Rennes vs Dinamo Zagreb

UEFA Europa League Matchday 6 Thu, Dec 10 · 17:45 Roazhon Park, Rennes

Rennes 13th · 4 pts · 2 played DW

VS— Compare

Dinamo Zagreb 14th · 4 pts · 2 played DW

Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel1,361 kmRest days5.1 · 14Matches / 14d3 · 1

Real contextStrength only

Rennes—%

Draw—%

Dinamo Zagreb—%

Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.

Weather (Rennes)

Forecast from 25 Nov

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Headlines

Attack

Defence

Streaks

Not enough recorded data for this category yet.

Team strength

Rennes

Dinamo Zagreb

— L90 StrengthIn forecast —

52 Current StrengthIn forecast 43

63 AttackIn forecast 33

39 DefenceIn forecast 44

42 Form indexContext —

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Rennes

Attack—

Defense risk—

Dinamo Zagreb

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Rennes

Dinamo Zagreb

1.00 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 0.50

0.50 Goals concededVia Att/Def 0.00

1.79 xGVia Att/Def 0.67

0.40 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.00

-0.79 Goals minus xGContext -0.17

50% Scored inContext 50%

50% Clean sheetsContext 100%

24.00 ShotsContext 10.00

7.00 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 2.00

29% On target shareContext 20%

16.00 Shots in the boxContext 6.50

67% Box shareContext 66%

4% ConversionContext 5%

4.00 OffsidesContext —

6.50 Shots allowedContext 12.50

2.50 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.00

— BlocksContext —

— Goalkeeper savesContext 4.00

100% Save rateContext 100%

65% PossessionIn forecast 40%

503 PassesContext 410

433 Accurate passesContext 338

86% Pass accuracyContext 82%

6.98 Team ratingContext 6.82

9.50 FoulsContext 17.00

11.50 Fouls sufferedContext 11.50

1.00 Yellow cardsContext 1.00

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00

This league season, per match · 2 and 2 games

1.80 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.90

1.80 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.50

2.12 xGVia Att/Def 1.20

1.91 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.58

-0.32 Goals minus xGContext +0.70

80% Scored inContext 90%

20% Clean sheetsContext 30%

18.60 ShotsContext 17.50

6.30 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.00

34% On target shareContext 23%

12.60 Shots in the boxContext 10.50

66% Box shareContext 62%

10% ConversionContext 9%

2.43 OffsidesContext 2.00

14.70 Shots allowedContext 12.75

5.70 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.88

4.89 BlocksContext 5.83

4.22 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.13

68% Save rateContext 64%

54% PossessionIn forecast 53%

476 PassesContext 537

403 Accurate passesContext 454

85% Pass accuracyContext 85%

6.81 Team ratingContext 6.90

12.40 FoulsContext 12.22

11.30 Fouls sufferedContext 12.67

2.00 Yellow cardsContext 1.80

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.20

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Rennes DLWWL

Rest5.1 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d3all competitions

Travel0 km2,470 km in 14d

Schedule load20%Moderate

Form 42 · 7 pts vs 7.9 for an average club · -1.4 vs expected

L18 OctA · Paris FC3–41.4 xPts
W15 OctH · OFI2–12.2 xPts
W11 OctH · Auxerre4–12.1 xPts
L19 SepA · Lyon0–41.2 xPts
D16 SepA · Sturm Graz0–01.4 xPts

Dinamo Zagreb DW

Rest14 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel1,361 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load12%Low

Form 57 · 4 pts vs 3.2 for an average club · +1.1 vs expected

W15 OctH · Anderlecht1–01.5 xPts
D16 SepA · Hapoel Beer Sheva0–01.4 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Rennes	Dinamo Zagreb
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Moderate · 20	Low · 12
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	5.1Ligue 1 2026-2027, 5 Dec	14UEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase, 26 Nov
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	1,361 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	2,470 km	0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	1 / 3 / 4	0 / 1 / 1
Next matchdays after this one	1.9	42.1

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Rennes Last XI · not confirmed

4-3-3 · vs Paris FC (A) 3–4, 18 Oct

30B. Samba(G)

95P. Frankowski 24A. Rouault 4C. Cresswell 14B. Reynolds

28A. Thomasson 6D. Cissé 17S. Szymański

90I. Soumaré 9E. Lepaul 10L. Blas

Dinamo Zagreb Last XI · not confirmed

4-1-4-1 · vs Anderlecht (H) 1–0, 15 Oct

24D. Kotarski(G)

22M. Vinlöf 6S. Radeljić 36Sergi Domínguez 15N. Galešić

27J. Mišić

11A. Hoxha 17L. Ivanušec 10L. Stojković 23Iker Almena

9D. Beljo

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Rennes Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Dinamo Zagreb Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Rennes · Home 3.00points per game · 1 home games

W-D-L: 1-0-0
Scored: 2.00
Conceded: 1.00

Dinamo Zagreb · Away 1.00points per game · 1 away games

W-D-L: 0-1-0
Scored: 0.00
Conceded: 0.00

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Head to head

No earlier meetings in our data.

Goals & match trends

	Rennes	Dinamo Zagreb
Scored per game	1.00	0.50
Conceded per game	0.50	0.00
Match goals	1.50	0.50
Over 1.5	50%	0%
Over 2.5	50%	0%
Over 3.5	0%	0%
Both teams scored	50%	0%
Clean sheets	50%	100%
Failed to score	50%	50%
Games	2	2

	Rennes	Dinamo Zagreb
Scored per game	1.80	1.90
Conceded per game	1.80	1.50
Match goals	3.60	3.40
Over 1.5	80%	80%
Over 2.5	80%	70%
Over 3.5	60%	60%
Both teams scored	70%	70%
Clean sheets	20%	30%
Failed to score	20%	10%
Games	10	10

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Rennes	Dinamo Zagreb	League
Corners
Corners won	8.50	4.00
Corners conceded	4.00	4.00
Match total	12.50	8.00	9.76
Over 8.5	100% 2/2	0% 0/2
Over 9.5	50% 1/2	0% 0/2
Over 10.5	50% 1/2	0% 0/2
Cards
Cards	1.00	1.00
Opponent cards	2.50	1.00
Match total	3.50	2.00	3.76
Over 3.5	50% 1/2	50% 1/2
Over 4.5	0% 0/2	0% 0/2

	Rennes	Dinamo Zagreb	League
Corners
Corners won	7.56	5.89
Corners conceded	5.11	4.78
Match total	12.67	10.67	9.76
Over 8.5	78% 7/9	56% 5/9
Over 9.5	67% 6/9	44% 4/9
Over 10.5	67% 6/9	44% 4/9
Cards
Cards	2.00	2.00
Opponent cards	2.50	1.70
Match total	4.50	3.70	3.76
Over 3.5	80% 8/10	60% 6/10
Over 4.5	40% 4/10	40% 4/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.