Football / The bigger picture

Insights.

Go beyond the result. Follow the patterns. See the evidence.

How to read the signals →

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Competition selects current clubs. Result windows include all recorded competitions; points comparisons use covered current-league matches.

Stories behind the signals

All tracked leagues · 794 signals · 190 clubs in this view

Explore all signals ↓

Automatically selected connections · one story per club · experimental Insight Score orders stories, not teams.

BarcelonaWinning, and exceeding expectationsInsight Score84/100

A winning run and points above forecast expectations stand out together. Separate the recorded results from the chance balance; the points comparison covers a different set of league matches.

Wins in a rowLast 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-27 → 2026-10-17 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions
10+
Points minus expected11/11 current-league matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-17 UTC
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games
+6.3
Goals scored / matchLast 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-27 → 2026-10-17 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions
4.3
Observed xG difference / match10-match profile · exact dates unavailable
Observed match xG · available averages
+2.60
Full club analysis →Different windows, shown individually. Connections invite analysis; they do not establish a cause.
Sources, limitations & score
Insight Score 84/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
100.0
Recency
61.7
Context
100.0
Quality
67.9

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

  • Wins in a row — A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
  • Points minus expected — Points 33; xPts 26.7. Saved pre: 3; reconstructed: 8. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
  • Goals scored / match — La Liga 2026-2027: 1.53 goals per team/match, 88 matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
  • Observed xG difference / match — Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 3.55; xG against 0.95. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
LazioPoints ahead. Chance balance tells another story.Insight Score81/100

Points exceed the stored forecasts, while the observed xG profile has no positive balance. Results and chances tell different stories; this does not establish that a reversal is due.

Points minus expected7/7 current-league matches · 2026-08-24 → 2026-10-18 UTC
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games
+8.2
Observed xG difference / match10-match profile · exact dates unavailable
Observed match xG · available averages
−0.15
Wins in a rowLast 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-24 → 2026-10-18 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions
3
Full club analysis →Different windows, shown individually. Connections invite analysis; they do not establish a cause.
Sources, limitations & score
Insight Score 81/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
100.0
Recency
63.8
Context
100.0
Quality
51.7

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

  • Points minus expected — Points 19; xPts 10.8. Saved pre: 2; reconstructed: 5. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
  • Observed xG difference / match — Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.15; xG against 1.3. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
  • Wins in a row — A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
PSV EindhovenChance balance ahead of the points returnInsight Score76/100

A positive observed xG balance sits alongside points below stored forecast expectations. These are different windows: inspect finishing, conceding and individual matches before assigning a cause.

Points minus expected11/11 current-league matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-17 UTC
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games
−3.9
Observed xG difference / match10-match profile · exact dates unavailable
Observed match xG · available averages
+1.16
Goals scored / matchLast 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-17 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions
2.6
Full club analysis →Different windows, shown individually. Connections invite analysis; they do not establish a cause.
Sources, limitations & score
Insight Score 76/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
77.3
Recency
61.7
Context
100.0
Quality
66.4

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

  • Points minus expected — Points 20; xPts 23.9. Saved pre: 2; reconstructed: 9. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
  • Observed xG difference / match — Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 2.27; xG against 1.11. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
  • Goals scored / match — Eredivisie 2026-2027: 1.92 goals per team/match, 81 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
Bayern MünchenGoals accompanied by a positive chance balanceInsight Score75/100

Goals scored exceed the current league reference, alongside a positive observed xG profile. The sources have different windows; both describe past performances rather than the next result.

Goals scored / matchLast 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-17 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions
3.8
Observed xG difference / match10-match profile · exact dates unavailable
Observed match xG · available averages
+2.15
Full club analysis →Different windows, shown individually. Connections invite analysis; they do not establish a cause.
Sources, limitations & score
Insight Score 75/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
100.0
Recency
46.3
Context
80.0
Quality
60.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

  • Goals scored / match — Bundesliga 2026-2027: 1.84 goals per team/match, 54 matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
  • Observed xG difference / match — Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 3.27; xG against 1.12. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
ArsenalDefensive consistency, positive chance balanceInsight Score68/100

Clean sheets and low goals conceded accompany a positive observed xG balance. The xG profile describes overall chance balance; it is not, by itself, proof of strong defending.

Clean sheetsLast 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions
6/9
Goals conceded / matchLast 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions
0.6
Observed xG difference / match10-match profile · exact dates unavailable
Observed match xG · available averages
+0.71
Full club analysis →Different windows, shown individually. Connections invite analysis; they do not establish a cause.
Sources, limitations & score
Insight Score 68/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
76.2
Recency
47.8
Context
80.0
Quality
65.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

  • Clean sheets — Premier League 2026-2027: 1.45 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
  • Goals conceded / match — Premier League 2026-2027: 1.45 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
  • Observed xG difference / match — Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.56; xG against 0.85. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Each signal belongs to one category. Categories sum to All signals; stories combine related evidence across categories.

All signals794 signals · 190 clubs

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Cagliari Clean sheets 3 Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Scores59
Scores Cagliari 3 Clean sheets Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Clean sheet

Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Serie A 2026-2027: 1.48 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 59/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
36.3
Recency
98.9
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Cagliari’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-22ParmaA1–0WYes
2026-08-30InterH0–1LNo
2026-09-07LecceH1–0WYes
2026-09-12AtalantaA2–1WNo
2026-09-19UdineseA1–0WYes
2026-10-11JuventusH1–1DNo
2026-10-19MonzaA0–4LNo
Full club analysis →
Bayer Leverkusen Points above expected +3.5 8/8 covered matches · current leagues Forecast57
Forecast Bayer Leverkusen +3.5 Points above expected 8/8 covered matches · current leagues Points19.0xPts15.5

Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 8/8 current-league matches · 2026-08-29 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Points 19; xPts 15.5. Saved pre: 3; reconstructed: 5. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 57/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
40.4
Recency
95.7
Context
40.0
Quality
55.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

8/8 covered matches · current leagues

Points
19.0
xPts
15.5

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 3; reconstructed: 5.

Full club analysis →
Como Goals conceded away per match 1.5 Last 6 recorded away matches Scores47
Scores Como 1.5 Goals conceded away per match Last 6 recorded away matches Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

An away-only conceding average that meets the descriptive threshold. Home results are excluded from this club window; the league reference includes both venues and does not adjust opposition.

Recorded scores · away only · Last 6 recorded away matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Serie A 2026-2027: 1.48 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-19 UTC. League reference includes home and away games; this club window is away only. Context only, without opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 47/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
0.8
Recency
95.7
Context
40.0
Quality
75.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 6 recorded away matches

Oldest → newest · scores from Como’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-22UdineseA1–1D
2026-08-30NapoliA2–1W
2026-09-04GenoaA4–1W
2026-09-20FrosinoneA0–2L
2026-10-14FeyenoordA2–3L
2026-10-18FiorentinaA3–1W
Full club analysis →
KV Mechelen Points below expected −3.4 8/8 covered matches · current leagues Forecast49
Forecast KV Mechelen −3.4 Points below expected 8/8 covered matches · current leagues Points6.0xPts9.4

The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 8/8 current-league matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Points 6; xPts 9.4. Saved pre: 0; reconstructed: 8. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 49/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
39.2
Recency
75.8
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

8/8 covered matches · current leagues

Points
6.0
xPts
9.4

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 0; reconstructed: 8.

