Football / The bigger picture

Insights.

Go beyond the result. Follow the patterns. See the evidence.

How to read the signals →

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Competition selects current clubs. Result windows include all recorded competitions; points comparisons use covered current-league matches.

Stories behind the signals

All tracked leagues · 794 signals · 190 clubs in this view

Explore all signals ↓

Automatically selected connections · one story per club · experimental Insight Score orders stories, not teams.

BarcelonaWinning, and exceeding expectationsInsight Score84/100

A winning run and points above forecast expectations stand out together. Separate the recorded results from the chance balance; the points comparison covers a different set of league matches.

Wins in a rowLast 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-27 → 2026-10-17 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions
10+
Points minus expected11/11 current-league matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-17 UTC
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games
+6.3
Goals scored / matchLast 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-27 → 2026-10-17 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions
4.3
Observed xG difference / match10-match profile · exact dates unavailable
Observed match xG · available averages
+2.60
Full club analysis →Different windows, shown individually. Connections invite analysis; they do not establish a cause.
Sources, limitations & score
Insight Score 84/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
100.0
Recency
61.3
Context
100.0
Quality
67.9

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

  • Wins in a row — A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
  • Points minus expected — Points 33; xPts 26.7. Saved pre: 3; reconstructed: 8. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
  • Goals scored / match — La Liga 2026-2027: 1.53 goals per team/match, 88 matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
  • Observed xG difference / match — Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 3.55; xG against 0.95. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
LazioPoints ahead. Chance balance tells another story.Insight Score81/100

Points exceed the stored forecasts, while the observed xG profile has no positive balance. Results and chances tell different stories; this does not establish that a reversal is due.

Points minus expected7/7 current-league matches · 2026-08-24 → 2026-10-18 UTC
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games
+8.2
Observed xG difference / match10-match profile · exact dates unavailable
Observed match xG · available averages
−0.15
Wins in a rowLast 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-24 → 2026-10-18 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions
3
Full club analysis →Different windows, shown individually. Connections invite analysis; they do not establish a cause.
Sources, limitations & score
Insight Score 81/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
100.0
Recency
63.3
Context
100.0
Quality
51.7

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

  • Points minus expected — Points 19; xPts 10.8. Saved pre: 2; reconstructed: 5. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
  • Observed xG difference / match — Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.15; xG against 1.3. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
  • Wins in a row — A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
PSV EindhovenChance balance ahead of the points returnInsight Score76/100

A positive observed xG balance sits alongside points below stored forecast expectations. These are different windows: inspect finishing, conceding and individual matches before assigning a cause.

Points minus expected11/11 current-league matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-17 UTC
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games
−3.9
Observed xG difference / match10-match profile · exact dates unavailable
Observed match xG · available averages
+1.16
Goals scored / matchLast 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-17 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions
2.6
Full club analysis →Different windows, shown individually. Connections invite analysis; they do not establish a cause.
Sources, limitations & score
Insight Score 76/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
77.3
Recency
61.3
Context
100.0
Quality
66.4

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

  • Points minus expected — Points 20; xPts 23.9. Saved pre: 2; reconstructed: 9. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
  • Observed xG difference / match — Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 2.27; xG against 1.11. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
  • Goals scored / match — Eredivisie 2026-2027: 1.92 goals per team/match, 81 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
Bayern MünchenGoals accompanied by a positive chance balanceInsight Score74/100

Goals scored exceed the current league reference, alongside a positive observed xG profile. The sources have different windows; both describe past performances rather than the next result.

Goals scored / matchLast 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-17 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions
3.8
Observed xG difference / match10-match profile · exact dates unavailable
Observed match xG · available averages
+2.15
Full club analysis →Different windows, shown individually. Connections invite analysis; they do not establish a cause.
Sources, limitations & score
Insight Score 74/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
100.0
Recency
45.9
Context
80.0
Quality
60.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

  • Goals scored / match — Bundesliga 2026-2027: 1.84 goals per team/match, 54 matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
  • Observed xG difference / match — Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 3.27; xG against 1.12. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
ArsenalDefensive consistency, positive chance balanceInsight Score68/100

Clean sheets and low goals conceded accompany a positive observed xG balance. The xG profile describes overall chance balance; it is not, by itself, proof of strong defending.

Clean sheetsLast 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions
6/9
Goals conceded / matchLast 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions
0.6
Observed xG difference / match10-match profile · exact dates unavailable
Observed match xG · available averages
+0.71
Full club analysis →Different windows, shown individually. Connections invite analysis; they do not establish a cause.
Sources, limitations & score
Insight Score 68/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
76.2
Recency
47.5
Context
80.0
Quality
65.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

  • Clean sheets — Premier League 2026-2027: 1.45 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
  • Goals conceded / match — Premier League 2026-2027: 1.45 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
  • Observed xG difference / match — Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.56; xG against 0.85. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Each signal belongs to one category. Categories sum to All signals; stories combine related evidence across categories.

All signals794 signals · 190 clubs

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Espanyol Both teams scored 67% Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Scores54
Scores Espanyol 67% Both teams scored Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Both teams scored

Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-16 → 2026-10-17 UTC. La Liga 2026-2027: 1.53 goals per team/match, 88 matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 54/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
14.6
Recency
91.9
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Espanyol’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-16LevanteH3–0WNo
2026-08-22Real MadridH1–2LYes
2026-08-29Real SociedadA1–2LYes
2026-09-06SevillaH1–1DYes
2026-09-12OsasunaA2–0WNo
2026-09-15Rayo VallecanoA1–2LYes
2026-09-18ElcheH1–3LYes
2026-10-09MalagaA1–1DYes
2026-10-17Atletico MadridH0–1LNo
Full club analysis →
Aston Villa Clean sheets 3 Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Scores53
Scores Aston Villa 3 Clean sheets Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Clean sheet

Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Premier League 2026-2027: 1.45 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 53/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
11.9
Recency
91.9
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Aston Villa’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-23BrightonA0–4LNo
2026-08-31ArsenalH0–1LNo
2026-09-05Hull CityA0–0DYes
2026-09-08Club Brugge KVA3–2WNo
2026-09-12Nottingham ForestH1–2LNo
2026-09-19TottenhamA3–2WNo
2026-10-10BrentfordH2–2DNo
2026-10-14FenerbahceH6–0WYes
2026-10-17NewcastleA1–0WYes
Full club analysis →
Lorient Points above expected +1.6 7/7 covered matches · current leagues Forecast48
Forecast Lorient +1.6 Points above expected 7/7 covered matches · current leagues Points11.0xPts9.4

Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 7/7 current-league matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Points 11; xPts 9.4. Saved pre: 2; reconstructed: 5. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 48/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
20.0
Recency
95.0
Context
40.0
Quality
45.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

7/7 covered matches · current leagues

Points
11.0
xPts
9.4

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 2; reconstructed: 5.

Full club analysis →
Alaves Points below expected −1.6 9/9 covered matches · current leagues Forecast49
Forecast Alaves −1.6 Points below expected 9/9 covered matches · current leagues Points11.0xPts12.6

The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 9/9 current-league matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Points 11; xPts 12.6. Saved pre: 2; reconstructed: 7. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 49/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
17.1
Recency
95.0
Context
40.0
Quality
55.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

9/9 covered matches · current leagues

Points
11.0
xPts
12.6

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 2; reconstructed: 7.

