Rennes

6th · Ligue 1 · 13 points · Matches played: 7

1 point behind Lyon · Table & Fixtures →

L90 Strength L90 Strength is LOAD90’s own club strength rating on a fixed 0–100 scale, built from its Elo rating. League Strength uses the mean Elo of a league's clubs and a separate league calibration, so the two scores are not directly comparable.

-1.0 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.

Base L90 Strength changed -2.6 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number.
52.2-1.0
World Rank 72nd Global, by Elo
Ligue 1 Rank 6th L90 Strength

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Upcoming fixtures

Rennes · All competitions

Forecast
JuventusUEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase · Away 21% win 0.83 xPts StrasbourgLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home 56% win 1.89 xPts NiceLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away 45% win 1.60 xPts Olympiakos PiraeusUEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase · Home 39% win 1.42 xPts LilleLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home 46% win 1.62 xPts LorientLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts NEC NijmegenUEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase · Away — win — xPts ToulouseLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Stade Brestois 29Ligue 1 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Dinamo ZagrebUEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase · Home — win — xPts MonacoLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Estac TroyesLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts LensLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Omonia NicosiaUEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase · Home — win — xPts LE HavreLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Sparta PrahaUEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase · Away — win — xPts LorientLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts LyonLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Stade Brestois 29Ligue 1 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts ToulouseLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts MarseilleLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Paris Saint GermainLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Le MansLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Paris FCLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts LilleLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts MonacoLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Estac TroyesLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts StrasbourgLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts NiceLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts LE HavreLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts AuxerreLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts LensLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts AngersLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts

xPts = 3 × win probability + draw probability. — means no published forecast. Open a match for xG and the full forecast.

Results

Rennes · All competitions

Full time
Paris FCLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away L 3–4 3.1–2.9 xG -1.4 Δpts OFIUEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase · Home W 2–1 1.8–0.1 xG +0.8 Δpts AuxerreLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home W 4–1 2.2–1.5 xG +0.9 Δpts LyonLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away L 0–4 — xG -1.2 Δpts Sturm GrazUEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase · Away D 0–0 1.8–0.7 xG -0.4 Δpts MarseilleLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home W 1–0 — xG +1.4 Δpts AngersLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away W 2–1 — xG +1.3 Δpts Le MansLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home W 3–2 2.7–3.0 xG +0.8 Δpts Paris Saint GermainLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home D 2–2 0.9–2.2 xG +0.2 Δpts

Score and actual xG show Rennes first. Δpts = points taken − pre-match xPts. — means data unavailable.

Current load Moderate · 21

Rest profile4.1 days since last match
0%
Schedule load3 matches in last 14 days
30%
Travel load790 km to venue, 616 km in 14 days
20%
Squad availabilityFull squad available · Last match: 18 Oct
0%

Load before the next match, at Juventus, 22 Oct. Squad availability is shown separately and is not part of the score; availability is the share of squad weight missing, the same input the forecast uses for absences.

