Real Betis vs Feyenoord

UEFA Champions League Matchday 3 Wed, Oct 21 · 20:00 Estadio Benito Villamarín, Sevilla

Real Betis 9th · 6 pts · 2 played WW

VS— Compare

Feyenoord 23rd · 3 pts · 2 played LW

Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

Real Betis are slight favourites.

Real Betis are the stronger side on L90 Strength (72 vs 61). Recent goals, xG and shots on target narrow the gap for Feyenoord. Feyenoord are without J. Bos. Real Betis have 4.1 days of rest, Feyenoord 4 and have to travel 1,812 km. Conditions look neutral.

Away travel1,812 kmRest days4.1 · 4Matches / 14d3 · 3

Real Betis50%

Draw21%

Feyenoord29%

Expected goals 2.21 – 1.67

Real Betis52%

Draw25%

Feyenoord23%

Expected goals 1.69 – 1.06

Real Betis49%

Draw21%

Feyenoord29%

Expected goals 2.16 – 1.65

Real Betis41%

Draw22%

Feyenoord37%

Expected goals 1.97 – 1.87

Real Betis50%

Draw21%

Feyenoord29%

Expected goals 2.20 – 1.66

Over 2.5 74% Both score 73% Likeliest score 2–1

EloLambda forecast, updated 2 hours ago. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.

Weather (Sevilla)

21°CMainly clear

Precipitation 0%
Wind 4 km/h
Humidity 59%

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Headlines

Attack

Defence

Streaks

Team strength

Real Betis

Feyenoord

72 L90 StrengthIn forecast 61

72 Current StrengthIn forecast 59

79 AttackIn forecast 76

59 DefenceIn forecast 61

80 Form indexContext 92

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Real Betis

Attack+1%

Defense risk+21%

Feyenoord

Attack−26%

Defense risk+63%

Changes versus each team's league-average baseline. Higher attack and lower defense risk are favorable.

Playing style

Real Betis

Feyenoord

3.00 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 2.00

2.00 Goals concededVia Att/Def 3.50

1.74 xGVia Att/Def —

0.82 xG allowedVia Att/Def —

+1.26 Goals minus xGContext —

100% Scored inContext 100%

0% Clean sheetsContext 0%

18.50 ShotsContext 8.50

6.00 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 3.50

32% On target shareContext 41%

11.00 Shots in the boxContext 5.00

60% Box shareContext 64%

16% ConversionContext 24%

— OffsidesContext 5.00

8.50 Shots allowedContext 17.50

3.50 On target allowedVia Att/Def 7.00

2.00 BlocksContext 4.00

— Goalkeeper savesContext 3.50

60% Save rateContext 50%

56% PossessionIn forecast 38%

534 PassesContext 414

466 Accurate passesContext 354

87% Pass accuracyContext 86%

6.90 Team ratingContext 6.44

13.50 FoulsContext 15.50

13.00 Fouls sufferedContext 14.00

3.50 Yellow cardsContext 1.50

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00

This league season, per match · 2 and 2 games

2.10 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 3.40

1.80 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.70

1.71 xGVia Att/Def 2.42

1.79 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.09

+0.39 Goals minus xGContext +0.98

100% Scored inContext 100%

30% Clean sheetsContext 30%

16.70 ShotsContext 18.70

6.20 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 7.50

37% On target shareContext 40%

10.00 Shots in the boxContext 12.80

58% Box shareContext 68%

13% ConversionContext 18%

1.40 OffsidesContext 2.71

14.60 Shots allowedContext 12.50

6.00 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.50

3.50 BlocksContext 3.67

4.33 Goalkeeper savesContext 2.80

67% Save rateContext 62%

52% PossessionIn forecast 50%

504 PassesContext 473

438 Accurate passesContext 410

87% Pass accuracyContext 87%

6.98 Team ratingContext 7.06

10.70 FoulsContext 10.20

11.90 Fouls sufferedContext 12.70

1.80 Yellow cardsContext 1.30

0.10 Red cardsContext 0.00

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Real Betis WDWWL

Rest4.1 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d3all competitions

Travel0 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load15%Low

Form 80 · 10 pts vs 6.1 for an average club · +2.3 vs expected

L17 OctH · Barcelona2–50.8 xPts
W14 OctH · FC Porto3–21.4 xPts
W11 OctH · Osasuna5–22.0 xPts
D20 SepA · Deportivo La Coruna1–11.6 xPts
W17 SepH · Getafe1–02.0 xPts

Feyenoord WWWWW

Rest4 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d3all competitions

Travel1,812 km122 km in 14d

Schedule load35%Moderate

Form 92 · 15 pts vs 8.3 for an average club · +5.2 vs expected

W17 OctA · Telstar4–32.1 xPts
W14 OctH · Como3–21.6 xPts
W10 OctH · AZ Alkmaar2–01.8 xPts
W20 SepH · Utrecht5–02.3 xPts
W13 SepA · PEC Zwolle7–02.0 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Real Betis	Feyenoord
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 15	Moderate · 35
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	4.1La Liga 2026-2027, 17 Oct	4Eredivisie 2026-2027, 17 Oct
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	1,812 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	0 km	122 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	2 / 3 / 3	1 / 3 / 3
Next matchdays after this one	3.8	3.8

