Insights.
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Explore competitions →League insights
UEFA Champions League · 171 signals · 35 clubs in this view
BarcelonaWinning, and exceeding expectationsInsight Score82/100
A winning run and points above forecast expectations stand out together. Separate the recorded results from the chance balance; the points comparison covers a different set of league matches.
- Wins in a rowLast 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-27 → 2026-10-17 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions - 10+
- Points minus expected11/11 current-league matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-17 UTC
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games - +6.3
- Goals scored / matchLast 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-27 → 2026-10-17 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions - 4.3
- Observed xG difference / match10-match profile · exact dates unavailable
Observed match xG · available averages - +2.60
Sources, limitations & score
- Deviation
- 100.0
- Recency
- 62.3
- Context
- 100.0
- Quality
- 58.5
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
- Wins in a row — A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
- Points minus expected — Points 33; xPts 26.7. Saved pre: 3; reconstructed: 8. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Goals scored / match — UEFA Champions League 2026-2027: 2.04 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-08 → 2026-10-14 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Observed xG difference / match — Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 3.55; xG against 0.95. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
PSV EindhovenChance balance ahead of the points returnInsight Score74/100
A positive observed xG balance sits alongside points below stored forecast expectations. These are different windows: inspect finishing, conceding and individual matches before assigning a cause.
- Points minus expected11/11 current-league matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-17 UTC
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games - −3.9
- Observed xG difference / match10-match profile · exact dates unavailable
Observed match xG · available averages - +1.16
- Goals scored / matchLast 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-17 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions - 2.6
Sources, limitations & score
- Deviation
- 77.3
- Recency
- 62.3
- Context
- 100.0
- Quality
- 57.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
- Points minus expected — Points 20; xPts 23.9. Saved pre: 2; reconstructed: 9. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Observed xG difference / match — Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 2.27; xG against 1.11. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Goals scored / match — UEFA Champions League 2026-2027: 2.04 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-08 → 2026-10-14 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
Bayern MünchenGoals accompanied by a positive chance balanceInsight Score72/100
Goals scored exceed the current league reference, alongside a positive observed xG profile. The sources have different windows; both describe past performances rather than the next result.
- Goals scored / matchLast 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-17 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions - 3.8
- Observed xG difference / match10-match profile · exact dates unavailable
Observed match xG · available averages - +2.15
Sources, limitations & score
- Deviation
- 100.0
- Recency
- 46.7
- Context
- 80.0
- Quality
- 48.8
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
- Goals scored / match — UEFA Champions League 2026-2027: 2.04 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-08 → 2026-10-14 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Observed xG difference / match — Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 3.27; xG against 1.12. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
ArsenalDefensive consistency, positive chance balanceInsight Score71/100
Clean sheets and low goals conceded accompany a positive observed xG balance. The xG profile describes overall chance balance; it is not, by itself, proof of strong defending.
- Clean sheetsLast 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions - 6/9
- Goals conceded / matchLast 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions - 0.6
- Observed xG difference / match10-match profile · exact dates unavailable
Observed match xG · available averages - +0.71
Sources, limitations & score
- Deviation
- 93.8
- Recency
- 48.3
- Context
- 80.0
- Quality
- 52.4
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
- Clean sheets — UEFA Champions League 2026-2027: 2.04 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-08 → 2026-10-14 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Goals conceded / match — UEFA Champions League 2026-2027: 2.04 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-08 → 2026-10-14 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Observed xG difference / match — Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.56; xG against 0.85. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
Real BetisPoints ahead. Chance balance tells another story.Insight Score69/100
Points exceed the stored forecasts, while the observed xG profile has no positive balance. Results and chances tell different stories; this does not establish that a reversal is due.
- Points minus expected11/11 current-league matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-17 UTC
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games - +9.6
- Observed xG difference / match10-match profile · exact dates unavailable
Observed match xG · available averages - −0.08
Sources, limitations & score
- Deviation
- 87.3
- Recency
- 46.7
- Context
- 80.0
- Quality
- 51.8
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
- Points minus expected — Points 25; xPts 15.4. Saved pre: 3; reconstructed: 8. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Observed xG difference / match — Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.71; xG against 1.79. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
Each signal belongs to one category. Categories sum to All signals; stories combine related evidence across categories.
All signals171 signals · 35 clubs
Select a row to explore the evidence. Scroll to see all columns →
Arsenal
xG difference per match
+0.71
Underlying performance · 10-match window
Observed xG33
Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.
Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.56; xG against 0.85. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Deviation
- 47.3
- Recency
- 0.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Underlying performance · 10-match window
- xG for
- 1.56
- xG against
- 0.85
Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.
Full club analysis →
Real Betis
Goals scored per match
2.1
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores46
This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-25 → 2026-10-17 UTC. UEFA Champions League 2026-2027: 2.04 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-08 → 2026-10-14 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 1.9
- Recency
- 93.5
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 72.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Real Betis’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | ValenciaA | 1–0W |
| 2026-08-29 | LevanteA | 2–5L |
| 2026-09-04 | Real MadridH | 1–0W |
| 2026-09-08 | LilleA | 3–2W |
| 2026-09-14 | VillarrealA | 2–1W |
| 2026-09-17 | GetafeH | 1–0W |
| 2026-09-20 | Deportivo La CorunaA | 1–1D |
| 2026-10-11 | OsasunaH | 5–2W |
| 2026-10-14 | FC PortoH | 3–2W |
| 2026-10-17 | BarcelonaH | 2–5L |
Aston Villa
Scoring in a row
6
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Streak70
The club has scored in consecutive recorded matches, starting with the latest result. One goal is enough to extend the run.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-17 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
- Deviation
- 57.9
- Recency
- 93.5
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 90.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Aston Villa’s perspective. Event: Scoring in a row.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | BrightonA | 0–4L | No |
| 2026-08-31 | ArsenalH | 0–1L | No |
| 2026-09-05 | Hull CityA | 0–0D | No |
| 2026-09-08 | Club Brugge KVA | 3–2W | Yes |
| 2026-09-12 | Nottingham ForestH | 1–2L | Yes |
| 2026-09-19 | TottenhamA | 3–2W | Yes |
| 2026-10-10 | BrentfordH | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-10-14 | FenerbahceH | 6–0W | Yes |
| 2026-10-17 | NewcastleA | 1–0W | Yes |
Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.
Full club analysis →
Como
Goals conceded away per match
1.5
Last 6 recorded away matches
Scores48
An away-only conceding average that meets the descriptive threshold. Home results are excluded from this club window; the league reference includes both venues and does not adjust opposition.
