Lask Linz vs Slovan Bratislava

UEFA Champions League Matchday 4 Tue, Nov 3 · 20:00 Raiffeisen Arena, Linz

Lask Linz 33rd · 0 pts · 2 played LL

VS— Compare

Slovan Bratislava 36th · 0 pts · 2 played LL

Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

Lask Linz are clear favourites.

Lask Linz are the stronger side on L90 Strength (39 vs 20). Recent goals, xG and shots on target add to that edge for Lask Linz. Lask Linz have 13 days of rest, Slovan Bratislava 14 and have to travel 210 km. Conditions look neutral.

Away travel210 kmRest days13 · 14Matches / 14d1 · 0

Lask Linz62%

Draw21%

Slovan Bratislava17%

Expected goals 2.17 – 1.07

Lask Linz58%

Draw24%

Slovan Bratislava19%

Expected goals 1.85 – 0.97

Lask Linz62%

Draw21%

Slovan Bratislava17%

Expected goals 2.17 – 1.07

Lask Linz54%

Draw23%

Slovan Bratislava23%

Expected goals 1.94 – 1.20

Lask Linz63%

Draw20%

Slovan Bratislava17%

Expected goals 2.28 – 1.13

Over 2.5 63% Both score 59% Likeliest score 2–1

EloLambda forecast, updated 5 hours ago. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.

Weather (Linz)

6°COvercast

Precipitation 0.0 mm
Wind 4 km/h
Humidity 92%

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Headlines

Attack

Defence

Streaks

Not enough recorded data for this category yet.

Team strength

Lask Linz

Slovan Bratislava

39 L90 StrengthIn forecast 20

37 Current StrengthIn forecast 20

48 AttackIn forecast 18

34 DefenceIn forecast 22

— Form indexContext —

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Lask Linz

Attack—

Defense risk—

Slovan Bratislava

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Lask Linz

Slovan Bratislava

1.50 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 0.50

3.50 Goals concededVia Att/Def 4.50

1.39 xGVia Att/Def —

2.54 xG allowedVia Att/Def —

+0.11 Goals minus xGContext —

50% Scored inContext 50%

0% Clean sheetsContext 0%

11.50 ShotsContext 12.00

3.50 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 2.50

30% On target shareContext 21%

7.50 Shots in the boxContext 6.50

64% Box shareContext 54%

13% ConversionContext 4%

2.00 OffsidesContext 1.00

22.00 Shots allowedContext 25.50

6.50 On target allowedVia Att/Def 11.00

7.00 BlocksContext 4.00

2.00 Goalkeeper savesContext 7.00

31% Save rateContext 64%

44% PossessionIn forecast 32%

368 PassesContext 322

298 Accurate passesContext 252

81% Pass accuracyContext 78%

6.52 Team ratingContext 6.16

11.00 FoulsContext 8.50

5.50 Fouls sufferedContext 11.50

1.50 Yellow cardsContext 1.00

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00

This league season, per match · 2 and 2 games

2.30 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.20

1.60 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.50

1.72 xGVia Att/Def 0.79

1.33 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.35

+0.58 Goals minus xGContext +0.41

80% Scored inContext 80%

10% Clean sheetsContext 30%

17.10 ShotsContext 12.83

5.50 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.80

32% On target shareContext 31%

10.80 Shots in the boxContext 7.83

63% Box shareContext 62%

14% ConversionContext 7%

2.00 OffsidesContext 1.75

12.10 Shots allowedContext 17.50

3.30 On target allowedVia Att/Def 6.50

3.40 BlocksContext 4.00

1.88 Goalkeeper savesContext 4.50

48% Save rateContext 69%

43% PossessionIn forecast 43%

353 PassesContext 400

280 Accurate passesContext 320

79% Pass accuracyContext 80%

6.89 Team ratingContext 6.63

11.00 FoulsContext 10.86

9.20 Fouls sufferedContext 11.86

1.40 Yellow cardsContext 1.60

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Lask Linz LL

Rest13 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel0 km4,314 km in 14d