Full club analysis →
Dinamo Zagreb Goals scored per match 1.9 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores47
Scores Dinamo Zagreb 1.9 Goals scored per match Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-07-21 → 2026-10-15 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 47/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
16.0
Recency
86.0
Context
40.0
Quality
57.6

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Dinamo Zagreb’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-07-21FC ThunA1–1D
2026-07-28FC ThunH3–2W
2026-08-04Kauno ŽalgirisH5–0W
2026-08-11Kauno ŽalgirisA2–1W
2026-08-18VikingH2–2D
2026-08-26VikingA1–3L
2026-09-16Hapoel Beer ShevaA0–0D
2026-10-15AnderlechtH1–0W
Full club analysis →
Sevilla xG difference per match −0.45 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG27
Observed xG Sevilla −0.45 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for1.03xG against1.48

Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.03; xG against 1.48. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 27/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
30.0
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
1.03
xG against
1.48

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Elche Goals conceded per match 1.9 Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Scores53
Scores Elche 1.9 Goals conceded per match Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-17 → 2026-10-17 UTC. La Liga 2026-2027: 1.53 goals per team/match, 88 matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 53/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
12.2
Recency
91.9
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Elche’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-17Deportivo La CorunaA1–1D
2026-08-23BarcelonaH0–5L
2026-08-28Racing SantanderA2–3L
2026-09-07Real SociedadH2–3L
2026-09-12Athletic ClubA1–1D
2026-09-15Real MadridH2–3L
2026-09-18EspanyolA3–1W
2026-10-11Celta VigoH0–0D
2026-10-17VillarrealA0–0D
Full club analysis →
Rizespor xG difference per match +0.33 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG24
Observed xG Rizespor +0.33 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for1.36xG against1.03

Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.36; xG against 1.03. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 24/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
22.0
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
1.36
xG against
1.03

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Elche Both teams scored 67% Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Scores54
Scores Elche 67% Both teams scored Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Both teams scored

Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-17 → 2026-10-17 UTC. La Liga 2026-2027: 1.53 goals per team/match, 88 matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 54/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
14.6
Recency
91.9
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Elche’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-17Deportivo La CorunaA1–1DYes
2026-08-23BarcelonaH0–5LNo
2026-08-28Racing SantanderA2–3LYes
2026-09-07Real SociedadH2–3LYes
2026-09-12Athletic ClubA1–1DYes
2026-09-15Real MadridH2–3LYes
2026-09-18EspanyolA3–1WYes
2026-10-11Celta VigoH0–0DNo
2026-10-17VillarrealA0–0DNo
Full club analysis →
AC Milan Clean sheets 3 Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Scores57
Scores AC Milan 3 Clean sheets Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Clean sheet

Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Serie A 2026-2027: 1.48 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 57/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
21.6
Recency
95.0
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from AC Milan’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-23TorinoA2–1WNo
2026-08-28VeneziaH2–0WYes
2026-09-06JuventusA1–1DNo
2026-09-12LazioA2–2DNo
2026-09-16BenficaH0–2LNo
2026-09-20LecceH3–0WYes
2026-10-11SassuoloA1–1DNo
2026-10-15Red Bull SalzburgA4–0WYes
2026-10-18AtalantaH3–2WNo
Full club analysis →
Borussia Dortmund Points above expected +1.5 8/8 covered matches · current leagues Forecast48
Forecast Borussia Dortmund +1.5 Points above expected 8/8 covered matches · current leagues Points17.0xPts15.5

Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 8/8 current-league matches · 2026-08-29 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Points 17; xPts 15.5. Saved pre: 3; reconstructed: 5. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 48/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
17.3
Recency
91.9
Context
40.0
Quality
55.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

8/8 covered matches · current leagues

Points
17.0
xPts
15.5

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 3; reconstructed: 5.

Full club analysis →
FC Schalke 04 Points below expected −1.6 6/6 covered matches · current leagues Forecast47
Forecast FC Schalke 04 −1.6 Points below expected 6/6 covered matches · current leagues Points5.0xPts6.6

The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 6/6 current-league matches · 2026-08-30 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Points 5; xPts 6.6. Saved pre: 2; reconstructed: 4. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 47/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
21.8
Recency
91.9
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

6/6 covered matches · current leagues

Points
5.0
xPts
6.6

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 2; reconstructed: 4.

Full club analysis →
Gent Goals scored per match 1.9 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores46
Scores Gent 1.9 Goals scored per match Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-10 UTC. Belgian Pro League 2026-2027: 1.51 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 46/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
12.1
Recency
72.8
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Gent’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-09KV MechelenH2–0W
2026-08-16RAAL La LouvièreA2–1W
2026-08-30Club Brugge KVH2–1W
2026-09-03OH LeuvenH1–0W
2026-09-06Cercle BruggeA3–0W
2026-09-13GenkA1–1D
2026-09-18Standard LiegeH2–1W
2026-10-10Zulte WaregemA2–0W
Full club analysis →
Angers xG difference per match −0.44 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG26
Observed xG Angers −0.44 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for1.52xG against1.96

Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.52; xG against 1.96. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 26/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
29.3
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
1.52
xG against
1.96

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
RB Leipzig Goals conceded per match 1.9 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores47
Scores RB Leipzig 1.9 Goals conceded per match Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-29 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Bundesliga 2026-2027: 1.84 goals per team/match, 54 matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 47/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
0.9
Recency
91.9
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from RB Leipzig’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-29Borussia MönchengladbachH3–0W
2026-09-05Werder BremenA1–3L
2026-09-10ComoA1–4L
2026-09-13Hamburger SVH5–0W
2026-09-20Bayer LeverkusenA0–2L
2026-10-10Eintracht FrankfurtH6–0W
2026-10-13PSV EindhovenH1–0W
2026-10-17Bayern MünchenA1–6L
Full club analysis →
Guimaraes xG difference per match +0.32 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG23
Observed xG Guimaraes +0.32 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for1.39xG against1.07

Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.39; xG against 1.07. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 23/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
21.3
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
1.39
xG against
1.07

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Excelsior Both teams scored 67% Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Scores52
Scores Excelsior 67% Both teams scored Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Both teams scored

Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-16 UTC. Eredivisie 2026-2027: 1.92 goals per team/match, 81 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 52/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
9.5
Recency
88.9
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Excelsior’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-07CambuurA4–0WNo
2026-08-15PSV EindhovenH1–2LYes
2026-08-29Sparta RotterdamH2–1WYes
2026-09-05Willem IIA3–0WNo
2026-09-08NEC NijmegenA2–2DYes
2026-09-13UtrechtH1–2LYes
2026-09-19AjaxA2–2DYes
2026-10-11GroningenH1–5LYes
2026-10-16HeerenveenA0–4LNo
Full club analysis →
Napoli Clean sheets 3 Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Scores57
Scores Napoli 3 Clean sheets Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Clean sheet

Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Serie A 2026-2027: 1.48 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 57/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
21.6
Recency
91.9
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Napoli’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-22GenoaA2–0WYes
2026-08-30ComoH1–2LNo
2026-09-05InterA2–3LNo
2026-09-09ArsenalH0–1LNo
2026-09-13BolognaH1–0WYes
2026-09-20FiorentinaA1–1DNo
2026-10-10FrosinoneH3–0WYes
2026-10-13VillarrealA1–3LNo
2026-10-17VeneziaA0–1LNo
Full club analysis →
AS Roma Points above expected +1.4 9/9 covered matches · current leagues Forecast48
Forecast AS Roma +1.4 Points above expected 9/9 covered matches · current leagues Points18.0xPts16.6

Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 9/9 current-league matches · 2026-08-24 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Points 18; xPts 16.6. Saved pre: 3; reconstructed: 6. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 48/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
15.0
Recency
91.9
Context
40.0
Quality
60.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

9/9 covered matches · current leagues

Points
18.0
xPts
16.6

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 3; reconstructed: 6.