Recorded scores · away only · Last 6 recorded away matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-18 UTC. UEFA Champions League 2026-2027: 2.04 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-08 → 2026-10-14 UTC. League reference includes home and away games; this club window is away only. Context only, without opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 14.1
- Recency
- 96.7
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 54.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 6 recorded away matches
Oldest → newest · scores from Como’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | UdineseA | 1–1D |
| 2026-08-30 | NapoliA | 2–1W |
| 2026-09-04 | GenoaA | 4–1W |
| 2026-09-20 | FrosinoneA | 0–2L |
| 2026-10-14 | FeyenoordA | 2–3L |
| 2026-10-18 | FiorentinaA | 3–1W |
PSV Eindhoven
Goals conceded away per match
1.5
Last 6 recorded away matches
Scores47
An away-only conceding average that meets the descriptive threshold. Home results are excluded from this club window; the league reference includes both venues and does not adjust opposition.
Recorded scores · away only · Last 6 recorded away matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-17 UTC. UEFA Champions League 2026-2027: 2.04 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-08 → 2026-10-14 UTC. League reference includes home and away games; this club window is away only. Context only, without opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 14.1
- Recency
- 93.5
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 54.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 6 recorded away matches
Oldest → newest · scores from PSV Eindhoven’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | ExcelsiorA | 2–1W |
| 2026-08-30 | UtrechtA | 6–1W |
| 2026-09-05 | AjaxA | 3–1W |
| 2026-09-20 | TwenteA | 2–3L |
| 2026-10-13 | RB LeipzigA | 0–1L |
| 2026-10-17 | ADO Den HaagA | 1–2L |
Bayern München
Scoring in a row
6
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Streak67
The club has scored in consecutive recorded matches, starting with the latest result. One goal is enough to extend the run.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-17 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
- Deviation
- 55.4
- Recency
- 93.5
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Bayern München’s perspective. Event: Scoring in a row.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | VfB StuttgartH | 5–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-05 | FC Schalke 04A | 0–0D | No |
| 2026-09-10 | Bodo/GlimtH | 5–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-13 | SV ElversbergA | 2–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-18 | Union BerlinH | 7–0W | Yes |
| 2026-10-10 | FC AugsburgA | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-10-13 | VikingA | 3–3D | Yes |
| 2026-10-17 | RB LeipzigH | 6–1W | Yes |
Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.
Full club analysis →
Sporting CP
xG difference per match
+0.67
Underlying performance · 10-match window
Observed xG32
Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.
Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.71; xG against 1.04. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Deviation
- 44.7
- Recency
- 0.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Underlying performance · 10-match window
- xG for
- 1.71
- xG against
- 1.04
Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.
Full club analysis →
Bodo/Glimt
Goals scored per match
2.2
Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores39
This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 6 recorded matches · 2026-08-04 → 2026-10-14 UTC. UEFA Champions League 2026-2027: 2.04 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-08 → 2026-10-14 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 3.3
- Recency
- 84.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 43.2
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Bodo/Glimt’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 | Union St. GilloiseA | 3–3D |
| 2026-08-11 | Union St. GilloiseH | 3–2W |
| 2026-08-19 | NEC NijmegenA | 3–1W |
| 2026-08-25 | NEC NijmegenH | 3–0W |
| 2026-09-10 | Bayern MünchenA | 0–5L |
| 2026-10-14 | Borussia DortmundH | 1–0W |
Feyenoord
Both teams scored
70%
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores50
Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-16 → 2026-10-17 UTC. UEFA Champions League 2026-2027: 2.04 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-08 → 2026-10-14 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 12.2
- Recency
- 93.5
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 72.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Feyenoord’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | GO Ahead EaglesH | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-08-23 | CambuurA | 5–2W | Yes |
| 2026-08-30 | ADO Den HaagH | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-09-05 | NEC NijmegenA | 3–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-09 | BarcelonaA | 1–5L | Yes |
| 2026-09-13 | PEC ZwolleA | 7–0W | No |
| 2026-09-20 | UtrechtH | 5–0W | No |
| 2026-10-10 | AZ AlkmaarH | 2–0W | No |
| 2026-10-14 | ComoH | 3–2W | Yes |
| 2026-10-17 | TelstarA | 4–3W | Yes |
FC Porto
xG difference per match
+0.62
Underlying performance · 10-match window
Observed xG30
Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.
Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.75; xG against 1.13. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Deviation
- 41.3
- Recency
- 0.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Underlying performance · 10-match window
- xG for
- 1.75
- xG against
- 1.13
Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.
Full club analysis →
FC Porto
Clean sheets
4
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores59
Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-14 UTC. UEFA Champions League 2026-2027: 2.04 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-08 → 2026-10-14 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 43.9
- Recency
- 84.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 72.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from FC Porto’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | AlvercaH | 2–0W | Yes |
| 2026-08-15 | Rio AveA | 2–0W | Yes |
| 2026-08-23 | AroucaH | 2–0W | Yes |
| 2026-08-29 | Academico ViseuA | 3–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-04 | MoreirenseH | 2–1W | No |
| 2026-09-08 | Manchester CityH | 0–2L | No |
| 2026-09-12 | Casa PiaA | 4–1W | No |
| 2026-09-20 | BenficaH | 3–1W | No |
| 2026-10-10 | MaritimoA | 2–1W | No |
| 2026-10-14 | Real BetisA | 2–3L | No |
Lens
Points below expected
−3.0
9/9 covered matches · current leagues
Forecast55
The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 9/9 current-league matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Points 13; xPts 16. Saved pre: 3; reconstructed: 6. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Deviation
- 32.1
- Recency
- 93.5
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 60.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
9/9 covered matches · current leagues
- Points
- 13.0
- xPts
- 16.0
Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 3; reconstructed: 6.
