Paris Saint Germain

2nd · Ligue 1 · 14 points · Matches played: 7

Level on points with Lyon · Table & Fixtures →

L90 Strength L90 Strength is LOAD90’s own club strength rating on a fixed 0–100 scale, built from its Elo rating. League Strength uses the mean Elo of a league's clubs and a separate league calibration, so the two scores are not directly comparable.

-0.9 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.

Base L90 Strength changed +2.4 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number. 89.5-0.9
World Rank 5th Global, by Elo
Ligue 1 Rank 1st L90 Strength
Last StrasbourgA xG 2.7–1.0 3–1 Next BarcelonaH 29%

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Upcoming fixtures

Paris Saint Germain · All competitions

Forecast
BarcelonaUEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase · Home 29% win 1.07 xPts LyonLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home 77% win 2.45 xPts LE HavreLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away 84% win 2.63 xPts VillarrealUEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase · Away 48% win 1.67 xPts Estac TroyesLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home 95% win 2.89 xPts NiceLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts AS RomaUEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase · Home — win — xPts LorientLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts ToulouseLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Aston VillaUEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase · Away — win — xPts Paris FCLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts LensLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts AngersLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts ComoUEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase · Away — win — xPts AuxerreLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts GalatasarayUEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase · Home — win — xPts MonacoLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts MarseilleLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Le MansLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Stade Brestois 29Ligue 1 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts LensLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts RennesLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts AuxerreLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts StrasbourgLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Paris FCLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts LE HavreLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts LilleLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts LorientLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts AngersLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts LyonLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts NiceLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Estac TroyesLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts ToulouseLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts

xPts = 3 × win probability + draw probability. — means no published forecast. Open a match for xG and the full forecast.

Results

Paris Saint Germain · All competitions

Full time
StrasbourgLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away W 3–1 2.7–1.0 xG +0.6 Δpts Manchester CityUEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase · Away W 4–2 1.9–2.5 xG +2.1 Δpts Le MansLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home W 3–1 4.3–1.5 xG +0.3 Δpts MarseilleLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away W 2–1 — xG +0.9 Δpts Stade Brestois 29Ligue 1 2026-2027 · Away W 1–0 — xG +0.8 Δpts Slovan BratislavaUEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase · Home W 6–1 — xG +0.3 Δpts MonacoLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home L 1–2 — xG -2.3 Δpts LilleLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away D 2–2 1.4–1.3 xG -0.8 Δpts RennesLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away D 2–2 2.2–0.9 xG -1.0 Δpts

Score and actual xG show Paris Saint Germain first. Δpts = points taken − pre-match xPts. — means data unavailable.

Current load Moderate · 28

Rest profile3.2 days since last match
53%
Schedule load3 matches in last 14 days
30%
Travel loadHome match, 2,005 km in 14 days
17%
Squad availability2 out, no key players
2%

Load before the next match, vs Barcelona, 20 Oct. Squad availability is shown separately and is not part of the score; availability is the share of squad weight missing, the same input the forecast uses for absences.

