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Bundesliga · 27 signals · 14 clubs in this view
Bayern MünchenGoals accompanied by a positive chance balanceInsight Score75/100
Goals scored exceed the current league reference, alongside a positive observed xG profile. The sources have different windows; both describe past performances rather than the next result.
- Goals scored / matchLast 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-17 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions - 3.8
- Observed xG difference / match10-match profile · exact dates unavailable
Observed match xG · available averages - +2.15
Sources, limitations & score
- Deviation
- 100.0
- Recency
- 46.2
- Context
- 80.0
- Quality
- 60.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
- Goals scored / match — Bundesliga 2026-2027: 1.84 goals per team/match, 54 matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Observed xG difference / match — Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 3.27; xG against 1.12. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
Bayer LeverkusenWinning, and exceeding expectationsInsight Score73/100
A winning run and points above forecast expectations stand out together. Separate the recorded results from the chance balance; the points comparison covers a different set of league matches.
- Wins in a rowLast 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-29 → 2026-10-18 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions - 5
- Points minus expected8/8 current-league matches · 2026-08-29 → 2026-10-18 UTC
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games - +3.5
- Goals scored / matchLast 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-29 → 2026-10-18 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions - 2.8
- Observed xG difference / match10-match profile · exact dates unavailable
Observed match xG · available averages - +1.10
Sources, limitations & score
- Deviation
- 73.3
- Recency
- 63.6
- Context
- 100.0
- Quality
- 58.3
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
- Wins in a row — A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
- Points minus expected — Points 19; xPts 15.5. Saved pre: 3; reconstructed: 5. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Goals scored / match — Bundesliga 2026-2027: 1.84 goals per team/match, 54 matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Observed xG difference / match — Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 2.35; xG against 1.25. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
Each signal belongs to one category. Categories sum to All signals; stories combine related evidence across categories.
Attack27 signals · 14 clubs
Select a row to explore the evidence. Scroll to see all columns →
Bayern München
Goals scored per match
3.8
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores67
This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Bundesliga 2026-2027: 1.84 goals per team/match, 54 matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 55.9
- Recency
- 92.3
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Bayern München’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | VfB StuttgartH | 5–1W |
| 2026-09-05 | FC Schalke 04A | 0–0D |
| 2026-09-10 | Bodo/GlimtH | 5–0W |
| 2026-09-13 | SV ElversbergA | 2–1W |
| 2026-09-18 | Union BerlinH | 7–0W |
| 2026-10-10 | FC AugsburgA | 2–2D |
| 2026-10-13 | VikingA | 3–3D |
| 2026-10-17 | RB LeipzigH | 6–1W |
Werder Bremen
Both teams scored
100%
Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores66
Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 6 recorded matches · 2026-08-30 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Bundesliga 2026-2027: 1.84 goals per team/match, 54 matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 66.7
- Recency
- 92.3
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 60.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Werder Bremen’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | SC FreiburgA | 1–4L | Yes |
| 2026-09-05 | RB LeipzigH | 3–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-12 | 1.FC KölnA | 1–1D | Yes |
| 2026-09-19 | FC AugsburgH | 3–2W | Yes |
| 2026-10-09 | Borussia DortmundA | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-10-17 | SC Paderborn 07H | 2–2D | Yes |
1899 Hoffenheim
Both teams scored
88%
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores66
Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-29 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Bundesliga 2026-2027: 1.84 goals per team/match, 54 matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 52.1
- Recency
- 95.4
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from 1899 Hoffenheim’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | 1.FC KölnA | 2–3L | Yes |
| 2026-09-05 | Borussia DortmundH | 2–3L | Yes |
| 2026-09-12 | VfB StuttgartH | 2–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-17 | OFIA | 0–2L | No |
| 2026-09-20 | SC Paderborn 07A | 1–3L | Yes |
| 2026-10-10 | Hamburger SVH | 2–3L | Yes |
| 2026-10-15 | BesiktasH | 2–3L | Yes |
| 2026-10-18 | Borussia MönchengladbachA | 2–1W | Yes |
Bayer Leverkusen
Goals scored per match
2.8
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores57
