Football / The bigger picture

Insights.

Go beyond the result. Follow the patterns. See the evidence.

How to read the signals →

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Competition selects current clubs. Result windows include all recorded competitions; points comparisons use covered current-league matches.

Stories behind the signals

All tracked leagues · 794 signals · 190 clubs in this view

Explore all signals ↓

Automatically selected connections · one story per club · experimental Insight Score orders stories, not teams.

BarcelonaWinning, and exceeding expectationsInsight Score84/100

A winning run and points above forecast expectations stand out together. Separate the recorded results from the chance balance; the points comparison covers a different set of league matches.

Wins in a rowLast 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-27 → 2026-10-17 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions
10+
Points minus expected11/11 current-league matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-17 UTC
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games
+6.3
Goals scored / matchLast 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-27 → 2026-10-17 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions
4.3
Observed xG difference / match10-match profile · exact dates unavailable
Observed match xG · available averages
+2.60
Full club analysis →Different windows, shown individually. Connections invite analysis; they do not establish a cause.
Sources, limitations & score
Insight Score 84/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
100.0
Recency
62.1
Context
100.0
Quality
67.9

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

  • Wins in a row — A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
  • Points minus expected — Points 33; xPts 26.7. Saved pre: 3; reconstructed: 8. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
  • Goals scored / match — La Liga 2026-2027: 1.53 goals per team/match, 88 matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
  • Observed xG difference / match — Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 3.55; xG against 0.95. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
LazioPoints ahead. Chance balance tells another story.Insight Score81/100

Points exceed the stored forecasts, while the observed xG profile has no positive balance. Results and chances tell different stories; this does not establish that a reversal is due.

Points minus expected7/7 current-league matches · 2026-08-24 → 2026-10-18 UTC
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games
+8.2
Observed xG difference / match10-match profile · exact dates unavailable
Observed match xG · available averages
−0.15
Wins in a rowLast 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-24 → 2026-10-18 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions
3
Full club analysis →Different windows, shown individually. Connections invite analysis; they do not establish a cause.
Sources, limitations & score
Insight Score 81/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
100.0
Recency
64.2
Context
100.0
Quality
51.7

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

  • Points minus expected — Points 19; xPts 10.8. Saved pre: 2; reconstructed: 5. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
  • Observed xG difference / match — Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.15; xG against 1.3. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
  • Wins in a row — A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
PSV EindhovenChance balance ahead of the points returnInsight Score76/100

A positive observed xG balance sits alongside points below stored forecast expectations. These are different windows: inspect finishing, conceding and individual matches before assigning a cause.

Points minus expected11/11 current-league matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-17 UTC
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games
−3.9
Observed xG difference / match10-match profile · exact dates unavailable
Observed match xG · available averages
+1.16
Goals scored / matchLast 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-17 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions
2.6
Full club analysis →Different windows, shown individually. Connections invite analysis; they do not establish a cause.
Sources, limitations & score
Insight Score 76/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
77.3
Recency
62.1
Context
100.0
Quality
66.4

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

  • Points minus expected — Points 20; xPts 23.9. Saved pre: 2; reconstructed: 9. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
  • Observed xG difference / match — Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 2.27; xG against 1.11. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
  • Goals scored / match — Eredivisie 2026-2027: 1.92 goals per team/match, 81 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
Bayern MünchenGoals accompanied by a positive chance balanceInsight Score75/100

Goals scored exceed the current league reference, alongside a positive observed xG profile. The sources have different windows; both describe past performances rather than the next result.

Goals scored / matchLast 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-17 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions
3.8
Observed xG difference / match10-match profile · exact dates unavailable
Observed match xG · available averages
+2.15
Full club analysis →Different windows, shown individually. Connections invite analysis; they do not establish a cause.
Sources, limitations & score
Insight Score 75/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
100.0
Recency
46.6
Context
80.0
Quality
60.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

  • Goals scored / match — Bundesliga 2026-2027: 1.84 goals per team/match, 54 matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
  • Observed xG difference / match — Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 3.27; xG against 1.12. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
ArsenalDefensive consistency, positive chance balanceInsight Score68/100

Clean sheets and low goals conceded accompany a positive observed xG balance. The xG profile describes overall chance balance; it is not, by itself, proof of strong defending.

Clean sheetsLast 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions
6/9
Goals conceded / matchLast 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions
0.6
Observed xG difference / match10-match profile · exact dates unavailable
Observed match xG · available averages
+0.71
Full club analysis →Different windows, shown individually. Connections invite analysis; they do not establish a cause.
Sources, limitations & score
Insight Score 68/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
76.2
Recency
48.2
Context
80.0
Quality
65.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

  • Clean sheets — Premier League 2026-2027: 1.45 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
  • Goals conceded / match — Premier League 2026-2027: 1.45 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
  • Observed xG difference / match — Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.56; xG against 0.85. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Each signal belongs to one category. Categories sum to All signals; stories combine related evidence across categories.

All signals794 signals · 190 clubs

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Estac Troyes Losses in a row 5 Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Streak61
Streak Estac Troyes 5 Losses in a row Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Losses in a row

Consecutive defeats start with the latest recorded result. The sequence describes the results, without claiming a cause.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-17 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.

Insight Score 61/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
43.8
Recency
93.2
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Estac Troyes’s perspective. Event: Losses in a row.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-22Paris FCH0–0DNo
2026-08-29LorientA2–1WNo
2026-09-06StrasbourgH2–6LYes
2026-09-13LilleA0–2LYes
2026-09-19AngersA0–2LYes
2026-10-11MarseilleH0–2LYes
2026-10-17LensH1–3LYes

Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.

Full club analysis →
Fenerbahce xG difference per match +1.23 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG45
Observed xG Fenerbahce +1.23 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for2.57xG against1.34

Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 2.57; xG against 1.34. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 45/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
82.0
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
2.57
xG against
1.34

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Deportivo La Coruna Both teams scored 89% Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Scores69
Scores Deportivo La Coruna 89% Both teams scored Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Both teams scored

Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-17 → 2026-10-16 UTC. La Liga 2026-2027: 1.53 goals per team/match, 88 matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 69/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
57.5
Recency
90.1
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Deportivo La Coruna’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-17ElcheH1–1DYes
2026-08-24MalagaA1–1DYes
2026-08-30ValenciaH3–1WYes
2026-09-05VillarrealA3–2WYes
2026-09-13GetafeA1–1DYes
2026-09-16SevillaH0–1LNo
2026-09-20Real BetisH1–1DYes
2026-10-11Real SociedadA2–3LYes
2026-10-16LevanteH1–1DYes
Full club analysis →
Lazio Clean sheets 4 Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Scores68
Scores Lazio 4 Clean sheets Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Clean sheet

Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-24 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Serie A 2026-2027: 1.48 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 68/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
61.3
Recency
96.3
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Lazio’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-24BolognaA1–0WYes
2026-08-30GenoaH1–0WYes
2026-09-07UdineseA2–1WNo
2026-09-12AC MilanH2–2DNo
2026-09-19VeneziaA2–0WYes
2026-10-11MonzaH3–1WNo
2026-10-18JuventusA3–0WYes
Full club analysis →
Fortuna Sittard Points above expected +6.2 9/9 covered matches · current leagues Forecast65
Forecast Fortuna Sittard +6.2 Points above expected 9/9 covered matches · current leagues Points15.0xPts8.8

Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 9/9 current-league matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Points 15; xPts 8.8. Saved pre: 1; reconstructed: 8. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 65/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
66.4
Recency
96.3
Context
40.0
Quality
50.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

9/9 covered matches · current leagues

Points
15.0
xPts
8.8

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 1; reconstructed: 8.

Full club analysis →
Sunderland Goals conceded away per match 2.2 Last 5 recorded away matches Scores52
Scores Sunderland 2.2 Goals conceded away per match Last 5 recorded away matches Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

An away-only conceding average that meets the descriptive threshold. Home results are excluded from this club window; the league reference includes both venues and does not adjust opposition.

Recorded scores · away only · Last 5 recorded away matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Premier League 2026-2027: 1.45 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-19 UTC. League reference includes home and away games; this club window is away only. Context only, without opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 52/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
22.0
Recency
96.3
Context
40.0
Quality
62.5

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 5 recorded away matches

Oldest → newest · scores from Sunderland’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-22IpswichA1–2L
2026-09-05BrentfordA1–1D
2026-09-20Manchester CityA3–5L
2026-10-15TorreenseA2–1W
2026-10-18BournemouthA0–2L
Full club analysis →
KVC Westerlo Wins in a row 4 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Streak56
Streak KVC Westerlo 4 Wins in a row Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Wins in a row

Consecutive wins start with the latest recorded result. A draw or defeat ends the run within the available window.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-11 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.