Full club analysis →
Ferencvarosi TC Goals scored per match 2.1 Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Scores53
Scores Ferencvarosi TC 2.1 Goals scored per match Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-07-09 → 2026-10-15 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 53/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
26.2
Recency
86.6
Context
40.0
Quality
72.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Ferencvarosi TC’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-07-09VojvodinaA2–1W
2026-07-16VojvodinaH3–0W
2026-07-23TwenteA2–1W
2026-07-30TwenteH2–2D
2026-08-05Gornik ZabrzeH1–0W
2026-08-13Gornik ZabrzeA1–1D
2026-08-20TrabzonsporA1–0W
2026-08-27TrabzonsporH4–0W
2026-09-17CelticA3–1W
2026-10-15PlzenH2–1W
Full club analysis →
PEC Zwolle xG difference per match −0.70 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG32
Observed xG PEC Zwolle −0.70 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for1.20xG against1.90

Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.2; xG against 1.9. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 32/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
46.7
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
1.20
xG against
1.90

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Everton Goals conceded per match 1.0 Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Scores51
Scores Everton 1.0 Goals conceded per match Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the low-goals signal threshold. Compare it with the league reference; opponent strength and chance quality are not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Premier League 2026-2027: 1.45 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 51/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
15.4
Recency
92.5
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Everton’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-22Crystal PalaceH2–0W
2026-08-29BournemouthA1–1D
2026-09-06Manchester UnitedH2–2D
2026-09-12TottenhamA0–0D
2026-09-19IpswichH1–0W
2026-10-11Hull CityA2–2D
2026-10-17ChelseaH0–2L
Full club analysis →
KV Mechelen Goals conceded per match 2.1 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores50
Scores KV Mechelen 2.1 Goals conceded per match Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Belgian Pro League 2026-2027: 1.51 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 50/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
20.5
Recency
75.8
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from KV Mechelen’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-09GentA0–2L
2026-08-16Standard LiegeH3–3D
2026-08-22CharleroiA0–2L
2026-08-29RAAL La LouvièreA2–2D
2026-09-05KVC WesterloH0–4L
2026-09-11AnderlechtH0–1L
2026-09-19Lommel UnitedA0–0D
2026-10-11St. TruidenH4–3W
Full club analysis →
Fortuna Sittard Scoring in a row 6 Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Streak70
Streak Fortuna Sittard 6 Scoring in a row Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Scoring in a row

The club has scored in consecutive recorded matches, starting with the latest result. One goal is enough to extend the run.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-18 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.

Insight Score 70/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
57.9
Recency
95.7
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Fortuna Sittard’s perspective. Event: Scoring in a row.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-08PSV EindhovenA2–2DYes
2026-08-15CambuurH3–1WYes
2026-08-22AZ AlkmaarH0–2LNo
2026-08-28GroningenA3–2WYes
2026-09-06ADO Den HaagA3–2WYes
2026-09-12AjaxH1–5LYes
2026-09-19Willem IIA1–0WYes
2026-10-10TwenteH1–1DYes
2026-10-18NEC NijmegenA2–2DYes

Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.

Full club analysis →
Bournemouth xG difference per match +0.67 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG32
Observed xG Bournemouth +0.67 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for1.82xG against1.15

Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.82; xG against 1.15. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 32/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
44.7
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
1.82
xG against
1.15

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Alverca Both teams scored 75% Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores59
Scores Alverca 75% Both teams scored Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Both teams scored

Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-12 UTC. Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 59/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
43.6
Recency
78.3
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Alverca’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-09FC PortoA0–2LNo
2026-08-15EstrelaH2–2DYes
2026-08-22Sporting CPA1–3LYes
2026-08-29Santa ClaraH1–1DYes
2026-09-05SC BragaH1–2LYes
2026-09-12NacionalA3–1WYes
2026-09-19Rio AveH1–0WNo
2026-10-12FamalicaoA4–1WYes
Full club analysis →
Hull City Clean sheets 3 Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Scores55
Scores Hull City 3 Clean sheets Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Clean sheet

Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Premier League 2026-2027: 1.45 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 55/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
27.5
Recency
92.5
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Hull City’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-22Manchester UnitedH2–0WYes
2026-08-29CoventryA1–0WYes
2026-09-05Aston VillaH0–0DYes
2026-09-12ChelseaA2–2DNo
2026-09-19NewcastleA1–2LNo
2026-10-11EvertonH2–2DNo
2026-10-17FulhamA0–1LNo
Full club analysis →
Kasimpasa Points above expected +3.5 8/8 covered matches · current leagues Forecast55
Forecast Kasimpasa +3.5 Points above expected 8/8 covered matches · current leagues Points13.0xPts9.5

Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 8/8 current-league matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Points 13; xPts 9.5. Saved pre: 1; reconstructed: 7. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 55/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
40.4
Recency
95.7
Context
40.0
Quality
45.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

8/8 covered matches · current leagues

Points
13.0
xPts
9.5

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 1; reconstructed: 7.

Full club analysis →
PSV Eindhoven Goals conceded away per match 1.5 Last 6 recorded away matches Scores50
Scores PSV Eindhoven 1.5 Goals conceded away per match Last 6 recorded away matches Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

An away-only conceding average that meets the descriptive threshold. Home results are excluded from this club window; the league reference includes both venues and does not adjust opposition.

Recorded scores · away only · Last 6 recorded away matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Eredivisie 2026-2027: 1.92 goals per team/match, 81 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-18 UTC. League reference includes home and away games; this club window is away only. Context only, without opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 50/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
12.1
Recency
92.5
Context
40.0
Quality
75.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 6 recorded away matches

Oldest → newest · scores from PSV Eindhoven’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-15ExcelsiorA2–1W
2026-08-30UtrechtA6–1W
2026-09-05AjaxA3–1W
2026-09-20TwenteA2–3L
2026-10-13RB LeipzigA0–1L
2026-10-17ADO Den HaagA1–2L
Full club analysis →
Kortrijk Points below expected −3.4 8/8 covered matches · current leagues Forecast48
Forecast Kortrijk −3.4 Points below expected 8/8 covered matches · current leagues Points3.0xPts6.4

The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 8/8 current-league matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-10 UTC. Points 3; xPts 6.4. Saved pre: 0; reconstructed: 8. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 48/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
39.2
Recency
73.3
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

8/8 covered matches · current leagues

Points
3.0
xPts
6.4

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 0; reconstructed: 8.

Full club analysis →
Goztepe Goals scored per match 2.1 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores56
Scores Goztepe 2.1 Goals scored per match Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-17 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Süper Lig 2026-2027: 1.44 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 56/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
22.2
Recency
95.7
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Goztepe’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-17SamsunsporA3–3D
2026-08-23GenclerbirligiH0–1L
2026-08-29GalatasarayA2–3L
2026-09-07Gazişehir GaziantepH2–4L
2026-09-12AlanyasporA2–2D
2026-09-20RizesporH2–2D
2026-10-12EyüpsporA4–0W
2026-10-18KocaelisporA2–1W
Full club analysis →
Racing Santander xG difference per match −0.70 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG32
Observed xG Racing Santander −0.70 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for1.47xG against2.17

Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.47; xG against 2.17. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 32/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
46.7
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
1.47
xG against
2.17

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Cagliari Goals conceded per match 1.0 Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Scores53
Scores Cagliari 1.0 Goals conceded per match Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the low-goals signal threshold. Compare it with the league reference; opponent strength and chance quality are not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Serie A 2026-2027: 1.48 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 53/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
18.1
Recency
98.9
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Cagliari’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-22ParmaA1–0W
2026-08-30InterH0–1L
2026-09-07LecceH1–0W
2026-09-12AtalantaA2–1W
2026-09-19UdineseA1–0W
2026-10-11JuventusH1–1D
2026-10-19MonzaA0–4L
Full club analysis →
Ipswich Goals conceded per match 2.1 Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Scores53
Scores Ipswich 2.1 Goals conceded per match Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Premier League 2026-2027: 1.45 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 53/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
23.7
Recency
92.5
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Ipswich’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-22SunderlandH2–1W
2026-08-30Manchester UnitedA2–5L
2026-09-04LiverpoolH0–2L
2026-09-12Crystal PalaceA3–2W
2026-09-19EvertonA0–1L
2026-10-10FulhamH2–1W
2026-10-17Manchester CityA2–3L
Full club analysis →
Bayern München Scoring in a row 6 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Streak67
Streak Bayern München 6 Scoring in a row Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Scoring in a row

The club has scored in consecutive recorded matches, starting with the latest result. One goal is enough to extend the run.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-17 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.

