Nottingham Forest

19th · Premier League · 5 points · Matches played: 7

16 points behind Manchester City · Table & Fixtures →

L90 Strength L90 Strength is LOAD90’s own club strength rating on a fixed 0–100 scale, built from its Elo rating. League Strength uses the mean Elo of a league's clubs and a separate league calibration, so the two scores are not directly comparable.

+1.6 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.

Base L90 Strength changed -3.2 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number. 70.3+1.6
World Rank 31st Global, by Elo
Premier League Rank 12th L90 Strength
Last ArsenalH xG 0.7–1.1 0–1 Next IpswichA 42%

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Nottingham Forest · All competitions

Forecast
IpswichPremier League 2026-2027 · Away 42% win 1.50 xPts BrentfordPremier League 2026-2027 · Away 28% win 1.09 xPts Manchester CityPremier League 2026-2027 · Home 25% win 0.97 xPts BournemouthPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts ChelseaPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Hull CityPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts BrightonPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts SunderlandPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts EvertonPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Manchester UnitedPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts NewcastlePremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts FulhamPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Hull CityPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Manchester CityPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts BournemouthPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts ChelseaPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts BrentfordPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts FulhamPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Manchester UnitedPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts EvertonPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts NewcastlePremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts TottenhamPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Aston VillaPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts LeedsPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts LiverpoolPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts SunderlandPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts BrightonPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Crystal PalacePremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts ArsenalPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts IpswichPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts CoventryPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts

xPts = 3 × win probability + draw probability. — means no published forecast. Open a match for xG and the full forecast.

Results

Nottingham Forest · All competitions

Full time
ArsenalPremier League 2026-2027 · Home L 0–1 0.7–1.1 xG -0.8 Δpts Crystal PalacePremier League 2026-2027 · Away L 1–3 3.0–2.4 xG -1.4 Δpts CoventryPremier League 2026-2027 · Home L 0–1 1.1–0.7 xG -2.1 Δpts Aston VillaPremier League 2026-2027 · Away W 2–1 2.3–0.8 xG +2.0 Δpts TottenhamPremier League 2026-2027 · Home D 0–0 0.9–1.1 xG -0.9 Δpts LiverpoolPremier League 2026-2027 · Away D 2–2 2.3–1.8 xG +0.2 Δpts LeedsPremier League 2026-2027 · Home L 0–1 0.7–0.5 xG -1.7 Δpts

Score and actual xG show Nottingham Forest first. Δpts = points taken − pre-match xPts. — means data unavailable.

Current load Low · 0

Rest profile5.1 days since last match
0%
Schedule load2 matches in last 14 days
0%
Travel load185 km to venue, 350 km in 14 days
0%
Squad availability4 out, 3 key: M. Gibbs-White, N. Milenković · Last match: 18 Oct
25%

Load before the next match, at Ipswich, 23 Oct. Squad availability is shown separately and is not part of the score; availability is the share of squad weight missing, the same input the forecast uses for absences.

