Como

5th · Serie A · 14 points · Matches played: 7

5 points behind Inter · Table & Fixtures →

L90 Strength L90 Strength is LOAD90’s own club strength rating on a fixed 0–100 scale, built from its Elo rating. League Strength uses the mean Elo of a league's clubs and a separate league calibration, so the two scores are not directly comparable.

+3.2 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.

Base L90 Strength changed -2.3 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number. 66.9+3.2
World Rank 35th Global, by Elo
Serie A Rank 3rd L90 Strength
Last FiorentinaA xG 1.8–2.1 3–1 Next Manchester UnitedH 41%

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Como · All competitions

Forecast
Manchester UnitedUEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase · Home 41% win 1.48 xPts SassuoloSerie A 2026-2027 · Home 66% win 2.18 xPts TorinoSerie A 2026-2027 · Away 44% win 1.57 xPts VeneziaSerie A 2026-2027 · Home 80% win 2.53 xPts LensUEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase · Away 38% win 1.39 xPts InterSerie A 2026-2027 · Away 19% win 0.75 xPts CagliariSerie A 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts AEK Athens FCUEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase · Home — win — xPts JuventusSerie A 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts MonzaSerie A 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Real BetisUEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase · Away — win — xPts BolognaSerie A 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts AC MilanSerie A 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts LecceSerie A 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts AtalantaSerie A 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts LazioSerie A 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts CagliariSerie A 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Paris Saint GermainUEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase · Home — win — xPts NapoliSerie A 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts BarcelonaUEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase · Away — win — xPts SassuoloSerie A 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts MonzaSerie A 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts BolognaSerie A 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts TorinoSerie A 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts AC MilanSerie A 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts LecceSerie A 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts UdineseSerie A 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts JuventusSerie A 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts FiorentinaSerie A 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts ParmaSerie A 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts FrosinoneSerie A 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts LazioSerie A 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts InterSerie A 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts VeneziaSerie A 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts AtalantaSerie A 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts AS RomaSerie A 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts GenoaSerie A 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts

xPts = 3 × win probability + draw probability. — means no published forecast. Open a match for xG and the full forecast.

Results

Como · All competitions

Full time
FiorentinaSerie A 2026-2027 · Away W 3–1 1.8–2.1 xG +1.2 Δpts FeyenoordUEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase · Away L 2–3 1.3–0.6 xG -1.2 Δpts AS RomaSerie A 2026-2027 · Home D 0–0 1.5–1.1 xG -0.4 Δpts FrosinoneSerie A 2026-2027 · Away L 0–2 2.2–2.0 xG -2.1 Δpts ParmaSerie A 2026-2027 · Home W 2–1 3.2–1.0 xG +0.6 Δpts RB LeipzigUEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase · Home W 4–1 — xG +1.3 Δpts GenoaSerie A 2026-2027 · Away W 4–1 — xG +1.2 Δpts NapoliSerie A 2026-2027 · Away W 2–1 1.0–1.4 xG +1.8 Δpts UdineseSerie A 2026-2027 · Away D 1–1 1.5–2.1 xG -0.7 Δpts

Score and actual xG show Como first. Δpts = points taken − pre-match xPts. — means data unavailable.

Current load Moderate · 28

Rest profile3.2 days since last match
53%
Schedule load3 matches in last 14 days
30%
Travel loadHome match, 2,082 km in 14 days
17%
Squad availability8 out, 1 key: T. Chalobah
13%

Load before the next match, vs Manchester United, 21 Oct. Squad availability is shown separately and is not part of the score; availability is the share of squad weight missing, the same input the forecast uses for absences.