Insight Score 67/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
55.4
Recency
92.5
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Bayern München’s perspective. Event: Scoring in a row.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-28VfB StuttgartH5–1WYes
2026-09-05FC Schalke 04A0–0DNo
2026-09-10Bodo/GlimtH5–0WYes
2026-09-13SV ElversbergA2–1WYes
2026-09-18Union BerlinH7–0WYes
2026-10-10FC AugsburgA2–2DYes
2026-10-13VikingA3–3DYes
2026-10-17RB LeipzigH6–1WYes

Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.

Full club analysis →
Sporting CP xG difference per match +0.67 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG32
Observed xG Sporting CP +0.67 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for1.71xG against1.04

Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.71; xG against 1.04. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 32/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
44.7
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
1.71
xG against
1.04

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Lyon Both teams scored 70% Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Scores56
Scores Lyon 70% Both teams scored Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Both teams scored

Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Ligue 1 2026-2027: 1.52 goals per team/match, 63 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 56/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
13.0
Recency
95.7
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Lyon’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-22ToulouseA2–0WNo
2026-08-26FenerbahceH1–2LYes
2026-08-29LE HavreH1–1DYes
2026-09-04AuxerreH3–1WYes
2026-09-12Paris FCA0–0DNo
2026-09-16AnderlechtA2–1WYes
2026-09-19RennesH4–0WNo
2026-10-09LensA1–2LYes
2026-10-15Crystal PalaceH3–2WYes
2026-10-18NiceH2–1WYes
Full club analysis →
Paris FC Clean sheets 3 Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Scores59
Scores Paris FC 3 Clean sheets Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Clean sheet

Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Ligue 1 2026-2027: 1.52 goals per team/match, 63 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 59/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
37.5
Recency
95.7
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Paris FC’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-22Estac TroyesA0–0DYes
2026-08-30NiceH3–0WYes
2026-09-06MarseilleA3–2WNo
2026-09-12LyonH0–0DYes
2026-09-19StrasbourgH2–1WNo
2026-10-10LorientA0–1LNo
2026-10-18RennesH4–3WNo
Full club analysis →
AC Milan Points above expected +3.4 9/9 covered matches · current leagues Forecast57
Forecast AC Milan +3.4 Points above expected 9/9 covered matches · current leagues Points18.0xPts14.6

Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 9/9 current-league matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Points 18; xPts 14.6. Saved pre: 3; reconstructed: 6. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 57/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
36.4
Recency
95.7
Context
40.0
Quality
60.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

9/9 covered matches · current leagues

Points
18.0
xPts
14.6

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 3; reconstructed: 6.

Full club analysis →
Parma Points below expected −3.3 7/7 covered matches · current leagues Forecast56
Forecast Parma −3.3 Points below expected 7/7 covered matches · current leagues Points4.0xPts7.3

The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 7/7 current-league matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Points 4; xPts 7.3. Saved pre: 2; reconstructed: 5. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 56/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
41.3
Recency
98.9
Context
40.0
Quality
45.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

7/7 covered matches · current leagues

Points
4.0
xPts
7.3

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 2; reconstructed: 5.

Full club analysis →
Bodo/Glimt Goals scored per match 2.2 Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions Scores39
Scores Bodo/Glimt 2.2 Goals scored per match Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 6 recorded matches · 2026-08-04 → 2026-10-14 UTC. UEFA Champions League 2026-2027: 2.04 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-08 → 2026-10-14 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 39/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
3.3
Recency
83.7
Context
40.0
Quality
43.2

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Bodo/Glimt’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-04Union St. GilloiseA3–3D
2026-08-11Union St. GilloiseH3–2W
2026-08-19NEC NijmegenA3–1W
2026-08-25NEC NijmegenH3–0W
2026-09-10Bayern MünchenA0–5L
2026-10-14Borussia DortmundH1–0W
Full club analysis →
Union Berlin xG difference per match −0.69 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG32
Observed xG Union Berlin −0.69 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for1.31xG against2.00

Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.31; xG against 2. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 32/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
46.0
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
1.31
xG against
2.00

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Hull City Goals conceded per match 1.0 Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Scores51
Scores Hull City 1.0 Goals conceded per match Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the low-goals signal threshold. Compare it with the league reference; opponent strength and chance quality are not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Premier League 2026-2027: 1.45 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 51/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
15.4
Recency
92.5
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Hull City’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-22Manchester UnitedH2–0W
2026-08-29CoventryA1–0W
2026-09-05Aston VillaH0–0D
2026-09-12ChelseaA2–2D
2026-09-19NewcastleA1–2L
2026-10-11EvertonH2–2D
2026-10-17FulhamA0–1L
Full club analysis →
Monza Goals conceded per match 2.1 Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Scores56
Scores Monza 2.1 Goals conceded per match Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Serie A 2026-2027: 1.48 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 56/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
25.2
Recency
98.9
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Monza’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-22InterA1–4L
2026-08-29UdineseH2–3L
2026-09-06ParmaA1–1D
2026-09-13LecceA2–3L
2026-09-18SassuoloH2–1W
2026-10-11LazioA1–3L
2026-10-19CagliariH4–0W
Full club analysis →
Goztepe Scoring in a row 6 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Streak67
Streak Goztepe 6 Scoring in a row Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Scoring in a row

The club has scored in consecutive recorded matches, starting with the latest result. One goal is enough to extend the run.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-17 → 2026-10-18 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.

Insight Score 67/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
55.4
Recency
95.7
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Goztepe’s perspective. Event: Scoring in a row.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-17SamsunsporA3–3DYes
2026-08-23GenclerbirligiH0–1LNo
2026-08-29GalatasarayA2–3LYes
2026-09-07Gazişehir GaziantepH2–4LYes
2026-09-12AlanyasporA2–2DYes
2026-09-20RizesporH2–2DYes
2026-10-12EyüpsporA4–0WYes
2026-10-18KocaelisporA2–1WYes

Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.

Full club analysis →
FSV Mainz 05 xG difference per match +0.62 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG30
Observed xG FSV Mainz 05 +0.62 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for2.21xG against1.59

Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 2.21; xG against 1.59. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 30/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
41.3
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
2.21
xG against
1.59

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Feyenoord Both teams scored 70% Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Scores52
Scores Feyenoord 70% Both teams scored Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Both teams scored

Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-16 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Eredivisie 2026-2027: 1.92 goals per team/match, 81 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 52/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
3.2
Recency
92.5
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Feyenoord’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-16GO Ahead EaglesH2–2DYes
2026-08-23CambuurA5–2WYes
2026-08-30ADO Den HaagH2–2DYes
2026-09-05NEC NijmegenA3–1WYes
2026-09-09BarcelonaA1–5LYes
2026-09-13PEC ZwolleA7–0WNo
2026-09-20UtrechtH5–0WNo
2026-10-10AZ AlkmaarH2–0WNo
2026-10-14ComoH3–2WYes
2026-10-17TelstarA4–3WYes
Full club analysis →
Benfica Clean sheets 4 Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Scores59
Scores Benfica 4 Clean sheets Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Clean sheet

Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-20 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 59/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
25.8
Recency
86.6
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Benfica’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-20AarhusH3–1WNo
2026-08-27AarhusA3–1WNo
2026-08-31EstorilH2–1WNo
2026-09-05MaritimoA3–0WYes
2026-09-09MoreirenseA4–0WYes
2026-09-13GIL VicenteH3–1WNo
2026-09-16AC MilanA2–0WYes
2026-09-20FC PortoA1–3LNo
2026-10-11GuimaraesH2–0WYes
2026-10-15CelticH4–1WNo
Full club analysis →
Arouca Points above expected +3.4 8/8 covered matches · current leagues Forecast49
Forecast Arouca +3.4 Points above expected 8/8 covered matches · current leagues Points14.0xPts10.6

Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 8/8 current-league matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Points 14; xPts 10.6. Saved pre: 0; reconstructed: 8. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 49/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
39.2
Recency
75.8
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

8/8 covered matches · current leagues

Points
14.0
xPts
10.6

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 0; reconstructed: 8.