Full club analysis →
Atletico Madrid
Clean sheets
4
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores61
Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-17 UTC. UEFA Champions League 2026-2027: 2.04 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-08 → 2026-10-14 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 43.9
- Recency
- 93.5
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 72.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Atletico Madrid’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | VillarrealH | 2–2D | No |
| 2026-08-29 | SevillaA | 3–1W | No |
| 2026-09-05 | Athletic ClubA | 0–3L | No |
| 2026-09-09 | LiverpoolA | 1–2L | No |
| 2026-09-13 | Real SociedadA | 3–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-16 | OsasunaH | 4–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-20 | Real MadridH | 2–1W | No |
| 2026-10-10 | AlavesA | 2–1W | No |
| 2026-10-13 | Manchester UnitedH | 2–0W | Yes |
| 2026-10-17 | EspanyolA | 1–0W | Yes |
Atletico Madrid
Goals scored per match
2.0
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores46
This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-17 UTC. UEFA Champions League 2026-2027: 2.04 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-08 → 2026-10-14 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 1.3
- Recency
- 93.5
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 72.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Atletico Madrid’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | VillarrealH | 2–2D |
| 2026-08-29 | SevillaA | 3–1W |
| 2026-09-05 | Athletic ClubA | 0–3L |
| 2026-09-09 | LiverpoolA | 1–2L |
| 2026-09-13 | Real SociedadA | 3–0W |
| 2026-09-16 | OsasunaH | 4–0W |
| 2026-09-20 | Real MadridH | 2–1W |
| 2026-10-10 | AlavesA | 2–1W |
| 2026-10-13 | Manchester UnitedH | 2–0W |
| 2026-10-17 | EspanyolA | 1–0W |
AEK Athens FC
xG difference per match
+0.61
Underlying performance · 10-match window
Observed xG30
Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.
Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.77; xG against 1.16. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Deviation
- 40.7
- Recency
- 0.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Underlying performance · 10-match window
- xG for
- 1.77
- xG against
- 1.16
Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.
Full club analysis →
Sporting CP
Both teams scored
70%
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores47
Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-13 UTC. UEFA Champions League 2026-2027: 2.04 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-08 → 2026-10-14 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 12.2
- Recency
- 81.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 72.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Sporting CP’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | EstrelaA | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-08-14 | GuimaraesH | 3–2W | Yes |
| 2026-08-22 | AlvercaH | 3–1W | Yes |
| 2026-08-28 | Rio AveA | 4–0W | No |
| 2026-09-05 | NacionalH | 2–0W | No |
| 2026-09-09 | GalatasarayH | 3–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-13 | FamalicaoA | 1–1D | Yes |
| 2026-09-19 | AroucaH | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-10-09 | SC BragaA | 3–1W | Yes |
| 2026-10-13 | LensA | 2–0W | No |
Liverpool
xG difference per match
+0.60
Underlying performance · 10-match window
Observed xG30
Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.
Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.89; xG against 1.29. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Deviation
- 40.0
- Recency
- 0.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Underlying performance · 10-match window
- xG for
- 1.89
- xG against
- 1.29
Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.
Full club analysis →
Barcelona
Both teams scored
70%
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores50
Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-27 → 2026-10-17 UTC. UEFA Champions League 2026-2027: 2.04 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-08 → 2026-10-14 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 12.2
- Recency
- 93.5
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 72.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Barcelona’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Athletic ClubH | 2–0W | No |
| 2026-08-31 | Rayo VallecanoH | 5–2W | Yes |
| 2026-09-06 | ValenciaA | 5–0W | No |
| 2026-09-09 | FeyenoordH | 5–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-13 | LevanteA | 4–2W | Yes |
| 2026-09-16 | Racing SantanderH | 7–2W | Yes |
| 2026-09-19 | SevillaA | 3–1W | Yes |
| 2026-10-10 | GetafeH | 3–0W | No |
| 2026-10-13 | GalatasarayA | 4–1W | Yes |
| 2026-10-17 | Real BetisA | 5–2W | Yes |
Liverpool
Points above expected
+3.1
9/9 covered matches · current leagues
Forecast55
Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 9/9 current-league matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Points 18; xPts 14.9. Saved pre: 3; reconstructed: 6. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Deviation
- 33.2
- Recency
- 93.5
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 60.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
9/9 covered matches · current leagues
- Points
- 18.0
- xPts
- 14.9
Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 3; reconstructed: 6.
Full club analysis →
Sabah FA
Goals scored per match
2.0
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores43
This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-07-07 → 2026-10-13 UTC. UEFA Champions League 2026-2027: 2.04 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-08 → 2026-10-14 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 1.3
- Recency
- 81.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 72.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Sabah FA’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-07 | The New SaintsH | 2–0W |
| 2026-07-14 | The New SaintsA | 2–1W |
| 2026-07-21 | KuPSH | 1–0W |
| 2026-07-28 | KuPSA | 2–0W |
| 2026-08-05 | AarhusA | 1–2L |
| 2026-08-11 | AarhusH | 4–0W |
| 2026-08-19 | Hapoel Beer ShevaA | 1–2L |
| 2026-08-25 | Hapoel Beer ShevaH | 5–2W |
| 2026-09-10 | Manchester UnitedA | 0–4L |
| 2026-10-13 | Slavia PrahaH | 2–0W |
Atletico Madrid
xG difference per match
+0.57
Underlying performance · 10-match window
Observed xG29
Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.
Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.7; xG against 1.13. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Deviation
- 38.0
- Recency
- 0.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Underlying performance · 10-match window
- xG for
- 1.70
- xG against
- 1.13
Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.
Full club analysis →
Villarreal
Both teams scored
70%
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores50
Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-17 UTC. UEFA Champions League 2026-2027: 2.04 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-08 → 2026-10-14 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 12.2
- Recency
- 93.5
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 72.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Villarreal’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Atletico MadridA | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-08-28 | AlavesA | 0–1L | No |
| 2026-09-05 | Deportivo La CorunaH | 2–3L | Yes |
| 2026-09-08 | Borussia DortmundA | 2–3L | Yes |
| 2026-09-14 | Real BetisH | 1–2L | Yes |
| 2026-09-17 | MalagaA | 3–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-20 | LevanteH | 3–1W | Yes |
| 2026-10-10 | Real MadridA | 0–1L | No |
| 2026-10-13 | NapoliH | 3–1W | Yes |
| 2026-10-17 | ElcheH | 0–0D | No |
Bayern München
Clean sheets
3
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores55
Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-17 UTC. UEFA Champions League 2026-2027: 2.04 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-08 → 2026-10-14 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 35.9
- Recency
- 93.5
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 57.6
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Bayern München’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | VfB StuttgartH | 5–1W | No |
| 2026-09-05 | FC Schalke 04A | 0–0D | Yes |
| 2026-09-10 | Bodo/GlimtH | 5–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-13 | SV ElversbergA | 2–1W | No |
| 2026-09-18 | Union BerlinH | 7–0W | Yes |
| 2026-10-10 | FC AugsburgA | 2–2D | No |
| 2026-10-13 | VikingA | 3–3D | No |
| 2026-10-17 | RB LeipzigH | 6–1W | No |
Real Madrid
Both teams scored
70%
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores51
Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-26 → 2026-10-18 UTC. UEFA Champions League 2026-2027: 2.04 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-08 → 2026-10-14 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 12.2
- Recency
- 96.7
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 72.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Real Madrid’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Real SociedadH | 4–1W | Yes |
| 2026-08-30 | MalagaH | 4–0W | No |
| 2026-09-04 | Real BetisA | 0–1L | No |
| 2026-09-08 | InterH | 2–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-12 | Rayo VallecanoH | 4–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-15 | ElcheA | 3–2W | Yes |
| 2026-09-20 | Atletico MadridA | 1–2L | Yes |
| 2026-10-10 | VillarrealH | 1–0W | No |
| 2026-10-14 | AS RomaA | 4–3W | Yes |
| 2026-10-18 | SevillaH | 4–1W | Yes |
Bayern München
Points below expected
−2.5
8/8 covered matches · current leagues
Forecast52
The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 8/8 current-league matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Points 18; xPts 20.5. Saved pre: 3; reconstructed: 5. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Deviation
- 28.8
- Recency
- 93.5
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 55.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
8/8 covered matches · current leagues
- Points
- 18.0
- xPts
- 20.5
Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 3; reconstructed: 5.