Schedule load10%Low

Form 33 · 0 pts vs 2.0 for an average club · -2.0 vs expected

L14 OctH · Liverpool3–60.9 xPts
L8 SepA · AEK Athens FC0–11.1 xPts

Slovan Bratislava LL

Rest14 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d0all competitions

Travel210 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

Form 35 · 0 pts vs 1.7 for an average club · -1.0 vs expected

L14 OctH · VfB Stuttgart0–30.8 xPts
L9 SepA · Paris Saint Germain1–60.3 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Lask Linz	Slovan Bratislava
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 10	Low · 0
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	13UEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase, 21 Oct	14UEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase, 20 Oct
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	210 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	4,314 km	0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	0 / 1 / 2	0 / 0 / 2
Next matchdays after this one	20.9	21

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Lask Linz Last XI · not confirmed

5-4-1 · vs Liverpool (H) 3–6, 14 Oct

1L. Jungwirth(G)

25Y. Dibango 16A. Andrade 43Alemão 4X. Mbuyamba 20Kasper Jørgensen

27C. Lang 18A. Schöpf 6M. Bogarde 9K. Daněk

7S. Adeniran

Slovan Bratislava Last XI · not confirmed

4-2-3-1 · vs VfB Stuttgart (H) 0–3, 14 Oct

71D. Takáč(G)

57Sandro Cruz 15S. Marković 12K. Bajrič 28C. Blackman

20A. Mustafić 3P. Pokorný

21Suleiman Camara 70C. Martinez 11T. Barseghyan

99A. Šporar

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Lask Linz No reported absences

Slovan Bratislava No reported absences

Total impact vs full squads

Lask Linz+0.0 pp
Draw+0.0 pp
Slovan Bratislava+0.0 pp

From eScored squad data: each player's weight is his role (core 3, starter 2, rotation 1, depth 0.5) times his share of minutes. Defenders and keepers count to the defence line, forwards to attack, midfielders half to each. EloLambda turns the lost share into fewer goals scored and more conceded (weight 0.1); the totals show how that moves the result chances.

Home / Away this season

Lask Linz · Home 0.00points per game · 1 home games

W-D-L: 0-0-1
Scored: 3.00
Conceded: 6.00

Slovan Bratislava · Away 0.00points per game · 1 away games

W-D-L: 0-0-1
Scored: 1.00
Conceded: 6.00

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Head to head

No earlier meetings in our data.

Goals & match trends

	Lask Linz	Slovan Bratislava	Forecast
Scored per game	1.50	0.50
Conceded per game	3.50	4.50
Match goals	5.00	5.00	3.24
Over 1.5	50%	100%
Over 2.5	50%	100%	63%
Over 3.5	50%	50%
Both teams scored	50%	50%	59%
Clean sheets	0%	0%
Failed to score	50%	50%
Games	2	2

	Lask Linz	Slovan Bratislava	Forecast
Scored per game	2.00	1.38
Conceded per game	2.75	1.63
Match goals	4.75	3.00	3.24
Over 1.5	75%	100%
Over 2.5	75%	50%	63%
Over 3.5	50%	13%
Both teams scored	50%	63%	59%
Clean sheets	0%	25%
Failed to score	50%	13%
Games	4	8

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Lask Linz	Slovan Bratislava	League
Corners
Corners won	3.00	1.50
Corners conceded	9.00	7.50
Match total	12.00	9.00	9.71
Over 8.5	100% 2/2	100% 2/2
Over 9.5	100% 2/2	0% 0/2
Over 10.5	50% 1/2	0% 0/2
Cards
Cards	1.50	1.00
Opponent cards	0.50	1.50
Match total	2.00	2.50	3.80
Over 3.5	0% 0/2	50% 1/2
Over 4.5	0% 0/2	0% 0/2

	Lask Linz	Slovan Bratislava	League
Corners
Corners won	4.67	4.17
Corners conceded	6.33	5.50
Match total	11.00	9.67	9.71
Over 8.5	78% 7/9	67% 4/6
Over 9.5	78% 7/9	33% 2/6
Over 10.5	56% 5/9	33% 2/6
Cards
Cards	1.60	1.60
Opponent cards	1.30	2.70
Match total	2.90	4.30	3.80
Over 3.5	20% 2/10	80% 8/10
Over 4.5	10% 1/10	50% 5/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.