Sunderland

20th · Premier League · 4 points · Matches played: 7

17 points behind Manchester City · Table & Fixtures →

L90 Strength L90 Strength is LOAD90’s own club strength rating on a fixed 0–100 scale, built from its Elo rating. League Strength uses the mean Elo of a league's clubs and a separate league calibration, so the two scores are not directly comparable.

+3.6 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.

Base L90 Strength changed -1.2 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number. 57.1+3.6
World Rank 62nd Global, by Elo
Premier League Rank 17th L90 Strength
Last BournemouthA xG 0.1–4.5 0–2 Next Lech PoznanA 52%

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Sunderland · All competitions

Forecast
Lech PoznanUEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase · Away 52% win 1.79 xPts LeedsPremier League 2026-2027 · Home 36% win 1.33 xPts CoventryPremier League 2026-2027 · Away 34% win 1.27 xPts Dinamo ZagrebUEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase · Home 59% win 1.98 xPts ChelseaPremier League 2026-2027 · Home 34% win 1.28 xPts Aston VillaPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts JagielloniaUEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase · Home — win — xPts TottenhamPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts LiverpoolPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts NewcastlePremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts AC MilanUEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase · Away — win — xPts Nottingham ForestPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Crystal PalacePremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts EvertonPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Manchester UnitedPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Hull CityPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts LiverpoolPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts ChelseaPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts AnderlechtUEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase · Away — win — xPts CoventryPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Levski SofiaUEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase · Home — win — xPts TottenhamPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Aston VillaPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Hull CityPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts EvertonPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Crystal PalacePremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Manchester UnitedPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts BrentfordPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts ArsenalPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts IpswichPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts FulhamPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Nottingham ForestPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts NewcastlePremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts BrightonPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts BournemouthPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts LeedsPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Manchester CityPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts

xPts = 3 × win probability + draw probability. — means no published forecast. Open a match for xG and the full forecast.

Results

Sunderland · All competitions

Full time
BournemouthPremier League 2026-2027 · Away L 0–2 0.1–4.5 xG -0.9 Δpts TorreenseUEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase · Away W 2–1 1.8–0.1 xG +1.2 Δpts BrightonPremier League 2026-2027 · Home L 0–2 0.7–1.1 xG -1.1 Δpts Manchester CityPremier League 2026-2027 · Away L 3–5 3.6–2.8 xG -0.5 Δpts AZ AlkmaarUEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase · Home W 1–0 2.3–1.5 xG +1.3 Δpts ArsenalPremier League 2026-2027 · Home L 0–2 1.8–1.9 xG -0.8 Δpts BrentfordPremier League 2026-2027 · Away D 1–1 1.7–1.2 xG +0.2 Δpts FulhamPremier League 2026-2027 · Home W 1–0 2.0–1.0 xG +1.6 Δpts IpswichPremier League 2026-2027 · Away L 1–2 0.7–1.8 xG -1.4 Δpts

Score and actual xG show Sunderland first. Δpts = points taken − pre-match xPts. — means data unavailable.

Current load Moderate · 37

Rest profile4.2 days since last match
0%
Schedule load3 matches in last 14 days
30%
Travel load1,234 km to venue, 4,481 km in 14 days
73%
Squad availability4 out, 2 key: D. Ballard, T. Meunier · Last match: 18 Oct
14%

Load before the next match, at Lech Poznan, 22 Oct. Squad availability is shown separately and is not part of the score; availability is the share of squad weight missing, the same input the forecast uses for absences.

