UEFA Europa League Matchday 6 Thu, Dec 10 · 20:00 Reale Arena, Donostia-San Sebastián
Real Sociedad 22nd · 1 pts · 2 played
VS— Compare
Torreense 19th · 3 pts · 2 played
Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel769 kmRest days4.2 · 14Matches / 14d3 · 1
Real contextStrength only
Real Sociedad—%
Draw—%
Torreense—%
Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.
Weather (Donostia-San Sebastián)

Forecast from 25 Nov

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for Real Sociedad and Torreense. These describe recorded performance and do not change the match forecast. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals per category, with at most three per team.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses the observed pre-match Playing style averages already shown for this fixture. Window size is not xG coverage, and the two averages can have different denominators. Result statistics use completed matches recorded up to now; their window can differ from the Playing style profile. Season points and xPts are not included here.

Headlines

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack

Attack insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Defence

Defence insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Streaks

Streaks insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Team strength

Real SociedadTorreense
— L90 StrengthIn forecast —
58 Current StrengthIn forecast 26
62 AttackIn forecast 21
48 DefenceIn forecast 28
81 Form indexContext —
In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Real Sociedad

Attack—
Defense risk—

Torreense

Attack—
Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Real SociedadTorreense
1.00 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.50
1.50 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.50
— xGVia Att/Def —
— xG allowedVia Att/Def —
— Goals minus xGContext —
100% Scored inContext 100%
0% Clean sheetsContext 0%
10.00 ShotsContext 7.00
3.00 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 2.00
30% On target shareContext 29%
4.50 Shots in the boxContext —
50% Box shareContext —
10% ConversionContext 21%
1.00 OffsidesContext —
13.50 Shots allowedContext 22.50
4.00 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.50
3.50 BlocksContext 6.50
2.50 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.50
63% Save rateContext 64%
55% PossessionIn forecast 36%
561 PassesContext 287
469 Accurate passesContext 211
84% Pass accuracyContext 74%
6.51 Team ratingContext 6.64
13.50 FoulsContext 13.50
14.00 Fouls sufferedContext 16.50
2.00 Yellow cardsContext 2.50
0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00
This league season, per match · 2 and 2 games
1.90 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 0.75
1.90 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.25
1.28 xGVia Att/Def —
1.72 xG allowedVia Att/Def —
+0.62 Goals minus xGContext —
80% Scored inContext 50%
10% Clean sheetsContext 25%
13.80 ShotsContext 11.75
5.20 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 2.00
38% On target shareContext 17%
7.80 Shots in the boxContext 9.33
55% Box shareContext 64%
14% ConversionContext 6%
1.75 OffsidesContext 1.33
15.80 Shots allowedContext 16.00
5.70 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.25
3.90 BlocksContext 4.00
4.00 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.75
70% Save rateContext 71%
50% PossessionIn forecast 48%
481 PassesContext 339
410 Accurate passesContext 263
85% Pass accuracyContext 78%
6.82 Team ratingContext 6.70
12.40 FoulsContext 12.25
10.70 Fouls sufferedContext 15.50
1.90 Yellow cardsContext 2.25
0.20 Red cardsContext 0.00
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 4 games
In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Real Sociedad
Rest4.2 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d3all competitions
Travel0 km2,656 km in 14d
Schedule load20%Moderate
Form 81 · 10 pts vs 5.9 for an average club · +4.0 vs expected
  • W18 OctA · Malaga5–21.3 xPts
  • D15 OctA · Union St. Gilloise1–10.9 xPts
  • W11 OctH · Deportivo La Coruna3–21.7 xPts
  • W20 SepA · Valencia3–21.2 xPts
  • L17 SepH · Bournemouth1–21.0 xPts
Torreense
Rest14 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel769 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load6%Low
Form 50 · 3 pts vs 3.0 for an average club · +0.9 vs expected
  • L15 OctH · Sunderland1–21.0 xPts
  • W17 SepA · Lillestrom2–11.1 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery
Real Sociedad Torreense
Schedule loaddescriptive index, contextModerate · 20Low · 6
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecastNoNo
Rest dayssince last match4.2La Liga 2026-2027, 6 Dec14UEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase, 26 Nov
Travel to venuefrom home stadium0 km769 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways2,656 km0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days1 / 3 / 40 / 1 / 1
Next matchdays after this one2.842

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Real Sociedad Last XI · not confirmed
4-4-2 · vs Malaga (A) 5–2, 18 Oct
1Álex Remiro(G)
3Aihen Muñoz 19M. Sarr 6Jon Martín 22Héctor Fort
7Barrenetxea 18Carlos Soler 4Jon Gorrotxategi 14T. Kubo
9O. Óskarsson 10Mikel Oyarzabal
Torreense Last XI · not confirmed
4-2-3-1 · vs Sunderland (H) 1–2, 15 Oct
1Lucas Paes(G)
23Javi Vázquez 4V. Feltes 5M. Diadie 45J. Mutombo
8Alejandro Alfaro 6A. Oudrhiri
19K. Zoabi 33João Marques 11Manu Pozo
27A. Abubakari

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences
Real Sociedad Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Torreense Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Real Sociedad · Home 0.00points per game · 1 home games
W-D-L
0-0-1
Scored
1.00
Conceded
2.00
Torreense · Away 3.00points per game · 1 away games
W-D-L
1-0-0
Scored
2.00
Conceded
1.00

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Head to head

No earlier meetings in our data.

Goals & match trends

Real SociedadTorreenseForecast
Scored per game 1.001.50
Conceded per game 1.501.50
Match goals 2.503.00
Over 1.5 100%100%
Over 2.5 50%100%
Over 3.5 0%0%
Both teams scored 100%100%
Clean sheets 0%0%
Failed to score 0%0%
Games22
Real SociedadTorreenseForecast
Scored per game 1.901.50
Conceded per game 1.901.50
Match goals 3.803.00
Over 1.5 90%100%
Over 2.5 80%100%
Over 3.5 50%0%
Both teams scored 80%100%
Clean sheets 10%0%
Failed to score 20%0%
Games102

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

Real SociedadTorreenseLeague
Corners
Corners won6.002.00
Corners conceded3.5010.00
Match total9.5012.009.76
Over 8.550% 1/2100% 2/2
Over 9.550% 1/2100% 2/2
Over 10.550% 1/2100% 2/2
Cards
Cards2.003.00
Opponent cards2.002.00
Match total4.005.003.76
Over 3.550% 1/2100% 2/2
Over 4.550% 1/250% 1/2
Real SociedadTorreenseLeague
Corners
Corners won7.004.50
Corners conceded4.707.25
Match total11.7011.759.76
Over 8.590% 9/1075% 3/4
Over 9.580% 8/1075% 3/4
Over 10.570% 7/1075% 3/4
Cards
Cards2.202.50
Opponent cards2.403.25
Match total4.605.753.76
Over 3.570% 7/10100% 4/4
Over 4.570% 7/1075% 3/4

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Goal timing

Real Sociedad2 games · scored 2 · conceded 3
1 0-15
1 16-30
31-45
2 46-60
61-75
1 76-90
Torreense2 games · scored 3 · conceded 3
0-15
1 16-30
1 31-45
1 46-60
1 61-75
2 76-90
Real Sociedad10 games · scored 19 · conceded 19
3 1 0-15
3 1 16-30
3 2 31-45
4 3 46-60
3 6 61-75
3 6 76-90
Torreense4 games · scored 3 · conceded 5
0-15
1 16-30
1 1 31-45
1 46-60
1 61-75
3 76-90

scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.

Scenario lab Soon

Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.

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