Full club analysis →
Strasbourg Points below expected −1.5 7/7 covered matches · current leagues Forecast47
Forecast Strasbourg −1.5 Points below expected 7/7 covered matches · current leagues Points7.0xPts8.5

The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 7/7 current-league matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Points 7; xPts 8.5. Saved pre: 2; reconstructed: 5. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 47/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
18.8
Recency
91.9
Context
40.0
Quality
45.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

7/7 covered matches · current leagues

Points
7.0
xPts
8.5

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 2; reconstructed: 5.

Full club analysis →
Brentford Goals scored per match 1.9 Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Scores50
Scores Brentford 1.9 Goals scored per match Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Premier League 2026-2027: 1.45 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 50/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
13.9
Recency
91.9
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Brentford’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-22TottenhamH3–0W
2026-08-30LeedsA1–1D
2026-09-05SunderlandH1–1D
2026-09-12BournemouthA2–2D
2026-09-18ChelseaH3–0W
2026-10-10Aston VillaA2–2D
2026-10-17LiverpoolH1–2L
Full club analysis →
Real Sociedad xG difference per match −0.44 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG26
Observed xG Real Sociedad −0.44 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for1.28xG against1.72

Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.28; xG against 1.72. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 26/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
29.3
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
1.28
xG against
1.72

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Moreirense Goals conceded per match 1.9 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores48
Scores Moreirense 1.9 Goals conceded per match Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-09 UTC. Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 48/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
19.1
Recency
70.4
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Moreirense’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-09SC BragaH2–2D
2026-08-16AroucaA0–4L
2026-08-30Casa PiaA1–0W
2026-09-04FC PortoA1–2L
2026-09-09BenficaH0–4L
2026-09-14MaritimoH3–1W
2026-09-20GuimaraesA1–1D
2026-10-09GIL VicenteH0–1L
Full club analysis →
Fulham xG difference per match +0.31 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG23
Observed xG Fulham +0.31 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for1.61xG against1.30

Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.61; xG against 1.3. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 23/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
20.7
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
1.61
xG against
1.30

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Cambuur Both teams scored 67% Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Scores53
Scores Cambuur 67% Both teams scored Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Both teams scored

Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Eredivisie 2026-2027: 1.92 goals per team/match, 81 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 53/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
9.5
Recency
95.0
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Cambuur’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-07ExcelsiorH0–4LNo
2026-08-15Fortuna SittardA1–3LYes
2026-08-23FeyenoordH2–5LYes
2026-08-30TwenteH1–4LYes
2026-09-06TelstarA2–2DYes
2026-09-12NEC NijmegenH3–0WNo
2026-09-19ADO Den HaagA1–1DYes
2026-10-11PEC ZwolleA1–0WNo
2026-10-18AZ AlkmaarH2–2DYes
Full club analysis →
Valencia Clean sheets 3 Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Scores55
Scores Valencia 3 Clean sheets Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Clean sheet

Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-17 UTC. La Liga 2026-2027: 1.53 goals per team/match, 88 matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 55/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
16.1
Recency
91.9
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Valencia’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-22Celta VigoH0–0DYes
2026-08-25Real BetisH0–1LNo
2026-08-30Deportivo La CorunaA1–3LNo
2026-09-06BarcelonaH0–5LNo
2026-09-11SevillaA0–1LNo
2026-09-15AlavesA1–0WYes
2026-09-20Real SociedadH2–3LNo
2026-10-11Racing SantanderA2–2DNo
2026-10-17Athletic ClubH0–0DYes
Full club analysis →
Inter Points above expected +1.4 9/9 covered matches · current leagues Forecast48
Forecast Inter +1.4 Points above expected 9/9 covered matches · current leagues Points19.0xPts17.6

Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 9/9 current-league matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Points 19; xPts 17.6. Saved pre: 3; reconstructed: 6. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 48/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
15.0
Recency
91.9
Context
40.0
Quality
60.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

9/9 covered matches · current leagues

Points
19.0
xPts
17.6

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 3; reconstructed: 6.

Full club analysis →
Crystal Palace Points below expected −1.4 9/9 covered matches · current leagues Forecast49
Forecast Crystal Palace −1.4 Points below expected 9/9 covered matches · current leagues Points10.0xPts11.4

The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 9/9 current-league matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Points 10; xPts 11.4. Saved pre: 3; reconstructed: 6. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 49/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
15.0
Recency
95.0
Context
40.0
Quality
60.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

9/9 covered matches · current leagues

Points
10.0
xPts
11.4

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 3; reconstructed: 6.

Full club analysis →
Monza Goals scored per match 1.9 Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Scores52
Scores Monza 1.9 Goals scored per match Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Serie A 2026-2027: 1.48 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 52/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
14.3
Recency
98.2
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Monza’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-22InterA1–4L
2026-08-29UdineseH2–3L
2026-09-06ParmaA1–1D
2026-09-13LecceA2–3L
2026-09-18SassuoloH2–1W
2026-10-11LazioA1–3L
2026-10-19CagliariH4–0W
Full club analysis →
Valencia xG difference per match −0.42 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG26
Observed xG Valencia −0.42 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for1.08xG against1.50

Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.08; xG against 1.5. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 26/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
28.0
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
1.08
xG against
1.50

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Estrela Goals conceded per match 1.9 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores49
Scores Estrela 1.9 Goals conceded per match Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 49/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
19.1
Recency
75.2
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Estrela’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-08Sporting CPH2–2D
2026-08-15AlvercaA2–2D
2026-08-30NacionalA3–2W
2026-09-05FamalicaoH2–2D
2026-09-10SC BragaH2–1W
2026-09-14Rio AveA3–3D
2026-09-20Academico ViseuH0–2L
2026-10-11AroucaA0–1L
Full club analysis →
Goztepe xG difference per match +0.27 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG22
Observed xG Goztepe +0.27 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for1.77xG against1.50

Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.77; xG against 1.5. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 22/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
18.0
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
1.77
xG against
1.50

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Racing Santander Both teams scored 67% Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Scores55
Scores Racing Santander 67% Both teams scored Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Both teams scored

Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-16 → 2026-10-18 UTC. La Liga 2026-2027: 1.53 goals per team/match, 88 matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 55/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
14.6
Recency
95.0
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Racing Santander’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-16VillarrealH2–2DYes
2026-08-23GetafeA0–1LNo
2026-08-28ElcheH3–2WYes
2026-09-05Rayo VallecanoA2–3LYes
2026-09-12AlavesH2–1WYes
2026-09-16BarcelonaA2–7LYes
2026-09-19Celta VigoA0–5LNo
2026-10-11ValenciaH2–2DYes
2026-10-18OsasunaA0–2LNo
Full club analysis →
Alaves Clean sheets 3 Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Scores55
Scores Alaves 3 Clean sheets Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Clean sheet

Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-18 UTC. La Liga 2026-2027: 1.53 goals per team/match, 88 matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 55/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
16.1
Recency
95.0
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Alaves’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-15GetafeH3–0WYes
2026-08-20Rayo VallecanoA1–1DNo
2026-08-28VillarrealH1–0WYes
2026-09-06OsasunaH5–2WNo
2026-09-12Racing SantanderA1–2LNo
2026-09-15ValenciaH0–1LNo
2026-09-19Athletic ClubA0–0DYes
2026-10-10Atletico MadridH1–2LNo
2026-10-18Celta VigoA1–2LNo
Full club analysis →
Ajax Points above expected +1.3 9/9 covered matches · current leagues Forecast47
Forecast Ajax +1.3 Points above expected 9/9 covered matches · current leagues Points18.0xPts16.7

Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 9/9 current-league matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Points 18; xPts 16.7. Saved pre: 1; reconstructed: 8. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 47/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
13.9
Recency
95.0
Context
40.0
Quality
50.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

9/9 covered matches · current leagues

Points
18.0
xPts
16.7

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 1; reconstructed: 8.