Insight Score 56/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
36.9
Recency
76.3
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from KVC Westerlo’s perspective. Event: Wins in a row.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-08Union St. GilloiseH1–5LNo
2026-08-15GenkA2–3LNo
2026-08-23Lommel UnitedA0–4LNo
2026-08-30Zulte WaregemH2–2DNo
2026-09-05KV MechelenA4–0WYes
2026-09-12Standard LiegeH4–2WYes
2026-09-20St. TruidenA2–0WYes
2026-10-11AntwerpH5–1WYes

Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.

Full club analysis →
LE Havre Points below expected −5.9 7/7 covered matches · current leagues Forecast67
Forecast LE Havre −5.9 Points below expected 7/7 covered matches · current leagues Points2.0xPts7.9

The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 7/7 current-league matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Points 2; xPts 7.9. Saved pre: 2; reconstructed: 5. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 67/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
73.8
Recency
96.3
Context
40.0
Quality
45.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

7/7 covered matches · current leagues

Points
2.0
xPts
7.9

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 2; reconstructed: 5.

Full club analysis →
Real Madrid Goals scored per match 2.7 Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Scores67
Scores Real Madrid 2.7 Goals scored per match Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-26 → 2026-10-18 UTC. La Liga 2026-2027: 1.53 goals per team/match, 88 matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 67/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
41.5
Recency
96.3
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Real Madrid’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-26Real SociedadH4–1W
2026-08-30MalagaH4–0W
2026-09-04Real BetisA0–1L
2026-09-08InterH2–1W
2026-09-12Rayo VallecanoH4–1W
2026-09-15ElcheA3–2W
2026-09-20Atletico MadridA1–2L
2026-10-10VillarrealH1–0W
2026-10-14AS RomaA4–3W
2026-10-18SevillaH4–1W
Full club analysis →
Bayer Leverkusen Unbeaten in a row 7 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Streak71
Streak Bayer Leverkusen 7 Unbeaten in a row Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Unbeaten in a row

The latest recorded sequence contains wins and draws without a defeat. It counts results, without adjusting for the opposition.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-29 → 2026-10-18 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.

Insight Score 71/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
64.6
Recency
96.3
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Bayer Leverkusen’s perspective. Event: Unbeaten in a row.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-29SV ElversbergA2–3LNo
2026-09-05Union BerlinH4–0WYes
2026-09-12FC AugsburgA2–2DYes
2026-09-16CeljeH2–0WYes
2026-09-20RB LeipzigH2–0WYes
2026-10-10FSV Mainz 05A4–3WYes
2026-10-15Lech PoznanA4–0WYes
2026-10-18SC FreiburgH2–1WYes

Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.

Full club analysis →
Parma xG difference per match −1.07 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG41
Observed xG Parma −1.07 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for0.70xG against1.77

Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 0.7; xG against 1.77. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 41/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
71.3
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
0.70
xG against
1.77

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Anderlecht Goals conceded per match 0.7 Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Scores60
Scores Anderlecht 0.7 Goals conceded per match Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the low-goals signal threshold. Compare it with the league reference; opponent strength and chance quality are not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-20 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Belgian Pro League 2026-2027: 1.51 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 60/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
29.6
Recency
87.2
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Anderlecht’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-20Kairat AlmatyA3–0W
2026-08-27Kairat AlmatyH3–0W
2026-08-30Union St. GilloiseA0–3L
2026-09-03KortrijkH1–0W
2026-09-06GenkH0–0D
2026-09-11KV MechelenA1–0W
2026-09-16LyonH1–2L
2026-09-19Zulte WaregemH3–0W
2026-10-10Cercle BruggeA2–1W
2026-10-15Dinamo ZagrebA0–1L
Full club analysis →
Antwerp Goals conceded per match 2.5 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores55
Scores Antwerp 2.5 Goals conceded per match Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Belgian Pro League 2026-2027: 1.51 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 55/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
33.1
Recency
76.3
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Antwerp’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-09SK BeverenH2–1W
2026-08-15KortrijkA3–0W
2026-08-22GenkH4–4D
2026-08-30St. TruidenH1–4L
2026-09-05Standard LiegeA0–1L
2026-09-13Club Brugge KVA1–3L
2026-09-20Union St. GilloiseH0–2L
2026-10-11KVC WesterloA1–5L
Full club analysis →
Manchester City Scoring in a row 9 Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Streak80
Streak Manchester City 9 Scoring in a row Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Scoring in a row

The club has scored in consecutive recorded matches, starting with the latest result. One goal is enough to extend the run.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-17 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.

Insight Score 80/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
86.8
Recency
93.2
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Manchester City’s perspective. Event: Scoring in a row.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-23BournemouthH2–1WYes
2026-08-28Crystal PalaceA4–1WYes
2026-09-05CoventryH1–0WYes
2026-09-08FC PortoA2–0WYes
2026-09-13Manchester UnitedA1–0WYes
2026-09-20SunderlandH5–3WYes
2026-10-11LiverpoolA3–0WYes
2026-10-14Paris Saint GermainH2–4LYes
2026-10-17IpswichH3–2WYes

Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.

Full club analysis →
Willem II Losses in a row 4 Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Streak63
Streak Willem II 4 Losses in a row Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Losses in a row

Consecutive defeats start with the latest recorded result. The sequence describes the results, without claiming a cause.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-17 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.

Insight Score 63/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
38.6
Recency
93.2
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Willem II’s perspective. Event: Losses in a row.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-08GO Ahead EaglesA1–4LYes
2026-08-15NEC NijmegenH1–4LYes
2026-08-30HeerenveenH2–2DNo
2026-09-05ExcelsiorH0–3LYes
2026-09-11AZ AlkmaarA1–1DNo
2026-09-15AjaxA1–5LYes
2026-09-19Fortuna SittardH0–1LYes
2026-10-11UtrechtA1–3LYes
2026-10-17Sparta RotterdamA2–3LYes

Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.

Full club analysis →
Olympiakos Piraeus xG difference per match +1.18 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG44
Observed xG Olympiakos Piraeus +1.18 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for1.56xG against0.38

Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.56; xG against 0.38. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 44/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
78.7
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
1.56
xG against
0.38

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
1899 Hoffenheim Both teams scored 88% Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores66
Scores 1899 Hoffenheim 88% Both teams scored Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Both teams scored

Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-29 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Bundesliga 2026-2027: 1.84 goals per team/match, 54 matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 66/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
52.1
Recency
96.3
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from 1899 Hoffenheim’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-291.FC KölnA2–3LYes
2026-09-05Borussia DortmundH2–3LYes
2026-09-12VfB StuttgartH2–1WYes
2026-09-17OFIA0–2LNo
2026-09-20SC Paderborn 07A1–3LYes
2026-10-10Hamburger SVH2–3LYes
2026-10-15BesiktasH2–3LYes
2026-10-18Borussia MönchengladbachA2–1WYes
Full club analysis →
Athletic Club Clean sheets 4 Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Scores65
Scores Athletic Club 4 Clean sheets Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Clean sheet

Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-17 UTC. La Liga 2026-2027: 1.53 goals per team/match, 88 matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 65/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
56.3
Recency
93.2
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Athletic Club’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-22SevillaH1–3LNo
2026-08-27BarcelonaA0–2LNo
2026-08-30Celta VigoA2–0WYes
2026-09-05Atletico MadridH3–0WYes
2026-09-12ElcheH1–1DNo
2026-09-19AlavesH0–0DYes
2026-10-17ValenciaA0–0DYes
Full club analysis →
Feyenoord Points above expected +5.9 11/11 covered matches · current leagues Forecast62
Forecast Feyenoord +5.9 Points above expected 11/11 covered matches · current leagues Points26.0xPts20.1

Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 11/11 current-league matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Points 26; xPts 20.1. Saved pre: 2; reconstructed: 9. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 62/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
53.6
Recency
93.2
Context
40.0
Quality
59.1

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

11/11 covered matches · current leagues

Points
26.0
xPts
20.1

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 2; reconstructed: 9.

Full club analysis →
Ararat-Armenia Goals conceded away per match 2.2 Last 5 recorded away matches Scores47
Scores Ararat-Armenia 2.2 Goals conceded away per match Last 5 recorded away matches Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

An away-only conceding average that meets the descriptive threshold. Home results are excluded from this club window; the league reference includes both venues and does not adjust opposition.

Recorded scores · away only · Last 5 recorded away matches · 2026-07-14 → 2026-10-15 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. League reference includes home and away games; this club window is away only. Context only, without opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 47/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
22.6
Recency
87.2
Context
40.0
Quality
45.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 5 recorded away matches

Oldest → newest · scores from Ararat-Armenia’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-07-14RigaA2–3L
2026-07-28Shamrock RoversA1–2L
2026-08-11CeljeA0–2L
2026-08-20Universitatea CraiovaA1–1D
2026-10-15JagielloniaA1–3L
Full club analysis →
Academico Viseu Wins in a row 4 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Streak55
Streak Academico Viseu 4 Wins in a row Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Wins in a row

Consecutive wins start with the latest recorded result. A draw or defeat ends the run within the available window.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-10 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.

