027 · Home D 1–1 0.8–1.6 xG -1.1 Δpts FulhamPremier League 2026-2027 · Away D 1–1 1.6–1.6 xG -0.6 Δpts Manchester CityPremier League 2026-2027 · Home L 0–1 1.0–1.1 xG -1.3 Δpts Sabah FAUEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase · Home W 4–0 — xG +0.4 Δpts EvertonPremier League 2026-2027 · Away D 2–2 0.7–1.0 xG -0.5 Δpts IpswichPremier League 2026-2027 · Home W 5–2 4.6–2.0 xG +0.8 Δpts Hull CityPremier League 2026-2027 · Away L 0–2 1.8–1.0 xG -2.2 Δpts

Score and actual xG show Manchester United first. Δpts = points taken − pre-match xPts. — means data unavailable.

Current load High · 45

Rest profile3.2 days since last match
53%
Schedule load3 matches in last 14 days
30%
Travel load1,177 km to venue, 3,029 km in 14 days
73%
Squad availability7 out, 2 key: L. Shaw, K. Mainoo
21%

Load before the next match, at Como, 21 Oct. Squad availability is shown separately and is not part of the score; availability is the share of squad weight missing, the same input the forecast uses for absences.

Schedule difficulty all competitions

Each bar is one match: 50% match difficulty from current relative Elo strength + 50% calendar load (rest, match congestion and travel). Higher means harder, on a 0–100 scale. This is a descriptive index, not a win probability. Lighter bars are upcoming; the dashed line marks today. Grey marks missing data. 22 Aug at Hull City: Schedule difficulty 8/100; match difficulty 16/100
L
 Aug 30 Aug vs Ipswich: Schedule difficulty 12/100; match difficulty 23/100
W
 6 Sep at Everton: Schedule difficulty 18/100; match difficulty 36/100
D
 Sep 10 Sep vs Sabah FA: Schedule difficulty 6/100; match difficulty 11/100
W
 13 Sep vs Manchester City: Schedule difficulty 46/100; match difficulty 69/100
L
 20 Sep at Fulham: Schedule difficulty 18/100; match difficulty 35/100
D
 10 Oct vs Tottenham: Schedule difficulty 16/100; match difficulty 32/100
D
 Oct 13 Oct at Atletico Madrid: Schedule difficulty 37/100; match difficulty 53/100
L
 18 Oct at Leeds: Schedule difficulty 24/100; match difficulty 43/100
D
 21 Oct at Como: Schedule difficulty 41/100; match difficulty 36/100 25 Oct vs Bournemouth: Schedule difficulty 36/100; match difficulty 47/100 31 Oct at Chelsea: Schedule difficulty 33/100; match difficulty 46/100 3 Nov vs AS Roma: Schedule difficulty 36/100; match difficulty 44/100 Nov 8 Nov vs Aston Villa: Schedule difficulty 29/100; match difficulty 57/100 22 Nov at Liverpool: Schedule difficulty 29/100; match difficulty 57/100 25 Nov at Sporting CP: Schedule difficulty 42/100; match difficulty 56/100 28 Nov vs Brentford: Schedule difficulty 32/100; match difficulty 45/100 2 Dec at Newcastle: Schedule difficulty 33/100; match difficulty 40/100 Dec 5 Dec vs Coventry: Schedule difficulty 39/100; match difficulty 24/100 8 Dec vs RB Leipzig: Schedule difficulty 46/100; match difficulty 38/100 12 Dec at Crystal Palace: Schedule difficulty 35/100; match difficulty 34/100 19 Dec at Arsenal: Schedule difficulty 47/100; match difficulty 78/100 27 Dec vs Nottingham Forest: Schedule difficulty 20/100; match difficulty 40/100 30 Dec vs Sunderland: Schedule difficulty 19/100; match difficulty 29/100 2 Jan at Brighton: Schedule difficulty 42/100; match difficulty 55/100 Jan 7 Jan vs Newcastle: Schedule difficulty 28/100; match difficulty 40/100 16 Jan at Aston Villa: Schedule difficulty 29/100; match difficulty 57/100 20 Jan vs Bayern München: Schedule difficulty 39/100; match difficulty 77/100 23 Jan vs Liverpool: Schedule difficulty 33/100; match difficulty 57/100 27 Jan at Villarreal: Schedule difficulty 36/100; match difficulty 36/100 30 Jan at Brentford: Schedule difficulty 49/100; match difficulty 45/100 6 Feb vs Chelsea: Schedule difficulty 36/100; match difficulty 46/100 Feb 10 Feb vs Brighton: Schedule difficulty 40/100; match difficulty 55/100 20 Feb at Nottingham Forest: Schedule difficulty 20/100; match difficulty 40/100 27 Feb vs Arsenal: Schedule difficulty 39/100; match difficulty 78/100 3 Mar at Sunderland: Schedule difficulty 15/100; match difficulty 29/100 Mar 13 Mar vs Everton: Schedule difficulty 18/100; match difficulty 36/100 20 Mar at Manchester City: Schedule difficulty 35/100; match difficulty 69/100 10 Apr vs Hull City: Schedule difficulty 8/100; match difficulty 16/100 Apr 17 Apr at Ipswich: Schedule difficulty 12/100; match difficulty 23/100 24 Apr vs Crystal Palace: Schedule difficulty 17/100; match difficulty 34/100 1 May at Coventry: Schedule difficulty 12/100; match difficulty 24/100 May 8 May at Bournemouth: Schedule difficulty 27/100; match difficulty 47/100 15 May vs Leeds: Schedule difficulty 22/100; match difficulty 43/100 23 May at Tottenham: Schedule difficulty 16/100; match difficulty 32/100 30 May vs Fulham: Schedule difficulty 18/100; match difficulty 35/100

