Football / The bigger picture

Insights.

Go beyond the result. Follow the patterns. See the evidence.

How to read the signals →

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Competition selects current clubs. Result windows include all recorded competitions; points comparisons use covered current-league matches.

League insights

Bundesliga · 21 signals · 17 clubs in this view

Explore all signals ↓

Automatically selected connections · one story per club · experimental Insight Score orders stories, not teams.

Bayern MünchenDefensive consistency, positive chance balanceInsight Score75/100

Clean sheets and low goals conceded accompany a positive observed xG balance. The xG profile describes overall chance balance; it is not, by itself, proof of strong defending.

Clean sheetsLast 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-17 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions
3/8
Goals conceded / matchLast 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-17 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions
1.0
Observed xG difference / match10-match profile · exact dates unavailable
Observed match xG · available averages
+2.15
Full club analysis →Different windows, shown individually. Connections invite analysis; they do not establish a cause.
Sources, limitations & score
Insight Score 75/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
100.0
Recency
46.5
Context
80.0
Quality
60.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

  • Clean sheets — Bundesliga 2026-2027: 1.84 goals per team/match, 54 matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
  • Goals conceded / match — Bundesliga 2026-2027: 1.84 goals per team/match, 54 matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
  • Observed xG difference / match — Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 3.27; xG against 1.12. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
Bayer LeverkusenDefensive consistency, positive chance balanceInsight Score66/100

Clean sheets and low goals conceded accompany a positive observed xG balance. The xG profile describes overall chance balance; it is not, by itself, proof of strong defending.

Clean sheetsLast 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-29 → 2026-10-18 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions
4/8
Goals conceded / matchLast 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-29 → 2026-10-18 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions
1.1
Observed xG difference / match10-match profile · exact dates unavailable
Observed match xG · available averages
+1.10
Full club analysis →Different windows, shown individually. Connections invite analysis; they do not establish a cause.
Sources, limitations & score
Insight Score 66/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
73.3
Recency
48.1
Context
80.0
Quality
60.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

  • Clean sheets — Bundesliga 2026-2027: 1.84 goals per team/match, 54 matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
  • Goals conceded / match — Bundesliga 2026-2027: 1.84 goals per team/match, 54 matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
  • Observed xG difference / match — Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 2.35; xG against 1.25. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Each signal belongs to one category. Categories sum to All signals; stories combine related evidence across categories.

Defence21 signals · 17 clubs

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Borussia Mönchengladbach Goals conceded per match 3.3 Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions Scores58
Scores Borussia Mönchengladbach 3.3 Goals conceded per match Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 6 recorded matches · 2026-08-29 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Bundesliga 2026-2027: 1.84 goals per team/match, 54 matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 58/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
38.7
Recency
96.2
Context
40.0
Quality
60.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Borussia Mönchengladbach’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-29RB LeipzigA0–3L
2026-09-05SV ElversbergH3–4L
2026-09-12SC FreiburgA0–5L
2026-09-19FSV Mainz 05H3–4L
2026-10-111.FC KölnA1–2L
2026-10-181899 HoffenheimH1–2L
Full club analysis →
Union Berlin Goals conceded per match 2.8 Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions Scores52
Scores Union Berlin 2.8 Goals conceded per match Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 6 recorded matches · 2026-08-29 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Bundesliga 2026-2027: 1.84 goals per team/match, 54 matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 52/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
25.7
Recency
93.0
Context
40.0
Quality
60.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Union Berlin’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-29Eintracht FrankfurtH3–3D
2026-09-05Bayer LeverkusenA0–4L
2026-09-11FC Schalke 04H1–3L
2026-09-18Bayern MünchenA0–7L
2026-10-10SV ElversbergH1–0W
2026-10-17Borussia DortmundH0–0D
Full club analysis →
Eintracht Frankfurt Goals conceded per match 2.7 Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions Scores50
Scores Eintracht Frankfurt 2.7 Goals conceded per match Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 6 recorded matches · 2026-08-29 → 2026-10-16 UTC. Bundesliga 2026-2027: 1.84 goals per team/match, 54 matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 50/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
21.4
Recency
90.0
Context
40.0
Quality
60.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Eintracht Frankfurt’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-29Union BerlinA3–3D
2026-09-06FC AugsburgH1–4L
2026-09-12FSV Mainz 05A3–1W
2026-09-19SC FreiburgH2–2D
2026-10-10RB LeipzigA0–6L
2026-10-161.FC KölnH1–0W
Full club analysis →
Hamburger SV Goals conceded per match 2.5 Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions Scores49
Scores Hamburger SV 2.5 Goals conceded per match Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 6 recorded matches · 2026-08-29 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Bundesliga 2026-2027: 1.84 goals per team/match, 54 matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 49/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
17.1
Recency
93.0
Context
40.0
Quality
60.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Hamburger SV’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-29Borussia DortmundA0–2L
2026-09-06FSV Mainz 05H0–5L
2026-09-13RB LeipzigA0–5L
2026-09-191.FC KölnH2–1W
2026-10-101899 HoffenheimA3–2W
2026-10-17VfB StuttgartH1–0W
Full club analysis →
1899 Hoffenheim Goals conceded per match 2.4 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores54
Scores 1899 Hoffenheim 2.4 Goals conceded per match Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-29 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Bundesliga 2026-2027: 1.84 goals per team/match, 54 matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 54/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
15.6
Recency
96.2
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from 1899 Hoffenheim’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-291.FC KölnA2–3L
2026-09-05Borussia DortmundH2–3L
2026-09-12VfB StuttgartH2–1W
2026-09-17OFIA0–2L
2026-09-20SC Paderborn 07A1–3L
2026-10-10Hamburger SVH2–3L
2026-10-15BesiktasH2–3L
2026-10-18Borussia MönchengladbachA2–1W
Full club analysis →
Borussia Dortmund Clean sheets 4 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores64
Scores Borussia Dortmund 4 Clean sheets Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Clean sheet

Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-29 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Bundesliga 2026-2027: 1.84 goals per team/match, 54 matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 64/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
47.9
Recency
93.0
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Borussia Dortmund’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-29Hamburger SVH2–0WYes
2026-09-051899 HoffenheimA3–2WNo
2026-09-08VillarrealH3–2WNo
2026-09-12SC Paderborn 07H3–0WYes
2026-09-19VfB StuttgartA1–0WYes
2026-10-09Werder BremenH2–2DNo
2026-10-14Bodo/GlimtA0–1LNo
2026-10-17Union BerlinA0–0DYes
Full club analysis →
Borussia Dortmund Goals conceded per match 0.9 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores57
Scores Borussia Dortmund 0.9 Goals conceded per match Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the low-goals signal threshold. Compare it with the league reference; opponent strength and chance quality are not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-29 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Bundesliga 2026-2027: 1.84 goals per team/match, 54 matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 57/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
28.3
Recency
93.0
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Borussia Dortmund’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-29Hamburger SVH2–0W
2026-09-051899 HoffenheimA3–2W
2026-09-08VillarrealH3–2W
2026-09-12SC Paderborn 07H3–0W
2026-09-19VfB StuttgartA1–0W
2026-10-09Werder BremenH2–2D
2026-10-14Bodo/GlimtA0–1L
2026-10-17Union BerlinA0–0D
Full club analysis →
Bayer Leverkusen Clean sheets 4 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores65
Scores Bayer Leverkusen 4 Clean sheets Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Clean sheet

Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-29 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Bundesliga 2026-2027: 1.84 goals per team/match, 54 matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 65/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
47.9
Recency
96.2
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Bayer Leverkusen’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-29SV ElversbergA2–3LNo
2026-09-05Union BerlinH4–0WYes
2026-09-12FC AugsburgA2–2DNo
2026-09-16CeljeH2–0WYes
2026-09-20RB LeipzigH2–0WYes
2026-10-10FSV Mainz 05A4–3WNo
2026-10-15Lech PoznanA4–0WYes
2026-10-18SC FreiburgH2–1WNo
Full club analysis →
RB Leipzig Clean sheets 4 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores64
Scores RB Leipzig 4 Clean sheets Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Clean sheet

Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-29 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Bundesliga 2026-2027: 1.84 goals per team/match, 54 matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 64/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
47.9
Recency
93.0
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from RB Leipzig’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-29Borussia MönchengladbachH3–0WYes
2026-09-05Werder BremenA1–3LNo
2026-09-10ComoA1–4LNo
2026-09-13Hamburger SVH5–0WYes
2026-09-20Bayer LeverkusenA0–2LNo
2026-10-10Eintracht FrankfurtH6–0WYes
2026-10-13PSV EindhovenH1–0WYes
2026-10-17Bayern MünchenA1–6LNo
Full club analysis →
FSV Mainz 05 Clean sheets 3 Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions Scores58
Scores FSV Mainz 05 3 Clean sheets Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Clean sheet

Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 6 recorded matches · 2026-08-29 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Bundesliga 2026-2027: 1.84 goals per team/match, 54 matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 58/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
42.4
Recency
93.0
Context
40.0
Quality
60.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from FSV Mainz 05’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-29SC Paderborn 07H0–0DYes
2026-09-06Hamburger SVA5–0WYes
2026-09-12Eintracht FrankfurtH1–3LNo
2026-09-19Borussia MönchengladbachA4–3WNo
2026-10-10Bayer LeverkusenH3–4LNo
2026-10-17FC Schalke 04A1–0WYes
Full club analysis →
VfB Stuttgart Goals conceded away per match 1.6 Last 5 recorded away matches Scores46
Scores VfB Stuttgart 1.6 Goals conceded away per match Last 5 recorded away matches Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

An away-only conceding average that meets the descriptive threshold. Home results are excluded from this club window; the league reference includes both venues and does not adjust opposition.