Full club analysis →
Como
Goals scored per match
2.0
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores46
This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-18 UTC. UEFA Champions League 2026-2027: 2.04 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-08 → 2026-10-14 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 1.3
- Recency
- 96.7
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 64.8
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Como’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | UdineseA | 1–1D |
| 2026-08-30 | NapoliA | 2–1W |
| 2026-09-04 | GenoaA | 4–1W |
| 2026-09-10 | RB LeipzigH | 4–1W |
| 2026-09-14 | ParmaH | 2–1W |
| 2026-09-20 | FrosinoneA | 0–2L |
| 2026-10-11 | AS RomaH | 0–0D |
| 2026-10-14 | FeyenoordA | 2–3L |
| 2026-10-18 | FiorentinaA | 3–1W |
Slovan Bratislava
xG difference per match
−0.56
Underlying performance · 10-match window
Observed xG29
Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.
Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 0.79; xG against 1.35. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Deviation
- 37.3
- Recency
- 0.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Underlying performance · 10-match window
- xG for
- 0.79
- xG against
- 1.35
Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.
Full club analysis →
Real Betis
Both teams scored
70%
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores50
Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-25 → 2026-10-17 UTC. UEFA Champions League 2026-2027: 2.04 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-08 → 2026-10-14 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 12.2
- Recency
- 93.5
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 72.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Real Betis’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | ValenciaA | 1–0W | No |
| 2026-08-29 | LevanteA | 2–5L | Yes |
| 2026-09-04 | Real MadridH | 1–0W | No |
| 2026-09-08 | LilleA | 3–2W | Yes |
| 2026-09-14 | VillarrealA | 2–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-17 | GetafeH | 1–0W | No |
| 2026-09-20 | Deportivo La CorunaA | 1–1D | Yes |
| 2026-10-11 | OsasunaH | 5–2W | Yes |
| 2026-10-14 | FC PortoH | 3–2W | Yes |
| 2026-10-17 | BarcelonaH | 2–5L | Yes |
Sporting CP
Points above expected
+2.7
10/10 covered matches · current leagues
Forecast49
Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 10/10 current-league matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-13 UTC. Points 24; xPts 21.3. Saved pre: 1; reconstructed: 9. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Deviation
- 27.0
- Recency
- 81.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 55.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
10/10 covered matches · current leagues
- Points
- 24.0
- xPts
- 21.3
Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 1; reconstructed: 9.
Full club analysis →
Como
xG difference per match
+0.47
Underlying performance · 10-match window
Observed xG27
Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.
Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.88; xG against 1.41. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Deviation
- 31.3
- Recency
- 0.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Underlying performance · 10-match window
- xG for
- 1.88
- xG against
- 1.41
Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.
Full club analysis →
Lask Linz
xG difference per match
+0.39
Underlying performance · 10-match window
Observed xG25
Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.
Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.72; xG against 1.33. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Deviation
- 26.0
- Recency
- 0.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Underlying performance · 10-match window
- xG for
- 1.72
- xG against
- 1.33
Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.
Full club analysis →
Fenerbahce
Points below expected
−1.8
10/10 covered matches · current leagues
Forecast50
The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 10/10 current-league matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Points 17; xPts 18.8. Saved pre: 2; reconstructed: 8. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Deviation
- 18.0
- Recency
- 93.5
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 60.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
10/10 covered matches · current leagues
- Points
- 17.0
- xPts
- 18.8
Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 2; reconstructed: 8.
Full club analysis →
RB Leipzig
xG difference per match
+0.35
Underlying performance · 10-match window
Observed xG24
Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.
Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.92; xG against 1.57. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Deviation
- 23.3
- Recency
- 0.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Underlying performance · 10-match window
- xG for
- 1.92
- xG against
- 1.57
Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.
Full club analysis →
Galatasaray
Goals scored per match
1.9
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores47
This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-17 UTC. UEFA Champions League 2026-2027: 2.04 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-08 → 2026-10-14 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 4.5
- Recency
- 93.5
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 72.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Galatasaray’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | Çorum FKH | 2–2D |
| 2026-08-21 | Erzurumspor FKA | 4–0W |
| 2026-08-29 | GoztepeH | 3–2W |
| 2026-09-04 | Istanbul BasaksehirA | 3–2W |
| 2026-09-09 | Sporting CPA | 1–3L |
| 2026-09-13 | KocaelisporH | 1–0W |
| 2026-09-19 | TrabzonsporA | 0–4L |
| 2026-10-09 | KasimpasaH | 3–1W |
| 2026-10-13 | BarcelonaH | 1–4L |
| 2026-10-17 | GenclerbirligiA | 1–0W |
Liverpool
Goals scored per match
1.9
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores46
This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-17 UTC. UEFA Champions League 2026-2027: 2.04 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-08 → 2026-10-14 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 4.7
- Recency
- 93.5
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 64.8
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Liverpool’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | NewcastleA | 2–2D |
| 2026-08-29 | Nottingham ForestH | 2–2D |
| 2026-09-04 | IpswichA | 2–0W |
| 2026-09-09 | Atletico MadridH | 2–1W |
| 2026-09-12 | FulhamH | 0–0D |
| 2026-09-20 | BournemouthA | 1–0W |
| 2026-10-11 | Manchester CityH | 0–3L |
| 2026-10-14 | Lask LinzA | 6–3W |
| 2026-10-17 | BrentfordA | 2–1W |
Liverpool
Clean sheets
3
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores55
Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-17 UTC. UEFA Champions League 2026-2027: 2.04 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-08 → 2026-10-14 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 29.5
- Recency
- 93.5
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 64.8
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Liverpool’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | NewcastleA | 2–2D | No |
| 2026-08-29 | Nottingham ForestH | 2–2D | No |
| 2026-09-04 | IpswichA | 2–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-09 | Atletico MadridH | 2–1W | No |
| 2026-09-12 | FulhamH | 0–0D | Yes |
| 2026-09-20 | BournemouthA | 1–0W | Yes |
| 2026-10-11 | Manchester CityH | 0–3L | No |
| 2026-10-14 | Lask LinzA | 6–3W | No |
| 2026-10-17 | BrentfordA | 2–1W | No |
Como
Points above expected
+1.6
9/9 covered matches · current leagues
Forecast50
Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 9/9 current-league matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Points 17; xPts 15.4. Saved pre: 3; reconstructed: 6. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Deviation
- 17.1
- Recency
- 96.7
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 60.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
9/9 covered matches · current leagues
- Points
- 17.0
- xPts
- 15.4
Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 3; reconstructed: 6.