Full club analysis →
SC Braga Points below expected −3.1 8/8 covered matches · current leagues Forecast54
Forecast SC Braga −3.1 Points below expected 8/8 covered matches · current leagues Points11.0xPts14.1

The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 8/8 current-league matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Points 11; xPts 14.1. Saved pre: 1; reconstructed: 7. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 54/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
35.8
Recency
98.9
Context
40.0
Quality
45.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

8/8 covered matches · current leagues

Points
11.0
xPts
14.1

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 1; reconstructed: 7.

Full club analysis →
Jagiellonia Goals scored per match 2.2 Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions Scores47
Scores Jagiellonia 2.2 Goals scored per match Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 6 recorded matches · 2026-08-06 → 2026-10-15 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 47/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
23.6
Recency
86.6
Context
40.0
Quality
43.2

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Jagiellonia’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-06RangersH2–1W
2026-08-13RangersA1–1D
2026-08-20SaburtaloH4–0W
2026-08-27SaburtaloA2–1W
2026-09-16Olympiakos PiraeusA1–2L
2026-10-15Ararat-ArmeniaH3–1W
Full club analysis →
Estrela xG difference per match −0.66 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG31
Observed xG Estrela −0.66 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for1.09xG against1.75

Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.09; xG against 1.75. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 31/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
44.0
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
1.09
xG against
1.75

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Paris FC Goals conceded per match 1.0 Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Scores52
Scores Paris FC 1.0 Goals conceded per match Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the low-goals signal threshold. Compare it with the league reference; opponent strength and chance quality are not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Ligue 1 2026-2027: 1.52 goals per team/match, 63 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 52/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
18.7
Recency
95.7
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Paris FC’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-22Estac TroyesA0–0D
2026-08-30NiceH3–0W
2026-09-06MarseilleA3–2W
2026-09-12LyonH0–0D
2026-09-19StrasbourgH2–1W
2026-10-10LorientA0–1L
2026-10-18RennesH4–3W
Full club analysis →
Angers Goals conceded per match 2.1 Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Scores54
Scores Angers 2.1 Goals conceded per match Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Ligue 1 2026-2027: 1.52 goals per team/match, 63 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 54/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
22.1
Recency
95.7
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Angers’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-23LilleH0–2L
2026-08-29AuxerreA3–1W
2026-09-06RennesH1–2L
2026-09-12LE HavreA0–0D
2026-09-19Estac TroyesH2–0W
2026-10-10Stade Brestois 29A1–5L
2026-10-18MarseilleH2–5L
Full club analysis →
Amed Scoring in a row 6 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Streak67
Streak Amed 6 Scoring in a row Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Scoring in a row

The club has scored in consecutive recorded matches, starting with the latest result. One goal is enough to extend the run.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-16 → 2026-10-17 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.

Insight Score 67/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
55.4
Recency
92.5
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Amed’s perspective. Event: Scoring in a row.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-16Erzurumspor FKH3–0WYes
2026-08-24KocaelisporA0–2LNo
2026-08-31TrabzonsporH2–1WYes
2026-09-06KasimpasaA2–2DYes
2026-09-13Istanbul BasaksehirH5–0WYes
2026-09-20BesiktasH3–2WYes
2026-10-10GenclerbirligiA2–2DYes
2026-10-17KonyasporH1–0WYes

Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.

Full club analysis →
FC Porto xG difference per match +0.62 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG30
Observed xG FC Porto +0.62 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for1.75xG against1.13

Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.75; xG against 1.13. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 30/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
41.3
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
1.75
xG against
1.13

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
NEC Nijmegen Both teams scored 70% Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Scores53
Scores NEC Nijmegen 70% Both teams scored Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Both teams scored

Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-25 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Eredivisie 2026-2027: 1.92 goals per team/match, 81 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 53/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
3.2
Recency
95.7
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from NEC Nijmegen’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-25Bodo/GlimtA0–3LNo
2026-08-29PEC ZwolleA3–1WYes
2026-09-05FeyenoordH1–3LYes
2026-09-08ExcelsiorH2–2DYes
2026-09-12CambuurA0–3LNo
2026-09-17JuventusA0–5LNo
2026-09-20GO Ahead EaglesH1–1DYes
2026-10-10AjaxA1–1DYes
2026-10-15Levski SofiaH1–1DYes
2026-10-18Fortuna SittardH2–2DYes
Full club analysis →
FC Porto Clean sheets 4 Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Scores58
Scores FC Porto 4 Clean sheets Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Clean sheet

Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-14 UTC. Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 58/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
25.8
Recency
83.7
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from FC Porto’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-09AlvercaH2–0WYes
2026-08-15Rio AveA2–0WYes
2026-08-23AroucaH2–0WYes
2026-08-29Academico ViseuA3–0WYes
2026-09-04MoreirenseH2–1WNo
2026-09-08Manchester CityH0–2LNo
2026-09-12Casa PiaA4–1WNo
2026-09-20BenficaH3–1WNo
2026-10-10MaritimoA2–1WNo
2026-10-14Real BetisA2–3LNo
Full club analysis →
Kocaelispor Points above expected +3.4 8/8 covered matches · current leagues Forecast55
Forecast Kocaelispor +3.4 Points above expected 8/8 covered matches · current leagues Points12.0xPts8.6

Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 8/8 current-league matches · 2026-08-16 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Points 12; xPts 8.6. Saved pre: 1; reconstructed: 7. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 55/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
39.2
Recency
95.7
Context
40.0
Quality
45.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

8/8 covered matches · current leagues

Points
12.0
xPts
8.6

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 1; reconstructed: 7.

Full club analysis →
Lens Points below expected −3.0 9/9 covered matches · current leagues Forecast54
Forecast Lens −3.0 Points below expected 9/9 covered matches · current leagues Points13.0xPts16.0

The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 9/9 current-league matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Points 13; xPts 16. Saved pre: 3; reconstructed: 6. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 54/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
32.1
Recency
92.5
Context
40.0
Quality
60.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

9/9 covered matches · current leagues

Points
13.0
xPts
16.0

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 3; reconstructed: 6.

Full club analysis →
AZ Alkmaar Goals scored per match 2.0 Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Scores53
Scores AZ Alkmaar 2.0 Goals scored per match Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Eredivisie 2026-2027: 1.92 goals per team/match, 81 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 53/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
2.8
Recency
95.7
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from AZ Alkmaar’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-15UtrechtA4–1W
2026-08-22Fortuna SittardA2–0W
2026-08-29GO Ahead EaglesH5–2W
2026-09-06HeerenveenA3–2W
2026-09-11Willem IIH1–1D
2026-09-16SunderlandA0–1L
2026-09-20TelstarH1–0W
2026-10-10FeyenoordA0–2L
2026-10-15Hapoel Beer ShevaH2–1W
2026-10-18CambuurA2–2D
Full club analysis →
OFI xG difference per match −0.66 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG31
Observed xG OFI −0.66 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for0.66xG against1.32

Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 0.66; xG against 1.32. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 31/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
44.0
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
0.66
xG against
1.32

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
SC Freiburg Goals conceded per match 1.0 Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions Scores52
Scores SC Freiburg 1.0 Goals conceded per match Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the low-goals signal threshold. Compare it with the league reference; opponent strength and chance quality are not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 6 recorded matches · 2026-08-30 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Bundesliga 2026-2027: 1.84 goals per team/match, 54 matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 52/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
21.9
Recency
95.7
Context
40.0
Quality
60.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from SC Freiburg’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-30Werder BremenH4–1W
2026-09-05SC Paderborn 07A1–0W
2026-09-12Borussia MönchengladbachH5–0W
2026-09-19Eintracht FrankfurtA2–2D
2026-10-11FC Schalke 04H2–1W
2026-10-18Bayer LeverkusenA1–2L
Full club analysis →
Strasbourg Goals conceded per match 2.1 Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Scores53
Scores Strasbourg 2.1 Goals conceded per match Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Ligue 1 2026-2027: 1.52 goals per team/match, 63 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 53/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
22.1
Recency
92.5
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Strasbourg’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-21MarseilleA0–4L
2026-08-29LensH2–1W
2026-09-06Estac TroyesA6–2W
2026-09-12MonacoH1–1D
2026-09-19Paris FCA1–2L
2026-10-11NiceA1–2L
2026-10-17Paris Saint GermainH1–3L
Full club analysis →
Çorum FK Scoring in a row 6 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Streak66
Streak Çorum FK 6 Scoring in a row Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Scoring in a row

The club has scored in consecutive recorded matches, starting with the latest result. One goal is enough to extend the run.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-16 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.

