UEFA Europa League Matchday 3 Thu, Oct 22 · 17:45 Groupama Aréna, Budapest
Ferencvarosi TC 7th · 6 pts · 2 played
VS— Compare
Torreense 19th · 3 pts · 2 played
Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Our take

Ferencvarosi TC are clear favourites.

Ferencvarosi TC are the stronger side on L90 Strength (57 vs 26). Recent goals, xG and shots on target add to that edge for Ferencvarosi TC. Ferencvarosi TC have 6.9 days of rest, Torreense 7 and have to travel 2,456 km. Conditions look neutral.

Away travel2,456 kmRest days6.9 · 7Matches / 14d1 · 1
Ferencvarosi TC69%
Draw18%
Torreense13%
Expected goals 2.40 – 0.95
Ferencvarosi TC63%
Draw22%
Torreense15%
Expected goals 2.02 – 0.88
Ferencvarosi TC69%
Draw18%
Torreense13%
Expected goals 2.40 – 0.95
Ferencvarosi TC62%
Draw21%
Torreense17%
Expected goals 2.14 – 1.06
Ferencvarosi TC69%
Draw18%
Torreense13%
Expected goals 2.40 – 0.96
Over 2.5 65% Both score 56% Likeliest score 2–0
EloLambda forecast, updated 6 minutes ago. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.
Weather (Budapest)
11°COvercast
  • Precipitation 5%
  • Wind 16 km/h
  • Humidity 68%
Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for Ferencvarosi TC and Torreense. These describe recorded performance and do not change the match forecast. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals per category, with at most three per team.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses the observed pre-match Playing style averages already shown for this fixture. Window size is not xG coverage, and the two averages can have different denominators. Result statistics use completed matches recorded up to now; their window can differ from the Playing style profile. Season points and xPts are not included here.

Headlines

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack

Attack insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Defence

Defence insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Streaks

Streaks insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Team strength

Ferencvarosi TCTorreense
57 L90 StrengthIn forecast 26
57 Current StrengthIn forecast 26
61 AttackIn forecast 21
56 DefenceIn forecast 28
— Form indexContext —
In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Ferencvarosi TC

Attack—
Defense risk—

Torreense

Attack—
Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Ferencvarosi TCTorreense
2.50 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.50
1.00 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.50
— xGVia Att/Def —
— xG allowedVia Att/Def —
— Goals minus xGContext —
100% Scored inContext 100%
0% Clean sheetsContext 0%
13.00 ShotsContext 7.00
6.00 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 2.00
46% On target shareContext 29%
8.50 Shots in the boxContext —
66% Box shareContext —
19% ConversionContext 21%
1.00 OffsidesContext —
17.00 Shots allowedContext 22.50
5.50 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.50
6.50 BlocksContext 6.50
4.50 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.50
82% Save rateContext 64%
46% PossessionIn forecast 36%
395 PassesContext 287
321 Accurate passesContext 211
81% Pass accuracyContext 74%
6.91 Team ratingContext 6.64
12.50 FoulsContext 13.50
16.50 Fouls sufferedContext 16.50
2.00 Yellow cardsContext 2.50
0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00
This league season, per match · 2 and 2 games
2.10 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 0.75
0.70 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.25
— xGVia Att/Def —
— xG allowedVia Att/Def —
— Goals minus xGContext —
100% Scored inContext 50%
40% Clean sheetsContext 25%
— ShotsContext 11.75
— Shots on targetVia Att/Def 2.00
46% On target shareContext 17%
— Shots in the boxContext 9.33
— Box shareContext 64%
19% ConversionContext 6%
— OffsidesContext 1.33
— Shots allowedContext 16.00
— On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.25
5.00 BlocksContext 4.00
— Goalkeeper savesContext 3.75
82% Save rateContext 71%
48% PossessionIn forecast 48%
— PassesContext 339
— Accurate passesContext 263
— Pass accuracyContext 78%
— Team ratingContext 6.70
14.75 FoulsContext 12.25
12.50 Fouls sufferedContext 15.50
1.70 Yellow cardsContext 2.25
0.10 Red cardsContext 0.00
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 4 games
In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Ferencvarosi TC
Rest6.9 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel0 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 76 · 6 pts vs 2.7 for an average club · +2.9 vs expected
  • W15 OctH · Plzen2–11.9 xPts
  • W17 SepA · Celtic3–11.3 xPts
Torreense
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel2,456 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load20%Moderate
Form 50 · 3 pts vs 3.0 for an average club · +0.9 vs expected
  • L15 OctH · Sunderland1–21.0 xPts
  • W17 SepA · Lillestrom2–11.1 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery
Ferencvarosi TC Torreense
Schedule loaddescriptive index, contextLow · 0Moderate · 20
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecastNoNo
Rest dayssince last match6.9UEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase, 15 Oct7UEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase, 15 Oct
Travel to venuefrom home stadium0 km2,456 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways0 km0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days1 / 1 / 11 / 1 / 1
Next matchdays after this one1414.1