Full club analysis →
Lens
Goals scored per match
1.9
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores46
This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-17 UTC. UEFA Champions League 2026-2027: 2.04 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-08 → 2026-10-14 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 4.7
- Recency
- 93.5
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 64.8
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Lens’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | AuxerreH | 5–2W |
| 2026-08-29 | StrasbourgA | 1–2L |
| 2026-09-05 | LorientH | 0–1L |
| 2026-09-10 | Slavia PrahaA | 3–2W |
| 2026-09-13 | Le MansA | 2–2D |
| 2026-09-18 | MonacoA | 1–2L |
| 2026-10-09 | LyonH | 2–1W |
| 2026-10-13 | Sporting CPH | 0–2L |
| 2026-10-17 | Estac TroyesA | 3–1W |
Aston Villa
Clean sheets
3
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores55
Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-17 UTC. UEFA Champions League 2026-2027: 2.04 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-08 → 2026-10-14 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 29.5
- Recency
- 93.5
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 64.8
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Aston Villa’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | BrightonA | 0–4L | No |
| 2026-08-31 | ArsenalH | 0–1L | No |
| 2026-09-05 | Hull CityA | 0–0D | Yes |
| 2026-09-08 | Club Brugge KVA | 3–2W | No |
| 2026-09-12 | Nottingham ForestH | 1–2L | No |
| 2026-09-19 | TottenhamA | 3–2W | No |
| 2026-10-10 | BrentfordH | 2–2D | No |
| 2026-10-14 | FenerbahceH | 6–0W | Yes |
| 2026-10-17 | NewcastleA | 1–0W | Yes |
Borussia Dortmund
Points above expected
+1.5
8/8 covered matches · current leagues
Forecast48
Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 8/8 current-league matches · 2026-08-29 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Points 17; xPts 15.5. Saved pre: 3; reconstructed: 5. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Deviation
- 17.3
- Recency
- 93.5
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 55.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
8/8 covered matches · current leagues
- Points
- 17.0
- xPts
- 15.5
Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 3; reconstructed: 5.
Full club analysis →
RB Leipzig
Goals conceded per match
1.9
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores45
This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-29 → 2026-10-17 UTC. UEFA Champions League 2026-2027: 2.04 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-08 → 2026-10-14 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 4.9
- Recency
- 93.5
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 57.6
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from RB Leipzig’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Borussia MönchengladbachH | 3–0W |
| 2026-09-05 | Werder BremenA | 1–3L |
| 2026-09-10 | ComoA | 1–4L |
| 2026-09-13 | Hamburger SVH | 5–0W |
| 2026-09-20 | Bayer LeverkusenA | 0–2L |
| 2026-10-10 | Eintracht FrankfurtH | 6–0W |
| 2026-10-13 | PSV EindhovenH | 1–0W |
| 2026-10-17 | Bayern MünchenA | 1–6L |
Napoli
Clean sheets
3
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores55
Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-17 UTC. UEFA Champions League 2026-2027: 2.04 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-08 → 2026-10-14 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 29.5
- Recency
- 93.5
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 64.8
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Napoli’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | GenoaA | 2–0W | Yes |
| 2026-08-30 | ComoH | 1–2L | No |
| 2026-09-05 | InterA | 2–3L | No |
| 2026-09-09 | ArsenalH | 0–1L | No |
| 2026-09-13 | BolognaH | 1–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-20 | FiorentinaA | 1–1D | No |
| 2026-10-10 | FrosinoneH | 3–0W | Yes |
| 2026-10-13 | VillarrealA | 1–3L | No |
| 2026-10-17 | VeneziaA | 0–1L | No |
AS Roma
Points above expected
+1.4
9/9 covered matches · current leagues
Forecast49
AS Roma
+1.4
Points above expected
9/9 covered matches · current leagues
Points18.0xPts16.6
Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 9/9 current-league matches · 2026-08-24 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Points 18; xPts 16.6. Saved pre: 3; reconstructed: 6. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Deviation
- 15.0
- Recency
- 93.5
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 60.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
9/9 covered matches · current leagues
- Points
- 18.0
- xPts
- 16.6
Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 3; reconstructed: 6.
Full club analysis →
Inter
Points above expected
+1.4
9/9 covered matches · current leagues
Forecast49
Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 9/9 current-league matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Points 19; xPts 17.6. Saved pre: 3; reconstructed: 6. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Deviation
- 15.0
- Recency
- 93.5
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 60.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
9/9 covered matches · current leagues
- Points
- 19.0
- xPts
- 17.6
Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 3; reconstructed: 6.
Full club analysis →
Manchester United
xG difference per match
+0.26
Underlying performance · 10-match window
Observed xG22
Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.
Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.56; xG against 1.3. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Deviation
- 17.3
- Recency
- 0.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Underlying performance · 10-match window
- xG for
- 1.56
- xG against
- 1.30
Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.
Full club analysis →
Feyenoord
Clean sheets
3
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores54
Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-16 → 2026-10-17 UTC. UEFA Champions League 2026-2027: 2.04 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-08 → 2026-10-14 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 23.9
- Recency
- 93.5
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 72.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Feyenoord’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | GO Ahead EaglesH | 2–2D | No |
| 2026-08-23 | CambuurA | 5–2W | No |
| 2026-08-30 | ADO Den HaagH | 2–2D | No |
| 2026-09-05 | NEC NijmegenA | 3–1W | No |
| 2026-09-09 | BarcelonaA | 1–5L | No |
| 2026-09-13 | PEC ZwolleA | 7–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-20 | UtrechtH | 5–0W | Yes |
| 2026-10-10 | AZ AlkmaarH | 2–0W | Yes |
| 2026-10-14 | ComoH | 3–2W | No |
| 2026-10-17 | TelstarA | 4–3W | No |
Paris Saint Germain
Points above expected
+1.0
9/9 covered matches · current leagues
Forecast47
Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 9/9 current-league matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Points 20; xPts 19. Saved pre: 3; reconstructed: 6. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Deviation
- 10.7
- Recency
- 93.5
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 60.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
9/9 covered matches · current leagues
- Points
- 20.0
- xPts
- 19.0
Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 3; reconstructed: 6.
