Celje
Attack—
Defense risk—
Our take
No forecast yet.
Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.
Away travel1,151 kmRest days14 · 14.1Matches / 14d1 · 0
Real contextStrength only
Celje—%
Draw—%
Olympiakos Piraeus—%
Weather (Celje)
Forecast from 25 Nov
Referee—Not appointed yet
Key insights
Automatic descriptive highlights for Celje and Olympiakos Piraeus. These describe recorded performance and do not change the match forecast. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals per category, with at most three per team.Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.
Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.
xG Difference uses the observed pre-match Playing style averages already shown for this fixture. Window size is not xG coverage, and the two averages can have different denominators. Result statistics use completed matches recorded up to now; their window can differ from the Playing style profile. Season points and xPts are not included here.
Headlines
-
Insight
Olympiakos Piraeus
+1.18
xG difference per match
Underlying performance · 10-match window
xG for1.56xG against0.38
-
Trend
Celje
63%
Both teams scored
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Both teams scored -
Insight
Celje
−1.12
xG difference per match
Underlying performance · 10-match window
xG for0.82xG against1.94
-
Alert
Celje
1.8
Goals conceded per match
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals conceded · W/D/L colours
Attack
Defence
Team strength
CeljeOlympiakos Piraeus
—
L90 StrengthIn forecast
—
18
Current StrengthIn forecast
63
17
AttackIn forecast
54
19
DefenceIn forecast
68
—
Form indexContext
—
In forecastContext
L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.
Match Opportunity
Full analysisOlympiakos Piraeus
Attack—
Defense risk—
Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.
Playing style
CeljeOlympiakos Piraeus
0.00
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.50
2.50
Goals concededVia Att/Def
0.50
0.91
xGVia Att/Def
1.44
2.00
xG allowedVia Att/Def
0.65
-0.91
Goals minus xGContext
+0.06
0%
Scored inContext
100%
0%
Clean sheetsContext
50%
9.00
ShotsContext
16.00
2.50
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
5.00
28%
On target shareContext
31%
7.00
Shots in the boxContext
11.50
78%
Box shareContext
74%
0%
ConversionContext
9%
1.50
OffsidesContext
2.00
15.50
Shots allowedContext
7.50
7.00
On target allowedVia Att/Def
4.00
2.50
BlocksContext
—
5.00
Goalkeeper savesContext
4.00
71%
Save rateContext
100%
53%
PossessionIn forecast
52%
582
PassesContext
441
514
Accurate passesContext
365
88%
Pass accuracyContext
83%
6.47
Team ratingContext
6.96
9.50
FoulsContext
10.50
12.00
Fouls sufferedContext
13.00
2.00
Yellow cardsContext
2.00
0.00
Red cardsContext
0.00
1.10
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.10
1.80
Goals concededVia Att/Def
0.40
0.82
xGVia Att/Def
1.56
1.94
xG allowedVia Att/Def
0.38
+0.28
Goals minus xGContext
-0.46
70%
Scored inContext
60%
20%
Clean sheetsContext
70%
9.83
ShotsContext
17.10
3.80
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
5.10
32%
On target shareContext
30%
6.17
Shots in the boxContext
10.60
61%
Box shareContext
61%
7%
ConversionContext
6%
2.80
OffsidesContext
2.00
15.83
Shots allowedContext
6.90
6.67
On target allowedVia Att/Def
2.70
4.00
BlocksContext
3.00
4.67
Goalkeeper savesContext
2.56
70%
Save rateContext
89%
55%
PossessionIn forecast
59%
566
PassesContext
488
492
Accurate passesContext
392
87%
Pass accuracyContext
80%
6.66
Team ratingContext
6.95
12.86
FoulsContext
11.80
11.57
Fouls sufferedContext
11.40
2.60
Yellow cardsContext
1.70
0.10
Red cardsContext
0.10
In forecastVia Att/DefContext
In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.
Recent performance last 5 · schedule
Celje
LL
Rest14 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel0 km640 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 28 · 0 pts vs 2.7 for an average club · -1.8 vs expected
Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.