Schedule difficulty all competitions

Each bar is one match: 50% match difficulty from current relative Elo strength + 50% calendar load (rest, match congestion and travel). Higher means harder, on a 0–100 scale. This is a descriptive index, not a win probability. Lighter bars are upcoming; the dashed line marks today. Grey marks missing data. 22 Aug vs Leeds: Schedule difficulty 27/100; match difficulty 53/100
L
 Aug 29 Aug at Liverpool: Schedule difficulty 34/100; match difficulty 67/100
D
 5 Sep vs Tottenham: Schedule difficulty 21/100; match difficulty 42/100
D
 Sep 12 Sep at Aston Villa: Schedule difficulty 34/100; match difficulty 67/100
W
 19 Sep vs Coventry: Schedule difficulty 17/100; match difficulty 33/100
L
 11 Oct at Crystal Palace: Schedule difficulty 22/100; match difficulty 44/100
L
 Oct 18 Oct vs Arsenal: Schedule difficulty 43/100; match difficulty 85/100
L
 23 Oct at Ipswich: Schedule difficulty 16/100; match difficulty 31/100 31 Oct at Brentford: Schedule difficulty 28/100; match difficulty 56/100 7 Nov vs Manchester City: Schedule difficulty 39/100; match difficulty 77/100 Nov 21 Nov at Bournemouth: Schedule difficulty 29/100; match difficulty 57/100 27 Nov vs Chelsea: Schedule difficulty 29/100; match difficulty 57/100 2 Dec at Hull City: Schedule difficulty 12/100; match difficulty 23/100 Dec 5 Dec vs Brighton: Schedule difficulty 44/100; match difficulty 65/100 12 Dec at Sunderland: Schedule difficulty 19/100; match difficulty 38/100 19 Dec vs Everton: Schedule difficulty 24/100; match difficulty 47/100 27 Dec at Manchester United: Schedule difficulty 30/100; match difficulty 60/100 30 Dec at Newcastle: Schedule difficulty 30/100; match difficulty 51/100 2 Jan vs Fulham: Schedule difficulty 34/100; match difficulty 45/100 Jan 5 Jan vs Hull City: Schedule difficulty 23/100; match difficulty 23/100 16 Jan at Manchester City: Schedule difficulty 39/100; match difficulty 77/100 23 Jan vs Bournemouth: Schedule difficulty 29/100; match difficulty 57/100 30 Jan at Chelsea: Schedule difficulty 29/100; match difficulty 57/100 6 Feb vs Brentford: Schedule difficulty 28/100; match difficulty 56/100 Feb 10 Feb at Fulham: Schedule difficulty 23/100; match difficulty 45/100 20 Feb vs Manchester United: Schedule difficulty 30/100; match difficulty 60/100 27 Feb at Everton: Schedule difficulty 24/100; match difficulty 47/100 3 Mar vs Newcastle: Schedule difficulty 26/100; match difficulty 51/100 Mar 13 Mar at Tottenham: Schedule difficulty 21/100; match difficulty 42/100 20 Mar vs Aston Villa: Schedule difficulty 34/100; match difficulty 67/100 10 Apr at Leeds: Schedule difficulty 27/100; match difficulty 53/100 Apr 17 Apr vs Liverpool: Schedule difficulty 34/100; match difficulty 67/100 24 Apr vs Sunderland: Schedule difficulty 19/100; match difficulty 38/100 1 May at Brighton: Schedule difficulty 33/100; match difficulty 65/100 May 8 May vs Crystal Palace: Schedule difficulty 22/100; match difficulty 44/100 15 May at Arsenal: Schedule difficulty 43/100; match difficulty 85/100 23 May vs Ipswich: Schedule difficulty 16/100; match difficulty 31/100 30 May at Coventry: Schedule difficulty 17/100; match difficulty 33/100

Schedule next 30 days · forecast and load

All fixtures and load →
Rest5.1 daysbefore IPS
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel / 14d350 kmaway trips
Schedule load0%Low
at IpswichFri 23 Oct, 20:00 Premier League 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 49 42%win24%draw34%loss Low load · 5.1 d rest at BrentfordSat 31 Oct, 15:00 Premier League 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 75 28%win24%draw48%loss Low load · 7.8 d rest vs Manchester CitySat 7 Nov, 17:30 Premier League 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 91 25%win21%draw54%loss Low load · 7.1 d rest
Win · draw · loss: LOAD90 forecastLoad bar: rest, matches and travel before each game (context; only 4+ matches in 14 days changes the forecast)
Full match preview oneScored → at Ipswich, 23 OctOdds, value, live score

Fixture Swing

Opponent opportunity across the next 3 matches · all competitions

2 of 3 forecasts available · Partial window

Attack Swing+12%

Baseline 2.76 → Forecast 3.09 expected goals · 2 included matches

Conceding Swing−7%

Baseline 3.61 → Forecast 3.35 expected goals conceded · 2 included matches

Opportunity for the next 3 matches
MatchAttackConceding riskGoals · Baseline → Forecast
at Ipswich23 Oct · Premier League 2026-2027 +26% −14% 1.38 → 1.73
at Brentford31 Oct · Premier League 2026-2027 −1% 0% 1.38 → 1.36
vs Manchester City7 Nov · Premier League 2026-2027 — — Opportunity unavailable

Swing compares total forecast goals with total baseline goals for the included matches. Forecasts are available up to 21 days ahead. Missing snapshots and different model revisions are excluded; a partial window covers only the matches shown with values. Your team's own conditions are kept in each baseline.

Next match · Match Opportunity

Nottingham Forest

Baseline: average Premier League opponent

Attack Uplift +26% Expected goals Baseline1.38Forecast1.73
Conceding Risk −14% Expected goals conceded Baseline1.80Forecast1.54
Clean Sheet +4.9 pp Chance of conceding no goals Baseline16.5%Forecast21.4%