Insight Score 55/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
36.9
Recency
73.8
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Academico Viseu’s perspective. Event: Wins in a row.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-09BenficaA2–2DNo
2026-08-15Santa ClaraH0–1LNo
2026-08-22MaritimoA2–2DNo
2026-08-29FC PortoH0–3LNo
2026-09-06GIL VicenteA1–0WYes
2026-09-12GuimaraesH2–1WYes
2026-09-20EstrelaA2–0WYes
2026-10-10EstorilH2–1WYes

Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.

Full club analysis →
Manchester United Points below expected −5.8 9/9 covered matches · current leagues Forecast66
Forecast Manchester United −5.8 Points below expected 9/9 covered matches · current leagues Points10.0xPts15.8

The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 9/9 current-league matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Points 10; xPts 15.8. Saved pre: 3; reconstructed: 6. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 66/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
62.1
Recency
96.3
Context
40.0
Quality
60.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

9/9 covered matches · current leagues

Points
10.0
xPts
15.8

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 3; reconstructed: 6.

Full club analysis →
Bayer Leverkusen Goals scored per match 2.8 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores57
Scores Bayer Leverkusen 2.8 Goals scored per match Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-29 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Bundesliga 2026-2027: 1.84 goals per team/match, 54 matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 57/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
26.6
Recency
96.3
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Bayer Leverkusen’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-29SV ElversbergA2–3L
2026-09-05Union BerlinH4–0W
2026-09-12FC AugsburgA2–2D
2026-09-16CeljeH2–0W
2026-09-20RB LeipzigH2–0W
2026-10-10FSV Mainz 05A4–3W
2026-10-15Lech PoznanA4–0W
2026-10-18SC FreiburgH2–1W
Full club analysis →
Lazio Unbeaten in a row 7 Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Streak68
Streak Lazio 7 Unbeaten in a row Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Unbeaten in a row

The latest recorded sequence contains wins and draws without a defeat. It counts results, without adjusting for the opposition.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-24 → 2026-10-18 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.

Insight Score 68/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
61.3
Recency
96.3
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Lazio’s perspective. Event: Unbeaten in a row.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-24BolognaA1–0WYes
2026-08-30GenoaH1–0WYes
2026-09-07UdineseA2–1WYes
2026-09-12AC MilanH2–2DYes
2026-09-19VeneziaA2–0WYes
2026-10-11MonzaH3–1WYes
2026-10-18JuventusA3–0WYes

Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.

Full club analysis →
OH Leuven xG difference per match −1.05 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG41
Observed xG OH Leuven −1.05 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for1.01xG against2.06

Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.01; xG against 2.06. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 41/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
70.0
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
1.01
xG against
2.06

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Benfica Goals conceded per match 0.8 Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Scores58
Scores Benfica 0.8 Goals conceded per match Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the low-goals signal threshold. Compare it with the league reference; opponent strength and chance quality are not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-20 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 58/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
23.8
Recency
87.2
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Benfica’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-20AarhusH3–1W
2026-08-27AarhusA3–1W
2026-08-31EstorilH2–1W
2026-09-05MaritimoA3–0W
2026-09-09MoreirenseA4–0W
2026-09-13GIL VicenteH3–1W
2026-09-16AC MilanA2–0W
2026-09-20FC PortoA1–3L
2026-10-11GuimaraesH2–0W
2026-10-15CelticH4–1W
Full club analysis →
PEC Zwolle Goals conceded per match 2.4 Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Scores56
Scores PEC Zwolle 2.4 Goals conceded per match Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Eredivisie 2026-2027: 1.92 goals per team/match, 81 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 56/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
17.9
Recency
96.3
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from PEC Zwolle’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-09AjaxH0–2L
2026-08-16TwenteA1–3L
2026-08-22HeerenveenA2–0W
2026-08-29NEC NijmegenH1–3L
2026-09-04Sparta RotterdamA2–2D
2026-09-13FeyenoordH0–7L
2026-09-18GroningenA0–3L
2026-10-11CambuurH0–1L
2026-10-18GO Ahead EaglesH4–1W
Full club analysis →
Inter Scoring in a row 9 Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Streak80
Streak Inter 9 Scoring in a row Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Scoring in a row

The club has scored in consecutive recorded matches, starting with the latest result. One goal is enough to extend the run.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-17 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.

Insight Score 80/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
86.8
Recency
93.2
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Inter’s perspective. Event: Scoring in a row.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-22MonzaH4–1WYes
2026-08-30CagliariA1–0WYes
2026-09-05NapoliH3–2WYes
2026-09-08Real MadridA1–2LYes
2026-09-14UdineseH5–3WYes
2026-09-19AS RomaA2–2DYes
2026-10-10ParmaH3–0WYes
2026-10-13Club Brugge KVH3–4LYes
2026-10-17BolognaA3–1WYes

Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.

Full club analysis →
St. Truiden Losses in a row 3 Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Streak58
Streak St. Truiden 3 Losses in a row Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Losses in a row

Consecutive defeats start with the latest recorded result. The sequence describes the results, without claiming a cause.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-11 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.

Insight Score 58/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
30.0
Recency
76.3
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from St. Truiden’s perspective. Event: Losses in a row.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-08Lommel UnitedH1–1DNo
2026-08-14Cercle BruggeA3–3DNo
2026-08-20Omonia NicosiaH1–0WNo
2026-08-27Omonia NicosiaA2–4LYes
2026-08-30AntwerpA4–1WNo
2026-09-02Union St. GilloiseH0–3LYes
2026-09-05RAAL La LouvièreH4–0WNo
2026-09-12SK BeverenA0–2LYes
2026-09-20KVC WesterloH0–2LYes
2026-10-11KV MechelenA3–4LYes

Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.

Full club analysis →
PSV Eindhoven xG difference per match +1.16 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG43
Observed xG PSV Eindhoven +1.16 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for2.27xG against1.11

Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 2.27; xG against 1.11. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 43/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
77.3
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
2.27
xG against
1.11

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Monza Both teams scored 86% Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Scores64
Scores Monza 86% Both teams scored Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Both teams scored

Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Serie A 2026-2027: 1.48 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 64/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
50.0
Recency
99.6
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Monza’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-22InterA1–4LYes
2026-08-29UdineseH2–3LYes
2026-09-06ParmaA1–1DYes
2026-09-13LecceA2–3LYes
2026-09-18SassuoloH2–1WYes
2026-10-11LazioA1–3LYes
2026-10-19CagliariH4–0WNo
Full club analysis →
Lorient Clean sheets 4 Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Scores68
Scores Lorient 4 Clean sheets Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Clean sheet

Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Ligue 1 2026-2027: 1.52 goals per team/match, 63 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 68/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
62.5
Recency
96.3
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Lorient’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-22NiceA0–0DYes
2026-08-29Estac TroyesH1–2LNo
2026-09-05LensA1–0WYes
2026-09-12ToulouseH2–2DNo
2026-09-19Le MansA1–2LNo
2026-10-10Paris FCH1–0WYes
2026-10-18MonacoH1–0WYes
Full club analysis →
Frosinone Points above expected +5.6 7/7 covered matches · current leagues Forecast64
Forecast Frosinone +5.6 Points above expected 7/7 covered matches · current leagues Points13.0xPts7.4

Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 7/7 current-league matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-16 UTC. Points 13; xPts 7.4. Saved pre: 2; reconstructed: 5. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 64/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
70.0
Recency
90.1
Context
40.0
Quality
45.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

7/7 covered matches · current leagues

Points
13.0
xPts
7.4

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 2; reconstructed: 5.

Full club analysis →
ADO Den Haag Goals conceded away per match 2.2 Last 5 recorded away matches Scores42
Scores ADO Den Haag 2.2 Goals conceded away per match Last 5 recorded away matches Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

An away-only conceding average that meets the descriptive threshold. Home results are excluded from this club window; the league reference includes both venues and does not adjust opposition.

Recorded scores · away only · Last 5 recorded away matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Eredivisie 2026-2027: 1.92 goals per team/match, 81 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-18 UTC. League reference includes home and away games; this club window is away only. Context only, without opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 42/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
7.4
Recency
76.3
Context
40.0
Quality
62.5

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 5 recorded away matches

Oldest → newest · scores from ADO Den Haag’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-08AZ AlkmaarA0–2L
2026-08-23GO Ahead EaglesA1–3L
2026-08-30FeyenoordA2–2D
2026-09-12TwenteA0–2L
2026-10-11TelstarA2–2D
Full club analysis →
Brighton Wins in a row 4 Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Streak58
Streak Brighton 4 Wins in a row Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Wins in a row

Consecutive wins start with the latest recorded result. A draw or defeat ends the run within the available window.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-18 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.