Full schedule & recovery
| Celje |
Olympiakos Piraeus |
|
|---|---|---|
| Schedule loaddescriptive index, context | Low · 0 | Low · 12 |
| High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast | No | No |
| Rest dayssince last match | 14UEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase, 26 Nov | 14.1UEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase, 26 Nov |
| Travel to venuefrom home stadium | 0 km | 1,151 km |
| Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways | 640 km | 0 km |
| Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days | 0 / 1 / 1 | 0 / 0 / 1 |
| Next matchdays after this one | 41.9 | 41.9 |
All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.
Squad & lineups
Celje
Last XI · not confirmed
1Ž. Leban(G)
11M. Avdyli
6A. Tutyškinas
15Žan Žužek
44Ł. Bejger
14L. Tičić
19M. Zabukovnik
13P. Daniel
91Y. Dukuly
9B. Kramer
10S. Sešlar
Olympiakos Piraeus
Last XI · not confirmed
1S. Ortega(G)
70S. Onyemaechi
5L. Pirola
45P. Retsos
2E. Saliakas
32S. Hezze
15G. Puerta
20Jota Silva
22Chiquinho
10Gelson Martins
11R. Yaremchuk
Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.
Key absences Celje
Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Olympiakos Piraeus
Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Total impact vs full squads
—
Home / Away this season
Celje · Home
0.00points per game · 1 home games
- W-D-L
- 0-0-1
- Scored
- 0.00
- Conceded
- 3.00
Olympiakos Piraeus · Away
3.00points per game · 1 away games
- W-D-L
- 1-0-0
- Scored
- 1.00
- Conceded
- 0.00
Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.
Head to head
No earlier meetings in our data.
Goals & match trends
| Celje | Olympiakos Piraeus | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 0.00 | 1.50 | |
| Conceded per game | 2.50 | 0.50 | |
| Match goals | 2.50 | 2.00 | |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 50% | |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 50% | |
| Over 3.5 | 0% | 0% | |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 50% | |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 50% | |
| Failed to score | 100% | 0% | |
| Games | 2 | 2 |
| Celje | Olympiakos Piraeus | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.13 | 1.00 | |
| Conceded per game | 1.75 | 0.75 | |
| Match goals | 2.88 | 1.75 | |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 50% | |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 50% | |
| Over 3.5 | 13% | 0% | |
| Both teams scored | 63% | 50% | |
| Clean sheets | 13% | 50% | |
| Failed to score | 25% | 25% | |
| Games | 8 | 4 |
Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.
Corners & cards
| Celje | Olympiakos Piraeus | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 2.50 | 1.00 | |
| Corners conceded | 6.00 | 9.00 | |
| Match total | 8.50 | 10.00 | 9.76 |
| Over 8.5 | 50% 1/2 | 100% 1/1 | |
| Over 9.5 | 0% 0/2 | 100% 1/1 | |
| Over 10.5 | 0% 0/2 | 0% 0/1 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 2.00 | 2.00 | |
| Opponent cards | 1.00 | 2.50 | |
| Match total | 3.00 | 4.50 | 3.76 |
| Over 3.5 | 50% 1/2 | 100% 2/2 | |
| Over 4.5 | 50% 1/2 | 50% 1/2 | |
| Celje | Olympiakos Piraeus | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 5.00 | 5.57 | |
| Corners conceded | 7.33 | 3.71 | |
| Match total | 12.33 | 9.28 | 9.76 |
| Over 8.5 | 83% 5/6 | 57% 4/7 | |
| Over 9.5 | 67% 4/6 | 43% 3/7 | |
| Over 10.5 | 67% 4/6 | 29% 2/7 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 2.70 | 1.80 | |
| Opponent cards | 1.50 | 1.70 | |
| Match total | 4.20 | 3.50 | 3.76 |
| Over 3.5 | 60% 6/10 | 40% 4/10 | |
| Over 4.5 | 40% 4/10 | 30% 3/10 | |
Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.
Goal timing
Celje2 games · scored 0 · conceded 5
1
0-15
1
16-30
31-45
1
46-60
1
61-75
1
76-90
Olympiakos Piraeus2 games · scored 3 · conceded 1
0-15
1
16-30
2
31-45
46-60
61-75
1
76-90
Celje9 games · scored 10 · conceded 17
1
4
0-15
1
2
16-30
4
3
31-45
1
3
46-60
1
2
61-75
2
3
76-90
Olympiakos Piraeus10 games · scored 11 · conceded 4
0-15
1
1
16-30
3
31-45
2
46-60
2
1
61-75
3
2
76-90
scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.
Scenario lab Soon
Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.
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