Borussia Dortmund

2nd · Bundesliga · 14 points · Matches played: 6

Level on points with Bayern München · Table & Fixtures →

L90 Strength L90 Strength is LOAD90’s own club strength rating on a fixed 0–100 scale, built from its Elo rating. League Strength uses the mean Elo of a league's clubs and a separate league calibration, so the two scores are not directly comparable.

-4.5 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.

Base L90 Strength changed -1.2 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number. 80.6-4.5
World Rank 14th Global, by Elo
Bundesliga Rank 2nd L90 Strength
Last Union BerlinA xG 1.4–0.9 0–0 Next Sabah FAA 63%

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Upcoming fixtures

Borussia Dortmund · All competitions

Forecast
Sabah FAUEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase · Away 63% win 2.08 xPts Eintracht FrankfurtBundesliga 2026-2027 · Home 69% win 2.24 xPts Bayern MünchenBundesliga 2026-2027 · Away 10% win 0.45 xPts Real BetisUEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase · Home 51% win 1.76 xPts SV ElversbergBundesliga 2026-2027 · Home 72% win 2.32 xPts Borussia MönchengladbachBundesliga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts ArsenalUEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase · Away — win — xPts Bayer LeverkusenBundesliga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts FC Schalke 04Bundesliga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts InterUEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase · Home — win — xPts FC AugsburgBundesliga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts RB LeipzigBundesliga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts 1.FC KölnBundesliga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts SC FreiburgBundesliga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Aston VillaUEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase · Away — win — xPts Hamburger SVBundesliga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts AEK Athens FCUEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase · Home — win — xPts 1899 HoffenheimBundesliga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts SC Paderborn 07Bundesliga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts VfB StuttgartBundesliga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Werder BremenBundesliga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Union BerlinBundesliga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Eintracht FrankfurtBundesliga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Bayern MünchenBundesliga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts SV ElversbergBundesliga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Borussia MönchengladbachBundesliga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Bayer LeverkusenBundesliga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts FC Schalke 04Bundesliga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts FC AugsburgBundesliga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts RB LeipzigBundesliga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts 1.FC KölnBundesliga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts SC FreiburgBundesliga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts

xPts = 3 × win probability + draw probability. — means no published forecast. Open a match for xG and the full forecast.

Results

Borussia Dortmund · All competitions

Full time
Union BerlinBundesliga 2026-2027 · Away D 0–0 1.4–0.9 xG -0.9 Δpts Bodo/GlimtUEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase · Away L 0–1 0.8–1.2 xG -1.6 Δpts Werder BremenBundesliga 2026-2027 · Home D 2–2 2.5–1.2 xG -1.3 Δpts VfB StuttgartBundesliga 2026-2027 · Away W 1–0 1.3–0.9 xG +1.5 Δpts SC Paderborn 07Bundesliga 2026-2027 · Home W 3–0 1.8–0.5 xG +0.7 Δpts VillarrealUEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase · Home W 3–2 2.8–1.3 xG +1.2 Δpts 1899 HoffenheimBundesliga 2026-2027 · Away W 3–2 2.0–1.2 xG +1.4 Δpts Hamburger SVBundesliga 2026-2027 · Home W 2–0 1.5–0.9 xG +0.7 Δpts

Score and actual xG show Borussia Dortmund first. Δpts = points taken − pre-match xPts. — means data unavailable.

Current load High · 53

Rest profile3.1 days since last match
53%
Schedule load3 matches in last 14 days
30%
Travel load3,449 km to venue, 4,431 km in 14 days
100%
Squad availability4 out, no key players
3%

Load before the next match, at Sabah FA, 20 Oct. Squad availability is shown separately and is not part of the score; availability is the share of squad weight missing, the same input the forecast uses for absences.