Insight Score 58/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
35.0
Recency
96.3
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Brighton’s perspective. Event: Wins in a row.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-23Aston VillaH4–0WYes
2026-08-30ChelseaA3–4LNo
2026-09-05LeedsH1–1DNo
2026-09-13CoventryA5–0WYes
2026-09-19ArsenalH3–0WYes
2026-10-10SunderlandA2–0WYes
2026-10-18Crystal PalaceH5–0WYes

Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.

Full club analysis →
Fiorentina Points below expected −5.5 7/7 covered matches · current leagues Forecast65
Forecast Fiorentina −5.5 Points below expected 7/7 covered matches · current leagues Points4.0xPts9.5

The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 7/7 current-league matches · 2026-08-24 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Points 4; xPts 9.5. Saved pre: 2; reconstructed: 5. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 65/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
68.8
Recency
96.3
Context
40.0
Quality
45.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

7/7 covered matches · current leagues

Points
4.0
xPts
9.5

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 2; reconstructed: 5.

Full club analysis →
Paris Saint Germain Goals scored per match 2.7 Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Scores65
Scores Paris Saint Germain 2.7 Goals scored per match Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Ligue 1 2026-2027: 1.52 goals per team/match, 63 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 65/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
44.9
Recency
93.2
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Paris Saint Germain’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-23RennesA2–2D
2026-08-28LilleA2–2D
2026-09-04MonacoH1–2L
2026-09-09Slovan BratislavaH6–1W
2026-09-13Stade Brestois 29A1–0W
2026-09-20MarseilleA2–1W
2026-10-10Le MansH3–1W
2026-10-14Manchester CityA4–2W
2026-10-17StrasbourgA3–1W
Full club analysis →
Atletico Madrid Unbeaten in a row 6 Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Streak72
Streak Atletico Madrid 6 Unbeaten in a row Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Unbeaten in a row

The latest recorded sequence contains wins and draws without a defeat. It counts results, without adjusting for the opposition.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-17 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.

Insight Score 72/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
60.0
Recency
93.2
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Atletico Madrid’s perspective. Event: Unbeaten in a row.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-23VillarrealH2–2DYes
2026-08-29SevillaA3–1WYes
2026-09-05Athletic ClubA0–3LNo
2026-09-09LiverpoolA1–2LNo
2026-09-13Real SociedadA3–0WYes
2026-09-16OsasunaH4–0WYes
2026-09-20Real MadridH2–1WYes
2026-10-10AlavesA2–1WYes
2026-10-13Manchester UnitedH2–0WYes
2026-10-17EspanyolA1–0WYes

Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.

Full club analysis →
Eyüpspor xG difference per match −1.04 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG40
Observed xG Eyüpspor −1.04 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for0.74xG against1.78

Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 0.74; xG against 1.78. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 40/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
69.3
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
0.74
xG against
1.78

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
GIL Vicente Goals conceded per match 0.8 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores57
Scores GIL Vicente 0.8 Goals conceded per match Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the low-goals signal threshold. Compare it with the league reference; opponent strength and chance quality are not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 57/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
23.9
Recency
99.6
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from GIL Vicente’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-09Rio AveH1–0W
2026-08-24Casa PiaH2–0W
2026-08-30FamalicaoA0–0D
2026-09-06Academico ViseuH0–1L
2026-09-13BenficaA1–3L
2026-09-19MaritimoH1–1D
2026-10-09MoreirenseA1–0W
2026-10-19SC BragaA2–1W
Full club analysis →
Sparta Rotterdam Goals conceded per match 2.4 Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Scores56
Scores Sparta Rotterdam 2.4 Goals conceded per match Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Eredivisie 2026-2027: 1.92 goals per team/match, 81 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 56/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
17.9
Recency
93.2
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Sparta Rotterdam’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-09FeyenoordH0–1L
2026-08-14TelstarA3–1W
2026-08-22UtrechtH3–3D
2026-08-29ExcelsiorA1–2L
2026-09-04PEC ZwolleH2–2D
2026-09-13PSV EindhovenA1–4L
2026-09-19HeerenveenH0–4L
2026-10-10GO Ahead EaglesA3–3D
2026-10-17Willem IIH3–2W
Full club analysis →
Paris Saint Germain Scoring in a row 9 Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Streak80
Streak Paris Saint Germain 9 Scoring in a row Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Scoring in a row

The club has scored in consecutive recorded matches, starting with the latest result. One goal is enough to extend the run.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-17 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.

Insight Score 80/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
86.8
Recency
93.2
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Paris Saint Germain’s perspective. Event: Scoring in a row.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-23RennesA2–2DYes
2026-08-28LilleA2–2DYes
2026-09-04MonacoH1–2LYes
2026-09-09Slovan BratislavaH6–1WYes
2026-09-13Stade Brestois 29A1–0WYes
2026-09-20MarseilleA2–1WYes
2026-10-10Le MansH3–1WYes
2026-10-14Manchester CityA4–2WYes
2026-10-17StrasbourgA3–1WYes

Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.

Full club analysis →
Estoril Losses in a row 3 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Streak52
Streak Estoril 3 Losses in a row Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Losses in a row

Consecutive defeats start with the latest recorded result. The sequence describes the results, without claiming a cause.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-10 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.

Insight Score 52/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
27.7
Recency
73.8
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Estoril’s perspective. Event: Losses in a row.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-07FamalicaoH1–1DNo
2026-08-16NacionalA0–2LYes
2026-08-22Rio AveH0–2LYes
2026-08-31BenficaA1–2LYes
2026-09-07AroucaH0–0DNo
2026-09-14SC BragaA0–1LYes
2026-09-20Casa PiaH1–2LYes
2026-10-10Academico ViseuA1–2LYes

Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.

Full club analysis →
Charleroi xG difference per match +1.13 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG42
Observed xG Charleroi +1.13 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for1.84xG against0.71

Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.84; xG against 0.71. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 42/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
75.3
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
1.84
xG against
0.71

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Strasbourg Both teams scored 86% Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Scores59
Scores Strasbourg 86% Both teams scored Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Both teams scored

Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Ligue 1 2026-2027: 1.52 goals per team/match, 63 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 59/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
38.9
Recency
93.2
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Strasbourg’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-21MarseilleA0–4LNo
2026-08-29LensH2–1WYes
2026-09-06Estac TroyesA6–2WYes
2026-09-12MonacoH1–1DYes
2026-09-19Paris FCA1–2LYes
2026-10-11NiceA1–2LYes
2026-10-17Paris Saint GermainH1–3LYes
Full club analysis →
Club Brugge KV Clean sheets 5 Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Scores62
Scores Club Brugge KV 5 Clean sheets Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Clean sheet

Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-13 UTC. Belgian Pro League 2026-2027: 1.51 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 62/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
38.9
Recency
81.5
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Club Brugge KV’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-07KortrijkH3–0WYes
2026-08-15OH LeuvenA3–0WYes
2026-08-23Cercle BruggeH1–0WYes
2026-08-30GentA1–2LNo
2026-09-04Lommel UnitedA1–0WYes
2026-09-08Aston VillaH2–3LNo
2026-09-13AntwerpH3–1WNo
2026-09-20GenkH3–0WYes
2026-10-10RAAL La LouvièreA4–1WNo
2026-10-13InterA4–3WNo
Full club analysis →
FC Porto Points above expected +5.1 9/10 covered matches · current leagues Forecast57
Forecast FC Porto +5.1 Points above expected 9/10 covered matches · current leagues Points24.0xPts18.9

Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 9/10 current-league matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-14 UTC. Points 24; xPts 18.9. Saved pre: 1; reconstructed: 8. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 57/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
54.6
Recency
84.3
Context
40.0
Quality
45.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

9/10 covered matches · current leagues

Points
24.0
xPts
18.9

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 1; reconstructed: 8.

Full club analysis →
NEC Nijmegen Goals conceded away per match 2.0 Last 7 recorded away matches Scores45
Scores NEC Nijmegen 2.0 Goals conceded away per match Last 7 recorded away matches Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

An away-only conceding average that meets the descriptive threshold. Home results are excluded from this club window; the league reference includes both venues and does not adjust opposition.