Insight Score 66/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
55.4
Recency
89.5
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Çorum FK’s perspective. Event: Scoring in a row.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-14GalatasarayA2–2DYes
2026-08-22KasimpasaH0–1LNo
2026-08-31BesiktasA2–6LYes
2026-09-06EyüpsporH3–0WYes
2026-09-12SamsunsporA5–1WYes
2026-09-19AlanyasporH1–2LYes
2026-10-11Gazişehir GaziantepA3–0WYes
2026-10-16RizesporH2–1WYes

Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.

Full club analysis →
Paris FC xG difference per match +0.62 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG30
Observed xG Paris FC +0.62 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for1.77xG against1.15

Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.77; xG against 1.15. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 30/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
41.3
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
1.77
xG against
1.15

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Twente Both teams scored 70% Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Scores53
Scores Twente 70% Both teams scored Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Both teams scored

Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-07-30 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Eredivisie 2026-2027: 1.92 goals per team/match, 81 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 53/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
3.2
Recency
95.7
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Twente’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-07-30Ferencvarosi TCA2–2DYes
2026-08-09HeerenveenA0–1LNo
2026-08-16PEC ZwolleH3–1WYes
2026-08-30CambuurA4–1WYes
2026-09-06GroningenA2–2DYes
2026-09-09TelstarH1–0WNo
2026-09-12ADO Den HaagH2–0WNo
2026-09-20PSV EindhovenH3–2WYes
2026-10-10Fortuna SittardA1–1DYes
2026-10-18UtrechtH1–2LYes
Full club analysis →
Atletico Madrid Clean sheets 4 Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Scores62
Scores Atletico Madrid 4 Clean sheets Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Clean sheet

Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-17 UTC. La Liga 2026-2027: 1.53 goals per team/match, 88 matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 62/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
30.0
Recency
92.5
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Atletico Madrid’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-23VillarrealH2–2DNo
2026-08-29SevillaA3–1WNo
2026-09-05Athletic ClubA0–3LNo
2026-09-09LiverpoolA1–2LNo
2026-09-13Real SociedadA3–0WYes
2026-09-16OsasunaH4–0WYes
2026-09-20Real MadridH2–1WNo
2026-10-10AlavesA2–1WNo
2026-10-13Manchester UnitedH2–0WYes
2026-10-17EspanyolA1–0WYes
Full club analysis →
SC Freiburg Points above expected +3.3 6/6 covered matches · current leagues Forecast56
Forecast SC Freiburg +3.3 Points above expected 6/6 covered matches · current leagues Points13.0xPts9.7

Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 6/6 current-league matches · 2026-08-30 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Points 13; xPts 9.7. Saved pre: 2; reconstructed: 4. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 56/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
45.0
Recency
95.7
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

6/6 covered matches · current leagues

Points
13.0
xPts
9.7

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 2; reconstructed: 4.

Full club analysis →
Racing Santander Points below expected −2.7 9/9 covered matches · current leagues Forecast53
Forecast Racing Santander −2.7 Points below expected 9/9 covered matches · current leagues Points8.0xPts10.7

The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 9/9 current-league matches · 2026-08-16 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Points 8; xPts 10.7. Saved pre: 2; reconstructed: 7. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 53/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
28.9
Recency
95.7
Context
40.0
Quality
55.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

9/9 covered matches · current leagues

Points
8.0
xPts
10.7

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 2; reconstructed: 7.

Full club analysis →
Atletico Madrid Goals scored per match 2.0 Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Scores57
Scores Atletico Madrid 2.0 Goals scored per match Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-17 UTC. La Liga 2026-2027: 1.53 goals per team/match, 88 matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 57/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
16.6
Recency
92.5
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Atletico Madrid’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-23VillarrealH2–2D
2026-08-29SevillaA3–1W
2026-09-05Athletic ClubA0–3L
2026-09-09LiverpoolA1–2L
2026-09-13Real SociedadA3–0W
2026-09-16OsasunaH4–0W
2026-09-20Real MadridH2–1W
2026-10-10AlavesA2–1W
2026-10-13Manchester UnitedH2–0W
2026-10-17EspanyolA1–0W
Full club analysis →
LE Havre xG difference per match −0.64 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG31
Observed xG LE Havre −0.64 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for0.95xG against1.59

Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 0.95; xG against 1.59. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 31/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
42.7
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
0.95
xG against
1.59

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Jagiellonia Goals conceded per match 1.0 Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions Scores43
Scores Jagiellonia 1.0 Goals conceded per match Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the low-goals signal threshold. Compare it with the league reference; opponent strength and chance quality are not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 6 recorded matches · 2026-08-06 → 2026-10-15 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 43/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
13.8
Recency
86.6
Context
40.0
Quality
43.2

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Jagiellonia’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-06RangersH2–1W
2026-08-13RangersA1–1D
2026-08-20SaburtaloH4–0W
2026-08-27SaburtaloA2–1W
2026-09-16Olympiakos PiraeusA1–2L
2026-10-15Ararat-ArmeniaH3–1W
Full club analysis →
Le Mans Goals conceded per match 2.1 Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Scores52
Scores Le Mans 2.1 Goals conceded per match Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-16 UTC. Ligue 1 2026-2027: 1.52 goals per team/match, 63 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 52/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
22.1
Recency
89.5
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Le Mans’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-22Stade Brestois 29H2–2D
2026-08-30RennesA2–3L
2026-09-05NiceA1–1D
2026-09-13LensH2–2D
2026-09-19LorientH2–1W
2026-10-10Paris Saint GermainA1–3L
2026-10-16ToulouseH0–3L
Full club analysis →
Strasbourg Scoring in a row 6 Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Streak64
Streak Strasbourg 6 Scoring in a row Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Scoring in a row

The club has scored in consecutive recorded matches, starting with the latest result. One goal is enough to extend the run.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-17 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.

Insight Score 64/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
52.5
Recency
92.5
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Strasbourg’s perspective. Event: Scoring in a row.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-21MarseilleA0–4LNo
2026-08-29LensH2–1WYes
2026-09-06Estac TroyesA6–2WYes
2026-09-12MonacoH1–1DYes
2026-09-19Paris FCA1–2LYes
2026-10-11NiceA1–2LYes
2026-10-17Paris Saint GermainH1–3LYes

Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.