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Ferencvarosi TC Last XI · not confirmed
4-2-3-1 · vs Plzen (H) 2–1, 15 Oct
63D. Radnóti(G)
20Cadu 4M. Gómez 28T. Raemaekers 14A. Osváth
6Á. Nagy 17M. Corbu
7V. Birmančević 16K. Zachariassen 11B. Yusuf
76K. Lisztes
Torreense Last XI · not confirmed
4-2-3-1 · vs Sunderland (H) 1–2, 15 Oct
1Lucas Paes(G)
23Javi Vázquez 4V. Feltes 5M. Diadie 45J. Mutombo
8Alejandro Alfaro 6A. Oudrhiri
19K. Zoabi 33João Marques 11Manu Pozo
27A. Abubakari

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences
Ferencvarosi TC No reported absences
Torreense No reported absences
Total impact vs full squads
  • Ferencvarosi TC+0.0 pp
  • Draw+0.0 pp
  • Torreense+0.0 pp

From eScored squad data: each player's weight is his role (core 3, starter 2, rotation 1, depth 0.5) times his share of minutes. Defenders and keepers count to the defence line, forwards to attack, midfielders half to each. EloLambda turns the lost share into fewer goals scored and more conceded (weight 0.1); the totals show how that moves the result chances.

Home / Away this season

Ferencvarosi TC · Home 3.00points per game · 1 home games
W-D-L
1-0-0
Scored
2.00
Conceded
1.00
Torreense · Away 3.00points per game · 1 away games
W-D-L
1-0-0
Scored
2.00
Conceded
1.00

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Head to head

No earlier meetings in our data.

Goals & match trends

Ferencvarosi TCTorreenseForecast
Scored per game 2.501.50
Conceded per game 1.001.50
Match goals 3.503.00 3.35
Over 1.5 100%100%
Over 2.5 100%100% 65%
Over 3.5 50%0%
Both teams scored 100%100% 56%
Clean sheets 0%0%
Failed to score 0%0%
Games22
Ferencvarosi TCTorreenseForecast
Scored per game 2.101.50
Conceded per game 0.701.50
Match goals 2.803.00 3.35
Over 1.5 80%100%
Over 2.5 70%100% 65%
Over 3.5 30%0%
Both teams scored 60%100% 56%
Clean sheets 40%0%
Failed to score 0%0%
Games102

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

Ferencvarosi TCTorreenseLeague
Corners
Corners won5.002.00
Corners conceded7.0010.00
Match total12.0012.009.76
Over 8.5100% 2/2100% 2/2
Over 9.5100% 2/2100% 2/2
Over 10.550% 1/2100% 2/2
Cards
Cards2.003.00
Opponent cards0.502.00
Match total2.505.003.76
Over 3.50% 0/2100% 2/2
Over 4.50% 0/250% 1/2
Ferencvarosi TCTorreenseLeague
Corners
Corners won6.004.50
Corners conceded6.257.25
Match total12.2511.759.76
Over 8.5100% 4/475% 3/4
Over 9.5100% 4/475% 3/4
Over 10.575% 3/475% 3/4
Cards
Cards1.802.50
Opponent cards1.503.25
Match total3.305.753.76
Over 3.540% 4/10100% 4/4
Over 4.540% 4/1075% 3/4

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Goal timing

Ferencvarosi TC2 games · scored 5 · conceded 2
0-15
1 16-30
1 1 31-45
2 46-60
61-75
1 1 76-90
Torreense2 games · scored 3 · conceded 3
0-15
1 16-30
1 31-45
1 46-60
1 61-75
2 76-90
Ferencvarosi TC10 games · scored 21 · conceded 7
2 0-15
5 16-30
2 4 31-45
5 46-60
2 61-75
5 3 76-90
Torreense4 games · scored 3 · conceded 5
0-15
1 16-30
1 1 31-45
1 46-60
1 61-75
3 76-90

scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.

Scenario lab Beta

Numbers are home · draw · away chances. Pick a scenario to update the forecast at the top of the page.

Next fixtures UEFA Europa League

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