Recorded scores · away only · Last 7 recorded away matches · 2026-08-04 → 2026-10-10 UTC. Eredivisie 2026-2027: 1.92 goals per team/match, 81 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-18 UTC. League reference includes home and away games; this club window is away only. Context only, without opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 45/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
2.5
Recency
73.8
Context
40.0
Quality
87.5

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded away matches

Oldest → newest · scores from NEC Nijmegen’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-04Olympiakos PiraeusA0–0D
2026-08-15Willem IIA4–1W
2026-08-25Bodo/GlimtA0–3L
2026-08-29PEC ZwolleA3–1W
2026-09-12CambuurA0–3L
2026-09-17JuventusA0–5L
2026-10-10AjaxA1–1D
Full club analysis →
Real Madrid Wins in a row 3 Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Streak63
Streak Real Madrid 3 Wins in a row Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Wins in a row

Consecutive wins start with the latest recorded result. A draw or defeat ends the run within the available window.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-26 → 2026-10-18 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.

Insight Score 63/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
30.0
Recency
96.3
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Real Madrid’s perspective. Event: Wins in a row.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-26Real SociedadH4–1WYes
2026-08-30MalagaH4–0WYes
2026-09-04Real BetisA0–1LNo
2026-09-08InterH2–1WYes
2026-09-12Rayo VallecanoH4–1WYes
2026-09-15ElcheA3–2WYes
2026-09-20Atletico MadridA1–2LNo
2026-10-10VillarrealH1–0WYes
2026-10-14AS RomaA4–3WYes
2026-10-18SevillaH4–1WYes

Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.

Full club analysis →
Famalicao Points below expected −5.4 8/8 covered matches · current leagues Forecast58
Forecast Famalicao −5.4 Points below expected 8/8 covered matches · current leagues Points7.0xPts12.4

The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 8/8 current-league matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-12 UTC. Points 7; xPts 12.4. Saved pre: 0; reconstructed: 8. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 58/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
62.3
Recency
78.9
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

8/8 covered matches · current leagues

Points
7.0
xPts
12.4

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 0; reconstructed: 8.

Full club analysis →
PSV Eindhoven Goals scored per match 2.6 Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Scores60
Scores PSV Eindhoven 2.6 Goals scored per match Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Eredivisie 2026-2027: 1.92 goals per team/match, 81 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 60/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
24.1
Recency
93.2
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from PSV Eindhoven’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-15ExcelsiorA2–1W
2026-08-23GroningenH5–1W
2026-08-30UtrechtA6–1W
2026-09-05AjaxA3–1W
2026-09-10Shakhtar DonetskH1–1D
2026-09-13Sparta RotterdamH4–1W
2026-09-20TwenteA2–3L
2026-10-09HeerenveenH2–0W
2026-10-13RB LeipzigA0–1L
2026-10-17ADO Den HaagA1–2L
Full club analysis →
Paris Saint Germain Unbeaten in a row 6 Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Streak70
Streak Paris Saint Germain 6 Unbeaten in a row Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Unbeaten in a row

The latest recorded sequence contains wins and draws without a defeat. It counts results, without adjusting for the opposition.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-17 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.

Insight Score 70/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
57.9
Recency
93.2
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Paris Saint Germain’s perspective. Event: Unbeaten in a row.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-23RennesA2–2DYes
2026-08-28LilleA2–2DYes
2026-09-04MonacoH1–2LNo
2026-09-09Slovan BratislavaH6–1WYes
2026-09-13Stade Brestois 29A1–0WYes
2026-09-20MarseilleA2–1WYes
2026-10-10Le MansH3–1WYes
2026-10-14Manchester CityA4–2WYes
2026-10-17StrasbourgA3–1WYes

Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.

Full club analysis →
Willem II xG difference per match −0.97 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG39
Observed xG Willem II −0.97 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for1.28xG against2.25

Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.28; xG against 2.25. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 39/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
64.7
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
1.28
xG against
2.25

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Brighton Goals conceded per match 0.7 Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Scores55
Scores Brighton 0.7 Goals conceded per match Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the low-goals signal threshold. Compare it with the league reference; opponent strength and chance quality are not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Premier League 2026-2027: 1.45 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 55/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
25.2
Recency
96.3
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Brighton’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-23Aston VillaH4–0W
2026-08-30ChelseaA3–4L
2026-09-05LeedsH1–1D
2026-09-13CoventryA5–0W
2026-09-19ArsenalH3–0W
2026-10-10SunderlandA2–0W
2026-10-18Crystal PalaceH5–0W
Full club analysis →
Hamburger SV Goals conceded per match 2.5 Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions Scores49
Scores Hamburger SV 2.5 Goals conceded per match Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 6 recorded matches · 2026-08-29 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Bundesliga 2026-2027: 1.84 goals per team/match, 54 matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 49/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
17.1
Recency
93.2
Context
40.0
Quality
60.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Hamburger SV’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-29Borussia DortmundA0–2L
2026-09-06FSV Mainz 05H0–5L
2026-09-13RB LeipzigA0–5L
2026-09-191.FC KölnH2–1W
2026-10-101899 HoffenheimA3–2W
2026-10-17VfB StuttgartH1–0W
Full club analysis →
Ajax Scoring in a row 9 Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Streak80
Streak Ajax 9 Scoring in a row Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Scoring in a row

The club has scored in consecutive recorded matches, starting with the latest result. One goal is enough to extend the run.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-18 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.

Insight Score 80/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
86.8
Recency
96.3
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Ajax’s perspective. Event: Scoring in a row.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-09PEC ZwolleA2–0WYes
2026-08-16HeerenveenH2–2DYes
2026-08-30TelstarA4–0WYes
2026-09-05PSV EindhovenH1–3LYes
2026-09-12Fortuna SittardA5–1WYes
2026-09-15Willem IIH5–1WYes
2026-09-19ExcelsiorH2–2DYes
2026-10-10NEC NijmegenH1–1DYes
2026-10-18GroningenA5–2WYes

Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.

Full club analysis →
Celje Losses in a row 3 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Streak55
Streak Celje 3 Losses in a row Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Losses in a row

Consecutive defeats start with the latest recorded result. The sequence describes the results, without claiming a cause.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-07-22 → 2026-10-15 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.

Insight Score 55/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
27.7
Recency
87.2
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Celje’s perspective. Event: Losses in a row.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-07-22Egnatia RrogozhinëA3–3DNo
2026-07-28Egnatia RrogozhinëH1–1DNo
2026-08-04Ararat-ArmeniaA1–2LYes
2026-08-11Ararat-ArmeniaH2–0WNo
2026-08-19Slovan BratislavaA1–1DNo
2026-08-26Slovan BratislavaH1–2LYes
2026-09-16Bayer LeverkusenA0–2LYes
2026-10-15Omonia NicosiaH0–3LYes

Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.

Full club analysis →
Celtic xG difference per match +1.12 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG42
Observed xG Celtic +1.12 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for2.44xG against1.32

Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 2.44; xG against 1.32. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 42/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
74.7
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
2.44
xG against
1.32

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Stade Brestois 29 Both teams scored 86% Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Scores59
Scores Stade Brestois 29 86% Both teams scored Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Both teams scored

Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Ligue 1 2026-2027: 1.52 goals per team/match, 63 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 59/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
38.9
Recency
93.2
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Stade Brestois 29’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-22Le MansA2–2DYes
2026-08-29ToulouseH2–2DYes
2026-09-05LE HavreA2–1WYes
2026-09-13Paris Saint GermainH0–1LNo
2026-09-20AuxerreA1–2LYes
2026-10-10AngersH5–1WYes
2026-10-17LilleA1–1DYes
Full club analysis →
Fenerbahce Clean sheets 5 Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Scores65
Scores Fenerbahce 5 Clean sheets Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Clean sheet

Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Süper Lig 2026-2027: 1.44 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 65/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
38.9
Recency
93.2
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Fenerbahce’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-22KonyasporH4–2WNo
2026-08-26LyonA2–1WNo
2026-08-30SamsunsporA2–0WYes
2026-09-05BesiktasH1–2LNo
2026-09-10AS RomaH1–1DNo
2026-09-14Gazişehir GaziantepA0–0DYes
2026-09-20EyüpsporH8–0WYes
2026-10-10RizesporA3–0WYes
2026-10-14Aston VillaA0–6LNo
2026-10-17AlanyasporH3–0WYes
Full club analysis →
Arsenal Points above expected +5.0 9/9 covered matches · current leagues Forecast63
Forecast Arsenal +5.0 Points above expected 9/9 covered matches · current leagues Points24.0xPts19.0

Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 9/9 current-league matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Points 24; xPts 19. Saved pre: 3; reconstructed: 6. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 63/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
53.6
Recency
96.3
Context
40.0
Quality
60.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

9/9 covered matches · current leagues

Points
24.0
xPts
19.0

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 3; reconstructed: 6.

Full club analysis →
Real Sociedad Goals conceded away per match 2.0 Last 6 recorded away matches Scores52
Scores Real Sociedad 2.0 Goals conceded away per match Last 6 recorded away matches Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

An away-only conceding average that meets the descriptive threshold. Home results are excluded from this club window; the league reference includes both venues and does not adjust opposition.