Schedule difficulty all competitions

Each bar is one match: 50% match difficulty from current relative Elo strength + 50% calendar load (rest, match congestion and travel). Higher means harder, on a 0–100 scale. This is a descriptive index, not a win probability. Lighter bars are upcoming; the dashed line marks today. Grey marks missing data. 22 Aug at Ipswich: Schedule difficulty 25/100; match difficulty 43/100
L
 Aug 30 Aug vs Fulham: Schedule difficulty 29/100; match difficulty 57/100
W
 5 Sep at Brentford: Schedule difficulty 37/100; match difficulty 67/100
D
 Sep 12 Sep vs Arsenal: Schedule difficulty 45/100; match difficulty 90/100
L
 16 Sep vs AZ Alkmaar: Schedule difficulty 21/100; match difficulty 42/100
W
 20 Sep at Manchester City: Schedule difficulty 43/100; match difficulty 85/100
L
 10 Oct vs Brighton: Schedule difficulty 38/100; match difficulty 75/100
L
 Oct 15 Oct at Torreense: Schedule difficulty 22/100; match difficulty 24/100
W
 18 Oct at Bournemouth: Schedule difficulty 47/100; match difficulty 69/100
L
 22 Oct at Lech Poznan: Schedule difficulty 34/100; match difficulty 31/100 25 Oct vs Leeds: Schedule difficulty 49/100; match difficulty 65/100 31 Oct at Coventry: Schedule difficulty 35/100; match difficulty 45/100 5 Nov vs Dinamo Zagreb: Schedule difficulty 19/100; match difficulty 38/100 Nov 8 Nov vs Chelsea: Schedule difficulty 46/100; match difficulty 68/100 21 Nov at Aston Villa: Schedule difficulty 39/100; match difficulty 77/100 26 Nov vs Jagiellonia: Schedule difficulty 14/100; match difficulty 28/100 29 Nov vs Tottenham: Schedule difficulty 31/100; match difficulty 54/100 2 Dec at Liverpool: Schedule difficulty 50/100; match difficulty 77/100 Dec 5 Dec at Newcastle: Schedule difficulty 53/100; match difficulty 63/100 10 Dec at AC Milan: Schedule difficulty 53/100; match difficulty 58/100 12 Dec vs Nottingham Forest: Schedule difficulty 61/100; match difficulty 62/100 19 Dec vs Crystal Palace: Schedule difficulty 38/100; match difficulty 56/100 26 Dec at Everton: Schedule difficulty 30/100; match difficulty 59/100 30 Dec at Manchester United: Schedule difficulty 36/100; match difficulty 71/100 2 Jan vs Hull City: Schedule difficulty 28/100; match difficulty 33/100 Jan 5 Jan vs Liverpool: Schedule difficulty 50/100; match difficulty 77/100 16 Jan at Chelsea: Schedule difficulty 37/100; match difficulty 68/100 21 Jan at Anderlecht: Schedule difficulty 22/100; match difficulty 38/100 23 Jan vs Coventry: Schedule difficulty 33/100; match difficulty 45/100 28 Jan vs Levski Sofia: Schedule difficulty 22/100; match difficulty 24/100 30 Jan at Tottenham: Schedule difficulty 58/100; match difficulty 54/100 6 Feb vs Aston Villa: Schedule difficulty 46/100; match difficulty 77/100 Feb 10 Feb at Hull City: Schedule difficulty 24/100; match difficulty 33/100 20 Feb vs Everton: Schedule difficulty 30/100; match difficulty 59/100 27 Feb at Crystal Palace: Schedule difficulty 31/100; match difficulty 56/100 3 Mar vs Manchester United: Schedule difficulty 36/100; match difficulty 71/100 Mar 13 Mar vs Brentford: Schedule difficulty 34/100; match difficulty 67/100 20 Mar at Arsenal: Schedule difficulty 48/100; match difficulty 90/100 10 Apr vs Ipswich: Schedule difficulty 22/100; match difficulty 43/100 Apr 17 Apr at Fulham: Schedule difficulty 32/100; match difficulty 57/100 24 Apr at Nottingham Forest: Schedule difficulty 31/100; match difficulty 62/100 1 May vs Newcastle: Schedule difficulty 32/100; match difficulty 63/100 May 8 May at Brighton: Schedule difficulty 41/100; match difficulty 75/100 15 May vs Bournemouth: Schedule difficulty 35/100; match difficulty 69/100 23 May at Leeds: Schedule difficulty 33/100; match difficulty 65/100 30 May vs Manchester City: Schedule difficulty 43/100; match difficulty 85/100

Schedule next 30 days · forecast and load

All fixtures and load →
Rest4.2 daysbefore LEC
Matches / 14d3all competitions
Travel / 14d4,481 kmaway trips
Schedule load37%Moderate
at Lech PoznanThu 22 Oct, 17:45 UEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase · opponent L90 Strength 34 52%win22%draw26%loss Moderate load · 4.2 d rest · 3 in 14 d vs LeedsSun 25 Oct, 16:30 Premier League 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 73 36%win25%draw39%loss Moderate load · 3 d rest · 3 in 14 d at CoventrySat 31 Oct, 15:00 Premier League 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 52 34%win24%draw41%loss Moderate load · 5.9 d rest · 3 in 14 d vs Dinamo ZagrebThu 5 Nov, 20:00 UEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase · opponent L90 Strength 43 59%win22%draw19%loss Low load · 5.2 d rest vs ChelseaSun 8 Nov, 14:00 Premier League 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 77 34%win25%draw41%loss Moderate load · 2.8 d rest · 3 in 14 d
Win · draw · loss: LOAD90 forecastLoad bar: rest, matches and travel before each game (context; only 4+ matches in 14 days changes the forecast)
Full match preview oneScored → at Lech Poznan, 22 OctOdds, value, live score

Fixture Swing

Opponent opportunity across the next 3 matches · all competitions

3 of 3 forecasts available

Attack Swing+24%

Baseline 4.17 → Forecast 5.16 expected goals · 3 included matches

Conceding Swing−19%

Baseline 5.86 → Forecast 4.74 expected goals conceded · 3 included matches

Opportunity for the next 3 matches
MatchAttackConceding riskGoals · Baseline → Forecast
at Lech Poznan22 Oct · UEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase +68% −30% 1.25 → 2.10
vs Leeds25 Oct · Premier League 2026-2027 −5% −4% 1.62 → 1.55
at Coventry31 Oct · Premier League 2026-2027 +17% −21% 1.29 → 1.52

Swing compares total forecast goals with total baseline goals for the included matches. Forecasts are available up to 21 days ahead. Missing snapshots and different model revisions are excluded; a partial window covers only the matches shown with values. Your team's own conditions are kept in each baseline.

Next match · Match Opportunity

Sunderland

Baseline: average Premier League opponent

Attack Uplift +68% Expected goals Baseline1.25Forecast2.10
Conceding Risk −30% Expected goals conceded Baseline2.04Forecast1.44
Clean Sheet +10.7 pp Chance of conceding no goals Baseline13.0%Forecast23.7%