Bournemouth vs Plzen – 10 Dec 2026

UEFA Europa League Matchday 6 Thu, Dec 10 · 20:00 Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth, Dorset

Bournemouth 5th · 6 pts · 2 played WW

VS— Compare

Plzen 32nd · 0 pts · 2 played LL

Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel1,083 kmRest days5.2 · 14.1Matches / 14d3 · 0

Real contextStrength only

Bournemouth—%

Draw—%

Plzen—%

Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.

Weather (Bournemouth, Dorset)

Forecast from 25 Nov

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Headlines

Attack

Defence

Streaks

Not enough recorded data for this category yet.

Team strength

Bournemouth

Plzen

— L90 StrengthIn forecast —

77 Current StrengthIn forecast 49

83 AttackIn forecast 54

82 DefenceIn forecast 43

74 Form indexContext —

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Bournemouth

Attack—

Defense risk—

Plzen

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Bournemouth

Plzen

2.50 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 0.50

0.50 Goals concededVia Att/Def 2.50

— xGVia Att/Def —

— xG allowedVia Att/Def —

— Goals minus xGContext —

100% Scored inContext 50%

50% Clean sheetsContext 0%

17.50 ShotsContext 16.00

5.50 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 6.00

31% On target shareContext 38%

11.50 Shots in the boxContext 9.50

68% Box shareContext 59%

14% ConversionContext 3%

2.50 OffsidesContext —

10.50 Shots allowedContext 17.00

3.00 On target allowedVia Att/Def 9.50

— BlocksContext 3.00

2.50 Goalkeeper savesContext 7.00

83% Save rateContext 74%

54% PossessionIn forecast 48%

415 PassesContext 432

332 Accurate passesContext 339

80% Pass accuracyContext 79%

7.03 Team ratingContext 6.41

12.00 FoulsContext 14.00

16.00 Fouls sufferedContext 11.00

3.00 Yellow cardsContext 1.50

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00

This league season, per match · 2 and 2 games

1.50 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.10

1.50 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.30

1.82 xGVia Att/Def 0.97

1.15 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.36

-0.32 Goals minus xGContext +0.13

90% Scored inContext 60%

20% Clean sheetsContext 30%

15.80 ShotsContext 13.88

5.10 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.38

32% On target shareContext 32%

9.60 Shots in the boxContext 8.13

62% Box shareContext 56%

10% ConversionContext 5%

2.00 OffsidesContext 1.25

10.30 Shots allowedContext 14.25

4.11 On target allowedVia Att/Def 6.00

3.29 BlocksContext 3.50

2.86 Goalkeeper savesContext 4.88

61% Save rateContext 81%

53% PossessionIn forecast 48%

434 PassesContext 404

353 Accurate passesContext 314

81% Pass accuracyContext 78%

6.86 Team ratingContext 6.75

12.20 FoulsContext 14.10

12.70 Fouls sufferedContext 11.40

2.80 Yellow cardsContext 2.00

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.10

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Bournemouth WLLWW

Rest5.2 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d3all competitions

Travel0 km301 km in 14d

Schedule load15%Low

Form 74 · 9 pts vs 6.1 for an average club · +0.1 vs expected

W18 OctH · Sunderland2–01.8 xPts
W15 OctH · Sturm Graz3–02.3 xPts
L10 OctA · Chelsea1–51.3 xPts
L20 SepH · Liverpool0–11.6 xPts
W17 SepA · Real Sociedad2–11.8 xPts

Plzen LL

Rest14.1 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d0all competitions

Travel1,083 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load12%Low

Form 30 · 0 pts vs 2.3 for an average club · -2.3 vs expected

L15 OctA · Ferencvarosi TC1–20.9 xPts
L17 SepH · Union St. Gilloise0–31.4 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Bournemouth	Plzen
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 15	Low · 12
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	5.2Premier League 2026-2027, 5 Dec	14.1UEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase, 26 Nov
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	1,083 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	301 km	0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	1 / 3 / 5	0 / 0 / 1
Next matchdays after this one	1.8	41.9

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Bournemouth Last XI · not confirmed

4-2-3-1 · vs Sunderland (H) 2–0, 18 Oct

1Đ. Petrović(G)

3A. Truffert 14António Silva 5J. Hill 15A. Smith

10R. Christie 12T. Adams

16M. Tavernier 4L. Cook 37Rayan

9Evanilson

Plzen Last XI · not confirmed

4-2-3-1 · vs Ferencvarosi TC (A) 1–2, 15 Oct

1D. Ťapaj(G)

14Merchas Doski 98F. Prebsl 40S. Dweh 29A. Gabriel

17P. Hrošovský 36S. Pirgic

99Amar Memić 20J. Panoš 12A. Sojka

25C. Kabongo

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Bournemouth Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Plzen Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Bournemouth · Home 3.00points per game · 1 home games

W-D-L: 1-0-0
Scored: 3.00
Conceded: 0.00

Plzen · Away 0.00points per game · 1 away games

W-D-L: 0-0-1
Scored: 1.00
Conceded: 2.00

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Head to head

No earlier meetings in our data.

Goals & match trends

	Bournemouth	Plzen
Scored per game	2.50	0.50
Conceded per game	0.50	2.50
Match goals	3.00	3.00
Over 1.5	100%	100%
Over 2.5	100%	100%
Over 3.5	0%	0%
Both teams scored	50%	50%
Clean sheets	50%	0%
Failed to score	0%	50%
Games	2	2

	Bournemouth	Plzen
Scored per game	1.50	1.10
Conceded per game	1.50	1.30
Match goals	3.00	2.40
Over 1.5	90%	70%
Over 2.5	60%	50%
Over 3.5	30%	20%
Both teams scored	70%	50%
Clean sheets	20%	30%
Failed to score	10%	40%
Games	10	10

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Bournemouth	Plzen	League
Corners
Corners won	5.00	4.00
Corners conceded	6.50	4.00
Match total	11.50	8.00	9.76
Over 8.5	100% 2/2	50% 1/2
Over 9.5	100% 2/2	50% 1/2
Over 10.5	50% 1/2	0% 0/2
Cards
Cards	3.00	1.50
Opponent cards	3.00	2.00
Match total	6.00	3.50	3.76
Over 3.5	100% 2/2	50% 1/2
Over 4.5	100% 2/2	0% 0/2

	Bournemouth	Plzen	League
Corners
Corners won	4.60	4.33
Corners conceded	4.60	4.44
Match total	9.20	8.77	9.76
Over 8.5	50% 5/10	67% 6/9
Over 9.5	40% 4/10	56% 5/9
Over 10.5	30% 3/10	22% 2/9
Cards
Cards	2.80	2.20
Opponent cards	1.80	3.30
Match total	4.60	5.50	3.76
Over 3.5	70% 7/10	90% 9/10
Over 4.5	60% 6/10	60% 6/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.