UEFA Europa League Matchday 6 Thu, Dec 10 · 17:45 Neo GSP, Levkosía
Omonia Nicosia 6th · 6 pts · 2 played
VS— Compare
Celtic 33rd · 0 pts · 2 played
Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel3,652 kmRest days13.9 · 5.1Matches / 14d1 · 4
Real contextStrength only
Omonia Nicosia—%
Draw—%
Celtic—%
Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.
Weather (Levkosía)

Forecast from 25 Nov

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for Omonia Nicosia and Celtic. These describe recorded performance and do not change the match forecast. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals per category, with at most three per team.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses the observed pre-match Playing style averages already shown for this fixture. Window size is not xG coverage, and the two averages can have different denominators. Result statistics use completed matches recorded up to now; their window can differ from the Playing style profile. Season points and xPts are not included here.

Headlines

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack

Attack insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Defence

Defence insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Streaks

Streaks insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Team strength

Omonia NicosiaCeltic
— L90 StrengthIn forecast —
33 Current StrengthIn forecast 52
34 AttackIn forecast 74
41 DefenceIn forecast 50
— Form indexContext —
In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Omonia Nicosia

Attack—
Defense risk—

Celtic

Attack—
Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Omonia NicosiaCeltic
2.00 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.00
0.00 Goals concededVia Att/Def 3.50
1.23 xGVia Att/Def —
1.03 xG allowedVia Att/Def —
+0.77 Goals minus xGContext —
100% Scored inContext 100%
100% Clean sheetsContext 0%
12.50 ShotsContext 15.00
5.50 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 5.50
44% On target shareContext 37%
5.50 Shots in the boxContext 11.00
42% Box shareContext 76%
16% ConversionContext 7%
1.00 OffsidesContext 1.00
15.50 Shots allowedContext 20.00
3.50 On target allowedVia Att/Def 6.50
5.50 BlocksContext 5.50
3.00 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.00
86% Save rateContext 46%
43% PossessionIn forecast 55%
454 PassesContext 556
385 Accurate passesContext 496
85% Pass accuracyContext 89%
7.22 Team ratingContext 6.36
6.50 FoulsContext 12.50
11.50 Fouls sufferedContext 11.50
1.00 Yellow cardsContext 0.00
0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00
This league season, per match · 2 and 2 games
1.20 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 2.00
0.90 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.60
1.43 xGVia Att/Def 2.44
0.93 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.32
-0.23 Goals minus xGContext -0.44
70% Scored inContext 90%
40% Clean sheetsContext 30%
13.25 ShotsContext 17.00
5.25 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 7.70
40% On target shareContext 45%
8.25 Shots in the boxContext 12.20
60% Box shareContext 73%
9% ConversionContext 12%
1.25 OffsidesContext 1.44
13.25 Shots allowedContext 16.50
4.00 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.70
3.50 BlocksContext 5.20
2.75 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.10
69% Save rateContext 66%
46% PossessionIn forecast 56%
386 PassesContext 587
314 Accurate passesContext 516
81% Pass accuracyContext 88%
6.67 Team ratingContext 6.92
9.71 FoulsContext 11.70
14.43 Fouls sufferedContext 11.30
1.90 Yellow cardsContext 1.30
0.20 Red cardsContext 0.00
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games
In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Omonia Nicosia
Rest13.9 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel0 km4,860 km in 14d
Schedule load10%Low
Form 73 · 6 pts vs 3.3 for an average club · +3.4 vs expected
  • W15 OctA · Celje3–01.3 xPts
  • W16 SepH · Celta Vigo1–01.3 xPts
Celtic
Rest5.1 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d4High congestion
Travel3,652 km4,145 km in 14d
Schedule load65%Critical
Form 32 · 0 pts vs 2.1 for an average club · -2.0 vs expected
  • L15 OctA · Benfica1–40.5 xPts
  • L17 SepH · Ferencvarosi TC1–31.5 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery
Omonia Nicosia Celtic
Schedule loaddescriptive index, contextLow · 10Critical · 65
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecastNoYes
Rest dayssince last match13.9UEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase, 26 Nov5.1Scottish Premiership 2026-2027, 5 Dec
Travel to venuefrom home stadium0 km3,652 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways4,860 km4,145 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days0 / 1 / 11 / 4 / 5
Next matchdays after this one42.12.9

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Omonia Nicosia Last XI · not confirmed
4-3-3 · vs Celje (A) 3–0, 15 Oct
40Fabiano(G)
29J. Balkovec 37Ľ. Šatka 5S. Coulibaly 93J. Duverne
14M. Marić 22M. Tankovic 74P. Andreou
7J. Montnor 99L. Diony 11Ewandro
Celtic Last XI · not confirmed
4-2-3-1 · vs Heart Of Midlothian (H) 7–1, 18 Oct
1V. Sinisalo(G)
63K. Tierney 5L. Scales 47D. Murray 51C. Donovan
22M. Baur 42C. McGregor
19C. Osmand 8E. Nygren 23H. Hassan
11Camilo Duran

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences
Omonia Nicosia Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Celtic Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Omonia Nicosia · Home 3.00points per game · 1 home games
W-D-L
1-0-0
Scored
1.00
Conceded
0.00
Celtic · Away 0.00points per game · 1 away games
W-D-L
0-0-1
Scored
1.00
Conceded
4.00

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Head to head

No earlier meetings in our data.

Goals & match trends

Omonia NicosiaCelticForecast
Scored per game 2.001.00
Conceded per game 0.003.50
Match goals 2.004.50
Over 1.5 50%100%
Over 2.5 50%100%
Over 3.5 0%100%
Both teams scored 0%100%
Clean sheets 100%0%
Failed to score 0%0%
Games22
Omonia NicosiaCelticForecast
Scored per game 1.382.00
Conceded per game 0.631.60
Match goals 2.003.60
Over 1.5 38%80%
Over 2.5 25%70%
Over 3.5 13%40%
Both teams scored 25%60%
Clean sheets 50%30%
Failed to score 25%10%
Games810

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

Omonia NicosiaCelticLeague
Corners
Corners won4.508.50
Corners conceded6.005.50
Match total10.5014.009.76
Over 8.5100% 2/2100% 2/2
Over 9.550% 1/2100% 2/2
Over 10.550% 1/2100% 2/2
Cards
Cards1.000.00
Opponent cards2.502.50
Match total3.502.503.76
Over 3.550% 1/20% 0/2
Over 4.550% 1/20% 0/2
Omonia NicosiaCelticLeague
Corners
Corners won4.298.70
Corners conceded4.864.60
Match total9.1513.309.76
Over 8.571% 5/7100% 10/10
Over 9.529% 2/780% 8/10
Over 10.529% 2/780% 8/10
Cards
Cards2.201.30
Opponent cards3.102.30
Match total5.303.603.76
Over 3.580% 8/1050% 5/10
Over 4.570% 7/1030% 3/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Goal timing

Omonia Nicosia2 games · scored 4 · conceded 0
0-15
1 16-30
31-45
1 46-60
61-75
2 76-90
Celtic2 games · scored 2 · conceded 7
1 0-15
2 16-30
1 2 31-45
1 46-60
1 61-75
1 76-90
Omonia Nicosia10 games · scored 12 · conceded 9
2 0-15
4 16-30
2 31-45
2 1 46-60
2 61-75
4 4 76-90
Celtic10 games · scored 20 · conceded 16
5 1 0-15
2 3 16-30
6 5 31-45
4 3 46-60
2 1 61-75
1 3 76-90

scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.

Scenario lab Soon

Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.

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