Schedule difficulty all competitions

Each bar is one match: 50% match difficulty from current relative Elo strength + 50% calendar load (rest, match congestion and travel). Higher means harder, on a 0–100 scale. This is a descriptive index, not a win probability. Lighter bars are upcoming; the dashed line marks today. Grey marks missing data. 29 Aug vs Hamburger SV: Schedule difficulty 9/100; match difficulty 17/100
W
 Aug 5 Sep at 1899 Hoffenheim: Schedule difficulty 11/100; match difficulty 22/100
W
 Sep 8 Sep vs Villarreal: Schedule difficulty 22/100; match difficulty 35/100
W
 12 Sep vs SC Paderborn 07: Schedule difficulty 16/100; match difficulty 16/100
W
 19 Sep at VfB Stuttgart: Schedule difficulty 21/100; match difficulty 36/100
W
 9 Oct vs Werder Bremen: Schedule difficulty 10/100; match difficulty 19/100
D
 Oct 14 Oct at Bodo/Glimt: Schedule difficulty 25/100; match difficulty 30/100
L
 17 Oct at Union Berlin: Schedule difficulty 21/100; match difficulty 17/100
D
 20 Oct at Sabah FA: Schedule difficulty 32/100; match difficulty 11/100 24 Oct vs Eintracht Frankfurt: Schedule difficulty 24/100; match difficulty 22/100 31 Oct at Bayern München: Schedule difficulty 46/100; match difficulty 76/100 4 Nov vs Real Betis: Schedule difficulty 20/100; match difficulty 40/100 Nov 7 Nov vs SV Elversberg: Schedule difficulty 21/100; match difficulty 18/100 21 Nov at Borussia Mönchengladbach: Schedule difficulty 8/100; match difficulty 15/100 24 Nov at Arsenal: Schedule difficulty 46/100; match difficulty 77/100 29 Nov vs Bayer Leverkusen: Schedule difficulty 24/100; match difficulty 48/100 5 Dec at FC Schalke 04: Schedule difficulty 18/100; match difficulty 20/100 Dec 9 Dec vs Inter: Schedule difficulty 27/100; match difficulty 54/100 12 Dec vs FC Augsburg: Schedule difficulty 23/100; match difficulty 22/100 19 Dec at RB Leipzig: Schedule difficulty 29/100; match difficulty 36/100 9 Jan vs FSV Mainz 05: Schedule difficulty 13/100; match difficulty 26/100 Jan 12 Jan at 1.FC Köln: Schedule difficulty 11/100; match difficulty 14/100 16 Jan vs SC Freiburg: Schedule difficulty 17/100; match difficulty 33/100 19 Jan at Aston Villa: Schedule difficulty 43/100; match difficulty 56/100 23 Jan at Hamburger SV: Schedule difficulty 26/100; match difficulty 17/100 27 Jan vs AEK Athens FC: Schedule difficulty 23/100; match difficulty 25/100 30 Jan vs 1899 Hoffenheim: Schedule difficulty 35/100; match difficulty 22/100 6 Feb at SC Paderborn 07: Schedule difficulty 16/100; match difficulty 16/100 Feb 13 Feb vs VfB Stuttgart: Schedule difficulty 18/100; match difficulty 36/100 20 Feb at Werder Bremen: Schedule difficulty 10/100; match difficulty 19/100 27 Feb vs Union Berlin: Schedule difficulty 9/100; match difficulty 17/100 2 Mar at Eintracht Frankfurt: Schedule difficulty 15/100; match difficulty 22/100 Mar 6 Mar vs Bayern München: Schedule difficulty 46/100; match difficulty 76/100 13 Mar at SV Elversberg: Schedule difficulty 17/100; match difficulty 18/100 20 Mar vs Borussia Mönchengladbach: Schedule difficulty 8/100; match difficulty 15/100 3 Apr at Bayer Leverkusen: Schedule difficulty 24/100; match difficulty 48/100 Apr 10 Apr vs FC Schalke 04: Schedule difficulty 10/100; match difficulty 20/100 17 Apr at FC Augsburg: Schedule difficulty 14/100; match difficulty 22/100 24 Apr vs RB Leipzig: Schedule difficulty 18/100; match difficulty 36/100 8 May at FSV Mainz 05: Schedule difficulty 13/100; match difficulty 26/100 May 15 May vs 1.FC Köln: Schedule difficulty 7/100; match difficulty 14/100 22 May at SC Freiburg: Schedule difficulty 20/100; match difficulty 33/100

Schedule next 30 days · forecast and load

All fixtures and load →
Rest3.1 daysbefore SAB
Matches / 14d3all competitions
Travel / 14d4,431 kmaway trips
Schedule load53%High
at Sabah FATue 20 Oct, 17:45 UEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase · opponent L90 Strength 26 63%win21%draw17%loss High load · 3.1 d rest · 3 in 14 d vs Eintracht FrankfurtSat 24 Oct, 17:30 Bundesliga 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 48 69%win17%draw14%loss Moderate load · 4 d rest · 3 in 14 d at Bayern MünchenSat 31 Oct, 17:30 Bundesliga 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 94 10%win14%draw76%loss Low load · 7 d rest vs Real BetisWed 4 Nov, 20:00 UEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase · opponent L90 Strength 72 51%win23%draw26%loss Low load · 4.1 d rest vs SV ElversbergSat 7 Nov, 14:30 Bundesliga 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 42 72%win16%draw12%loss Moderate load · 2.8 d rest · 3 in 14 d
Win · draw · loss: LOAD90 forecastLoad bar: rest, matches and travel before each game (context; only 4+ matches in 14 days changes the forecast)
Full match preview oneScored → at Sabah FA, 20 OctOdds, value, live score

Fixture Swing

Opponent opportunity across the next 3 matches · all competitions

3 of 3 forecasts available

Attack Swing+1%

Baseline 5.85 → Forecast 5.91 expected goals · 3 included matches

Conceding Swing+29%

Baseline 4.06 → Forecast 5.25 expected goals conceded · 3 included matches

Opportunity for the next 3 matches
MatchAttackConceding riskGoals · Baseline → Forecast
at Sabah FA20 Oct · UEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase +27% −26% 1.69 → 2.15
vs Eintracht Frankfurt24 Oct · Bundesliga 2026-2027 +14% −4% 2.31 → 2.63
at Bayern München31 Oct · Bundesliga 2026-2027 −38% +109% 1.85 → 1.14

Swing compares total forecast goals with total baseline goals for the included matches. Forecasts are available up to 21 days ahead. Missing snapshots and different model revisions are excluded; a partial window covers only the matches shown with values. Your team's own conditions are kept in each baseline.

Next match · Match Opportunity

Borussia Dortmund

Baseline: average Bundesliga opponent

Attack Uplift +27% Expected goals Baseline1.69Forecast2.15
Conceding Risk −26% Expected goals conceded Baseline1.39Forecast1.03
Clean Sheet +11.0 pp Chance of conceding no goals Baseline24.8%Forecast35.8%