Schedule next 30 days · forecast and load

All fixtures and load →
Rest3.2 daysbefore COM
Matches / 14d3all competitions
Travel / 14d3,029 kmaway trips
Schedule load45%High
at ComoWed 21 Oct, 17:45 UEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase · opponent L90 Strength 67 34%win24%draw41%loss High load · 3.2 d rest · 3 in 14 d vs BournemouthSun 25 Oct, 14:00 Premier League 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 77 40%win24%draw36%loss Moderate load · 3.9 d rest · 3 in 14 d at ChelseaSat 31 Oct, 12:30 Premier League 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 77 31%win24%draw45%loss Moderate load · 5.9 d rest · 3 in 14 d vs AS RomaTue 3 Nov, 20:00 UEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase · opponent L90 Strength 74 47%win25%draw28%loss Moderate load · 3.3 d rest · 3 in 14 d vs Aston VillaSun 8 Nov, 16:30 Premier League 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 84 38%win24%draw37%loss Low load · 4.9 d rest
Win · draw · loss: LOAD90 forecastLoad bar: rest, matches and travel before each game (context; only 4+ matches in 14 days changes the forecast)
Full match preview oneScored → at Como, 21 OctOdds, value, live score

Fixture Swing

Opponent opportunity across the next 3 matches · all competitions

3 of 3 forecasts available

Attack Swing−1%

Baseline 4.70 → Forecast 4.65 expected goals · 3 included matches

Conceding Swing+8%

Baseline 4.67 → Forecast 5.04 expected goals conceded · 3 included matches

Opportunity for the next 3 matches
MatchAttackConceding riskGoals · Baseline → Forecast
at Como21 Oct · UEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase +12% +2% 1.36 → 1.53
vs Bournemouth25 Oct · Premier League 2026-2027 −10% +17% 1.85 → 1.66
at Chelsea31 Oct · Premier League 2026-2027 −2% +7% 1.48 → 1.46

Swing compares total forecast goals with total baseline goals for the included matches. Forecasts are available up to 21 days ahead. Missing snapshots and different model revisions are excluded; a partial window covers only the matches shown with values. Your team's own conditions are kept in each baseline.

Next match · Match Opportunity

Manchester United

Baseline: average Premier League opponent

Attack Uplift +12% Expected goals Baseline1.36Forecast1.53
Conceding Risk +2% Expected goals conceded Baseline1.65Forecast1.68
Clean Sheet −0.7 pp Chance of conceding no goals Baseline19.2%Forecast18.6%