Recorded scores · away only · Last 6 recorded away matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC. La Liga 2026-2027: 1.53 goals per team/match, 88 matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. League reference includes home and away games; this club window is away only. Context only, without opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 52/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
13.6
Recency
96.3
Context
40.0
Quality
75.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 6 recorded away matches

Oldest → newest · scores from Real Sociedad’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-21Real BetisA0–1L
2026-08-26Real MadridA1–4L
2026-09-07ElcheA3–2W
2026-09-20ValenciaA3–2W
2026-10-15Union St. GilloiseA1–1D
2026-10-18MalagaA5–2W
Full club analysis →
Trabzonspor Wins in a row 3 Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Streak63
Streak Trabzonspor 3 Wins in a row Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Wins in a row

Consecutive wins start with the latest recorded result. A draw or defeat ends the run within the available window.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.

Insight Score 63/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
30.0
Recency
99.6
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Trabzonspor’s perspective. Event: Wins in a row.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-15KasimpasaA1–1DNo
2026-08-20Ferencvarosi TCH0–1LNo
2026-08-23Istanbul BasaksehirH2–1WYes
2026-08-27Ferencvarosi TCA0–4LNo
2026-08-31AmedA1–2LNo
2026-09-06GenclerbirligiH5–0WYes
2026-09-12KonyasporA0–1LNo
2026-09-19GalatasarayH4–0WYes
2026-10-10SamsunsporA3–0WYes
2026-10-19BesiktasH2–0WYes

Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.

Full club analysis →
Willem II Points below expected −5.3 9/9 covered matches · current leagues Forecast61
Forecast Willem II −5.3 Points below expected 9/9 covered matches · current leagues Points2.0xPts7.3

The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 9/9 current-league matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Points 2; xPts 7.3. Saved pre: 1; reconstructed: 8. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 61/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
56.8
Recency
93.2
Context
40.0
Quality
50.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

9/9 covered matches · current leagues

Points
2.0
xPts
7.3

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 1; reconstructed: 8.

Full club analysis →
Manchester City Goals scored per match 2.6 Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Scores64
Scores Manchester City 2.6 Goals scored per match Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Premier League 2026-2027: 1.45 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 64/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
41.7
Recency
93.2
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Manchester City’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-23BournemouthH2–1W
2026-08-28Crystal PalaceA4–1W
2026-09-05CoventryH1–0W
2026-09-08FC PortoA2–0W
2026-09-13Manchester UnitedA1–0W
2026-09-20SunderlandH5–3W
2026-10-11LiverpoolA3–0W
2026-10-14Paris Saint GermainH2–4L
2026-10-17IpswichH3–2W
Full club analysis →
Amed Unbeaten in a row 6 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Streak67
Streak Amed 6 Unbeaten in a row Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Unbeaten in a row

The latest recorded sequence contains wins and draws without a defeat. It counts results, without adjusting for the opposition.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-16 → 2026-10-17 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.

Insight Score 67/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
55.4
Recency
93.2
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Amed’s perspective. Event: Unbeaten in a row.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-16Erzurumspor FKH3–0WYes
2026-08-24KocaelisporA0–2LNo
2026-08-31TrabzonsporH2–1WYes
2026-09-06KasimpasaA2–2DYes
2026-09-13Istanbul BasaksehirH5–0WYes
2026-09-20BesiktasH3–2WYes
2026-10-10GenclerbirligiA2–2DYes
2026-10-17KonyasporH1–0WYes

Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.

Full club analysis →
Rio Ave xG difference per match −0.92 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG37
Observed xG Rio Ave −0.92 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for0.73xG against1.65

Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 0.73; xG against 1.65. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 37/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
61.3
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
0.73
xG against
1.65

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
FC Porto Goals conceded per match 0.9 Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Scores56
Scores FC Porto 0.9 Goals conceded per match Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the low-goals signal threshold. Compare it with the league reference; opponent strength and chance quality are not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-14 UTC. Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 56/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
19.7
Recency
84.3
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from FC Porto’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-09AlvercaH2–0W
2026-08-15Rio AveA2–0W
2026-08-23AroucaH2–0W
2026-08-29Academico ViseuA3–0W
2026-09-04MoreirenseH2–1W
2026-09-08Manchester CityH0–2L
2026-09-12Casa PiaA4–1W
2026-09-20BenficaH3–1W
2026-10-10MaritimoA2–1W
2026-10-14Real BetisA2–3L
Full club analysis →
Fiorentina Goals conceded per match 2.4 Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Scores59
Scores Fiorentina 2.4 Goals conceded per match Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-24 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Serie A 2026-2027: 1.48 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 59/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
36.0
Recency
96.3
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Fiorentina’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-24AS RomaA0–4L
2026-08-29FrosinoneH0–3L
2026-09-05TorinoH1–2L
2026-09-11VeneziaA4–2W
2026-09-20NapoliH1–1D
2026-10-10GenoaA1–2L
2026-10-18ComoH1–3L
Full club analysis →
Groningen Scoring in a row 9 Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Streak80
Streak Groningen 9 Scoring in a row Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Scoring in a row

The club has scored in consecutive recorded matches, starting with the latest result. One goal is enough to extend the run.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-18 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.

Insight Score 80/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
86.8
Recency
96.3
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Groningen’s perspective. Event: Scoring in a row.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-09UtrechtH2–1WYes
2026-08-16ADO Den HaagA4–1WYes
2026-08-23PSV EindhovenA1–5LYes
2026-08-28Fortuna SittardH2–3LYes
2026-09-06TwenteH2–2DYes
2026-09-12GO Ahead EaglesA1–1DYes
2026-09-18PEC ZwolleH3–0WYes
2026-10-11ExcelsiorA5–1WYes
2026-10-18AjaxH2–5LYes

Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.

Full club analysis →
Gazişehir Gaziantep Losses in a row 3 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Streak58
Streak Gazişehir Gaziantep 3 Losses in a row Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Losses in a row

Consecutive defeats start with the latest recorded result. The sequence describes the results, without claiming a cause.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-18 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.

Insight Score 58/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
27.7
Recency
96.3
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Gazişehir Gaziantep’s perspective. Event: Losses in a row.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-15AlanyasporH1–1DNo
2026-08-23EyüpsporA1–0WNo
2026-08-29RizesporH1–2LYes
2026-09-07GoztepeA4–2WNo
2026-09-14FenerbahceH0–0DNo
2026-09-19KocaelisporA0–2LYes
2026-10-11Çorum FKH0–3LYes
2026-10-18Istanbul BasaksehirA1–2LYes

Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.

Full club analysis →
Bayer Leverkusen xG difference per match +1.10 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG42
Observed xG Bayer Leverkusen +1.10 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for2.35xG against1.25

Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 2.35; xG against 1.25. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 42/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
73.3
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
2.35
xG against
1.25

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Auxerre Both teams scored 86% Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Scores60
Scores Auxerre 86% Both teams scored Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Both teams scored

Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Ligue 1 2026-2027: 1.52 goals per team/match, 63 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 60/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
38.9
Recency
96.3
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Auxerre’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-22LensA2–5LYes
2026-08-29AngersH1–3LYes
2026-09-04LyonA1–3LYes
2026-09-12NiceH1–0WNo
2026-09-20Stade Brestois 29H2–1WYes
2026-10-11RennesA1–4LYes
2026-10-18LE HavreA3–1WYes
Full club analysis →
Sabah FA Clean sheets 5 Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Scores65
Scores Sabah FA 5 Clean sheets Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Clean sheet

Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-07-07 → 2026-10-13 UTC. UEFA Champions League 2026-2027: 2.04 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-08 → 2026-10-14 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 65/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
63.9
Recency
81.5
Context
40.0
Quality
72.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Sabah FA’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-07-07The New SaintsH2–0WYes
2026-07-14The New SaintsA2–1WNo
2026-07-21KuPSH1–0WYes
2026-07-28KuPSA2–0WYes
2026-08-05AarhusA1–2LNo
2026-08-11AarhusH4–0WYes
2026-08-19Hapoel Beer ShevaA1–2LNo
2026-08-25Hapoel Beer ShevaH5–2WNo
2026-09-10Manchester UnitedA0–4LNo
2026-10-13Slavia PrahaH2–0WYes
Full club analysis →
Lyon Points above expected +5.0 9/9 covered matches · current leagues Forecast63
Forecast Lyon +5.0 Points above expected 9/9 covered matches · current leagues Points20.0xPts15.0

Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 9/9 current-league matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Points 20; xPts 15. Saved pre: 3; reconstructed: 6. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 63/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
53.6
Recency
96.3
Context
40.0
Quality
60.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

9/9 covered matches · current leagues

Points
20.0
xPts
15.0

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 3; reconstructed: 6.

