Football / The bigger picture

Insights.

Go beyond the result. Follow the patterns. See the evidence.

How to read the signals →

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Competition selects current clubs. Result windows include all recorded competitions; points comparisons use covered current-league matches.

Stories behind the signals

All tracked leagues · 794 signals · 190 clubs in this view

Explore all signals ↓

Automatically selected connections · one story per club · experimental Insight Score orders stories, not teams.

BarcelonaWinning, and exceeding expectationsInsight Score84/100

A winning run and points above forecast expectations stand out together. Separate the recorded results from the chance balance; the points comparison covers a different set of league matches.

Wins in a rowLast 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-27 → 2026-10-17 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions
10+
Points minus expected11/11 current-league matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-17 UTC
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games
+6.3
Goals scored / matchLast 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-27 → 2026-10-17 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions
4.3
Observed xG difference / match10-match profile · exact dates unavailable
Observed match xG · available averages
+2.60
Full club analysis →Different windows, shown individually. Connections invite analysis; they do not establish a cause.
Sources, limitations & score
Insight Score 84/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
100.0
Recency
61.6
Context
100.0
Quality
67.9

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

  • Wins in a row — A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
  • Points minus expected — Points 33; xPts 26.7. Saved pre: 3; reconstructed: 8. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
  • Goals scored / match — La Liga 2026-2027: 1.53 goals per team/match, 88 matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
  • Observed xG difference / match — Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 3.55; xG against 0.95. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
LazioPoints ahead. Chance balance tells another story.Insight Score81/100

Points exceed the stored forecasts, while the observed xG profile has no positive balance. Results and chances tell different stories; this does not establish that a reversal is due.

Points minus expected7/7 current-league matches · 2026-08-24 → 2026-10-18 UTC
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games
+8.2
Observed xG difference / match10-match profile · exact dates unavailable
Observed match xG · available averages
−0.15
Wins in a rowLast 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-24 → 2026-10-18 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions
3
Full club analysis →Different windows, shown individually. Connections invite analysis; they do not establish a cause.
Sources, limitations & score
Insight Score 81/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
100.0
Recency
63.7
Context
100.0
Quality
51.7

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

  • Points minus expected — Points 19; xPts 10.8. Saved pre: 2; reconstructed: 5. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
  • Observed xG difference / match — Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.15; xG against 1.3. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
  • Wins in a row — A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
PSV EindhovenChance balance ahead of the points returnInsight Score76/100

A positive observed xG balance sits alongside points below stored forecast expectations. These are different windows: inspect finishing, conceding and individual matches before assigning a cause.

Points minus expected11/11 current-league matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-17 UTC
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games
−3.9
Observed xG difference / match10-match profile · exact dates unavailable
Observed match xG · available averages
+1.16
Goals scored / matchLast 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-17 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions
2.6
Full club analysis →Different windows, shown individually. Connections invite analysis; they do not establish a cause.
Sources, limitations & score
Insight Score 76/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
77.3
Recency
61.6
Context
100.0
Quality
66.4

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

  • Points minus expected — Points 20; xPts 23.9. Saved pre: 2; reconstructed: 9. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
  • Observed xG difference / match — Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 2.27; xG against 1.11. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
  • Goals scored / match — Eredivisie 2026-2027: 1.92 goals per team/match, 81 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
Bayern MünchenGoals accompanied by a positive chance balanceInsight Score75/100

Goals scored exceed the current league reference, alongside a positive observed xG profile. The sources have different windows; both describe past performances rather than the next result.

Goals scored / matchLast 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-17 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions
3.8
Observed xG difference / match10-match profile · exact dates unavailable
Observed match xG · available averages
+2.15
Full club analysis →Different windows, shown individually. Connections invite analysis; they do not establish a cause.
Sources, limitations & score
Insight Score 75/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
100.0
Recency
46.2
Context
80.0
Quality
60.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

  • Goals scored / match — Bundesliga 2026-2027: 1.84 goals per team/match, 54 matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
  • Observed xG difference / match — Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 3.27; xG against 1.12. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
ArsenalDefensive consistency, positive chance balanceInsight Score68/100

Clean sheets and low goals conceded accompany a positive observed xG balance. The xG profile describes overall chance balance; it is not, by itself, proof of strong defending.