Full club analysis →
Real Betis
Goals conceded per match
1.8
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores48
This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-25 → 2026-10-17 UTC. UEFA Champions League 2026-2027: 2.04 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-08 → 2026-10-14 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 7.7
- Recency
- 93.5
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 72.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Real Betis’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | ValenciaA | 1–0W |
| 2026-08-29 | LevanteA | 2–5L |
| 2026-09-04 | Real MadridH | 1–0W |
| 2026-09-08 | LilleA | 3–2W |
| 2026-09-14 | VillarrealA | 2–1W |
| 2026-09-17 | GetafeH | 1–0W |
| 2026-09-20 | Deportivo La CorunaA | 1–1D |
| 2026-10-11 | OsasunaH | 5–2W |
| 2026-10-14 | FC PortoH | 3–2W |
| 2026-10-17 | BarcelonaH | 2–5L |
Sporting CP
Clean sheets
3
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores51
Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-13 UTC. UEFA Champions League 2026-2027: 2.04 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-08 → 2026-10-14 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 23.9
- Recency
- 81.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 72.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Sporting CP’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | EstrelaA | 2–2D | No |
| 2026-08-14 | GuimaraesH | 3–2W | No |
| 2026-08-22 | AlvercaH | 3–1W | No |
| 2026-08-28 | Rio AveA | 4–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-05 | NacionalH | 2–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-09 | GalatasarayH | 3–1W | No |
| 2026-09-13 | FamalicaoA | 1–1D | No |
| 2026-09-19 | AroucaH | 2–2D | No |
| 2026-10-09 | SC BragaA | 3–1W | No |
| 2026-10-13 | LensA | 2–0W | Yes |
VfB Stuttgart
Points below expected
−1.3
8/8 covered matches · current leagues
Forecast48
The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 8/8 current-league matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Points 12; xPts 13.3. Saved pre: 3; reconstructed: 5. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Deviation
- 15.0
- Recency
- 93.5
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 55.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
8/8 covered matches · current leagues
- Points
- 12.0
- xPts
- 13.3
Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 3; reconstructed: 5.
Full club analysis →
Aston Villa
Goals scored per match
1.8
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores47
This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-17 UTC. UEFA Champions League 2026-2027: 2.04 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-08 → 2026-10-14 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 8.1
- Recency
- 93.5
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 64.8
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Aston Villa’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | BrightonA | 0–4L |
| 2026-08-31 | ArsenalH | 0–1L |
| 2026-09-05 | Hull CityA | 0–0D |
| 2026-09-08 | Club Brugge KVA | 3–2W |
| 2026-09-12 | Nottingham ForestH | 1–2L |
| 2026-09-19 | TottenhamA | 3–2W |
| 2026-10-10 | BrentfordH | 2–2D |
| 2026-10-14 | FenerbahceH | 6–0W |
| 2026-10-17 | NewcastleA | 1–0W |
Galatasaray
Goals conceded per match
1.8
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores48
This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-17 UTC. UEFA Champions League 2026-2027: 2.04 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-08 → 2026-10-14 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 7.7
- Recency
- 93.5
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 72.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Galatasaray’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | Çorum FKH | 2–2D |
| 2026-08-21 | Erzurumspor FKA | 4–0W |
| 2026-08-29 | GoztepeH | 3–2W |
| 2026-09-04 | Istanbul BasaksehirA | 3–2W |
| 2026-09-09 | Sporting CPA | 1–3L |
| 2026-09-13 | KocaelisporH | 1–0W |
| 2026-09-19 | TrabzonsporA | 0–4L |
| 2026-10-09 | KasimpasaH | 3–1W |
| 2026-10-13 | BarcelonaH | 1–4L |
| 2026-10-17 | GenclerbirligiA | 1–0W |
Bayern München
Both teams scored
63%
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores44
Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-17 UTC. UEFA Champions League 2026-2027: 2.04 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-08 → 2026-10-14 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 2.6
- Recency
- 93.5
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 57.6
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Bayern München’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | VfB StuttgartH | 5–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-05 | FC Schalke 04A | 0–0D | No |
| 2026-09-10 | Bodo/GlimtH | 5–0W | No |
| 2026-09-13 | SV ElversbergA | 2–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-18 | Union BerlinH | 7–0W | No |
| 2026-10-10 | FC AugsburgA | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-10-13 | VikingA | 3–3D | Yes |
| 2026-10-17 | RB LeipzigH | 6–1W | Yes |
Barcelona
Clean sheets
3
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores54
Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-27 → 2026-10-17 UTC. UEFA Champions League 2026-2027: 2.04 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-08 → 2026-10-14 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 23.9
- Recency
- 93.5
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 72.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Barcelona’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Athletic ClubH | 2–0W | Yes |
| 2026-08-31 | Rayo VallecanoH | 5–2W | No |
| 2026-09-06 | ValenciaA | 5–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-09 | FeyenoordH | 5–1W | No |
| 2026-09-13 | LevanteA | 4–2W | No |
| 2026-09-16 | Racing SantanderH | 7–2W | No |
| 2026-09-19 | SevillaA | 3–1W | No |
| 2026-10-10 | GetafeH | 3–0W | Yes |
| 2026-10-13 | GalatasarayA | 4–1W | No |
| 2026-10-17 | Real BetisA | 5–2W | No |
Bodo/Glimt
Goals conceded per match
1.8
Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores40
This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 6 recorded matches · 2026-08-04 → 2026-10-14 UTC. UEFA Champions League 2026-2027: 2.04 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-08 → 2026-10-14 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 5.4
- Recency
- 84.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 43.2
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Bodo/Glimt’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 | Union St. GilloiseA | 3–3D |
| 2026-08-11 | Union St. GilloiseH | 3–2W |
| 2026-08-19 | NEC NijmegenA | 3–1W |
| 2026-08-25 | NEC NijmegenH | 3–0W |
| 2026-09-10 | Bayern MünchenA | 0–5L |
| 2026-10-14 | Borussia DortmundH | 1–0W |
Real Betis
Clean sheets
3
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores54
Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-25 → 2026-10-17 UTC. UEFA Champions League 2026-2027: 2.04 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-08 → 2026-10-14 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 23.9
- Recency
- 93.5