Full club analysis →
AEK Athens FC xG difference per match +0.61 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG30
Observed xG AEK Athens FC +0.61 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for1.77xG against1.16

Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.77; xG against 1.16. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 30/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
40.7
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
1.77
xG against
1.16

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Sporting CP Both teams scored 70% Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Scores61
Scores Sporting CP 70% Both teams scored Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Both teams scored

Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-13 UTC. Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 61/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
37.2
Recency
81.0
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Sporting CP’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-08EstrelaA2–2DYes
2026-08-14GuimaraesH3–2WYes
2026-08-22AlvercaH3–1WYes
2026-08-28Rio AveA4–0WNo
2026-09-05NacionalH2–0WNo
2026-09-09GalatasarayH3–1WYes
2026-09-13FamalicaoA1–1DYes
2026-09-19AroucaH2–2DYes
2026-10-09SC BragaA3–1WYes
2026-10-13LensA2–0WNo
Full club analysis →
Ferencvarosi TC Clean sheets 4 Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Scores54
Scores Ferencvarosi TC 4 Clean sheets Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Clean sheet

Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-07-09 → 2026-10-15 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 54/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
27.2
Recency
86.6
Context
40.0
Quality
72.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Ferencvarosi TC’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-07-09VojvodinaA2–1WNo
2026-07-16VojvodinaH3–0WYes
2026-07-23TwenteA2–1WNo
2026-07-30TwenteH2–2DNo
2026-08-05Gornik ZabrzeH1–0WYes
2026-08-13Gornik ZabrzeA1–1DNo
2026-08-20TrabzonsporA1–0WYes
2026-08-27TrabzonsporH4–0WYes
2026-09-17CelticA3–1WNo
2026-10-15PlzenH2–1WNo
Full club analysis →
Hamburger SV Points above expected +3.2 6/6 covered matches · current leagues Forecast54
Forecast Hamburger SV +3.2 Points above expected 6/6 covered matches · current leagues Points9.0xPts5.8

Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 6/6 current-league matches · 2026-08-29 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Points 9; xPts 5.8. Saved pre: 2; reconstructed: 4. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 54/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
43.6
Recency
92.5
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

6/6 covered matches · current leagues

Points
9.0
xPts
5.8

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 2; reconstructed: 4.

Full club analysis →
Bournemouth Points below expected −2.6 9/9 covered matches · current leagues Forecast54
Forecast Bournemouth −2.6 Points below expected 9/9 covered matches · current leagues Points12.0xPts14.6

The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 9/9 current-league matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Points 12; xPts 14.6. Saved pre: 3; reconstructed: 6. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 54/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
27.9
Recency
95.7
Context
40.0
Quality
60.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

9/9 covered matches · current leagues

Points
12.0
xPts
14.6

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 3; reconstructed: 6.

Full club analysis →
Celtic Goals scored per match 2.0 Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Scores54
Scores Celtic 2.0 Goals scored per match Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-25 → 2026-10-18 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 54/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
22.3
Recency
95.7
Context
40.0
Quality
72.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Celtic’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-25Lask LinzA1–5L
2026-08-29FalkirkH2–1W
2026-09-02AberdeenH3–0W
2026-09-05ST MirrenA2–1W
2026-09-09ST JohnstoneA1–0W
2026-09-17Ferencvarosi TCH1–3L
2026-09-20RangersH0–1L
2026-10-11MotherwellA2–0W
2026-10-15BenficaA1–4L
2026-10-18Heart Of MidlothianH7–1W
Full club analysis →
Auxerre xG difference per match −0.63 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG31
Observed xG Auxerre −0.63 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for1.47xG against2.10

Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.47; xG against 2.1. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 31/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
42.0
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
1.47
xG against
2.10

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Sturm Graz Goals conceded per match 1.0 Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions Scores43
Scores Sturm Graz 1.0 Goals conceded per match Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the low-goals signal threshold. Compare it with the league reference; opponent strength and chance quality are not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 6 recorded matches · 2026-07-21 → 2026-10-15 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 43/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
13.8
Recency
86.6
Context
40.0
Quality
43.2

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Sturm Graz’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-07-21Heart Of MidlothianH4–0W
2026-07-28Heart Of MidlothianA2–0W
2026-08-05FenerbahceA0–2L
2026-08-11FenerbahceH0–1L
2026-09-16RennesH0–0D
2026-10-15BournemouthA0–3L
Full club analysis →
St. Truiden Goals conceded per match 2.0 Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Scores53
Scores St. Truiden 2.0 Goals conceded per match Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Belgian Pro League 2026-2027: 1.51 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 53/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
17.7
Recency
75.8
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from St. Truiden’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-08Lommel UnitedH1–1D
2026-08-14Cercle BruggeA3–3D
2026-08-20Omonia NicosiaH1–0W
2026-08-27Omonia NicosiaA2–4L
2026-08-30AntwerpA4–1W
2026-09-02Union St. GilloiseH0–3L
2026-09-05RAAL La LouvièreH4–0W
2026-09-12SK BeverenA0–2L
2026-09-20KVC WesterloH0–2L
2026-10-11KV MechelenA3–4L
Full club analysis →
Lorient Scoring in a row 6 Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Streak64
Streak Lorient 6 Scoring in a row Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Scoring in a row

The club has scored in consecutive recorded matches, starting with the latest result. One goal is enough to extend the run.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-18 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.

Insight Score 64/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
52.5
Recency
95.7
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Lorient’s perspective. Event: Scoring in a row.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-22NiceA0–0DNo
2026-08-29Estac TroyesH1–2LYes
2026-09-05LensA1–0WYes
2026-09-12ToulouseH2–2DYes
2026-09-19Le MansA1–2LYes
2026-10-10Paris FCH1–0WYes
2026-10-18MonacoH1–0WYes

Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.

Full club analysis →
Liverpool xG difference per match +0.60 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG30
Observed xG Liverpool +0.60 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for1.89xG against1.29

Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.89; xG against 1.29. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 30/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
40.0
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
1.89
xG against
1.29

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Barcelona Both teams scored 70% Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Scores59
Scores Barcelona 70% Both teams scored Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Both teams scored

Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-27 → 2026-10-17 UTC. La Liga 2026-2027: 1.53 goals per team/match, 88 matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 59/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
21.8
Recency
92.5
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Barcelona’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-27Athletic ClubH2–0WNo
2026-08-31Rayo VallecanoH5–2WYes
2026-09-06ValenciaA5–0WNo
2026-09-09FeyenoordH5–1WYes
2026-09-13LevanteA4–2WYes
2026-09-16Racing SantanderH7–2WYes
2026-09-19SevillaA3–1WYes
2026-10-10GetafeH3–0WNo
2026-10-13GalatasarayA4–1WYes
2026-10-17Real BetisA5–2WYes
Full club analysis →
Trabzonspor Clean sheets 4 Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Scores59
Scores Trabzonspor 4 Clean sheets Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Clean sheet

Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Süper Lig 2026-2027: 1.44 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 59/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
18.9
Recency
98.9
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Trabzonspor’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-15KasimpasaA1–1DNo
2026-08-20Ferencvarosi TCH0–1LNo
2026-08-23Istanbul BasaksehirH2–1WNo
2026-08-27Ferencvarosi TCA0–4LNo
2026-08-31AmedA1–2LNo
2026-09-06GenclerbirligiH5–0WYes
2026-09-12KonyasporA0–1LNo
2026-09-19GalatasarayH4–0WYes
2026-10-10SamsunsporA3–0WYes
2026-10-19BesiktasH2–0WYes
Full club analysis →
Liverpool Points above expected +3.1 9/9 covered matches · current leagues Forecast55
Forecast Liverpool +3.1 Points above expected 9/9 covered matches · current leagues Points18.0xPts14.9

Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 9/9 current-league matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Points 18; xPts 14.9. Saved pre: 3; reconstructed: 6. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 55/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
33.2
Recency
92.5
Context
40.0
Quality
60.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

9/9 covered matches · current leagues

Points
18.0
xPts
14.9

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 3; reconstructed: 6.

Full club analysis →
Venezia Points below expected −2.6 7/7 covered matches · current leagues Forecast52
Forecast Venezia −2.6 Points below expected 7/7 covered matches · current leagues Points3.0xPts5.6

The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 7/7 current-league matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Points 3; xPts 5.6. Saved pre: 2; reconstructed: 5. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 52/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
32.5
Recency
92.5
Context
40.0
Quality
45.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

7/7 covered matches · current leagues

Points
3.0
xPts
5.6

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 2; reconstructed: 5.

