SC Paderborn 07

16th · Bundesliga · 5 points · Matches played: 6

9 points behind Bayern München · Table & Fixtures →

L90 Strength L90 Strength is LOAD90’s own club strength rating on a fixed 0–100 scale, built from its Elo rating. League Strength uses the mean Elo of a league's clubs and a separate league calibration, so the two scores are not directly comparable.

-4.9 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.

Base L90 Strength changed -0.8 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number. 38.0-4.9
World Rank 147th Global, by Elo
Bundesliga Rank 16th L90 Strength
Last Werder BremenA xG 0.9–2.9 2–2 Next Hamburger SVH 42%

Compare clubs

Choose a second club to explore what separates them.

Upcoming fixtures

SC Paderborn 07 · All competitions

Forecast
Hamburger SVBundesliga 2026-2027 · Home 42% win 1.49 xPts Borussia MönchengladbachBundesliga 2026-2027 · Away 35% win 1.28 xPts Eintracht FrankfurtBundesliga 2026-2027 · Home 38% win 1.37 xPts Bayer LeverkusenBundesliga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts FC Schalke 04Bundesliga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Bayern MünchenBundesliga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts SV ElversbergBundesliga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts FC AugsburgBundesliga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts RB LeipzigBundesliga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Union BerlinBundesliga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts 1.FC KölnBundesliga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts SC FreiburgBundesliga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Borussia DortmundBundesliga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts 1899 HoffenheimBundesliga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts VfB StuttgartBundesliga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Werder BremenBundesliga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Hamburger SVBundesliga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Borussia MönchengladbachBundesliga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Eintracht FrankfurtBundesliga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Bayer LeverkusenBundesliga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts FC Schalke 04Bundesliga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Bayern MünchenBundesliga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts SV ElversbergBundesliga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts FC AugsburgBundesliga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts RB LeipzigBundesliga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Union BerlinBundesliga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts 1.FC KölnBundesliga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts

xPts = 3 × win probability + draw probability. — means no published forecast. Open a match for xG and the full forecast.

Results

SC Paderborn 07 · All competitions

Full time
Werder BremenBundesliga 2026-2027 · Away D 2–2 0.9–2.9 xG -0.1 Δpts VfB StuttgartBundesliga 2026-2027 · Home L 0–2 1.8–2.4 xG -1.2 Δpts 1899 HoffenheimBundesliga 2026-2027 · Home W 3–1 0.7–1.5 xG +1.7 Δpts Borussia DortmundBundesliga 2026-2027 · Away L 0–3 0.5–1.8 xG -0.5 Δpts SC FreiburgBundesliga 2026-2027 · Home L 0–1 0.8–1.2 xG -1.2 Δpts FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga 2026-2027 · Away D 0–0 0.7–1.2 xG +0.1 Δpts

Score and actual xG show SC Paderborn 07 first. Δpts = points taken − pre-match xPts. — means data unavailable.

Current load Low · 0

Rest profile7 days since last match
0%
Schedule load2 matches in last 14 days
0%
Travel loadHome match, 302 km in 14 days
0%
Squad availability5 out, no key players · Last match: 17 Oct
2%

Load before the next match, vs Hamburger SV, 24 Oct. Squad availability is shown separately and is not part of the score; availability is the share of squad weight missing, the same input the forecast uses for absences.