Schedule difficulty all competitions

Each bar is one match: 50% match difficulty from current relative Elo strength + 50% calendar load (rest, match congestion and travel). Higher means harder, on a 0–100 scale. This is a descriptive index, not a win probability. Lighter bars are upcoming; the dashed line marks today. Grey marks missing data. 23 Aug vs Paris Saint Germain: Schedule difficulty 46/100; match difficulty 86/100
D
Aug 30 Aug vs Le Mans: Schedule difficulty 14/100; match difficulty 27/100
W
6 Sep at Angers: Schedule difficulty 11/100; match difficulty 21/100
W
Sep 11 Sep vs Marseille: Schedule difficulty 23/100; match difficulty 45/100
W
16 Sep at Sturm Graz: Schedule difficulty 25/100; match difficulty 38/100
D
19 Sep at Lyon: Schedule difficulty 46/100; match difficulty 57/100
L
11 Oct vs Auxerre: Schedule difficulty 15/100; match difficulty 30/100
W
Oct 15 Oct vs OFI: Schedule difficulty 11/100; match difficulty 22/100
W
18 Oct at Paris FC: Schedule difficulty 24/100; match difficulty 34/100
L
22 Oct at Juventus: Schedule difficulty 42/100; match difficulty 63/100 25 Oct vs Strasbourg: Schedule difficulty 36/100; match difficulty 44/100 31 Oct at Nice: Schedule difficulty 30/100; match difficulty 28/100 5 Nov vs Olympiakos Piraeus: Schedule difficulty 32/100; match difficulty 59/100 Nov 8 Nov vs Lille: Schedule difficulty 41/100; match difficulty 53/100 22 Nov at Lorient: Schedule difficulty 17/100; match difficulty 34/100 26 Nov at NEC Nijmegen: Schedule difficulty 20/100; match difficulty 33/100 29 Nov at Toulouse: Schedule difficulty 29/100; match difficulty 39/100 5 Dec vs Stade Brestois 29: Schedule difficulty 27/100; match difficulty 34/100 Dec 10 Dec vs Dinamo Zagreb: Schedule difficulty 31/100; match difficulty 42/100 12 Dec vs Monaco: Schedule difficulty 42/100; match difficulty 54/100 2 Jan at Estac Troyes: Schedule difficulty 10/100; match difficulty 14/100 Jan 16 Jan vs Lens: Schedule difficulty 28/100; match difficulty 55/100 21 Jan vs Omonia Nicosia: Schedule difficulty 17/100; match difficulty 34/100 23 Jan at LE Havre: Schedule difficulty 19/100; match difficulty 22/100 28 Jan at Sparta Praha: Schedule difficulty 31/100; match difficulty 35/100 30 Jan vs Lorient: Schedule difficulty 45/100; match difficulty 34/100 6 Feb vs Lyon: Schedule difficulty 39/100; match difficulty 57/100 Feb 13 Feb at Stade Brestois 29: Schedule difficulty 17/100; match difficulty 34/100 20 Feb vs Toulouse: Schedule difficulty 20/100; match difficulty 39/100 27 Feb at Marseille: Schedule difficulty 26/100; match difficulty 45/100 6 Mar vs Paris Saint Germain: Schedule difficulty 46/100; match difficulty 86/100 Mar 13 Mar at Le Mans: Schedule difficulty 16/100; match difficulty 27/100 20 Mar vs Paris FC: Schedule difficulty 17/100; match difficulty 34/100 3 Apr at Lille: Schedule difficulty 30/100; match difficulty 53/100 Apr 10 Apr at Monaco: Schedule difficulty 33/100; match difficulty 54/100 17 Apr vs Estac Troyes: Schedule difficulty 10/100; match difficulty 14/100 24 Apr at Strasbourg: Schedule difficulty 28/100; match difficulty 44/100 1 May vs Nice: Schedule difficulty 14/100; match difficulty 28/100 May 8 May vs LE Havre: Schedule difficulty 11/100; match difficulty 22/100 16 May at Auxerre: Schedule difficulty 18/100; match difficulty 30/100 22 May at Lens: Schedule difficulty 31/100; match difficulty 55/100 29 May vs Angers: Schedule difficulty 13/100; match difficulty 21/100

Schedule next 30 days · forecast and load

All fixtures and load →
Rest4.1 daysbefore JUV
Matches / 14d3all competitions
Travel / 14d616 kmaway trips
Schedule load21%Moderate
Win · draw · loss: LOAD90 forecastLoad bar: rest, matches and travel before each game (context; only 4+ matches in 14 days changes the forecast)
Full match preview oneScored → at Juventus, 22 OctOdds, value, live score

Fixture Swing

Opponent opportunity across the next 3 matches · all competitions

3 of 3 forecasts available

Attack Swing−7%

Baseline 5.74 → Forecast 5.35 expected goals · 3 included matches

Conceding Swing+1%

Baseline 5.02 → Forecast 5.10 expected goals conceded · 3 included matches

Opportunity for the next 3 matches
MatchAttackConceding riskGoals · Baseline → Forecast
at Juventus22 Oct · UEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase −30% +20% 1.81 → 1.27
vs Strasbourg25 Oct · Ligue 1 2026-2027 +2% −1% 2.20 → 2.24
at Nice31 Oct · Ligue 1 2026-2027 +6% −15% 1.74 → 1.84

Swing compares total forecast goals with total baseline goals for the included matches. Forecasts are available up to 21 days ahead. Missing snapshots and different model revisions are excluded; a partial window covers only the matches shown with values. Your team's own conditions are kept in each baseline.

Next match · Match Opportunity

Rennes

Baseline: average Ligue 1 opponent

Attack Downlift −30% Expected goals Baseline1.81Forecast1.27
Conceding Risk +20% Expected goals conceded Baseline1.84Forecast2.20
Clean Sheet −4.8 pp Chance of conceding no goals Baseline15.9%Forecast11.0%