Full club analysis →
Feyenoord Goals conceded away per match 1.8 Last 6 recorded away matches Scores47
Scores Feyenoord 1.8 Goals conceded away per match Last 6 recorded away matches Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

An away-only conceding average that meets the descriptive threshold. Home results are excluded from this club window; the league reference includes both venues and does not adjust opposition.

Recorded scores · away only · Last 6 recorded away matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Eredivisie 2026-2027: 1.92 goals per team/match, 81 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-18 UTC. League reference includes home and away games; this club window is away only. Context only, without opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 47/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
2.5
Recency
93.2
Context
40.0
Quality
75.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 6 recorded away matches

Oldest → newest · scores from Feyenoord’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-09Sparta RotterdamA1–0W
2026-08-23CambuurA5–2W
2026-09-05NEC NijmegenA3–1W
2026-09-09BarcelonaA1–5L
2026-09-13PEC ZwolleA7–0W
2026-10-17TelstarA4–3W
Full club analysis →
Arsenal Wins in a row 3 Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Streak60
Streak Arsenal 3 Wins in a row Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Wins in a row

Consecutive wins start with the latest recorded result. A draw or defeat ends the run within the available window.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.

Insight Score 60/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
28.9
Recency
96.3
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Arsenal’s perspective. Event: Wins in a row.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-21CoventryH3–0WYes
2026-08-31Aston VillaA1–0WYes
2026-09-06ChelseaH2–1WYes
2026-09-09NapoliA1–0WYes
2026-09-12SunderlandA2–0WYes
2026-09-19BrightonA0–3LNo
2026-10-10LeedsH2–1WYes
2026-10-13LilleH3–0WYes
2026-10-18Nottingham ForestA1–0WYes

Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.

Full club analysis →
Eyüpspor Points below expected −5.3 8/8 covered matches · current leagues Forecast62
Forecast Eyüpspor −5.3 Points below expected 8/8 covered matches · current leagues Points3.0xPts8.3

The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 8/8 current-league matches · 2026-08-16 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Points 3; xPts 8.3. Saved pre: 1; reconstructed: 7. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 62/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
61.2
Recency
93.2
Context
40.0
Quality
45.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

8/8 covered matches · current leagues

Points
3.0
xPts
8.3

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 1; reconstructed: 7.

Full club analysis →
Sporting CP Goals scored per match 2.5 Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Scores65
Scores Sporting CP 2.5 Goals scored per match Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-13 UTC. Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 65/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
46.6
Recency
81.5
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Sporting CP’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-08EstrelaA2–2D
2026-08-14GuimaraesH3–2W
2026-08-22AlvercaH3–1W
2026-08-28Rio AveA4–0W
2026-09-05NacionalH2–0W
2026-09-09GalatasarayH3–1W
2026-09-13FamalicaoA1–1D
2026-09-19AroucaH2–2D
2026-10-09SC BragaA3–1W
2026-10-13LensA2–0W
Full club analysis →
Feyenoord Unbeaten in a row 5 Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Streak69
Streak Feyenoord 5 Unbeaten in a row Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Unbeaten in a row

The latest recorded sequence contains wins and draws without a defeat. It counts results, without adjusting for the opposition.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-16 → 2026-10-17 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.

Insight Score 69/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
50.0
Recency
93.2
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Feyenoord’s perspective. Event: Unbeaten in a row.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-16GO Ahead EaglesH2–2DYes
2026-08-23CambuurA5–2WYes
2026-08-30ADO Den HaagH2–2DYes
2026-09-05NEC NijmegenA3–1WYes
2026-09-09BarcelonaA1–5LNo
2026-09-13PEC ZwolleA7–0WYes
2026-09-20UtrechtH5–0WYes
2026-10-10AZ AlkmaarH2–0WYes
2026-10-14ComoH3–2WYes
2026-10-17TelstarA4–3WYes

Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.

Full club analysis →
Samsunspor xG difference per match −0.87 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG36
Observed xG Samsunspor −0.87 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for0.94xG against1.81

Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 0.94; xG against 1.81. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 36/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
58.0
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
0.94
xG against
1.81

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Levski Sofia Goals conceded per match 0.9 Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Scores51
Scores Levski Sofia 0.9 Goals conceded per match Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the low-goals signal threshold. Compare it with the league reference; opponent strength and chance quality are not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-07-07 → 2026-10-15 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 51/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
20.8
Recency
87.2
Context
40.0
Quality
72.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Levski Sofia’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-07-07Borac Banja LukaA1–1D
2026-07-14Borac Banja LukaH4–0W
2026-07-22Universitatea CraiovaH1–0W
2026-07-29Universitatea CraiovaA2–2D
2026-08-04Kairat AlmatyH1–0W
2026-08-11Kairat AlmatyA1–0W
2026-08-18AEK Athens FCH0–0D
2026-08-26AEK Athens FCA0–4L
2026-09-17Red Bull SalzburgH0–1L
2026-10-15NEC NijmegenA1–1D
Full club analysis →
Auxerre Goals conceded per match 2.4 Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Scores57
Scores Auxerre 2.4 Goals conceded per match Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Ligue 1 2026-2027: 1.52 goals per team/match, 63 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 57/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
32.3
Recency
96.3
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Auxerre’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-22LensA2–5L
2026-08-29AngersH1–3L
2026-09-04LyonA1–3L
2026-09-12NiceH1–0W
2026-09-20Stade Brestois 29H2–1W
2026-10-11RennesA1–4L
2026-10-18LE HavreA3–1W
Full club analysis →
GO Ahead Eagles Scoring in a row 9 Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Streak80
Streak GO Ahead Eagles 9 Scoring in a row Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Scoring in a row

The club has scored in consecutive recorded matches, starting with the latest result. One goal is enough to extend the run.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-18 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.

Insight Score 80/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
86.8
Recency
96.3
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from GO Ahead Eagles’s perspective. Event: Scoring in a row.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-08Willem IIH4–1WYes
2026-08-16FeyenoordA2–2DYes
2026-08-23ADO Den HaagH3–1WYes
2026-08-29AZ AlkmaarA2–5LYes
2026-09-08UtrechtA3–3DYes
2026-09-12GroningenH1–1DYes
2026-09-20NEC NijmegenA1–1DYes
2026-10-10Sparta RotterdamH3–3DYes
2026-10-18PEC ZwolleA1–4LYes

Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.

Full club analysis →
Standard Liege Losses in a row 3 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Streak53
Streak Standard Liege 3 Losses in a row Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Losses in a row

Consecutive defeats start with the latest recorded result. The sequence describes the results, without claiming a cause.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-11 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.

Insight Score 53/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
27.7
Recency
76.3
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Standard Liege’s perspective. Event: Losses in a row.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-08Cercle BruggeH2–2DNo
2026-08-16KV MechelenA3–3DNo
2026-08-21RAAL La LouvièreH2–0WNo
2026-08-29OH LeuvenA2–1WNo
2026-09-05AntwerpH1–0WNo
2026-09-12KVC WesterloA2–4LYes
2026-09-18GentA1–2LYes
2026-10-11CharleroiH0–1LYes

Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.

Full club analysis →
Paris Saint Germain xG difference per match +1.09 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG41
Observed xG Paris Saint Germain +1.09 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for2.37xG against1.28

Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 2.37; xG against 1.28. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 41/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
72.7
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
2.37
xG against
1.28

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Le Mans Both teams scored 86% Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Scores58
Scores Le Mans 86% Both teams scored Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Both teams scored

Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-16 UTC. Ligue 1 2026-2027: 1.52 goals per team/match, 63 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 58/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
38.9
Recency
90.1
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Le Mans’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-22Stade Brestois 29H2–2DYes
2026-08-30RennesA2–3LYes
2026-09-05NiceA1–1DYes
2026-09-13LensH2–2DYes
2026-09-19LorientH2–1WYes
2026-10-10Paris Saint GermainA1–3LYes
2026-10-16ToulouseH0–3LNo
Full club analysis →
Levski Sofia Clean sheets 5 Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Scores61
Scores Levski Sofia 5 Clean sheets Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Clean sheet

Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-07-07 → 2026-10-15 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 61/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
47.2
Recency
87.2
Context
40.0
Quality
72.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Levski Sofia’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-07-07Borac Banja LukaA1–1DNo
2026-07-14Borac Banja LukaH4–0WYes
2026-07-22Universitatea CraiovaH1–0WYes
2026-07-29Universitatea CraiovaA2–2DNo
2026-08-04Kairat AlmatyH1–0WYes
2026-08-11Kairat AlmatyA1–0WYes
2026-08-18AEK Athens FCH0–0DYes
2026-08-26AEK Athens FCA0–4LNo
2026-09-17Red Bull SalzburgH0–1LNo
2026-10-15NEC NijmegenA1–1DNo
Full club analysis →
Manchester City Points above expected +5.0 8/9 covered matches · current leagues Forecast61
Forecast Manchester City +5.0 Points above expected 8/9 covered matches · current leagues Points21.0xPts16.0

Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 8/9 current-league matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Points 21; xPts 16. Saved pre: 3; reconstructed: 5. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 61/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
57.7
Recency
93.2
Context
40.0
Quality
48.9

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

8/9 covered matches · current leagues

Points
21.0
xPts
16.0

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 3; reconstructed: 5.