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Real Betis Last XI · not confirmed

4-2-3-1 · vs Barcelona (H) 2–5, 17 Oct

1Álvaro Vallés(G)

11Fran García 16Valentín Gómez 3Diego Llorente 2Héctor Bellerín

25Dani Ceballos 6F. Bernal

10A. Ezzalzouli 8Pablo Fornals 20G. Lo Celso

9C. Hernández

+3 more reported missing outside this XI

Feyenoord Last XI · not confirmed

4-2-3-1 · vs Telstar (A) 4–3, 17 Oct

1T. Ernst(G)

35Mika Màrmol 24T. Kraaijeveld 4T. Watanabe 26G. Read

34C. Vanhoutte 8G. Zechiël

27G. Diarra 14S. Steijn 23A. Hadj Moussa

19Nacho Ferri

+7 more reported missing outside this XI

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Real Betis Scores 0.00 · concedes +0.02 goals

Attack line −0.0% · Defence line −5.7% of weighted minutes

DEF Aitor Ruibal Rotation 6.79 Def −4.3%
DEF J. Firpo Rotation 6.48 Def −1.4%

1 without recent minutes (no impact): Iker Losada

Feyenoord Scores 0.00 · concedes +0.05 goals

Attack line −2.7% · Defence line −10.5% of weighted minutes

DEF J. Bos Starter 7.02 Def −7.0%
MID J. Moder Rotation 6.84 Att −2.1% Def −1.3%
DEF G. Smal Rotation 6.79 Def −1.8%
DEF B. Nieuwkoop Depth 6.65 Def −0.4%
ATT Shaqueel van Persie Depth 6.69 Att −0.4%
ATT R. Nelson Depth 6.57 Att −0.2%

1 without recent minutes (no impact): T. Beelen

Total impact vs full squads

Real Betis+0.6 pp
Draw-0.3 pp
Feyenoord-0.3 pp

From eScored squad data: each player's weight is his role (core 3, starter 2, rotation 1, depth 0.5) times his share of minutes. Defenders and keepers count to the defence line, forwards to attack, midfielders half to each. EloLambda turns the lost share into fewer goals scored and more conceded (weight 0.1); the totals show how that moves the result chances.

Home / Away this season

Real Betis · Home 3.00points per game · 1 home games

W-D-L: 1-0-0
Scored: 3.00
Conceded: 2.00

Feyenoord · Away 0.00points per game · 1 away games

W-D-L: 0-0-1
Scored: 1.00
Conceded: 5.00

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Head to head last 1 of 1 meetings

1 Real Betis wins0 draws0 Feyenoord wins

Goals per game2.00 – 1.00 Over 2.5100% Both scored100% Clean sheets0% · 0%

29 Jan 2026Real Betis2–1Feyenoord

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

	Real Betis	Feyenoord	Forecast
Scored per game	3.00	2.00
Conceded per game	2.00	3.50
Match goals	5.00	5.50	3.88
Over 1.5	100%	100%
Over 2.5	100%	100%	74%
Over 3.5	100%	100%
Both teams scored	100%	100%	73%
Clean sheets	0%	0%
Failed to score	0%	0%
Games	2	2

	Real Betis	Feyenoord	Forecast
Scored per game	2.10	3.40
Conceded per game	1.80	1.70
Match goals	3.90	5.10	3.88
Over 1.5	70%	100%
Over 2.5	60%	90%	74%
Over 3.5	50%	90%
Both teams scored	70%	70%	73%
Clean sheets	30%	30%
Failed to score	0%	0%
Games	10	10

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Real Betis	Feyenoord	League
Corners
Corners won	5.00	3.00
Corners conceded	3.00	2.50
Match total	8.00	5.50	9.71
Over 8.5	50% 1/2	0% 0/2
Over 9.5	50% 1/2	0% 0/2
Over 10.5	0% 0/2	0% 0/2
Cards
Cards	3.50	1.50
Opponent cards	2.50	2.00
Match total	6.00	3.50	3.80
Over 3.5	100% 2/2	50% 1/2
Over 4.5	100% 2/2	50% 1/2

	Real Betis	Feyenoord	League
Corners
Corners won	4.90	5.20
Corners conceded	5.90	3.70
Match total	10.80	8.90	9.71
Over 8.5	70% 7/10	50% 5/10
Over 9.5	70% 7/10	50% 5/10
Over 10.5	50% 5/10	50% 5/10
Cards
Cards	1.90	1.30
Opponent cards	2.60	1.40
Match total	4.50	2.70	3.80
Over 3.5	60% 6/10	40% 4/10
Over 4.5	60% 6/10	20% 2/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.