Schedule difficulty all competitions

Each bar is one match: 50% match difficulty from current relative Elo strength + 50% calendar load (rest, match congestion and travel). Higher means harder, on a 0–100 scale. This is a descriptive index, not a win probability. Lighter bars are upcoming; the dashed line marks today. Grey marks missing data. 22 Aug at Udinese: Schedule difficulty 14/100; match difficulty 22/100
D
 Aug 30 Aug at Napoli: Schedule difficulty 26/100; match difficulty 46/100
W
 4 Sep at Genoa: Schedule difficulty 13/100; match difficulty 20/100
W
 Sep 10 Sep vs RB Leipzig: Schedule difficulty 28/100; match difficulty 51/100
W
 14 Sep vs Parma: Schedule difficulty 10/100; match difficulty 19/100
W
 20 Sep at Frosinone: Schedule difficulty 14/100; match difficulty 21/100
L
 11 Oct vs AS Roma: Schedule difficulty 29/100; match difficulty 58/100
D
 Oct 14 Oct at Feyenoord: Schedule difficulty 29/100; match difficulty 44/100
L
 18 Oct at Fiorentina: Schedule difficulty 16/100; match difficulty 27/100
W
 21 Oct vs Manchester United: Schedule difficulty 46/100; match difficulty 64/100 24 Oct vs Sassuolo: Schedule difficulty 36/100; match difficulty 23/100 27 Oct at Torino: Schedule difficulty 38/100; match difficulty 27/100 1 Nov vs Venezia: Schedule difficulty 23/100; match difficulty 11/100 Nov 4 Nov at Lens: Schedule difficulty 35/100; match difficulty 41/100 8 Nov at Inter: Schedule difficulty 45/100; match difficulty 69/100 21 Nov vs Cagliari: Schedule difficulty 12/100; match difficulty 23/100 24 Nov vs AEK Athens FC: Schedule difficulty 23/100; match difficulty 38/100 29 Nov vs Juventus: Schedule difficulty 25/100; match difficulty 50/100 6 Dec at Monza: Schedule difficulty 7/100; match difficulty 13/100 Dec 9 Dec at Real Betis: Schedule difficulty 42/100; match difficulty 56/100 13 Dec vs Bologna: Schedule difficulty 29/100; match difficulty 33/100 20 Dec at AC Milan: Schedule difficulty 37/100; match difficulty 49/100 3 Jan vs Lecce: Schedule difficulty 10/100; match difficulty 19/100 Jan 6 Jan at Atalanta: Schedule difficulty 26/100; match difficulty 43/100 10 Jan vs Lazio: Schedule difficulty 23/100; match difficulty 46/100 17 Jan at Cagliari: Schedule difficulty 22/100; match difficulty 23/100 20 Jan vs Paris Saint Germain: Schedule difficulty 43/100; match difficulty 78/100 24 Jan vs Napoli: Schedule difficulty 31/100; match difficulty 46/100 27 Jan at Barcelona: Schedule difficulty 57/100; match difficulty 84/100 31 Jan at Sassuolo: Schedule difficulty 32/100; match difficulty 23/100 7 Feb vs Monza: Schedule difficulty 17/100; match difficulty 13/100 Feb 14 Feb at Bologna: Schedule difficulty 17/100; match difficulty 33/100 21 Feb vs Torino: Schedule difficulty 14/100; match difficulty 27/100 28 Feb vs AC Milan: Schedule difficulty 25/100; match difficulty 49/100 7 Mar at Lecce: Schedule difficulty 16/100; match difficulty 19/100 Mar 14 Mar vs Udinese: Schedule difficulty 14/100; match difficulty 22/100 21 Mar at Juventus: Schedule difficulty 28/100; match difficulty 50/100 4 Apr vs Fiorentina: Schedule difficulty 14/100; match difficulty 27/100 Apr 11 Apr at Parma: Schedule difficulty 10/100; match difficulty 19/100 18 Apr vs Frosinone: Schedule difficulty 11/100; match difficulty 21/100 25 Apr at Lazio: Schedule difficulty 26/100; match difficulty 46/100 2 May vs Inter: Schedule difficulty 35/100; match difficulty 69/100 May 9 May at Venezia: Schedule difficulty 6/100; match difficulty 11/100 16 May vs Atalanta: Schedule difficulty 22/100; match difficulty 43/100 23 May at AS Roma: Schedule difficulty 32/100; match difficulty 58/100 30 May vs Genoa: Schedule difficulty 10/100; match difficulty 20/100

Schedule next 30 days · forecast and load

All fixtures and load →
Rest3.2 daysbefore MUN
Matches / 14d3all competitions
Travel / 14d2,082 kmaway trips
Schedule load28%Moderate
vs Manchester UnitedWed 21 Oct, 17:45 UEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase · opponent L90 Strength 79 41%win24%draw34%loss Moderate load · 3.2 d rest · 3 in 14 d vs SassuoloSat 24 Oct, 14:00 Serie A 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 33 66%win19%draw15%loss High load · 2.8 d rest · 4 in 14 d at TorinoTue 27 Oct, 19:45 Serie A 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 39 44%win26%draw31%loss High load · 3.3 d rest · 4 in 14 d vs VeneziaSun 1 Nov, 11:30 Serie A 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 15 80%win13%draw7%loss Moderate load · 4.7 d rest · 4 in 14 d at LensWed 4 Nov, 20:00 UEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase · opponent L90 Strength 58 38%win24%draw38%loss Moderate load · 3.4 d rest · 3 in 14 d at InterSun 8 Nov, 17:00 Serie A 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 84 19%win19%draw62%loss Moderate load · 3.9 d rest · 3 in 14 d
Win · draw · loss: LOAD90 forecastLoad bar: rest, matches and travel before each game (context; only 4+ matches in 14 days changes the forecast)
Full match preview oneScored → vs Manchester United, 21 OctOdds, value, live score

Fixture Swing

Opponent opportunity across the next 3 matches · all competitions

3 of 3 forecasts available

Attack Swing−5%

Baseline 5.98 → Forecast 5.66 expected goals · 3 included matches

Conceding Swing+5%

Baseline 3.70 → Forecast 3.89 expected goals conceded · 3 included matches

Opportunity for the next 3 matches
MatchAttackConceding riskGoals · Baseline → Forecast
vs Manchester United21 Oct · UEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase −27% +30% 2.32 → 1.68
vs Sassuolo24 Oct · Serie A 2026-2027 +16% −6% 2.04 → 2.37
at Torino27 Oct · Serie A 2026-2027 −1% −6% 1.62 → 1.61

Swing compares total forecast goals with total baseline goals for the included matches. Forecasts are available up to 21 days ahead. Missing snapshots and different model revisions are excluded; a partial window covers only the matches shown with values. Your team's own conditions are kept in each baseline.

Next match · Match Opportunity

Como

Baseline: average Serie A opponent

Attack Downlift −27% Expected goals Baseline2.32Forecast1.68
Conceding Risk +30% Expected goals conceded Baseline1.18Forecast1.53
Clean Sheet −9.1 pp Chance of conceding no goals Baseline30.8%Forecast21.7%