Full club analysis →
GO Ahead Eagles Points below expected −1.4 9/9 covered matches · current leagues Forecast47
Forecast GO Ahead Eagles −1.4 Points below expected 9/9 covered matches · current leagues Points11.0xPts12.4

The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 9/9 current-league matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Points 11; xPts 12.4. Saved pre: 1; reconstructed: 8. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 47/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
15.0
Recency
95.0
Context
40.0
Quality
50.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

9/9 covered matches · current leagues

Points
11.0
xPts
12.4

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 1; reconstructed: 8.

Full club analysis →
Stade Brestois 29 Goals scored per match 1.9 Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Scores49
Scores Stade Brestois 29 1.9 Goals scored per match Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Ligue 1 2026-2027: 1.52 goals per team/match, 63 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 49/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
11.9
Recency
91.9
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Stade Brestois 29’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-22Le MansA2–2D
2026-08-29ToulouseH2–2D
2026-09-05LE HavreA2–1W
2026-09-13Paris Saint GermainH0–1L
2026-09-20AuxerreA1–2L
2026-10-10AngersH5–1W
2026-10-17LilleA1–1D
Full club analysis →
Konyaspor xG difference per match −0.42 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG26
Observed xG Konyaspor −0.42 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for0.91xG against1.33

Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 0.91; xG against 1.33. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 26/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
28.0
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
0.91
xG against
1.33

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Chelsea Goals conceded per match 1.9 Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Scores50
Scores Chelsea 1.9 Goals conceded per match Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-24 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Premier League 2026-2027: 1.45 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 50/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
13.9
Recency
91.9
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Chelsea’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-24FulhamA3–2W
2026-08-30BrightonH4–3W
2026-09-06ArsenalA1–2L
2026-09-12Hull CityH2–2D
2026-09-18BrentfordA0–3L
2026-10-10BournemouthH5–1W
2026-10-17EvertonA2–0W
Full club analysis →
Manchester United xG difference per match +0.26 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG22
Observed xG Manchester United +0.26 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for1.56xG against1.30

Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.56; xG against 1.3. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 22/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
17.3
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
1.56
xG against
1.30

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
SC Freiburg Both teams scored 67% Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions Scores48
Scores SC Freiburg 67% Both teams scored Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Both teams scored

Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 6 recorded matches · 2026-08-30 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Bundesliga 2026-2027: 1.84 goals per team/match, 54 matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 48/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
12.1
Recency
95.0
Context
40.0
Quality
60.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from SC Freiburg’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-30Werder BremenH4–1WYes
2026-09-05SC Paderborn 07A1–0WNo
2026-09-12Borussia MönchengladbachH5–0WNo
2026-09-19Eintracht FrankfurtA2–2DYes
2026-10-11FC Schalke 04H2–1WYes
2026-10-18Bayer LeverkusenA1–2LYes
Full club analysis →
Osasuna Clean sheets 3 Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Scores55
Scores Osasuna 3 Clean sheets Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Clean sheet

Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-24 → 2026-10-18 UTC. La Liga 2026-2027: 1.53 goals per team/match, 88 matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 55/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
16.1
Recency
95.0
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Osasuna’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-24LevanteH0–0DYes
2026-08-27Celta VigoA2–1WNo
2026-08-31GetafeH1–0WYes
2026-09-06AlavesA2–5LNo
2026-09-12EspanyolH0–2LNo
2026-09-16Atletico MadridA0–4LNo
2026-09-19Rayo VallecanoH1–1DNo
2026-10-11Real BetisA2–5LNo
2026-10-18Racing SantanderH2–0WYes
Full club analysis →
Estrela Points above expected +1.2 8/8 covered matches · current leagues Forecast40
Forecast Estrela +1.2 Points above expected 8/8 covered matches · current leagues Points10.0xPts8.8

Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 8/8 current-league matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Points 10; xPts 8.8. Saved pre: 0; reconstructed: 8. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 40/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
13.8
Recency
75.2
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

8/8 covered matches · current leagues

Points
10.0
xPts
8.8

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 0; reconstructed: 8.

Full club analysis →
ADO Den Haag Points below expected −1.4 9/9 covered matches · current leagues Forecast46
Forecast ADO Den Haag −1.4 Points below expected 9/9 covered matches · current leagues Points6.0xPts7.4

The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 9/9 current-league matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Points 6; xPts 7.4. Saved pre: 1; reconstructed: 8. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 46/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
15.0
Recency
91.9
Context
40.0
Quality
50.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

9/9 covered matches · current leagues

Points
6.0
xPts
7.4

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 1; reconstructed: 8.

Full club analysis →
Frosinone Goals scored per match 1.9 Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Scores49
Scores Frosinone 1.9 Goals scored per match Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-16 UTC. Serie A 2026-2027: 1.48 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 49/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
14.3
Recency
88.9
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Frosinone’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-23JuventusH0–1L
2026-08-29FiorentinaA3–0W
2026-09-06VeneziaH3–2W
2026-09-12GenoaA1–1D
2026-09-20ComoH2–0W
2026-10-10NapoliA0–3L
2026-10-16SassuoloH4–2W
Full club analysis →
Excelsior xG difference per match −0.42 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG26
Observed xG Excelsior −0.42 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for1.47xG against1.89

Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.47; xG against 1.89. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 26/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
28.0
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
1.47
xG against
1.89

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Genoa Goals conceded per match 1.9 Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Scores50
Scores Genoa 1.9 Goals conceded per match Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Serie A 2026-2027: 1.48 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 50/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
14.3
Recency
91.9
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Genoa’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-22NapoliH0–2L
2026-08-30LazioA0–1L
2026-09-04ComoH1–4L
2026-09-12FrosinoneH1–1D
2026-09-20ParmaA1–2L
2026-10-10FiorentinaH2–1W
2026-10-17AS RomaA0–2L
Full club analysis →
GIL Vicente xG difference per match +0.26 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG22
Observed xG GIL Vicente +0.26 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for1.15xG against0.89

Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.15; xG against 0.89. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 22/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
17.3
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
1.15
xG against
0.89

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Borussia Mönchengladbach Both teams scored 67% Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions Scores48
Scores Borussia Mönchengladbach 67% Both teams scored Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Both teams scored

Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 6 recorded matches · 2026-08-29 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Bundesliga 2026-2027: 1.84 goals per team/match, 54 matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 48/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
12.1
Recency
95.0
Context
40.0
Quality
60.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Borussia Mönchengladbach’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-29RB LeipzigA0–3LNo
2026-09-05SV ElversbergH3–4LYes
2026-09-12SC FreiburgA0–5LNo
2026-09-19FSV Mainz 05H3–4LYes
2026-10-111.FC KölnA1–2LYes
2026-10-181899 HoffenheimH1–2LYes
Full club analysis →
Lyon Clean sheets 3 Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Scores58
Scores Lyon 3 Clean sheets Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Clean sheet

Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Ligue 1 2026-2027: 1.52 goals per team/match, 63 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 58/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
17.1
Recency
95.0
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Lyon’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-22ToulouseA2–0WYes
2026-08-26FenerbahceH1–2LNo
2026-08-29LE HavreH1–1DNo
2026-09-04AuxerreH3–1WNo
2026-09-12Paris FCA0–0DYes
2026-09-16AnderlechtA2–1WNo
2026-09-19RennesH4–0WYes
2026-10-09LensA1–2LNo
2026-10-15Crystal PalaceH3–2WNo
2026-10-18NiceH2–1WNo
Full club analysis →
Auxerre Points above expected +1.2 7/7 covered matches · current leagues Forecast46
Forecast Auxerre +1.2 Points above expected 7/7 covered matches · current leagues Points9.0xPts7.8

Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 7/7 current-league matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Points 9; xPts 7.8. Saved pre: 2; reconstructed: 5. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 46/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
15.0
Recency
95.0
Context
40.0
Quality
45.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

7/7 covered matches · current leagues

Points
9.0
xPts
7.8

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 2; reconstructed: 5.