Full club analysis →
Sabah FA Goals scored per match 2.0 Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Scores43
Scores Sabah FA 2.0 Goals scored per match Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-07-07 → 2026-10-13 UTC. UEFA Champions League 2026-2027: 2.04 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-08 → 2026-10-14 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 43/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
1.3
Recency
81.0
Context
40.0
Quality
72.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Sabah FA’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-07-07The New SaintsH2–0W
2026-07-14The New SaintsA2–1W
2026-07-21KuPSH1–0W
2026-07-28KuPSA2–0W
2026-08-05AarhusA1–2L
2026-08-11AarhusH4–0W
2026-08-19Hapoel Beer ShevaA1–2L
2026-08-25Hapoel Beer ShevaH5–2W
2026-09-10Manchester UnitedA0–4L
2026-10-13Slavia PrahaH2–0W
Full club analysis →
KV Mechelen xG difference per match −0.60 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG30
Observed xG KV Mechelen −0.60 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for0.88xG against1.48

Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 0.88; xG against 1.48. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 30/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
40.0
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
0.88
xG against
1.48

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Osasuna Goals conceded per match 2.0 Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Scores56
Scores Osasuna 2.0 Goals conceded per match Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-24 → 2026-10-18 UTC. La Liga 2026-2027: 1.53 goals per team/match, 88 matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 56/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
16.0
Recency
95.7
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Osasuna’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-24LevanteH0–0D
2026-08-27Celta VigoA2–1W
2026-08-31GetafeH1–0W
2026-09-06AlavesA2–5L
2026-09-12EspanyolH0–2L
2026-09-16Atletico MadridA0–4L
2026-09-19Rayo VallecanoH1–1D
2026-10-11Real BetisA2–5L
2026-10-18Racing SantanderH2–0W
Full club analysis →
SC Freiburg Scoring in a row 6 Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions Streak61
Streak SC Freiburg 6 Scoring in a row Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Scoring in a row

The club has scored in consecutive recorded matches, starting with the latest result. One goal is enough to extend the run.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 6 recorded matches · 2026-08-30 → 2026-10-18 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.

Insight Score 61/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
49.1
Recency
95.7
Context
40.0
Quality
60.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from SC Freiburg’s perspective. Event: Scoring in a row.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-30Werder BremenH4–1WYes
2026-09-05SC Paderborn 07A1–0WYes
2026-09-12Borussia MönchengladbachH5–0WYes
2026-09-19Eintracht FrankfurtA2–2DYes
2026-10-11FC Schalke 04H2–1WYes
2026-10-18Bayer LeverkusenA1–2LYes

Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.

Full club analysis →
Atletico Madrid xG difference per match +0.57 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG29
Observed xG Atletico Madrid +0.57 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for1.70xG against1.13

Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.7; xG against 1.13. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 29/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
38.0
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
1.70
xG against
1.13

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Villarreal Both teams scored 70% Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Scores59
Scores Villarreal 70% Both teams scored Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Both teams scored

Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-17 UTC. La Liga 2026-2027: 1.53 goals per team/match, 88 matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 59/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
21.8
Recency
92.5
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Villarreal’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-23Atletico MadridA2–2DYes
2026-08-28AlavesA0–1LNo
2026-09-05Deportivo La CorunaH2–3LYes
2026-09-08Borussia DortmundA2–3LYes
2026-09-14Real BetisH1–2LYes
2026-09-17MalagaA3–1WYes
2026-09-20LevanteH3–1WYes
2026-10-10Real MadridA0–1LNo
2026-10-13NapoliH3–1WYes
2026-10-17ElcheH0–0DNo
Full club analysis →
Bayern München Clean sheets 3 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores56
Scores Bayern München 3 Clean sheets Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Clean sheet

Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Bundesliga 2026-2027: 1.84 goals per team/match, 54 matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 56/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
24.8
Recency
92.5
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Bayern München’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-28VfB StuttgartH5–1WNo
2026-09-05FC Schalke 04A0–0DYes
2026-09-10Bodo/GlimtH5–0WYes
2026-09-13SV ElversbergA2–1WNo
2026-09-18Union BerlinH7–0WYes
2026-10-10FC AugsburgA2–2DNo
2026-10-13VikingA3–3DNo
2026-10-17RB LeipzigH6–1WNo
Full club analysis →
GIL Vicente Points above expected +2.9 8/8 covered matches · current leagues Forecast53
Forecast GIL Vicente +2.9 Points above expected 8/8 covered matches · current leagues Points14.0xPts11.1

Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 8/8 current-league matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Points 14; xPts 11.1. Saved pre: 1; reconstructed: 7. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 53/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
33.5
Recency
98.9
Context
40.0
Quality
45.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

8/8 covered matches · current leagues

Points
14.0
xPts
11.1

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 1; reconstructed: 7.

Full club analysis →
Espanyol Points below expected −2.5 9/9 covered matches · current leagues Forecast52
Forecast Espanyol −2.5 Points below expected 9/9 covered matches · current leagues Points8.0xPts10.5

The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 9/9 current-league matches · 2026-08-16 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Points 8; xPts 10.5. Saved pre: 2; reconstructed: 7. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 52/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
26.8
Recency
92.5
Context
40.0
Quality
55.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

9/9 covered matches · current leagues

Points
8.0
xPts
10.5

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 2; reconstructed: 7.

Full club analysis →
AC Milan Goals scored per match 2.0 Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Scores58
Scores AC Milan 2.0 Goals scored per match Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Serie A 2026-2027: 1.48 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 58/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
21.8
Recency
95.7
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from AC Milan’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-23TorinoA2–1W
2026-08-28VeneziaH2–0W
2026-09-06JuventusA1–1D
2026-09-12LazioA2–2D
2026-09-16BenficaH0–2L
2026-09-20LecceH3–0W
2026-10-11SassuoloA1–1D
2026-10-15Red Bull SalzburgA4–0W
2026-10-18AtalantaH3–2W
Full club analysis →
Atalanta xG difference per match −0.57 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG29
Observed xG Atalanta −0.57 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for1.06xG against1.63

Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.06; xG against 1.63. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 29/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
38.0
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
1.06
xG against
1.63

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Excelsior Goals conceded per match 2.0 Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Scores49
Scores Excelsior 2.0 Goals conceded per match Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-16 UTC. Eredivisie 2026-2027: 1.92 goals per team/match, 81 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 49/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
2.7
Recency
89.5
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Excelsior’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-07CambuurA4–0W
2026-08-15PSV EindhovenH1–2L
2026-08-29Sparta RotterdamH2–1W
2026-09-05Willem IIA3–0W
2026-09-08NEC NijmegenA2–2D
2026-09-13UtrechtH1–2L
2026-09-19AjaxA2–2D
2026-10-11GroningenH1–5L
2026-10-16HeerenveenA0–4L
Full club analysis →
Werder Bremen Scoring in a row 6 Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions Streak60
Streak Werder Bremen 6 Scoring in a row Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Scoring in a row

The club has scored in consecutive recorded matches, starting with the latest result. One goal is enough to extend the run.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 6 recorded matches · 2026-08-30 → 2026-10-17 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.

Insight Score 60/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
49.1
Recency
92.5
Context
40.0
Quality
60.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Werder Bremen’s perspective. Event: Scoring in a row.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-30SC FreiburgA1–4LYes
2026-09-05RB LeipzigH3–1WYes
2026-09-121.FC KölnA1–1DYes
2026-09-19FC AugsburgH3–2WYes
2026-10-09Borussia DortmundA2–2DYes
2026-10-17SC Paderborn 07H2–2DYes

Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.