Recorded scores · away only · Last 5 recorded away matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Bundesliga 2026-2027: 1.84 goals per team/match, 54 matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-18 UTC. League reference includes home and away games; this club window is away only. Context only, without opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 46/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
5.8
Recency
93.0
Context
40.0
Quality
62.5

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 5 recorded away matches

Oldest → newest · scores from VfB Stuttgart’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-28Bayern MünchenA1–5L
2026-09-121899 HoffenheimA1–2L
2026-10-10SC Paderborn 07A2–0W
2026-10-14Slovan BratislavaA3–0W
2026-10-17Hamburger SVA0–1L
Full club analysis →
Bayern München Goals conceded per match 1.0 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores56
Scores Bayern München 1.0 Goals conceded per match Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the low-goals signal threshold. Compare it with the league reference; opponent strength and chance quality are not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Bundesliga 2026-2027: 1.84 goals per team/match, 54 matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 56/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
24.7
Recency
93.0
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Bayern München’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-28VfB StuttgartH5–1W
2026-09-05FC Schalke 04A0–0D
2026-09-10Bodo/GlimtH5–0W
2026-09-13SV ElversbergA2–1W
2026-09-18Union BerlinH7–0W
2026-10-10FC AugsburgA2–2D
2026-10-13VikingA3–3D
2026-10-17RB LeipzigH6–1W
Full club analysis →
SC Freiburg Goals conceded per match 1.0 Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions Scores52
Scores SC Freiburg 1.0 Goals conceded per match Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the low-goals signal threshold. Compare it with the league reference; opponent strength and chance quality are not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 6 recorded matches · 2026-08-30 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Bundesliga 2026-2027: 1.84 goals per team/match, 54 matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 52/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
21.9
Recency
96.2
Context
40.0
Quality
60.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from SC Freiburg’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-30Werder BremenH4–1W
2026-09-05SC Paderborn 07A1–0W
2026-09-12Borussia MönchengladbachH5–0W
2026-09-19Eintracht FrankfurtA2–2D
2026-10-11FC Schalke 04H2–1W
2026-10-18Bayer LeverkusenA1–2L
Full club analysis →
Bayern München Clean sheets 3 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores56
Scores Bayern München 3 Clean sheets Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Clean sheet

Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Bundesliga 2026-2027: 1.84 goals per team/match, 54 matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 56/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
24.8
Recency
93.0
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Bayern München’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-28VfB StuttgartH5–1WNo
2026-09-05FC Schalke 04A0–0DYes
2026-09-10Bodo/GlimtH5–0WYes
2026-09-13SV ElversbergA2–1WNo
2026-09-18Union BerlinH7–0WYes
2026-10-10FC AugsburgA2–2DNo
2026-10-13VikingA3–3DNo
2026-10-17RB LeipzigH6–1WNo
Full club analysis →
Werder Bremen Goals conceded per match 2.0 Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions Scores45
Scores Werder Bremen 2.0 Goals conceded per match Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 6 recorded matches · 2026-08-30 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Bundesliga 2026-2027: 1.84 goals per team/match, 54 matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 45/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
4.1
Recency
93.0
Context
40.0
Quality
60.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Werder Bremen’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-30SC FreiburgA1–4L
2026-09-05RB LeipzigH3–1W
2026-09-121.FC KölnA1–1D
2026-09-19FC AugsburgH3–2W
2026-10-09Borussia DortmundA2–2D
2026-10-17SC Paderborn 07H2–2D
Full club analysis →
FC Augsburg Goals conceded per match 2.0 Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions Scores45
Scores FC Augsburg 2.0 Goals conceded per match Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 6 recorded matches · 2026-08-30 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Bundesliga 2026-2027: 1.84 goals per team/match, 54 matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 45/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
4.1
Recency
93.0
Context
40.0
Quality
60.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from FC Augsburg’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-30FC Schalke 04H3–0W
2026-09-06Eintracht FrankfurtA4–1W
2026-09-12Bayer LeverkusenH2–2D
2026-09-19Werder BremenA2–3L
2026-10-10Bayern MünchenH2–2D
2026-10-17SV ElversbergA3–4L
Full club analysis →
RB Leipzig Goals conceded per match 1.9 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores48
Scores RB Leipzig 1.9 Goals conceded per match Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-29 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Bundesliga 2026-2027: 1.84 goals per team/match, 54 matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 48/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
0.9
Recency
93.0
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from RB Leipzig’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-29Borussia MönchengladbachH3–0W
2026-09-05Werder BremenA1–3L
2026-09-10ComoA1–4L
2026-09-13Hamburger SVH5–0W
2026-09-20Bayer LeverkusenA0–2L
2026-10-10Eintracht FrankfurtH6–0W
2026-10-13PSV EindhovenH1–0W
2026-10-17Bayern MünchenA1–6L
Full club analysis →
1.FC Köln Goals conceded per match 1.8 Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions Scores43
Scores 1.FC Köln 1.8 Goals conceded per match Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 6 recorded matches · 2026-08-29 → 2026-10-16 UTC. Bundesliga 2026-2027: 1.84 goals per team/match, 54 matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 43/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
0.2
Recency
90.0
Context
40.0
Quality
60.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from 1.FC Köln’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-291899 HoffenheimH3–2W
2026-09-04VfB StuttgartA1–4L
2026-09-12Werder BremenH1–1D
2026-09-19Hamburger SVA1–2L
2026-10-11Borussia MönchengladbachH2–1W
2026-10-16Eintracht FrankfurtA0–1L
Full club analysis →
SV Elversberg Goals conceded per match 1.8 Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions Scores43
Scores SV Elversberg 1.8 Goals conceded per match Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 6 recorded matches · 2026-08-29 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Bundesliga 2026-2027: 1.84 goals per team/match, 54 matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 43/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
0.2
Recency
93.0
Context
40.0
Quality
60.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from SV Elversberg’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-29Bayer LeverkusenH3–2W
2026-09-05Borussia MönchengladbachA4–3W
2026-09-13Bayern MünchenH1–2L
2026-09-20FC Schalke 04A0–0D
2026-10-10Union BerlinA0–1L
2026-10-17FC AugsburgH4–3W
Full club analysis →
FSV Mainz 05 Goals conceded per match 1.7 Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions Scores45
Scores FSV Mainz 05 1.7 Goals conceded per match Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 6 recorded matches · 2026-08-29 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Bundesliga 2026-2027: 1.84 goals per team/match, 54 matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 45/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
4.6
Recency
93.0
Context
40.0
Quality
60.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from FSV Mainz 05’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-29SC Paderborn 07H0–0D
2026-09-06Hamburger SVA5–0W
2026-09-12Eintracht FrankfurtH1–3L
2026-09-19Borussia MönchengladbachA4–3W
2026-10-10Bayer LeverkusenH3–4L
2026-10-17FC Schalke 04A1–0W
Full club analysis →
SC Paderborn 07 Goals conceded per match 1.5 Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions Scores46
Scores SC Paderborn 07 1.5 Goals conceded per match Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 6 recorded matches · 2026-08-29 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Bundesliga 2026-2027: 1.84 goals per team/match, 54 matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 46/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
8.9
Recency
93.0
Context
40.0
Quality
60.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from SC Paderborn 07’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-29FSV Mainz 05A0–0D
2026-09-05SC FreiburgH0–1L
2026-09-12Borussia DortmundA0–3L
2026-09-201899 HoffenheimH3–1W
2026-10-10VfB StuttgartH0–2L
2026-10-17Werder BremenA2–2D
Full club analysis →

Showing 1–21 of 21 signals

About these insights
A little context goes a long way

Read the signal. Keep the context.

Insights describe what is recorded. Use club and match analysis to explore what comes next.

Insight Score · experimental editorial interest. This version uses 0.35D + 0.25R + 0.20C + 0.20Q. D measures heuristic deviation, R observation recency, C breadth of evidence families and Q data quality. These starting weights are uncalibrated. It is neither team strength, win probability, statistical significance nor forecast confidence. Related result signals share one family; different sources are not automatically statistically independent. Unknown dates receive zero recency; unknown xG coverage limits its quality component. League averages are context references, not opponent-adjusted estimates.

01

Check the window

Result signals use the last 10 recorded matches; away signals use the last 8 away matches. At least 5 are required. Missing and special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound.

02

Read the chart

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored or conceded, capped at 6; zero keeps a marker. Teal / amber / red means win / draw / loss. Faded bars mean the event did not happen. Open the evidence for full scores.

03

Separate the sources

xG uses observed Playing style averages before the next or latest league fixture; coverage can differ between inputs. xPts comes from stored LOAD90 forecasts on identical covered games, including labelled historical reconstructions.

Types alternate for variety. Values are ordered within their own metric, without a combined ranking. These descriptive signals do not change the LOAD90 forecast.

Explore methodology →