Full club analysis →
Genk Points below expected −1.4 8/8 covered matches · current leagues Forecast40
Forecast Genk −1.4 Points below expected 8/8 covered matches · current leagues Points12.0xPts13.4

The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 8/8 current-league matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-10 UTC. Points 12; xPts 13.4. Saved pre: 0; reconstructed: 8. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 40/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
16.2
Recency
72.8
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

8/8 covered matches · current leagues

Points
12.0
xPts
13.4

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 0; reconstructed: 8.

Full club analysis →
Trabzonspor Goals scored per match 1.8 Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Scores57
Scores Trabzonspor 1.8 Goals scored per match Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Süper Lig 2026-2027: 1.44 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 57/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
12.5
Recency
98.2
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Trabzonspor’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-15KasimpasaA1–1D
2026-08-20Ferencvarosi TCH0–1L
2026-08-23Istanbul BasaksehirH2–1W
2026-08-27Ferencvarosi TCA0–4L
2026-08-31AmedA1–2L
2026-09-06GenclerbirligiH5–0W
2026-09-12KonyasporA0–1L
2026-09-19GalatasarayH4–0W
2026-10-10SamsunsporA3–0W
2026-10-19BesiktasH2–0W
Full club analysis →
Newcastle xG difference per match −0.41 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG26
Observed xG Newcastle −0.41 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for1.19xG against1.60

Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.19; xG against 1.6. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 26/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
27.3
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
1.19
xG against
1.60

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Parma Goals conceded per match 1.9 Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Scores52
Scores Parma 1.9 Goals conceded per match Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Serie A 2026-2027: 1.48 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 52/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
14.3
Recency
98.2
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Parma’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-22CagliariH0–1L
2026-08-29JuventusA0–2L
2026-09-06MonzaH1–1D
2026-09-14ComoA1–2L
2026-09-20GenoaH2–1W
2026-10-10InterA0–3L
2026-10-19TorinoH0–3L
Full club analysis →
St. Truiden xG difference per match +0.26 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG22
Observed xG St. Truiden +0.26 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for2.01xG against1.75

Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 2.01; xG against 1.75. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 22/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
17.3
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
2.01
xG against
1.75

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Eintracht Frankfurt Both teams scored 67% Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions Scores46
Scores Eintracht Frankfurt 67% Both teams scored Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Both teams scored

Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 6 recorded matches · 2026-08-29 → 2026-10-16 UTC. Bundesliga 2026-2027: 1.84 goals per team/match, 54 matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 46/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
12.1
Recency
88.9
Context
40.0
Quality
60.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Eintracht Frankfurt’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-29Union BerlinA3–3DYes
2026-09-06FC AugsburgH1–4LYes
2026-09-12FSV Mainz 05A3–1WYes
2026-09-19SC FreiburgH2–2DYes
2026-10-10RB LeipzigA0–6LNo
2026-10-161.FC KölnH1–0WNo
Full club analysis →
Feyenoord Clean sheets 3 Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Scores62
Scores Feyenoord 3 Clean sheets Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Clean sheet

Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-16 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Eredivisie 2026-2027: 1.92 goals per team/match, 81 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 62/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
30.4
Recency
91.9
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Feyenoord’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-16GO Ahead EaglesH2–2DNo
2026-08-23CambuurA5–2WNo
2026-08-30ADO Den HaagH2–2DNo
2026-09-05NEC NijmegenA3–1WNo
2026-09-09BarcelonaA1–5LNo
2026-09-13PEC ZwolleA7–0WYes
2026-09-20UtrechtH5–0WYes
2026-10-10AZ AlkmaarH2–0WYes
2026-10-14ComoH3–2WNo
2026-10-17TelstarA4–3WNo
Full club analysis →
Paris Saint Germain Points above expected +1.0 9/9 covered matches · current leagues Forecast47
Forecast Paris Saint Germain +1.0 Points above expected 9/9 covered matches · current leagues Points20.0xPts19.0

Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 9/9 current-league matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Points 20; xPts 19. Saved pre: 3; reconstructed: 6. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 47/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
10.7
Recency
91.9
Context
40.0
Quality
60.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

9/9 covered matches · current leagues

Points
20.0
xPts
19.0

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 3; reconstructed: 6.

Full club analysis →
Getafe Points below expected −1.3 9/9 covered matches · current leagues Forecast48
Forecast Getafe −1.3 Points below expected 9/9 covered matches · current leagues Points9.0xPts10.3

The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 9/9 current-league matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Points 9; xPts 10.3. Saved pre: 2; reconstructed: 7. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 48/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
13.9
Recency
98.2
Context
40.0
Quality
55.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

9/9 covered matches · current leagues

Points
9.0
xPts
10.3

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 2; reconstructed: 7.

Full club analysis →
St. Truiden Goals scored per match 1.8 Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Scores50
Scores St. Truiden 1.8 Goals scored per match Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Belgian Pro League 2026-2027: 1.51 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 50/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
10.4
Recency
75.2
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from St. Truiden’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-08Lommel UnitedH1–1D
2026-08-14Cercle BruggeA3–3D
2026-08-20Omonia NicosiaH1–0W
2026-08-27Omonia NicosiaA2–4L
2026-08-30AntwerpA4–1W
2026-09-02Union St. GilloiseH0–3L
2026-09-05RAAL La LouvièreH4–0W
2026-09-12SK BeverenA0–2L
2026-09-20KVC WesterloH0–2L
2026-10-11KV MechelenA3–4L
Full club analysis →
Estac Troyes xG difference per match −0.41 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG26
Observed xG Estac Troyes −0.41 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for1.03xG against1.44

Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.03; xG against 1.44. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 26/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
27.3
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
1.03
xG against
1.44

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Real Betis Goals conceded per match 1.8 Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Scores54
Scores Real Betis 1.8 Goals conceded per match Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-25 → 2026-10-17 UTC. La Liga 2026-2027: 1.53 goals per team/match, 88 matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 54/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
9.5
Recency
91.9
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Real Betis’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-25ValenciaA1–0W
2026-08-29LevanteA2–5L
2026-09-04Real MadridH1–0W
2026-09-08LilleA3–2W
2026-09-14VillarrealA2–1W
2026-09-17GetafeH1–0W
2026-09-20Deportivo La CorunaA1–1D
2026-10-11OsasunaH5–2W
2026-10-14FC PortoH3–2W
2026-10-17BarcelonaH2–5L
Full club analysis →
Rennes xG difference per match +0.21 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG21
Observed xG Rennes +0.21 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for2.12xG against1.91

Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 2.12; xG against 1.91. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 21/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
14.0
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
2.12
xG against
1.91

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
SV Elversberg Both teams scored 67% Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions Scores47
Scores SV Elversberg 67% Both teams scored Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Both teams scored

Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 6 recorded matches · 2026-08-29 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Bundesliga 2026-2027: 1.84 goals per team/match, 54 matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 47/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
12.1
Recency
91.9
Context
40.0
Quality
60.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from SV Elversberg’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-29Bayer LeverkusenH3–2WYes
2026-09-05Borussia MönchengladbachA4–3WYes
2026-09-13Bayern MünchenH1–2LYes
2026-09-20FC Schalke 04A0–0DNo
2026-10-10Union BerlinA0–1LNo
2026-10-17FC AugsburgH4–3WYes
Full club analysis →
Sporting CP Clean sheets 3 Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Scores50
Scores Sporting CP 3 Clean sheets Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Clean sheet

Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-13 UTC. Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 50/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
5.8
Recency
80.4
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Sporting CP’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-08EstrelaA2–2DNo
2026-08-14GuimaraesH3–2WNo
2026-08-22AlvercaH3–1WNo
2026-08-28Rio AveA4–0WYes
2026-09-05NacionalH2–0WYes
2026-09-09GalatasarayH3–1WNo
2026-09-13FamalicaoA1–1DNo
2026-09-19AroucaH2–2DNo
2026-10-09SC BragaA3–1WNo
2026-10-13LensA2–0WYes
Full club analysis →
Maritimo Points above expected +1.0 8/8 covered matches · current leagues Forecast38
Forecast Maritimo +1.0 Points above expected 8/8 covered matches · current leagues Points8.0xPts7.0

Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 8/8 current-league matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-10 UTC. Points 8; xPts 7. Saved pre: 0; reconstructed: 8. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 38/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
11.5
Recency
72.8
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

8/8 covered matches · current leagues

Points
8.0
xPts
7.0

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 0; reconstructed: 8.

Full club analysis →
VfB Stuttgart Points below expected −1.3 8/8 covered matches · current leagues Forecast47
Forecast VfB Stuttgart −1.3 Points below expected 8/8 covered matches · current leagues Points12.0xPts13.3

The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 8/8 current-league matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Points 12; xPts 13.3. Saved pre: 3; reconstructed: 5. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 47/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
15.0
Recency
91.9
Context
40.0
Quality
55.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

8/8 covered matches · current leagues

Points
12.0
xPts
13.3

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 3; reconstructed: 5.

Full club analysis →
Aston Villa Goals scored per match 1.8 Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Scores53
Scores Aston Villa 1.8 Goals scored per match Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Premier League 2026-2027: 1.45 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 53/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
12.4
Recency
91.9
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Aston Villa’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-23BrightonA0–4L
2026-08-31ArsenalH0–1L
2026-09-05Hull CityA0–0D
2026-09-08Club Brugge KVA3–2W
2026-09-12Nottingham ForestH1–2L
2026-09-19TottenhamA3–2W
2026-10-10BrentfordH2–2D
2026-10-14FenerbahceH6–0W
2026-10-17NewcastleA1–0W
Full club analysis →
Plzen xG difference per match −0.39 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG25
Observed xG Plzen −0.39 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for0.97xG against1.36

Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 0.97; xG against 1.36. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 25/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
26.0
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
0.97
xG against
1.36

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Galatasaray Goals conceded per match 1.8 Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Scores55
Scores Galatasaray 1.8 Goals conceded per match Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Süper Lig 2026-2027: 1.44 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 55/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
12.5
Recency
91.9
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Galatasaray’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-14Çorum FKH2–2D
2026-08-21Erzurumspor FKA4–0W
2026-08-29GoztepeH3–2W
2026-09-04Istanbul BasaksehirA3–2W
2026-09-09Sporting CPA1–3L
2026-09-13KocaelisporH1–0W
2026-09-19TrabzonsporA0–4L
2026-10-09KasimpasaH3–1W
2026-10-13BarcelonaH1–4L
2026-10-17GenclerbirligiA1–0W
Full club analysis →
Sassuolo xG difference per match +0.20 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG21
Observed xG Sassuolo +0.20 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for1.57xG against1.37

Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.57; xG against 1.37. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 21/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
13.3
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
1.57
xG against
1.37

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Bayern München Both teams scored 63% Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores49
Scores Bayern München 63% Both teams scored Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Both teams scored

Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Bundesliga 2026-2027: 1.84 goals per team/match, 54 matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 49/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
6.0
Recency
91.9
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Bayern München’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-28VfB StuttgartH5–1WYes
2026-09-05FC Schalke 04A0–0DNo
2026-09-10Bodo/GlimtH5–0WNo
2026-09-13SV ElversbergA2–1WYes
2026-09-18Union BerlinH7–0WNo
2026-10-10FC AugsburgA2–2DYes
2026-10-13VikingA3–3DYes
2026-10-17RB LeipzigH6–1WYes
Full club analysis →
Barcelona Clean sheets 3 Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Scores54
Scores Barcelona 3 Clean sheets Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Clean sheet

Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-27 → 2026-10-17 UTC. La Liga 2026-2027: 1.53 goals per team/match, 88 matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 54/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
10.0
Recency
91.9
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Barcelona’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-27Athletic ClubH2–0WYes
2026-08-31Rayo VallecanoH5–2WNo
2026-09-06ValenciaA5–0WYes
2026-09-09FeyenoordH5–1WNo
2026-09-13LevanteA4–2WNo
2026-09-16Racing SantanderH7–2WNo
2026-09-19SevillaA3–1WNo
2026-10-10GetafeH3–0WYes
2026-10-13GalatasarayA4–1WNo
2026-10-17Real BetisA5–2WNo
Full club analysis →
Rio Ave Points below expected −1.3 8/8 covered matches · current leagues Forecast40
Forecast Rio Ave −1.3 Points below expected 8/8 covered matches · current leagues Points7.0xPts8.3

The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 8/8 current-league matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Points 7; xPts 8.3. Saved pre: 0; reconstructed: 8. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 40/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
15.0
Recency
75.2
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

8/8 covered matches · current leagues

Points
7.0
xPts
8.3

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 0; reconstructed: 8.

Full club analysis →
Juventus Goals scored per match 1.8 Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Scores54
Scores Juventus 1.8 Goals scored per match Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Serie A 2026-2027: 1.48 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 54/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
12.5
Recency
95.0
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Juventus’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-23FrosinoneA1–0W
2026-08-29ParmaH2–0W
2026-09-06AC MilanH1–1D
2026-09-13SassuoloA2–3L
2026-09-17NEC NijmegenH5–0W
2026-09-20AtalantaH2–0W
2026-10-11CagliariA1–1D
2026-10-15Celta VigoA2–1W
2026-10-18LazioH0–3L
Full club analysis →
Dinamo Zagreb xG difference per match −0.38 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG25
Observed xG Dinamo Zagreb −0.38 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for1.20xG against1.58

Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.2; xG against 1.58. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 25/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
25.3
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
1.20
xG against
1.58

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Bodo/Glimt Goals conceded per match 1.8 Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions Scores39
Scores Bodo/Glimt 1.8 Goals conceded per match Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 6 recorded matches · 2026-08-04 → 2026-10-14 UTC. UEFA Champions League 2026-2027: 2.04 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-08 → 2026-10-14 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 39/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
5.4
Recency
83.2
Context
40.0
Quality
43.2