This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-29 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Bundesliga 2026-2027: 1.84 goals per team/match, 54 matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 26.6
- Recency
- 95.4
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Bayer Leverkusen’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | SV ElversbergA | 2–3L |
| 2026-09-05 | Union BerlinH | 4–0W |
| 2026-09-12 | FC AugsburgA | 2–2D |
| 2026-09-16 | CeljeH | 2–0W |
| 2026-09-20 | RB LeipzigH | 2–0W |
| 2026-10-10 | FSV Mainz 05A | 4–3W |
| 2026-10-15 | Lech PoznanA | 4–0W |
| 2026-10-18 | SC FreiburgH | 2–1W |
FC Augsburg
Goals scored per match
2.7
Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores51
This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 6 recorded matches · 2026-08-30 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Bundesliga 2026-2027: 1.84 goals per team/match, 54 matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 21.4
- Recency
- 92.3
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 60.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from FC Augsburg’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | FC Schalke 04H | 3–0W |
| 2026-09-06 | Eintracht FrankfurtA | 4–1W |
| 2026-09-12 | Bayer LeverkusenH | 2–2D |
| 2026-09-19 | Werder BremenA | 2–3L |
| 2026-10-10 | Bayern MünchenH | 2–2D |
| 2026-10-17 | SV ElversbergA | 3–4L |
FC Augsburg
Both teams scored
83%
Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores57
Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 6 recorded matches · 2026-08-30 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Bundesliga 2026-2027: 1.84 goals per team/match, 54 matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 39.4
- Recency
- 92.3
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 60.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from FC Augsburg’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | FC Schalke 04H | 3–0W | No |
| 2026-09-06 | Eintracht FrankfurtA | 4–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-12 | Bayer LeverkusenH | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-09-19 | Werder BremenA | 2–3L | Yes |
| 2026-10-10 | Bayern MünchenH | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-10-17 | SV ElversbergA | 3–4L | Yes |
Bayer Leverkusen
Scoring in a row
8
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Streak74
The club has scored in consecutive recorded matches, starting with the latest result. One goal is enough to extend the run.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-29 → 2026-10-18 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
- Deviation
- 73.8
- Recency
- 95.4
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Bayer Leverkusen’s perspective. Event: Scoring in a row.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | SV ElversbergA | 2–3L | Yes |
| 2026-09-05 | Union BerlinH | 4–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-12 | FC AugsburgA | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-09-16 | CeljeH | 2–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-20 | RB LeipzigH | 2–0W | Yes |
| 2026-10-10 | FSV Mainz 05A | 4–3W | Yes |
| 2026-10-15 | Lech PoznanA | 4–0W | Yes |
| 2026-10-18 | SC FreiburgH | 2–1W | Yes |
Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.
Full club analysis →
1.FC Köln
Both teams scored
83%
Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores56
Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 6 recorded matches · 2026-08-29 → 2026-10-16 UTC. Bundesliga 2026-2027: 1.84 goals per team/match, 54 matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 39.4
- Recency
- 89.3
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 60.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from 1.FC Köln’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | 1899 HoffenheimH | 3–2W | Yes |
| 2026-09-04 | VfB StuttgartA | 1–4L | Yes |
| 2026-09-12 | Werder BremenH | 1–1D | Yes |
| 2026-09-19 | Hamburger SVA | 1–2L | Yes |
| 2026-10-11 | Borussia MönchengladbachH | 2–1W | Yes |
| 2026-10-16 | Eintracht FrankfurtA | 0–1L | No |
SC Freiburg
Goals scored per match
2.5
Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores50
This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 6 recorded matches · 2026-08-30 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Bundesliga 2026-2027: 1.84 goals per team/match, 54 matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 17.1
- Recency
- 95.4
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 60.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from SC Freiburg’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Werder BremenH | 4–1W |
| 2026-09-05 | SC Paderborn 07A | 1–0W |
| 2026-09-12 | Borussia MönchengladbachH | 5–0W |
| 2026-09-19 | Eintracht FrankfurtA | 2–2D |
| 2026-10-11 | FC Schalke 04H | 2–1W |
| 2026-10-18 | Bayer LeverkusenA | 1–2L |
RB Leipzig
Goals scored per match
2.3
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores51
This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-29 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Bundesliga 2026-2027: 1.84 goals per team/match, 54 matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 11.9
- Recency
- 92.3
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from RB Leipzig’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Borussia MönchengladbachH | 3–0W |