Schedule difficulty all competitions

Each bar is one match: 50% match difficulty from current relative Elo strength + 50% calendar load (rest, match congestion and travel). Higher means harder, on a 0–100 scale. This is a descriptive index, not a win probability. Lighter bars are upcoming; the dashed line marks today. Grey marks missing data. 29 Aug at FSV Mainz 05: Schedule difficulty 33/100; match difficulty 65/100
D
 Aug 5 Sep vs SC Freiburg: Schedule difficulty 36/100; match difficulty 72/100
L
 Sep 12 Sep at Borussia Dortmund: Schedule difficulty 42/100; match difficulty 84/100
L
 20 Sep vs 1899 Hoffenheim: Schedule difficulty 30/100; match difficulty 59/100
W
 10 Oct vs VfB Stuttgart: Schedule difficulty 38/100; match difficulty 75/100
L
 Oct 17 Oct at Werder Bremen: Schedule difficulty 27/100; match difficulty 54/100
D
 24 Oct vs Hamburger SV: Schedule difficulty 26/100; match difficulty 52/100 31 Oct at Borussia Mönchengladbach: Schedule difficulty 24/100; match difficulty 48/100 7 Nov vs Eintracht Frankfurt: Schedule difficulty 30/100; match difficulty 59/100 Nov 21 Nov at Bayer Leverkusen: Schedule difficulty 42/100; match difficulty 83/100 28 Nov vs FC Schalke 04: Schedule difficulty 29/100; match difficulty 57/100 5 Dec at Bayern München: Schedule difficulty 50/100; match difficulty 94/100 Dec 12 Dec vs SV Elversberg: Schedule difficulty 27/100; match difficulty 53/100 19 Dec at FC Augsburg: Schedule difficulty 33/100; match difficulty 60/100 9 Jan vs RB Leipzig: Schedule difficulty 38/100; match difficulty 75/100 Jan 12 Jan at Union Berlin: Schedule difficulty 33/100; match difficulty 51/100 16 Jan vs 1.FC Köln: Schedule difficulty 23/100; match difficulty 46/100 23 Jan vs FSV Mainz 05: Schedule difficulty 40/100; match difficulty 65/100 30 Jan at SC Freiburg: Schedule difficulty 39/100; match difficulty 72/100 6 Feb vs Borussia Dortmund: Schedule difficulty 42/100; match difficulty 84/100 Feb 13 Feb at 1899 Hoffenheim: Schedule difficulty 30/100; match difficulty 59/100 20 Feb at VfB Stuttgart: Schedule difficulty 41/100; match difficulty 75/100 27 Feb vs Werder Bremen: Schedule difficulty 27/100; match difficulty 54/100 2 Mar at Hamburger SV: Schedule difficulty 30/100; match difficulty 52/100 Mar 6 Mar vs Borussia Mönchengladbach: Schedule difficulty 32/100; match difficulty 48/100 13 Mar at Eintracht Frankfurt: Schedule difficulty 37/100; match difficulty 59/100 20 Mar vs Bayer Leverkusen: Schedule difficulty 42/100; match difficulty 83/100 3 Apr at FC Schalke 04: Schedule difficulty 29/100; match difficulty 57/100 Apr 10 Apr vs Bayern München: Schedule difficulty 47/100; match difficulty 94/100 17 Apr at SV Elversberg: Schedule difficulty 27/100; match difficulty 53/100 24 Apr vs FC Augsburg: Schedule difficulty 30/100; match difficulty 60/100 8 May at RB Leipzig: Schedule difficulty 38/100; match difficulty 75/100 May 15 May vs Union Berlin: Schedule difficulty 26/100; match difficulty 51/100 22 May at 1.FC Köln: Schedule difficulty 23/100; match difficulty 46/100

Schedule next 30 days · forecast and load

All fixtures and load →
Rest7 daysbefore HAM
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel / 14d302 kmaway trips
Schedule load0%Low
vs Hamburger SVSat 24 Oct, 14:30 Bundesliga 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 40 42%win25%draw34%loss Low load · 7 d rest at Borussia MönchengladbachSat 31 Oct, 14:30 Bundesliga 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 36 35%win23%draw42%loss Low load · 7 d rest vs Eintracht FrankfurtSat 7 Nov, 14:30 Bundesliga 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 48 38%win23%draw39%loss Low load · 7 d rest
Win · draw · loss: LOAD90 forecastLoad bar: rest, matches and travel before each game (context; only 4+ matches in 14 days changes the forecast)
Full match preview oneScored → vs Hamburger SV, 24 OctOdds, value, live score

Fixture Swing

Opponent opportunity across the next 3 matches · all competitions

3 of 3 forecasts available

Attack Swing+17%

Baseline 4.38 → Forecast 5.11 expected goals · 3 included matches

Conceding Swing−17%

Baseline 6.17 → Forecast 5.14 expected goals conceded · 3 included matches

Opportunity for the next 3 matches
MatchAttackConceding riskGoals · Baseline → Forecast
vs Hamburger SV24 Oct · Bundesliga 2026-2027 +6% −22% 1.57 → 1.66
at Borussia Mönchengladbach31 Oct · Bundesliga 2026-2027 +34% −22% 1.25 → 1.68
vs Eintracht Frankfurt7 Nov · Bundesliga 2026-2027 +13% −4% 1.57 → 1.77

Swing compares total forecast goals with total baseline goals for the included matches. Forecasts are available up to 21 days ahead. Missing snapshots and different model revisions are excluded; a partial window covers only the matches shown with values. Your team's own conditions are kept in each baseline.

Next match · Match Opportunity

SC Paderborn 07

Baseline: average Bundesliga opponent

Attack Uplift +6% Expected goals Baseline1.57Forecast1.66
Conceding Risk −22% Expected goals conceded Baseline1.91Forecast1.48
Clean Sheet +7.8 pp Chance of conceding no goals Baseline14.8%Forecast22.7%