Full club analysis →
Istanbul Basaksehir xG difference per match +0.57 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG29
Observed xG Istanbul Basaksehir +0.57 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for1.75xG against1.18

Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.75; xG against 1.18. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 29/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
38.0
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
1.75
xG against
1.18

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Real Madrid Both teams scored 70% Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Scores60
Scores Real Madrid 70% Both teams scored Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Both teams scored

Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-26 → 2026-10-18 UTC. La Liga 2026-2027: 1.53 goals per team/match, 88 matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 60/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
21.8
Recency
95.7
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Real Madrid’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-26Real SociedadH4–1WYes
2026-08-30MalagaH4–0WNo
2026-09-04Real BetisA0–1LNo
2026-09-08InterH2–1WYes
2026-09-12Rayo VallecanoH4–1WYes
2026-09-15ElcheA3–2WYes
2026-09-20Atletico MadridA1–2LYes
2026-10-10VillarrealH1–0WNo
2026-10-14AS RomaA4–3WYes
2026-10-18SevillaH4–1WYes
Full club analysis →
SC Braga Clean sheets 3 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores55
Scores SC Braga 3 Clean sheets Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Clean sheet

Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 55/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
19.2
Recency
98.9
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from SC Braga’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-09MoreirenseA2–2DNo
2026-08-31GuimaraesH1–0WYes
2026-09-05AlvercaA2–1WNo
2026-09-10EstrelaA1–2LNo
2026-09-14EstorilH1–0WYes
2026-09-20Santa ClaraA0–0DYes
2026-10-09Sporting CPH1–3LNo
2026-10-19GIL VicenteH1–2LNo
Full club analysis →
Ipswich Points above expected +2.9 7/7 covered matches · current leagues Forecast53
Forecast Ipswich +2.9 Points above expected 7/7 covered matches · current leagues Points9.0xPts6.1

Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 7/7 current-league matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Points 9; xPts 6.1. Saved pre: 2; reconstructed: 5. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 53/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
36.3
Recency
92.5
Context
40.0
Quality
45.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

7/7 covered matches · current leagues

Points
9.0
xPts
6.1

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 2; reconstructed: 5.

Full club analysis →
Bayern München Points below expected −2.5 8/8 covered matches · current leagues Forecast52
Forecast Bayern München −2.5 Points below expected 8/8 covered matches · current leagues Points18.0xPts20.5

The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 8/8 current-league matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Points 18; xPts 20.5. Saved pre: 3; reconstructed: 5. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 52/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
28.8
Recency
92.5
Context
40.0
Quality
55.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

8/8 covered matches · current leagues

Points
18.0
xPts
20.5

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 3; reconstructed: 5.

Full club analysis →
Como Goals scored per match 2.0 Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Scores58
Scores Como 2.0 Goals scored per match Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Serie A 2026-2027: 1.48 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 58/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
21.8
Recency
95.7
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Como’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-22UdineseA1–1D
2026-08-30NapoliA2–1W
2026-09-04GenoaA4–1W
2026-09-10RB LeipzigH4–1W
2026-09-14ParmaH2–1W
2026-09-20FrosinoneA0–2L
2026-10-11AS RomaH0–0D
2026-10-14FeyenoordA2–3L
2026-10-18FiorentinaA3–1W
Full club analysis →
Slovan Bratislava xG difference per match −0.56 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG29
Observed xG Slovan Bratislava −0.56 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for0.79xG against1.35

Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 0.79; xG against 1.35. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 29/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
37.3
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
0.79
xG against
1.35

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Telstar Goals conceded per match 2.0 Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Scores50
Scores Telstar 2.0 Goals conceded per match Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Eredivisie 2026-2027: 1.92 goals per team/match, 81 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 50/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
2.7
Recency
92.5
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Telstar’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-08NEC NijmegenA2–1W
2026-08-14Sparta RotterdamH1–3L
2026-08-30AjaxH0–4L
2026-09-06CambuurH2–2D
2026-09-09TwenteA0–1L
2026-09-13HeerenveenA0–0D
2026-09-20AZ AlkmaarA0–1L
2026-10-11ADO Den HaagH2–2D
2026-10-17FeyenoordH3–4L
Full club analysis →
FC Augsburg Scoring in a row 6 Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions Streak60
Streak FC Augsburg 6 Scoring in a row Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Scoring in a row

The club has scored in consecutive recorded matches, starting with the latest result. One goal is enough to extend the run.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 6 recorded matches · 2026-08-30 → 2026-10-17 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.

Insight Score 60/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
49.1
Recency
92.5
Context
40.0
Quality
60.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from FC Augsburg’s perspective. Event: Scoring in a row.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-30FC Schalke 04H3–0WYes
2026-09-06Eintracht FrankfurtA4–1WYes
2026-09-12Bayer LeverkusenH2–2DYes
2026-09-19Werder BremenA2–3LYes
2026-10-10Bayern MünchenH2–2DYes
2026-10-17SV ElversbergA3–4LYes

Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.

Full club analysis →
NEC Nijmegen xG difference per match +0.55 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG29
Observed xG NEC Nijmegen +0.55 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for1.94xG against1.39

Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.94; xG against 1.39. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 29/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
36.7
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
1.94
xG against
1.39

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Real Betis Both teams scored 70% Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Scores59
Scores Real Betis 70% Both teams scored Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Both teams scored

Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-25 → 2026-10-17 UTC. La Liga 2026-2027: 1.53 goals per team/match, 88 matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 59/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
21.8
Recency
92.5
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Real Betis’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-25ValenciaA1–0WNo
2026-08-29LevanteA2–5LYes
2026-09-04Real MadridH1–0WNo
2026-09-08LilleA3–2WYes
2026-09-14VillarrealA2–1WYes
2026-09-17GetafeH1–0WNo
2026-09-20Deportivo La CorunaA1–1DYes
2026-10-11OsasunaH5–2WYes
2026-10-14FC PortoH3–2WYes
2026-10-17BarcelonaH2–5LYes
Full club analysis →
Dinamo Zagreb Clean sheets 3 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores48
Scores Dinamo Zagreb 3 Clean sheets Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Clean sheet

Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-07-21 → 2026-10-15 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 48/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
20.5
Recency
86.6
Context
40.0
Quality
57.6

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Dinamo Zagreb’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-07-21FC ThunA1–1DNo
2026-07-28FC ThunH3–2WNo
2026-08-04Kauno ŽalgirisH5–0WYes
2026-08-11Kauno ŽalgirisA2–1WNo
2026-08-18VikingH2–2DNo
2026-08-26VikingA1–3LNo
2026-09-16Hapoel Beer ShevaA0–0DYes
2026-10-15AnderlechtH1–0WYes
Full club analysis →
About these insights
A little context goes a long way

Read the signal. Keep the context.

Insights describe what is recorded. Use club and match analysis to explore what comes next.

Insight Score · experimental editorial interest. This version uses 0.35D + 0.25R + 0.20C + 0.20Q. D measures heuristic deviation, R observation recency, C breadth of evidence families and Q data quality. These starting weights are uncalibrated. It is neither team strength, win probability, statistical significance nor forecast confidence. Related result signals share one family; different sources are not automatically statistically independent. Unknown dates receive zero recency; unknown xG coverage limits its quality component. League averages are context references, not opponent-adjusted estimates.

01

Check the window

Result signals use the last 10 recorded matches; away signals use the last 8 away matches. At least 5 are required. Missing and special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound.

02

Read the chart

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored or conceded, capped at 6; zero keeps a marker. Teal / amber / red means win / draw / loss. Faded bars mean the event did not happen. Open the evidence for full scores.

03

Separate the sources

xG uses observed Playing style averages before the next or latest league fixture; coverage can differ between inputs. xPts comes from stored LOAD90 forecasts on identical covered games, including labelled historical reconstructions.

Types alternate for variety. Values are ordered within their own metric, without a combined ranking. These descriptive signals do not change the LOAD90 forecast.

Explore methodology →