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Bodo/Glimt’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-04Union St. GilloiseA3–3D
2026-08-11Union St. GilloiseH3–2W
2026-08-19NEC NijmegenA3–1W
2026-08-25NEC NijmegenH3–0W
2026-09-10Bayern MünchenA0–5L
2026-10-14Borussia DortmundH1–0W
Full club analysis →
SC Braga Both teams scored 63% Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores56
Scores SC Braga 63% Both teams scored Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Both teams scored

Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 56/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
20.5
Recency
98.2
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from SC Braga’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-09MoreirenseA2–2DYes
2026-08-31GuimaraesH1–0WNo
2026-09-05AlvercaA2–1WYes
2026-09-10EstrelaA1–2LYes
2026-09-14EstorilH1–0WNo
2026-09-20Santa ClaraA0–0DNo
2026-10-09Sporting CPH1–3LYes
2026-10-19GIL VicenteH1–2LYes
Full club analysis →
Celta Vigo Clean sheets 3 Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Scores55
Scores Celta Vigo 3 Clean sheets Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Clean sheet

Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-27 → 2026-10-18 UTC. La Liga 2026-2027: 1.53 goals per team/match, 88 matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 55/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
10.0
Recency
95.0
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Celta Vigo’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-27OsasunaH1–2LNo
2026-08-30Athletic ClubH0–2LNo
2026-09-03Real SociedadA0–0DYes
2026-09-07GetafeA1–1DNo
2026-09-13MalagaH1–1DNo
2026-09-16Omonia NicosiaA0–1LNo
2026-09-19Racing SantanderH5–0WYes
2026-10-11ElcheA0–0DYes
2026-10-15JuventusH1–2LNo
2026-10-18AlavesH2–1WNo
Full club analysis →
Atalanta Points below expected −1.3 7/7 covered matches · current leagues Forecast46
Forecast Atalanta −1.3 Points below expected 7/7 covered matches · current leagues Points9.0xPts10.3

The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 7/7 current-league matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Points 9; xPts 10.3. Saved pre: 2; reconstructed: 5. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 46/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
16.3
Recency
95.0
Context
40.0
Quality
45.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

7/7 covered matches · current leagues

Points
9.0
xPts
10.3

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 2; reconstructed: 5.

Full club analysis →
Fortuna Sittard Goals scored per match 1.8 Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Scores51
Scores Fortuna Sittard 1.8 Goals scored per match Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Eredivisie 2026-2027: 1.92 goals per team/match, 81 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 51/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
4.8
Recency
95.0
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Fortuna Sittard’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-08PSV EindhovenA2–2D
2026-08-15CambuurH3–1W
2026-08-22AZ AlkmaarH0–2L
2026-08-28GroningenA3–2W
2026-09-06ADO Den HaagA3–2W
2026-09-12AjaxH1–5L
2026-09-19Willem IIA1–0W
2026-10-10TwenteH1–1D
2026-10-18NEC NijmegenA2–2D
Full club analysis →
Leeds xG difference per match −0.36 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG24
Observed xG Leeds −0.36 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for1.29xG against1.65

Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.29; xG against 1.65. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 24/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
24.0
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
1.29
xG against
1.65

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
1.FC Köln Goals conceded per match 1.8 Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions Scores42
Scores 1.FC Köln 1.8 Goals conceded per match Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 6 recorded matches · 2026-08-29 → 2026-10-16 UTC. Bundesliga 2026-2027: 1.84 goals per team/match, 54 matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 42/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
0.2
Recency
88.9
Context
40.0
Quality
60.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from 1.FC Köln’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-291899 HoffenheimH3–2W
2026-09-04VfB StuttgartA1–4L
2026-09-12Werder BremenH1–1D
2026-09-19Hamburger SVA1–2L
2026-10-11Borussia MönchengladbachH2–1W
2026-10-16Eintracht FrankfurtA0–1L
Full club analysis →
Famalicao Both teams scored 63% Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores51
Scores Famalicao 63% Both teams scored Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Both teams scored

Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-12 UTC. Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 51/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
20.5
Recency
77.8
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Famalicao’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-07EstorilA1–1DYes
2026-08-16MaritimoH1–2LYes
2026-08-23Santa ClaraA0–1LNo
2026-08-30GIL VicenteH0–0DNo
2026-09-05EstrelaA2–2DYes
2026-09-13Sporting CPH1–1DYes
2026-09-19NacionalA4–0WNo
2026-10-12AlvercaH1–4LYes
Full club analysis →
Real Betis Clean sheets 3 Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Scores54
Scores Real Betis 3 Clean sheets Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Clean sheet

Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-25 → 2026-10-17 UTC. La Liga 2026-2027: 1.53 goals per team/match, 88 matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 54/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
10.0
Recency
91.9
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Real Betis’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-25ValenciaA1–0WYes
2026-08-29LevanteA2–5LNo
2026-09-04Real MadridH1–0WYes
2026-09-08LilleA3–2WNo
2026-09-14VillarrealA2–1WNo
2026-09-17GetafeH1–0WYes
2026-09-20Deportivo La CorunaA1–1DNo
2026-10-11OsasunaH5–2WNo
2026-10-14FC PortoH3–2WNo
2026-10-17BarcelonaH2–5LNo
Full club analysis →
Le Mans Points below expected −1.3 7/7 covered matches · current leagues Forecast45
Forecast Le Mans −1.3 Points below expected 7/7 covered matches · current leagues Points6.0xPts7.3

The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 7/7 current-league matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-16 UTC. Points 6; xPts 7.3. Saved pre: 2; reconstructed: 5. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 45/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
16.3
Recency
88.9
Context
40.0
Quality
45.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

7/7 covered matches · current leagues

Points
6.0
xPts
7.3

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 2; reconstructed: 5.

Full club analysis →
Utrecht Goals scored per match 1.8 Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Scores51
Scores Utrecht 1.8 Goals scored per match Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Eredivisie 2026-2027: 1.92 goals per team/match, 81 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 51/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
4.8
Recency
95.0
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Utrecht’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-09GroningenA1–2L
2026-08-15AZ AlkmaarH1–4L
2026-08-22Sparta RotterdamA3–3D
2026-08-30PSV EindhovenH1–6L
2026-09-08GO Ahead EaglesH3–3D
2026-09-13ExcelsiorA2–1W
2026-09-20FeyenoordA0–5L
2026-10-11Willem IIH3–1W
2026-10-18TwenteA2–1W
Full club analysis →
Levante xG difference per match −0.36 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG24
Observed xG Levante −0.36 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for1.43xG against1.79

Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.43; xG against 1.79. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 24/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
24.0
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
1.43
xG against
1.79

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
SV Elversberg Goals conceded per match 1.8 Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions Scores43
Scores SV Elversberg 1.8 Goals conceded per match Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 6 recorded matches · 2026-08-29 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Bundesliga 2026-2027: 1.84 goals per team/match, 54 matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 43/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
0.2
Recency
91.9
Context
40.0
Quality
60.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from SV Elversberg’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-29Bayer LeverkusenH3–2W
2026-09-05Borussia MönchengladbachA4–3W
2026-09-13Bayern MünchenH1–2L
2026-09-20FC Schalke 04A0–0D
2026-10-10Union BerlinA0–1L
2026-10-17FC AugsburgH4–3W
Full club analysis →
Dinamo Zagreb Both teams scored 63% Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores47
Scores Dinamo Zagreb 63% Both teams scored Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Both teams scored

Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-07-21 → 2026-10-15 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 47/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
17.9
Recency
86.0
Context
40.0
Quality
57.6

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Dinamo Zagreb’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-07-21FC ThunA1–1DYes
2026-07-28FC ThunH3–2WYes
2026-08-04Kauno ŽalgirisH5–0WNo
2026-08-11Kauno ŽalgirisA2–1WYes
2026-08-18VikingH2–2DYes
2026-08-26VikingA1–3LYes
2026-09-16Hapoel Beer ShevaA0–0DNo
2026-10-15AnderlechtH1–0WNo
Full club analysis →
Celtic Clean sheets 3 Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Scores49
Scores Celtic 3 Clean sheets Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Clean sheet

Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-25 → 2026-10-18 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 49/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
7.2
Recency
95.0
Context
40.0
Quality
72.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Celtic’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-25Lask LinzA1–5LNo
2026-08-29FalkirkH2–1WNo
2026-09-02AberdeenH3–0WYes
2026-09-05ST MirrenA2–1WNo
2026-09-09ST JohnstoneA1–0WYes
2026-09-17Ferencvarosi TCH1–3LNo
2026-09-20RangersH0–1LNo
2026-10-11MotherwellA2–0WYes
2026-10-15BenficaA1–4LNo
2026-10-18Heart Of MidlothianH7–1WNo
Full club analysis →
Osasuna Points below expected −1.2 9/9 covered matches · current leagues Forecast47
Forecast Osasuna −1.2 Points below expected 9/9 covered matches · current leagues Points11.0xPts12.2

The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 9/9 current-league matches · 2026-08-24 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Points 11; xPts 12.2. Saved pre: 2; reconstructed: 7. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 47/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
12.9
Recency
95.0
Context
40.0
Quality
55.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

9/9 covered matches · current leagues

Points
11.0
xPts
12.2

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 2; reconstructed: 7.

Full club analysis →
Sparta Rotterdam Goals scored per match 1.8 Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Scores51
Scores Sparta Rotterdam 1.8 Goals scored per match Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Eredivisie 2026-2027: 1.92 goals per team/match, 81 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 51/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
4.8
Recency
91.9
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Sparta Rotterdam’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-09FeyenoordH0–1L
2026-08-14TelstarA3–1W
2026-08-22UtrechtH3–3D
2026-08-29ExcelsiorA1–2L
2026-09-04PEC ZwolleH2–2D
2026-09-13PSV EindhovenA1–4L
2026-09-19HeerenveenH0–4L
2026-10-10GO Ahead EaglesA3–3D
2026-10-17Willem IIH3–2W
Full club analysis →
Maritimo xG difference per match −0.36 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG24
Observed xG Maritimo −0.36 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for1.05xG against1.41

Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.05; xG against 1.41. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 24/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
24.0
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
1.05
xG against
1.41

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Sevilla Goals conceded per match 1.8 Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Scores53
Scores Sevilla 1.8 Goals conceded per match Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-18 UTC. La Liga 2026-2027: 1.53 goals per team/match, 88 matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 53/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
8.4
Recency
95.0
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Sevilla’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-15Rayo VallecanoH2–1W
2026-08-22Athletic ClubA3–1W
2026-08-29Atletico MadridH1–3L
2026-09-06EspanyolA1–1D
2026-09-11ValenciaH1–0W
2026-09-16Deportivo La CorunaA1–0W
2026-09-19BarcelonaH1–3L
2026-10-12LevanteA3–3D
2026-10-18Real MadridA1–4L
Full club analysis →
Slovan Bratislava Both teams scored 63% Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores41
Scores Slovan Bratislava 63% Both teams scored Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Both teams scored

Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-07-21 → 2026-10-14 UTC. UEFA Champions League 2026-2027: 2.04 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-08 → 2026-10-14 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 41/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
2.6
Recency
83.2
Context
40.0
Quality
57.6

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Slovan Bratislava’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-07-21SaburtaloA2–0WNo
2026-07-29SaburtaloH1–1DYes
2026-08-04Mjallby AIFA2–1WYes
2026-08-11Mjallby AIFH2–0WNo
2026-08-19CeljeH1–1DYes
2026-08-26CeljeA2–1WYes
2026-09-09Paris Saint GermainA1–6LYes
2026-10-14VfB StuttgartH0–3LNo
Full club analysis →
Galatasaray Clean sheets 3 Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Scores51
Scores Galatasaray 3 Clean sheets Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Clean sheet

Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Süper Lig 2026-2027: 1.44 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 51/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
1.1
Recency
91.9
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Galatasaray’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-14Çorum FKH2–2DNo
2026-08-21Erzurumspor FKA4–0WYes
2026-08-29GoztepeH3–2WNo
2026-09-04Istanbul BasaksehirA3–2WNo
2026-09-09Sporting CPA1–3LNo
2026-09-13KocaelisporH1–0WYes
2026-09-19TrabzonsporA0–4LNo
2026-10-09KasimpasaH3–1WNo
2026-10-13BarcelonaH1–4LNo
2026-10-17GenclerbirligiA1–0WYes
Full club analysis →
Cambuur Points below expected −1.2 9/9 covered matches · current leagues Forecast46
Forecast Cambuur −1.2 Points below expected 9/9 covered matches · current leagues Points9.0xPts10.2

The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 9/9 current-league matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Points 9; xPts 10.2. Saved pre: 1; reconstructed: 8. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 46/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
12.9
Recency
95.0
Context
40.0
Quality
50.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

9/9 covered matches · current leagues

Points
9.0
xPts
10.2

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 1; reconstructed: 8.

Full club analysis →
Excelsior Goals scored per match 1.8 Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Scores50
Scores Excelsior 1.8 Goals scored per match Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-16 UTC. Eredivisie 2026-2027: 1.92 goals per team/match, 81 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 50/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
4.8
Recency
88.9
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Excelsior’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-07CambuurA4–0W
2026-08-15PSV EindhovenH1–2L
2026-08-29Sparta RotterdamH2–1W
2026-09-05Willem IIA3–0W
2026-09-08NEC NijmegenA2–2D
2026-09-13UtrechtH1–2L
2026-09-19AjaxA2–2D
2026-10-11GroningenH1–5L
2026-10-16HeerenveenA0–4L
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About these insights
A little context goes a long way

Read the signal. Keep the context.

Insights describe what is recorded. Use club and match analysis to explore what comes next.

Insight Score · experimental editorial interest. This version uses 0.35D + 0.25R + 0.20C + 0.20Q. D measures heuristic deviation, R observation recency, C breadth of evidence families and Q data quality. These starting weights are uncalibrated. It is neither team strength, win probability, statistical significance nor forecast confidence. Related result signals share one family; different sources are not automatically statistically independent. Unknown dates receive zero recency; unknown xG coverage limits its quality component. League averages are context references, not opponent-adjusted estimates.

01

Check the window

Result signals use the last 10 recorded matches; away signals use the last 8 away matches. At least 5 are required. Missing and special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound.

02

Read the chart

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored or conceded, capped at 6; zero keeps a marker. Teal / amber / red means win / draw / loss. Faded bars mean the event did not happen. Open the evidence for full scores.

03

Separate the sources

xG uses observed Playing style averages before the next or latest league fixture; coverage can differ between inputs. xPts comes from stored LOAD90 forecasts on identical covered games, including labelled historical reconstructions.

Types alternate for variety. Values are ordered within their own metric, without a combined ranking. These descriptive signals do not change the LOAD90 forecast.

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