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 72.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Real Betis’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | ValenciaA | 1–0W | Yes |
| 2026-08-29 | LevanteA | 2–5L | No |
| 2026-09-04 | Real MadridH | 1–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-08 | LilleA | 3–2W | No |
| 2026-09-14 | VillarrealA | 2–1W | No |
| 2026-09-17 | GetafeH | 1–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-20 | Deportivo La CorunaA | 1–1D | No |
| 2026-10-11 | OsasunaH | 5–2W | No |
| 2026-10-14 | FC PortoH | 3–2W | No |
| 2026-10-17 | BarcelonaH | 2–5L | No |
Slovan Bratislava
Both teams scored
63%
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores42
Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-07-21 → 2026-10-14 UTC. UEFA Champions League 2026-2027: 2.04 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-08 → 2026-10-14 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 2.6
- Recency
- 84.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 57.6
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Slovan Bratislava’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 | SaburtaloA | 2–0W | No |
| 2026-07-29 | SaburtaloH | 1–1D | Yes |
| 2026-08-04 | Mjallby AIFA | 2–1W | Yes |
| 2026-08-11 | Mjallby AIFH | 2–0W | No |
| 2026-08-19 | CeljeH | 1–1D | Yes |
| 2026-08-26 | CeljeA | 2–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-09 | Paris Saint GermainA | 1–6L | Yes |
| 2026-10-14 | VfB StuttgartH | 0–3L | No |
Galatasaray
Clean sheets
3
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores54
Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-17 UTC. UEFA Champions League 2026-2027: 2.04 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-08 → 2026-10-14 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 23.9
- Recency
- 93.5
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 72.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Galatasaray’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | Çorum FKH | 2–2D | No |
| 2026-08-21 | Erzurumspor FKA | 4–0W | Yes |
| 2026-08-29 | GoztepeH | 3–2W | No |
| 2026-09-04 | Istanbul BasaksehirA | 3–2W | No |
| 2026-09-09 | Sporting CPA | 1–3L | No |
| 2026-09-13 | KocaelisporH | 1–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-19 | TrabzonsporA | 0–4L | No |
| 2026-10-09 | KasimpasaH | 3–1W | No |
| 2026-10-13 | BarcelonaH | 1–4L | No |
| 2026-10-17 | GenclerbirligiA | 1–0W | Yes |
Borussia Dortmund
Goals scored per match
1.8
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores46
This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-29 → 2026-10-17 UTC. UEFA Champions League 2026-2027: 2.04 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-08 → 2026-10-14 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 8.6
- Recency
- 93.5
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 57.6
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Borussia Dortmund’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Hamburger SVH | 2–0W |
| 2026-09-05 | 1899 HoffenheimA | 3–2W |
| 2026-09-08 | VillarrealH | 3–2W |
| 2026-09-12 | SC Paderborn 07H | 3–0W |
| 2026-09-19 | VfB StuttgartA | 1–0W |
| 2026-10-09 | Werder BremenH | 2–2D |
| 2026-10-14 | Bodo/GlimtA | 0–1L |
| 2026-10-17 | Union BerlinA | 0–0D |
VfB Stuttgart
Goals scored per match
1.8
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores46
This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-17 UTC. UEFA Champions League 2026-2027: 2.04 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-08 → 2026-10-14 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 8.6
- Recency
- 93.5
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 57.6
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from VfB Stuttgart’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Bayern MünchenA | 1–5L |
| 2026-09-04 | 1.FC KölnH | 4–1W |
| 2026-09-09 | VikingH | 3–1W |
| 2026-09-12 | 1899 HoffenheimA | 1–2L |
| 2026-09-19 | Borussia DortmundH | 0–1L |
| 2026-10-10 | SC Paderborn 07A | 2–0W |
| 2026-10-14 | Slovan BratislavaA | 3–0W |
| 2026-10-17 | Hamburger SVA | 0–1L |
Feyenoord
Goals conceded per match
1.7
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores50
This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-16 → 2026-10-17 UTC. UEFA Champions League 2026-2027: 2.04 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-08 → 2026-10-14 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 10.9
- Recency
- 93.5
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 72.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Feyenoord’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | GO Ahead EaglesH | 2–2D |
| 2026-08-23 | CambuurA | 5–2W |
| 2026-08-30 | ADO Den HaagH | 2–2D |
| 2026-09-05 | NEC NijmegenA | 3–1W |
| 2026-09-09 | BarcelonaA | 1–5L |
| 2026-09-13 | PEC ZwolleA | 7–0W |
| 2026-09-20 | UtrechtH | 5–0W |
| 2026-10-10 | AZ AlkmaarH | 2–0W |
| 2026-10-14 | ComoH | 3–2W |
| 2026-10-17 | TelstarA | 4–3W |
Inter
Goals conceded per match
1.7
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores48
This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-17 UTC. UEFA Champions League 2026-2027: 2.04 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-08 → 2026-10-14 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 11.5
- Recency
- 93.5
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 64.8
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Inter’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | MonzaH | 4–1W |
| 2026-08-30 | CagliariA | 1–0W |
| 2026-09-05 | NapoliH | 3–2W |
| 2026-09-08 | Real MadridA | 1–2L |
| 2026-09-14 | UdineseH | 5–3W |
| 2026-09-19 | AS RomaA | 2–2D |
| 2026-10-10 | ParmaH | 3–0W |
| 2026-10-13 | Club Brugge KVH | 3–4L |
| 2026-10-17 | BolognaA | 3–1W |
Arsenal
Goals scored per match
1.7
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores49
This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC. UEFA Champions League 2026-2027: 2.04 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-08 → 2026-10-14 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 11.5
- Recency
- 96.7
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 64.8
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Arsenal’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | CoventryH | 3–0W |
| 2026-08-31 | Aston VillaA | 1–0W |
| 2026-09-06 | ChelseaH | 2–1W |
| 2026-09-09 | NapoliA | 1–0W |
| 2026-09-12 | SunderlandA | 2–0W |
| 2026-09-19 | BrightonA | 0–3L |
| 2026-10-10 | LeedsH | 2–1W |
| 2026-10-13 | LilleH | 3–0W |
| 2026-10-18 | Nottingham ForestA | 1–0W |
Lens
Goals conceded per match
1.7
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores48
This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-17 UTC. UEFA Champions League 2026-2027: 2.04 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-08 → 2026-10-14 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 11.5
- Recency
- 93.5
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 64.8
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Lens’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | AuxerreH | 5–2W |
| 2026-08-29 | StrasbourgA | 1–2L |
| 2026-09-05 | LorientH | 0–1L |