| 2026-09-05 | Werder BremenA | 1–3L |
| 2026-09-10 | ComoA | 1–4L |
| 2026-09-13 | Hamburger SVH | 5–0W |
| 2026-09-20 | Bayer LeverkusenA | 0–2L |
| 2026-10-10 | Eintracht FrankfurtH | 6–0W |
| 2026-10-13 | PSV EindhovenH | 1–0W |
| 2026-10-17 | Bayern MünchenA | 1–6L |
FSV Mainz 05
Goals scored per match
2.3
Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores48
This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 6 recorded matches · 2026-08-29 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Bundesliga 2026-2027: 1.84 goals per team/match, 54 matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 12.7
- Recency
- 92.3
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 60.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from FSV Mainz 05’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | SC Paderborn 07H | 0–0D |
| 2026-09-06 | Hamburger SVA | 5–0W |
| 2026-09-12 | Eintracht FrankfurtH | 1–3L |
| 2026-09-19 | Borussia MönchengladbachA | 4–3W |
| 2026-10-10 | Bayer LeverkusenH | 3–4L |
| 2026-10-17 | FC Schalke 04A | 1–0W |
Bayern München
Scoring in a row
6
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Streak66
The club has scored in consecutive recorded matches, starting with the latest result. One goal is enough to extend the run.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-17 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
- Deviation
- 55.4
- Recency
- 92.3
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Bayern München’s perspective. Event: Scoring in a row.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | VfB StuttgartH | 5–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-05 | FC Schalke 04A | 0–0D | No |
| 2026-09-10 | Bodo/GlimtH | 5–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-13 | SV ElversbergA | 2–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-18 | Union BerlinH | 7–0W | Yes |
| 2026-10-10 | FC AugsburgA | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-10-13 | VikingA | 3–3D | Yes |
| 2026-10-17 | RB LeipzigH | 6–1W | Yes |
Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.
Full club analysis →
SC Freiburg
Scoring in a row
6
Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions
Streak61
The club has scored in consecutive recorded matches, starting with the latest result. One goal is enough to extend the run.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 6 recorded matches · 2026-08-30 → 2026-10-18 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
- Deviation
- 49.1
- Recency
- 95.4
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 60.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from SC Freiburg’s perspective. Event: Scoring in a row.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Werder BremenH | 4–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-05 | SC Paderborn 07A | 1–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-12 | Borussia MönchengladbachH | 5–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-19 | Eintracht FrankfurtA | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-10-11 | FC Schalke 04H | 2–1W | Yes |
| 2026-10-18 | Bayer LeverkusenA | 1–2L | Yes |
Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.
Full club analysis →
Werder Bremen
Scoring in a row
6
Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions
Streak60
The club has scored in consecutive recorded matches, starting with the latest result. One goal is enough to extend the run.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 6 recorded matches · 2026-08-30 → 2026-10-17 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
- Deviation
- 49.1
- Recency
- 92.3
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 60.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Werder Bremen’s perspective. Event: Scoring in a row.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | SC FreiburgA | 1–4L | Yes |
| 2026-09-05 | RB LeipzigH | 3–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-12 | 1.FC KölnA | 1–1D | Yes |
| 2026-09-19 | FC AugsburgH | 3–2W | Yes |
| 2026-10-09 | Borussia DortmundA | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-10-17 | SC Paderborn 07H | 2–2D | Yes |
Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.
Full club analysis →
FC Augsburg
Scoring in a row
6
Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions
Streak60
The club has scored in consecutive recorded matches, starting with the latest result. One goal is enough to extend the run.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 6 recorded matches · 2026-08-30 → 2026-10-17 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
- Deviation
- 49.1
- Recency
- 92.3
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 60.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from FC Augsburg’s perspective. Event: Scoring in a row.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | FC Schalke 04H | 3–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-06 | Eintracht FrankfurtA | 4–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-12 | Bayer LeverkusenH | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-09-19 | Werder BremenA | 2–3L | Yes |
| 2026-10-10 | Bayern MünchenH | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-10-17 | SV ElversbergA | 3–4L | Yes |
Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.