Full club analysis →
Celtic Goals conceded away per match 1.8 Last 6 recorded away matches Scores45
Scores Celtic 1.8 Goals conceded away per match Last 6 recorded away matches Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

An away-only conceding average that meets the descriptive threshold. Home results are excluded from this club window; the league reference includes both venues and does not adjust opposition.

Recorded scores · away only · Last 6 recorded away matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-15 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. League reference includes home and away games; this club window is away only. Context only, without opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 45/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
12.9
Recency
87.2
Context
40.0
Quality
54.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 6 recorded away matches

Oldest → newest · scores from Celtic’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-09KilmarnockA5–1W
2026-08-25Lask LinzA1–5L
2026-09-05ST MirrenA2–1W
2026-09-09ST JohnstoneA1–0W
2026-10-11MotherwellA2–0W
2026-10-15BenficaA1–4L
Full club analysis →
Omonia Nicosia Wins in a row 3 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Streak55
Streak Omonia Nicosia 3 Wins in a row Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Wins in a row

Consecutive wins start with the latest recorded result. A draw or defeat ends the run within the available window.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-07-22 → 2026-10-15 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.

Insight Score 55/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
27.7
Recency
87.2
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Omonia Nicosia’s perspective. Event: Wins in a row.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-07-22Kairat AlmatyH1–0WYes
2026-07-29Kairat AlmatyA0–1LNo
2026-08-06Lincoln Red Imps FCA1–1DNo
2026-08-13Lincoln Red Imps FCH1–0WYes
2026-08-20St. TruidenA0–1LNo
2026-08-27St. TruidenH4–2WYes
2026-09-16Celta VigoH1–0WYes
2026-10-15CeljeA3–0WYes

Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.

Full club analysis →
Guimaraes Points below expected −5.2 8/8 covered matches · current leagues Forecast56
Forecast Guimaraes −5.2 Points below expected 8/8 covered matches · current leagues Points5.0xPts10.2

The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 8/8 current-league matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Points 5; xPts 10.2. Saved pre: 0; reconstructed: 8. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 56/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
60.0
Recency
76.3
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

8/8 covered matches · current leagues

Points
5.0
xPts
10.2

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 0; reconstructed: 8.

Full club analysis →
Club Brugge KV Goals scored per match 2.5 Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Scores61
Scores Club Brugge KV 2.5 Goals scored per match Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-13 UTC. Belgian Pro League 2026-2027: 1.51 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 61/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
35.9
Recency
81.5
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Club Brugge KV’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-07KortrijkH3–0W
2026-08-15OH LeuvenA3–0W
2026-08-23Cercle BruggeH1–0W
2026-08-30GentA1–2L
2026-09-04Lommel UnitedA1–0W
2026-09-08Aston VillaH2–3L
2026-09-13AntwerpH3–1W
2026-09-20GenkH3–0W
2026-10-10RAAL La LouvièreA4–1W
2026-10-13InterA4–3W
Full club analysis →
Ajax Unbeaten in a row 5 Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Streak67
Streak Ajax 5 Unbeaten in a row Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Unbeaten in a row

The latest recorded sequence contains wins and draws without a defeat. It counts results, without adjusting for the opposition.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-18 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.

Insight Score 67/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
48.2
Recency
96.3
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Ajax’s perspective. Event: Unbeaten in a row.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-09PEC ZwolleA2–0WYes
2026-08-16HeerenveenH2–2DYes
2026-08-30TelstarA4–0WYes
2026-09-05PSV EindhovenH1–3LNo
2026-09-12Fortuna SittardA5–1WYes
2026-09-15Willem IIH5–1WYes
2026-09-19ExcelsiorH2–2DYes
2026-10-10NEC NijmegenH1–1DYes
2026-10-18GroningenA5–2WYes

Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.

Full club analysis →
Slavia Praha xG difference per match −0.86 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG36
Observed xG Slavia Praha −0.86 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for1.09xG against1.95

Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.09; xG against 1.95. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 36/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
57.3
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
1.09
xG against
1.95

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
AS Roma Goals conceded per match 0.9 Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Scores58
Scores AS Roma 0.9 Goals conceded per match Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the low-goals signal threshold. Compare it with the league reference; opponent strength and chance quality are not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-24 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Serie A 2026-2027: 1.48 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 58/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
24.6
Recency
93.2
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from AS Roma’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-24FiorentinaH4–0W
2026-08-31LecceA4–0W
2026-09-05AtalantaH2–1W
2026-09-10FenerbahceA1–1D
2026-09-14TorinoA2–0W
2026-09-19InterH2–2D
2026-10-11ComoA0–0D
2026-10-14Real MadridH3–4L
2026-10-17GenoaH2–0W
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1899 Hoffenheim Goals conceded per match 2.4 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores54
Scores 1899 Hoffenheim 2.4 Goals conceded per match Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-29 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Bundesliga 2026-2027: 1.84 goals per team/match, 54 matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 54/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
15.6
Recency
96.3
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from 1899 Hoffenheim’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-291.FC KölnA2–3L
2026-09-05Borussia DortmundH2–3L
2026-09-12VfB StuttgartH2–1W
2026-09-17OFIA0–2L
2026-09-20SC Paderborn 07A1–3L
2026-10-10Hamburger SVH2–3L
2026-10-15BesiktasH2–3L
2026-10-18Borussia MönchengladbachA2–1W
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Sevilla Scoring in a row 9 Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Streak80
Streak Sevilla 9 Scoring in a row Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Scoring in a row

The club has scored in consecutive recorded matches, starting with the latest result. One goal is enough to extend the run.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-18 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.

Insight Score 80/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
86.8
Recency
96.3
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Sevilla’s perspective. Event: Scoring in a row.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-15Rayo VallecanoH2–1WYes
2026-08-22Athletic ClubA3–1WYes
2026-08-29Atletico MadridH1–3LYes
2026-09-06EspanyolA1–1DYes
2026-09-11ValenciaH1–0WYes
2026-09-16Deportivo La CorunaA1–0WYes
2026-09-19BarcelonaH1–3LYes
2026-10-12LevanteA3–3DYes
2026-10-18Real MadridA1–4LYes

Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.

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Zulte Waregem Losses in a row 3 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Streak52
Streak Zulte Waregem 3 Losses in a row Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Losses in a row

Consecutive defeats start with the latest recorded result. The sequence describes the results, without claiming a cause.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-10 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.

Insight Score 52/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
27.7
Recency
73.8
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Zulte Waregem’s perspective. Event: Losses in a row.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-09GenkH2–1WNo
2026-08-15Union St. GilloiseA0–0DNo
2026-08-22SK BeverenH4–0WNo
2026-08-30KVC WesterloA2–2DNo
2026-09-06KortrijkA2–0WNo
2026-09-13CharleroiH0–1LYes
2026-09-19AnderlechtA0–3LYes
2026-10-10GentH0–2LYes

Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.

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AS Roma xG difference per match +1.08 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG41
Observed xG AS Roma +1.08 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for2.19xG against1.11

Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 2.19; xG against 1.11. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 41/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
72.0
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
2.19
xG against
1.11

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
About these insights
A little context goes a long way

Read the signal. Keep the context.

Insights describe what is recorded. Use club and match analysis to explore what comes next.

Insight Score · experimental editorial interest. This version uses 0.35D + 0.25R + 0.20C + 0.20Q. D measures heuristic deviation, R observation recency, C breadth of evidence families and Q data quality. These starting weights are uncalibrated. It is neither team strength, win probability, statistical significance nor forecast confidence. Related result signals share one family; different sources are not automatically statistically independent. Unknown dates receive zero recency; unknown xG coverage limits its quality component. League averages are context references, not opponent-adjusted estimates.

01

Check the window

Result signals use the last 10 recorded matches; away signals use the last 8 away matches. At least 5 are required. Missing and special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound.

02

Read the chart

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored or conceded, capped at 6; zero keeps a marker. Teal / amber / red means win / draw / loss. Faded bars mean the event did not happen. Open the evidence for full scores.

03

Separate the sources

xG uses observed Playing style averages before the next or latest league fixture; coverage can differ between inputs. xPts comes from stored LOAD90 forecasts on identical covered games, including labelled historical reconstructions.

Types alternate for variety. Values are ordered within their own metric, without a combined ranking. These descriptive signals do not change the LOAD90 forecast.

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