Schedule difficulty all competitions

Each bar is one match: 50% match difficulty from current relative Elo strength + 50% calendar load (rest, match congestion and travel). Higher means harder, on a 0–100 scale. This is a descriptive index, not a win probability. Lighter bars are upcoming; the dashed line marks today. Grey marks missing data. 23 Aug at Rennes: Schedule difficulty 7/100; match difficulty 14/100
D
 Aug 28 Aug at Lille: Schedule difficulty 8/100; match difficulty 16/100
D
 4 Sep vs Monaco: Schedule difficulty 8/100; match difficulty 16/100
L
 Sep 9 Sep vs Slovan Bratislava: Schedule difficulty 3/100; match difficulty 5/100
W
 13 Sep at Stade Brestois 29: Schedule difficulty 7/100; match difficulty 8/100
W
 20 Sep at Marseille: Schedule difficulty 9/100; match difficulty 12/100
W
 10 Oct vs Le Mans: Schedule difficulty 3/100; match difficulty 6/100
W
 Oct 14 Oct at Manchester City: Schedule difficulty 30/100; match difficulty 53/100
W
 17 Oct at Strasbourg: Schedule difficulty 13/100; match difficulty 12/100
W
 20 Oct vs Barcelona: Schedule difficulty 45/100; match difficulty 61/100 25 Oct vs Lyon: Schedule difficulty 19/100; match difficulty 18/100 30 Oct at LE Havre: Schedule difficulty 10/100; match difficulty 5/100 3 Nov at Villarreal: Schedule difficulty 17/100; match difficulty 22/100 Nov 7 Nov vs Estac Troyes: Schedule difficulty 12/100; match difficulty 3/100 21 Nov at Nice: Schedule difficulty 6/100; match difficulty 6/100 25 Nov vs AS Roma: Schedule difficulty 14/100; match difficulty 28/100 28 Nov vs Lorient: Schedule difficulty 8/100; match difficulty 8/100 5 Dec at Toulouse: Schedule difficulty 16/100; match difficulty 10/100 Dec 8 Dec at Aston Villa: Schedule difficulty 35/100; match difficulty 40/100 12 Dec vs Paris FC: Schedule difficulty 14/100; match difficulty 8/100 3 Jan at Lens: Schedule difficulty 9/100; match difficulty 17/100 Jan 16 Jan at Angers: Schedule difficulty 2/100; match difficulty 4/100 20 Jan at Como: Schedule difficulty 14/100; match difficulty 22/100 23 Jan vs Auxerre: Schedule difficulty 10/100; match difficulty 7/100 27 Jan vs Galatasaray: Schedule difficulty 20/100; match difficulty 20/100 30 Jan at Monaco: Schedule difficulty 35/100; match difficulty 16/100 7 Feb vs Marseille: Schedule difficulty 6/100; match difficulty 12/100 Feb 13 Feb at Le Mans: Schedule difficulty 3/100; match difficulty 6/100 20 Feb vs Stade Brestois 29: Schedule difficulty 4/100; match difficulty 8/100 28 Feb vs Lens: Schedule difficulty 9/100; match difficulty 17/100 6 Mar at Rennes: Schedule difficulty 10/100; match difficulty 14/100 Mar 13 Mar at Auxerre: Schedule difficulty 4/100; match difficulty 7/100 20 Mar vs Strasbourg: Schedule difficulty 6/100; match difficulty 12/100 3 Apr at Paris FC: Schedule difficulty 4/100; match difficulty 8/100 Apr 10 Apr vs LE Havre: Schedule difficulty 3/100; match difficulty 5/100 17 Apr vs Lille: Schedule difficulty 8/100; match difficulty 16/100 24 Apr at Lorient: Schedule difficulty 7/100; match difficulty 8/100 1 May vs Angers: Schedule difficulty 2/100; match difficulty 4/100 May 9 May at Lyon: Schedule difficulty 12/100; match difficulty 18/100 16 May vs Nice: Schedule difficulty 3/100; match difficulty 6/100 22 May at Estac Troyes: Schedule difficulty 2/100; match difficulty 3/100 29 May vs Toulouse: Schedule difficulty 5/100; match difficulty 10/100

Schedule next 30 days · forecast and load

All fixtures and load →
Rest3.2 daysbefore BAR
Matches / 14d3all competitions
Travel / 14d2,005 kmaway trips
Schedule load28%Moderate
vs BarcelonaTue 20 Oct, 20:00 UEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase · opponent L90 Strength 93 29%win20%draw51%loss Moderate load · 3.2 d rest · 3 in 14 d vs LyonSun 25 Oct, 19:45 Ligue 1 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 60 77%win14%draw9%loss Moderate load · 5 d rest · 3 in 14 d at LE HavreFri 30 Oct, 18:00 Ligue 1 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 20 84%win10%draw5%loss Low load · 4.9 d rest · 3 in 14 d at VillarrealTue 3 Nov, 20:00 UEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase · opponent L90 Strength 67 48%win22%draw30%loss Low load · 4.1 d rest vs Estac TroyesSat 7 Nov, 19:45 Ligue 1 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 12 95%win4%draw1%loss Moderate load · 4 d rest · 3 in 14 d
Win · draw · loss: LOAD90 forecastLoad bar: rest, matches and travel before each game (context; only 4+ matches in 14 days changes the forecast)
Full match preview oneScored → vs Barcelona, 20 OctOdds, value, live score

Fixture Swing

Opponent opportunity across the next 3 matches · all competitions

3 of 3 forecasts available

Attack Swing−16%

Baseline 9.94 → Forecast 8.36 expected goals · 3 included matches

Conceding Swing+50%

Baseline 2.93 → Forecast 4.39 expected goals conceded · 3 included matches

Opportunity for the next 3 matches
MatchAttackConceding riskGoals · Baseline → Forecast
vs Barcelona20 Oct · UEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase −47% +172% 3.58 → 1.88
vs Lyon25 Oct · Ligue 1 2026-2027 −14% +15% 3.55 → 3.05
at LE Havre30 Oct · Ligue 1 2026-2027 +22% −22% 2.81 → 3.43

Swing compares total forecast goals with total baseline goals for the included matches. Forecasts are available up to 21 days ahead. Missing snapshots and different model revisions are excluded; a partial window covers only the matches shown with values. Your team's own conditions are kept in each baseline.

Next match · Match Opportunity

Paris Saint Germain

Baseline: average Ligue 1 opponent

Attack Downlift −47% Expected goals Baseline3.58Forecast1.88
Conceding Risk +172% Expected goals conceded Baseline0.92Forecast2.49
Clean Sheet −31.7 pp Chance of conceding no goals Baseline40.0%Forecast8.3%