Full club analysis →
Werder Bremen
Goals scored per match
2.0
Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores45
This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 6 recorded matches · 2026-08-30 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Bundesliga 2026-2027: 1.84 goals per team/match, 54 matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 4.1
- Recency
- 92.3
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 60.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Werder Bremen’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | SC FreiburgA | 1–4L |
| 2026-09-05 | RB LeipzigH | 3–1W |
| 2026-09-12 | 1.FC KölnA | 1–1D |
| 2026-09-19 | FC AugsburgH | 3–2W |
| 2026-10-09 | Borussia DortmundA | 2–2D |
| 2026-10-17 | SC Paderborn 07H | 2–2D |
SV Elversberg
Goals scored per match
2.0
Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores45
This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 6 recorded matches · 2026-08-29 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Bundesliga 2026-2027: 1.84 goals per team/match, 54 matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 4.1
- Recency
- 92.3
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 60.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from SV Elversberg’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Bayer LeverkusenH | 3–2W |
| 2026-09-05 | Borussia MönchengladbachA | 4–3W |
| 2026-09-13 | Bayern MünchenH | 1–2L |
| 2026-09-20 | FC Schalke 04A | 0–0D |
| 2026-10-10 | Union BerlinA | 0–1L |
| 2026-10-17 | FC AugsburgH | 4–3W |
FSV Mainz 05
Scoring in a row
5
Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions
Streak57
The club has scored in consecutive recorded matches, starting with the latest result. One goal is enough to extend the run.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 6 recorded matches · 2026-08-29 → 2026-10-17 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
- Deviation
- 40.9
- Recency
- 92.3
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 60.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from FSV Mainz 05’s perspective. Event: Scoring in a row.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | SC Paderborn 07H | 0–0D | No |
| 2026-09-06 | Hamburger SVA | 5–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-12 | Eintracht FrankfurtH | 1–3L | Yes |
| 2026-09-19 | Borussia MönchengladbachA | 4–3W | Yes |
| 2026-10-10 | Bayer LeverkusenH | 3–4L | Yes |
| 2026-10-17 | FC Schalke 04A | 1–0W | Yes |
Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.
Full club analysis →
SC Freiburg
Both teams scored
67%
Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores48
Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 6 recorded matches · 2026-08-30 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Bundesliga 2026-2027: 1.84 goals per team/match, 54 matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 12.1
- Recency
- 95.4
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 60.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from SC Freiburg’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Werder BremenH | 4–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-05 | SC Paderborn 07A | 1–0W | No |
| 2026-09-12 | Borussia MönchengladbachH | 5–0W | No |
| 2026-09-19 | Eintracht FrankfurtA | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-10-11 | FC Schalke 04H | 2–1W | Yes |
| 2026-10-18 | Bayer LeverkusenA | 1–2L | Yes |
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Both teams scored
67%
Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores48
Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 6 recorded matches · 2026-08-29 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Bundesliga 2026-2027: 1.84 goals per team/match, 54 matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 12.1
- Recency
- 95.4
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 60.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Borussia Mönchengladbach’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | RB LeipzigA | 0–3L | No |
| 2026-09-05 | SV ElversbergH | 3–4L | Yes |
| 2026-09-12 | SC FreiburgA | 0–5L | No |
| 2026-09-19 | FSV Mainz 05H | 3–4L | Yes |
| 2026-10-11 | 1.FC KölnA | 1–2L | Yes |
| 2026-10-18 | 1899 HoffenheimH | 1–2L | Yes |
Eintracht Frankfurt
Both teams scored
67%
Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores47
Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 6 recorded matches · 2026-08-29 → 2026-10-16 UTC. Bundesliga 2026-2027: 1.84 goals per team/match, 54 matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 12.1
- Recency
- 89.3
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 60.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Eintracht Frankfurt’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Union BerlinA | 3–3D | Yes |
| 2026-09-06 | FC AugsburgH | 1–4L | Yes |
| 2026-09-12 | FSV Mainz 05A | 3–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-19 | SC FreiburgH | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-10-10 | RB LeipzigA | 0–6L | No |
| 2026-10-16 | 1.FC KölnH | 1–0W | No |
SV Elversberg
Both teams scored
67%
Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores47
Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 6 recorded matches · 2026-08-29 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Bundesliga 2026-2027: 1.84 goals per team/match, 54 matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 12.1
- Recency
- 92.3
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 60.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from SV Elversberg’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Bayer LeverkusenH | 3–2W | Yes |