| 2026-09-10 | Slavia PrahaA | 3–2W |
| 2026-09-13 | Le MansA | 2–2D |
| 2026-09-18 | MonacoA | 1–2L |
| 2026-10-09 | LyonH | 2–1W |
| 2026-10-13 | Sporting CPH | 0–2L |
| 2026-10-17 | Estac TroyesA | 3–1W |
Galatasaray
Both teams scored
60%
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores49
Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-17 UTC. UEFA Champions League 2026-2027: 2.04 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-08 → 2026-10-14 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 7.8
- Recency
- 93.5
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 72.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Galatasaray’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | Çorum FKH | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-08-21 | Erzurumspor FKA | 4–0W | No |
| 2026-08-29 | GoztepeH | 3–2W | Yes |
| 2026-09-04 | Istanbul BasaksehirA | 3–2W | Yes |
| 2026-09-09 | Sporting CPA | 1–3L | Yes |
| 2026-09-13 | KocaelisporH | 1–0W | No |
| 2026-09-19 | TrabzonsporA | 0–4L | No |
| 2026-10-09 | KasimpasaH | 3–1W | Yes |
| 2026-10-13 | BarcelonaH | 1–4L | Yes |
| 2026-10-17 | GenclerbirligiA | 1–0W | No |
Slovan Bratislava
Goals conceded per match
1.6
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores45
This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-07-21 → 2026-10-14 UTC. UEFA Champions League 2026-2027: 2.04 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-08 → 2026-10-14 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 12.3
- Recency
- 84.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 57.6
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Slovan Bratislava’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 | SaburtaloA | 2–0W |
| 2026-07-29 | SaburtaloH | 1–1D |
| 2026-08-04 | Mjallby AIFA | 2–1W |
| 2026-08-11 | Mjallby AIFH | 2–0W |
| 2026-08-19 | CeljeH | 1–1D |
| 2026-08-26 | CeljeA | 2–1W |
| 2026-09-09 | Paris Saint GermainA | 1–6L |
| 2026-10-14 | VfB StuttgartH | 0–3L |
Shakhtar Donetsk
xG difference per match
−0.23
Underlying performance · 10-match window
Observed xG21
Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.
Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.04; xG against 1.27. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Deviation
- 15.3
- Recency
- 0.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Underlying performance · 10-match window
- xG for
- 1.04
- xG against
- 1.27
Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.
Full club analysis →
Villarreal
Goals scored per match
1.6
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores51
This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-17 UTC. UEFA Champions League 2026-2027: 2.04 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-08 → 2026-10-14 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 14.1
- Recency
- 93.5
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 72.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Villarreal’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Atletico MadridA | 2–2D |
| 2026-08-28 | AlavesA | 0–1L |
| 2026-09-05 | Deportivo La CorunaH | 2–3L |
| 2026-09-08 | Borussia DortmundA | 2–3L |
| 2026-09-14 | Real BetisH | 1–2L |
| 2026-09-17 | MalagaA | 3–1W |
| 2026-09-20 | LevanteH | 3–1W |
| 2026-10-10 | Real MadridA | 0–1L |
| 2026-10-13 | NapoliH | 3–1W |
| 2026-10-17 | ElcheH | 0–0D |
Bodo/Glimt
xG difference per match
−0.20
Underlying performance · 10-match window
Observed xG21
Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.
Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.42; xG against 1.62. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Deviation
- 13.3
- Recency
- 0.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Underlying performance · 10-match window
- xG for
- 1.42
- xG against
- 1.62
Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.
Full club analysis →
Manchester United
Goals scored per match
1.6
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores50
This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-18 UTC. UEFA Champions League 2026-2027: 2.04 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-08 → 2026-10-14 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 15.0
- Recency
- 96.7
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 64.8
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Manchester United’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Hull CityA | 0–2L |
| 2026-08-30 | IpswichH | 5–2W |
| 2026-09-06 | EvertonA | 2–2D |
| 2026-09-10 | Sabah FAH | 4–0W |
| 2026-09-13 | Manchester CityH | 0–1L |
| 2026-09-20 | FulhamA | 1–1D |
| 2026-10-10 | TottenhamH | 1–1D |
| 2026-10-13 | Atletico MadridA | 0–2L |
| 2026-10-18 | LeedsA | 1–1D |
Villarreal
Goals conceded per match
1.5
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores52
This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-17 UTC. UEFA Champions League 2026-2027: 2.04 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-08 → 2026-10-14 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 17.3
- Recency
- 93.5
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 72.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Villarreal’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Atletico MadridA | 2–2D |
| 2026-08-28 | AlavesA | 0–1L |
| 2026-09-05 | Deportivo La CorunaH | 2–3L |
| 2026-09-08 | Borussia DortmundA | 2–3L |
| 2026-09-14 | Real BetisH | 1–2L |
| 2026-09-17 | MalagaA | 3–1W |
| 2026-09-20 | LevanteH | 3–1W |
| 2026-10-10 | Real MadridA | 0–1L |
| 2026-10-13 | NapoliH | 3–1W |
| 2026-10-17 | ElcheH | 0–0D |
About these insights
Read the signal. Keep the context.
Insights describe what is recorded. Use club and match analysis to explore what comes next.
Insight Score · experimental editorial interest. This version uses 0.35D + 0.25R + 0.20C + 0.20Q. D measures heuristic deviation, R observation recency, C breadth of evidence families and Q data quality. These starting weights are uncalibrated. It is neither team strength, win probability, statistical significance nor forecast confidence. Related result signals share one family; different sources are not automatically statistically independent. Unknown dates receive zero recency; unknown xG coverage limits its quality component. League averages are context references, not opponent-adjusted estimates.
Check the window
Result signals use the last 10 recorded matches; away signals use the last 8 away matches. At least 5 are required. Missing and special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound.
Read the chart
Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored or conceded, capped at 6; zero keeps a marker. Teal / amber / red means win / draw / loss. Faded bars mean the event did not happen. Open the evidence for full scores.
Separate the sources
xG uses observed Playing style averages before the next or latest league fixture; coverage can differ between inputs. xPts comes from stored LOAD90 forecasts on identical covered games, including labelled historical reconstructions.
Types alternate for variety. Values are ordered within their own metric, without a combined ranking. These descriptive signals do not change the LOAD90 forecast.
Explore methodology →