Leeds

7th · Premier League · 10 points · Matches played: 7

11 points behind Manchester City · Table & Fixtures →

L90 Strength L90 Strength is LOAD90’s own club strength rating on a fixed 0–100 scale, built from its Elo rating. League Strength uses the mean Elo of a league's clubs and a separate league calibration, so the two scores are not directly comparable.

+0.6 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.

Base L90 Strength changed +1.2 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number. 73.2+0.6
World Rank 26th Global, by Elo
Premier League Rank 10th L90 Strength
Last Manchester UnitedH xG 1.0–0.9 1–1 Next SunderlandA 39%

Compare clubs

Choose a second club to explore what separates them.

Upcoming fixtures

Leeds · All competitions

Forecast
SunderlandPremier League 2026-2027 · Away 39% win 1.42 xPts BournemouthPremier League 2026-2027 · Away 23% win 0.91 xPts TottenhamPremier League 2026-2027 · Home 51% win 1.78 xPts ChelseaPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts CoventryPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Manchester CityPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts IpswichPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts LiverpoolPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts FulhamPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Aston VillaPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Hull CityPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts EvertonPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Manchester CityPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts TottenhamPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts ChelseaPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts CoventryPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts BournemouthPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts EvertonPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Aston VillaPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts FulhamPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Hull CityPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts BrightonPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts NewcastlePremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Nottingham ForestPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts BrentfordPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts LiverpoolPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts IpswichPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts ArsenalPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Manchester UnitedPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts SunderlandPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Crystal PalacePremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts

xPts = 3 × win probability + draw probability. — means no published forecast. Open a match for xG and the full forecast.

Results

Leeds · All competitions

Full time
Manchester UnitedPremier League 2026-2027 · Home D 1–1 1.0–0.9 xG -0.6 Δpts ArsenalPremier League 2026-2027 · Away L 1–2 0.7–2.1 xG -0.6 Δpts Crystal PalacePremier League 2026-2027 · Home D 0–0 1.3–1.1 xG -0.9 Δpts NewcastlePremier League 2026-2027 · Home W 4–1 2.1–0.9 xG +1.3 Δpts BrightonPremier League 2026-2027 · Away D 1–1 2.5–2.2 xG +0.1 Δpts BrentfordPremier League 2026-2027 · Home D 1–1 1.5–1.7 xG -0.4 Δpts Nottingham ForestPremier League 2026-2027 · Away W 1–0 0.5–0.7 xG +1.9 Δpts

Score and actual xG show Leeds first. Δpts = points taken − pre-match xPts. — means data unavailable.

Current load Low · 0

Rest profile7.1 days since last match
0%
Schedule load1 matches in last 14 days
0%
Travel load124 km to venue, 0 km in 14 days
0%
Squad availability3 out, 1 key: J. Rodon · Last match: 18 Oct
7%

Load before the next match, at Sunderland, 25 Oct. Squad availability is shown separately and is not part of the score; availability is the share of squad weight missing, the same input the forecast uses for absences.