| 2026-09-05 | Borussia MönchengladbachA | 4–3W | Yes |
| 2026-09-13 | Bayern MünchenH | 1–2L | Yes |
| 2026-09-20 | FC Schalke 04A | 0–0D | No |
| 2026-10-10 | Union BerlinA | 0–1L | No |
| 2026-10-17 | FC AugsburgH | 4–3W | Yes |
Bayern München
Both teams scored
63%
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores49
Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Bundesliga 2026-2027: 1.84 goals per team/match, 54 matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 6.0
- Recency
- 92.3
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Bayern München’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | VfB StuttgartH | 5–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-05 | FC Schalke 04A | 0–0D | No |
| 2026-09-10 | Bodo/GlimtH | 5–0W | No |
| 2026-09-13 | SV ElversbergA | 2–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-18 | Union BerlinH | 7–0W | No |
| 2026-10-10 | FC AugsburgA | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-10-13 | VikingA | 3–3D | Yes |
| 2026-10-17 | RB LeipzigH | 6–1W | Yes |
Borussia Dortmund
Goals scored per match
1.8
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores48
This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-29 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Bundesliga 2026-2027: 1.84 goals per team/match, 54 matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 2.7
- Recency
- 92.3
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Borussia Dortmund’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Hamburger SVH | 2–0W |
| 2026-09-05 | 1899 HoffenheimA | 3–2W |
| 2026-09-08 | VillarrealH | 3–2W |
| 2026-09-12 | SC Paderborn 07H | 3–0W |
| 2026-09-19 | VfB StuttgartA | 1–0W |
| 2026-10-09 | Werder BremenH | 2–2D |
| 2026-10-14 | Bodo/GlimtA | 0–1L |
| 2026-10-17 | Union BerlinA | 0–0D |
VfB Stuttgart
Goals scored per match
1.8
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores48
This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Bundesliga 2026-2027: 1.84 goals per team/match, 54 matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 2.7
- Recency
- 92.3
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from VfB Stuttgart’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Bayern MünchenA | 1–5L |
| 2026-09-04 | 1.FC KölnH | 4–1W |
| 2026-09-09 | VikingH | 3–1W |
| 2026-09-12 | 1899 HoffenheimA | 1–2L |
| 2026-09-19 | Borussia DortmundH | 0–1L |
| 2026-10-10 | SC Paderborn 07A | 2–0W |
| 2026-10-14 | Slovan BratislavaA | 3–0W |
| 2026-10-17 | Hamburger SVA | 0–1L |
Eintracht Frankfurt
Goals scored per match
1.7
Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores44
This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 6 recorded matches · 2026-08-29 → 2026-10-16 UTC. Bundesliga 2026-2027: 1.84 goals per team/match, 54 matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 4.6
- Recency
- 89.3
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 60.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Eintracht Frankfurt’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Union BerlinA | 3–3D |
| 2026-09-06 | FC AugsburgH | 1–4L |
| 2026-09-12 | FSV Mainz 05A | 3–1W |
| 2026-09-19 | SC FreiburgH | 2–2D |
| 2026-10-10 | RB LeipzigA | 0–6L |
| 2026-10-16 | 1.FC KölnH | 1–0W |
1899 Hoffenheim
Goals scored per match
1.6
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores50
This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-29 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Bundesliga 2026-2027: 1.84 goals per team/match, 54 matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 6.4
- Recency
- 95.4
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from 1899 Hoffenheim’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | 1.FC KölnA | 2–3L |
| 2026-09-05 | Borussia DortmundH | 2–3L |
| 2026-09-12 | VfB StuttgartH | 2–1W |
| 2026-09-17 | OFIA | 0–2L |
| 2026-09-20 | SC Paderborn 07A | 1–3L |
| 2026-10-10 | Hamburger SVH | 2–3L |
| 2026-10-15 | BesiktasH | 2–3L |
| 2026-10-18 | Borussia MönchengladbachA | 2–1W |
About these insights
Read the signal. Keep the context.
Insights describe what is recorded. Use club and match analysis to explore what comes next.
Insight Score · experimental editorial interest. This version uses 0.35D + 0.25R + 0.20C + 0.20Q. D measures heuristic deviation, R observation recency, C breadth of evidence families and Q data quality. These starting weights are uncalibrated. It is neither team strength, win probability, statistical significance nor forecast confidence. Related result signals share one family; different sources are not automatically statistically independent. Unknown dates receive zero recency; unknown xG coverage limits its quality component. League averages are context references, not opponent-adjusted estimates.
Check the window
Result signals use the last 10 recorded matches; away signals use the last 8 away matches. At least 5 are required. Missing and special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound.
Read the chart
Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored or conceded, capped at 6; zero keeps a marker. Teal / amber / red means win / draw / loss. Faded bars mean the event did not happen. Open the evidence for full scores.
Separate the sources
xG uses observed Playing style averages before the next or latest league fixture; coverage can differ between inputs. xPts comes from stored LOAD90 forecasts on identical covered games, including labelled historical reconstructions.
Types alternate for variety. Values are ordered within their own metric, without a combined ranking. These descriptive signals do not change the LOAD90 forecast.
Explore methodology →