Schedule difficulty all competitions

Each bar is one match: 50% match difficulty from current relative Elo strength + 50% calendar load (rest, match congestion and travel). Higher means harder, on a 0–100 scale. This is a descriptive index, not a win probability. Lighter bars are upcoming; the dashed line marks today. Grey marks missing data. 22 Aug at Nottingham Forest: Schedule difficulty 24/100; match difficulty 47/100
W
 Aug 30 Aug vs Brentford: Schedule difficulty 26/100; match difficulty 52/100
D
 5 Sep at Brighton: Schedule difficulty 34/100; match difficulty 62/100
D
 Sep 14 Sep vs Newcastle: Schedule difficulty 24/100; match difficulty 48/100
W
 20 Sep vs Crystal Palace: Schedule difficulty 21/100; match difficulty 41/100
D
 10 Oct at Arsenal: Schedule difficulty 42/100; match difficulty 83/100
L
 Oct 18 Oct vs Manchester United: Schedule difficulty 29/100; match difficulty 57/100
D
 25 Oct at Sunderland: Schedule difficulty 18/100; match difficulty 35/100 31 Oct at Bournemouth: Schedule difficulty 30/100; match difficulty 54/100 7 Nov vs Tottenham: Schedule difficulty 20/100; match difficulty 39/100 Nov 21 Nov at Chelsea: Schedule difficulty 27/100; match difficulty 54/100 28 Nov vs Coventry: Schedule difficulty 15/100; match difficulty 30/100 2 Dec at Manchester City: Schedule difficulty 38/100; match difficulty 75/100 Dec 5 Dec vs Ipswich: Schedule difficulty 26/100; match difficulty 29/100 12 Dec at Liverpool: Schedule difficulty 40/100; match difficulty 64/100 19 Dec vs Fulham: Schedule difficulty 21/100; match difficulty 42/100 26 Dec at Aston Villa: Schedule difficulty 32/100; match difficulty 64/100 29 Dec at Hull City: Schedule difficulty 15/100; match difficulty 21/100 1 Jan vs Everton: Schedule difficulty 33/100; match difficulty 43/100 Jan 6 Jan vs Manchester City: Schedule difficulty 45/100; match difficulty 75/100 16 Jan at Tottenham: Schedule difficulty 20/100; match difficulty 39/100 23 Jan vs Chelsea: Schedule difficulty 27/100; match difficulty 54/100 30 Jan at Coventry: Schedule difficulty 15/100; match difficulty 30/100 6 Feb vs Bournemouth: Schedule difficulty 27/100; match difficulty 54/100 Feb 10 Feb at Everton: Schedule difficulty 22/100; match difficulty 43/100 20 Feb vs Aston Villa: Schedule difficulty 32/100; match difficulty 64/100 27 Feb at Fulham: Schedule difficulty 21/100; match difficulty 42/100 3 Mar vs Hull City: Schedule difficulty 11/100; match difficulty 21/100 Mar 13 Mar vs Brighton: Schedule difficulty 31/100; match difficulty 62/100 20 Mar at Newcastle: Schedule difficulty 24/100; match difficulty 48/100 10 Apr vs Nottingham Forest: Schedule difficulty 24/100; match difficulty 47/100 Apr 17 Apr at Brentford: Schedule difficulty 26/100; match difficulty 52/100 24 Apr vs Liverpool: Schedule difficulty 32/100; match difficulty 64/100 1 May at Ipswich: Schedule difficulty 15/100; match difficulty 29/100 May 8 May vs Arsenal: Schedule difficulty 42/100; match difficulty 83/100 15 May at Manchester United: Schedule difficulty 29/100; match difficulty 57/100 23 May vs Sunderland: Schedule difficulty 18/100; match difficulty 35/100 30 May at Crystal Palace: Schedule difficulty 21/100; match difficulty 41/100

Schedule next 30 days · forecast and load

All fixtures and load →
Rest7.1 daysbefore SUN
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel / 14d0 kmaway trips
Schedule load0%Low
at SunderlandSun 25 Oct, 16:30 Premier League 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 57 39%win25%draw36%loss Low load · 7.1 d rest at BournemouthSat 31 Oct, 15:00 Premier League 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 77 23%win22%draw55%loss Low load · 5.9 d rest vs TottenhamSat 7 Nov, 12:30 Premier League 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 61 51%win24%draw25%loss Low load · 6.9 d rest
Win · draw · loss: LOAD90 forecastLoad bar: rest, matches and travel before each game (context; only 4+ matches in 14 days changes the forecast)
Full match preview oneScored → at Sunderland, 25 OctOdds, value, live score

Fixture Swing

Opponent opportunity across the next 3 matches · all competitions

3 of 3 forecasts available

Attack Swing+4%

Baseline 4.55 → Forecast 4.73 expected goals · 3 included matches

Conceding Swing−1%

Baseline 4.87 → Forecast 4.80 expected goals conceded · 3 included matches

Opportunity for the next 3 matches
MatchAttackConceding riskGoals · Baseline → Forecast
at Sunderland25 Oct · Premier League 2026-2027 +16% −11% 1.39 → 1.62
at Bournemouth31 Oct · Premier League 2026-2027 −10% +16% 1.39 → 1.26
vs Tottenham7 Nov · Premier League 2026-2027 +6% −11% 1.76 → 1.86

Swing compares total forecast goals with total baseline goals for the included matches. Forecasts are available up to 21 days ahead. Missing snapshots and different model revisions are excluded; a partial window covers only the matches shown with values. Your team's own conditions are kept in each baseline.

Next match · Match Opportunity

Leeds

Baseline: average Premier League opponent

Attack Uplift +16% Expected goals Baseline1.39Forecast1.62
Conceding Risk −11% Expected goals conceded Baseline1.74Forecast1.55
Clean Sheet +3.7 pp Chance of conceding no goals Baseline17.6%Forecast21.3%