Clean sheetsLast 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions
6/9
Goals conceded / matchLast 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions
0.6
Observed xG difference / match10-match profile · exact dates unavailable
Observed match xG · available averages
+0.71
Full club analysis →Different windows, shown individually. Connections invite analysis; they do not establish a cause.
Sources, limitations & score
Insight Score 68/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
76.2
Recency
47.8
Context
80.0
Quality
65.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

  • Clean sheets — Premier League 2026-2027: 1.45 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
  • Goals conceded / match — Premier League 2026-2027: 1.45 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
  • Observed xG difference / match — Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.56; xG against 0.85. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Each signal belongs to one category. Categories sum to All signals; stories combine related evidence across categories.

All signals794 signals · 190 clubs

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Alanyaspor Points above expected +2.8 8/8 covered matches · current leagues Forecast51
Forecast Alanyaspor +2.8 Points above expected 8/8 covered matches · current leagues Points12.0xPts9.2

Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 8/8 current-league matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Points 12; xPts 9.2. Saved pre: 1; reconstructed: 7. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 51/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
32.3
Recency
92.4
Context
40.0
Quality
45.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

8/8 covered matches · current leagues

Points
12.0
xPts
9.2

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 1; reconstructed: 7.

Full club analysis →
Tottenham Points below expected −2.5 7/7 covered matches · current leagues Forecast53
Forecast Tottenham −2.5 Points below expected 7/7 covered matches · current leagues Points6.0xPts8.5

The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 7/7 current-league matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Points 6; xPts 8.5. Saved pre: 2; reconstructed: 5. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 53/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
31.3
Recency
98.8
Context
40.0
Quality
45.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

7/7 covered matches · current leagues

Points
6.0
xPts
8.5

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 2; reconstructed: 5.

Full club analysis →
Genk Goals scored per match 2.0 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores48
Scores Genk 2.0 Goals scored per match Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-10 UTC. Belgian Pro League 2026-2027: 1.51 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 48/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
16.3
Recency
73.2
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Genk’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-09Zulte WaregemA1–2L
2026-08-15KVC WesterloH3–2W
2026-08-22AntwerpA4–4D
2026-08-28SK BeverenH4–0W
2026-09-06AnderlechtA0–0D
2026-09-13GentH1–1D
2026-09-20Club Brugge KVA0–3L
2026-10-10KortrijkH3–0W
Full club analysis →
Alanyaspor xG difference per match −0.56 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG29
Observed xG Alanyaspor −0.56 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for1.04xG against1.60

Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.04; xG against 1.6. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 29/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
37.3
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
1.04
xG against
1.60

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Malaga Goals conceded per match 2.0 Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Scores56
Scores Malaga 2.0 Goals conceded per match Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-19 → 2026-10-18 UTC. La Liga 2026-2027: 1.53 goals per team/match, 88 matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 56/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
16.0
Recency
95.6
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Malaga’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-19Atletico MadridA0–2L
2026-08-24Deportivo La CorunaH1–1D
2026-08-30Real MadridA0–4L
2026-09-06LevanteH0–0D
2026-09-13Celta VigoA1–1D
2026-09-17VillarrealH1–3L
2026-09-20GetafeA0–1L
2026-10-09EspanyolH1–1D
2026-10-18Real SociedadH2–5L
Full club analysis →
Jagiellonia Scoring in a row 6 Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions Streak59
Streak Jagiellonia 6 Scoring in a row Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Scoring in a row

The club has scored in consecutive recorded matches, starting with the latest result. One goal is enough to extend the run.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 6 recorded matches · 2026-08-06 → 2026-10-15 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.

Insight Score 59/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
49.1
Recency
86.5
Context
40.0
Quality
60.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Jagiellonia’s perspective. Event: Scoring in a row.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-06RangersH2–1WYes
2026-08-13RangersA1–1DYes
2026-08-20SaburtaloH4–0WYes
2026-08-27SaburtaloA2–1WYes
2026-09-16Olympiakos PiraeusA1–2LYes
2026-10-15Ararat-ArmeniaH3–1WYes

Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.

Full club analysis →
Marseille xG difference per match +0.50 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG28
Observed xG Marseille +0.50 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for1.83xG against1.33

Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.83; xG against 1.33. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 28/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
33.3
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
1.83
xG against
1.33

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Newcastle Both teams scored 71% Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Scores56
Scores Newcastle 71% Both teams scored Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Both teams scored

Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Premier League 2026-2027: 1.45 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 56/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
32.5
Recency
92.4
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Newcastle’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-23LiverpoolH2–2DYes
2026-08-29TottenhamA2–0WNo
2026-09-05BournemouthH2–2DYes
2026-09-14LeedsA1–4LYes
2026-09-19Hull CityH2–1WYes
2026-10-12CoventryA1–4LYes
2026-10-17Aston VillaH0–1LNo
Full club analysis →
Genk Clean sheets 3 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores47
Scores Genk 3 Clean sheets Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Clean sheet

Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-10 UTC. Belgian Pro League 2026-2027: 1.51 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 47/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
12.8
Recency
73.2
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Genk’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-09Zulte WaregemA1–2LNo
2026-08-15KVC WesterloH3–2WNo
2026-08-22AntwerpA4–4DNo
2026-08-28SK BeverenH4–0WYes
2026-09-06AnderlechtA0–0DYes
2026-09-13GentH1–1DNo
2026-09-20Club Brugge KVA0–3LNo
2026-10-10KortrijkH3–0WYes
Full club analysis →
Sporting CP Points above expected +2.7 10/10 covered matches · current leagues Forecast49
Forecast Sporting CP +2.7 Points above expected 10/10 covered matches · current leagues Points24.0xPts21.3

Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 10/10 current-league matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-13 UTC. Points 24; xPts 21.3. Saved pre: 1; reconstructed: 9. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 49/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
27.0
Recency
80.9
Context
40.0
Quality
55.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

10/10 covered matches · current leagues

Points
24.0
xPts
21.3

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 1; reconstructed: 9.

Full club analysis →
Antwerp Points below expected −2.3 8/8 covered matches · current leagues Forecast44
Forecast Antwerp −2.3 Points below expected 8/8 covered matches · current leagues Points7.0xPts9.3

The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 8/8 current-league matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Points 7; xPts 9.3. Saved pre: 0; reconstructed: 8. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 44/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
26.5
Recency
75.7
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

8/8 covered matches · current leagues

Points
7.0
xPts
9.3

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 0; reconstructed: 8.

Full club analysis →
Charleroi Goals scored per match 2.0 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores49
Scores Charleroi 2.0 Goals scored per match Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Belgian Pro League 2026-2027: 1.51 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 49/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
16.3
Recency
75.7
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Charleroi’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-09OH LeuvenH3–1W
2026-08-16Lommel UnitedA1–0W
2026-08-22KV MechelenH2–0W
2026-08-29KortrijkA3–1W
2026-09-05Union St. GilloiseH2–3L
2026-09-13Zulte WaregemA1–0W
2026-09-19Cercle BruggeH3–2W
2026-10-11Standard LiegeA1–0W
Full club analysis →
Gazişehir Gaziantep xG difference per match −0.56 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG29
Observed xG Gazişehir Gaziantep −0.56 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for0.99xG against1.55

Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 0.99; xG against 1.55. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 29/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
37.3
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
0.99
xG against
1.55

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Goztepe Goals conceded per match 2.0 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores54
Scores Goztepe 2.0 Goals conceded per match Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-17 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Süper Lig 2026-2027: 1.44 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 54/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
18.1
Recency
95.6
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Goztepe’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-17SamsunsporA3–3D
2026-08-23GenclerbirligiH0–1L
2026-08-29GalatasarayA2–3L
2026-09-07Gazişehir GaziantepH2–4L
2026-09-12AlanyasporA2–2D
2026-09-20RizesporH2–2D
2026-10-12EyüpsporA4–0W
2026-10-18KocaelisporA2–1W
Full club analysis →
Lyon Scoring in a row 5 Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Streak69
Streak Lyon 5 Scoring in a row Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Scoring in a row

The club has scored in consecutive recorded matches, starting with the latest result. One goal is enough to extend the run.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-18 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.

Insight Score 69/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
50.0
Recency
95.6
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Lyon’s perspective. Event: Scoring in a row.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-22ToulouseA2–0WYes
2026-08-26FenerbahceH1–2LYes
2026-08-29LE HavreH1–1DYes
2026-09-04AuxerreH3–1WYes
2026-09-12Paris FCA0–0DNo
2026-09-16AnderlechtA2–1WYes
2026-09-19RennesH4–0WYes
2026-10-09LensA1–2LYes
2026-10-15Crystal PalaceH3–2WYes
2026-10-18NiceH2–1WYes

Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.

Full club analysis →
Omonia Nicosia xG difference per match +0.50 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG28
Observed xG Omonia Nicosia +0.50 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for1.43xG against0.93

Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.43; xG against 0.93. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 28/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
33.3
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
1.43
xG against
0.93

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Chelsea Both teams scored 71% Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Scores56
Scores Chelsea 71% Both teams scored Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Both teams scored

Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-24 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Premier League 2026-2027: 1.45 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 56/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
32.5
Recency
92.4
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Chelsea’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-24FulhamA3–2WYes
2026-08-30BrightonH4–3WYes
2026-09-06ArsenalA1–2LYes
2026-09-12Hull CityH2–2DYes
2026-09-18BrentfordA0–3LNo
2026-10-10BournemouthH5–1WYes
2026-10-17EvertonA2–0WNo
Full club analysis →
Istanbul Basaksehir Clean sheets 3 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores52
Scores Istanbul Basaksehir 3 Clean sheets Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Clean sheet

Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-16 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Süper Lig 2026-2027: 1.44 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 52/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
12.8
Recency
95.6
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Istanbul Basaksehir’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-16KocaelisporH2–0WYes
2026-08-23TrabzonsporA1–2LNo
2026-08-30KasimpasaH1–1DNo
2026-09-04GalatasarayH2–3LNo
2026-09-13AmedA0–5LNo
2026-09-19GenclerbirligiH4–0WYes
2026-10-11KonyasporA0–0DYes
2026-10-18Gazişehir GaziantepH2–1WNo
Full club analysis →
Werder Bremen Points above expected +2.7 6/6 covered matches · current leagues Forecast52
Forecast Werder Bremen +2.7 Points above expected 6/6 covered matches · current leagues Points9.0xPts6.3

Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 6/6 current-league matches · 2026-08-30 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Points 9; xPts 6.3. Saved pre: 2; reconstructed: 4. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 52/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
36.8
Recency
92.4
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

6/6 covered matches · current leagues

Points
9.0
xPts
6.3

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 2; reconstructed: 4.

Full club analysis →
OH Leuven Points below expected −2.3 8/8 covered matches · current leagues Forecast44
Forecast OH Leuven −2.3 Points below expected 8/8 covered matches · current leagues Points5.0xPts7.3

The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 8/8 current-league matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Points 5; xPts 7.3. Saved pre: 0; reconstructed: 8. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 44/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
26.5
Recency
75.7
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

8/8 covered matches · current leagues

Points
5.0
xPts
7.3

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 0; reconstructed: 8.

Full club analysis →
Lazio Goals scored per match 2.0 Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Scores53
Scores Lazio 2.0 Goals scored per match Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-24 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Serie A 2026-2027: 1.48 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 53/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
19.7
Recency
95.6
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Lazio’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-24BolognaA1–0W
2026-08-30GenoaH1–0W
2026-09-07UdineseA2–1W
2026-09-12AC MilanH2–2D
2026-09-19VeneziaA2–0W
2026-10-11MonzaH3–1W
2026-10-18JuventusA3–0W
Full club analysis →
Genclerbirligi xG difference per match −0.55 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG29
Observed xG Genclerbirligi −0.55 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for1.13xG against1.68

Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.13; xG against 1.68. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 29/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
36.7
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
1.13
xG against
1.68

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Cercle Brugge Goals conceded per match 2.0 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores48
Scores Cercle Brugge 2.0 Goals conceded per match Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-10 UTC. Belgian Pro League 2026-2027: 1.51 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 48/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
16.3
Recency
73.2
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Cercle Brugge’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-08Standard LiegeA2–2D
2026-08-14St. TruidenH3–3D
2026-08-23Club Brugge KVA0–1L
2026-08-29Lommel UnitedH0–1L
2026-09-06GentH0–3L
2026-09-12OH LeuvenA1–1D
2026-09-19CharleroiA2–3L
2026-10-10AnderlechtH1–2L
Full club analysis →
Real Sociedad Scoring in a row 5 Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Streak69
Streak Real Sociedad 5 Scoring in a row Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Scoring in a row

The club has scored in consecutive recorded matches, starting with the latest result. One goal is enough to extend the run.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-26 → 2026-10-18 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.

Insight Score 69/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
50.0
Recency
95.6
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Real Sociedad’s perspective. Event: Scoring in a row.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-26Real MadridA1–4LYes
2026-08-29EspanyolH2–1WYes
2026-09-03Celta VigoH0–0DNo
2026-09-07ElcheA3–2WYes
2026-09-13Atletico MadridH0–3LNo
2026-09-17BournemouthH1–2LYes
2026-09-20ValenciaA3–2WYes
2026-10-11Deportivo La CorunaH3–2WYes
2026-10-15Union St. GilloiseA1–1DYes
2026-10-18MalagaA5–2WYes

Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.

Full club analysis →
Como xG difference per match +0.47 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG27
Observed xG Como +0.47 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for1.88xG against1.41

Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.88; xG against 1.41. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 27/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
31.3
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
1.88
xG against
1.41

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Brentford Both teams scored 71% Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Scores56
Scores Brentford 71% Both teams scored Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Both teams scored

Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Premier League 2026-2027: 1.45 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 56/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
32.5
Recency
92.4
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Brentford’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-22TottenhamH3–0WNo
2026-08-30LeedsA1–1DYes
2026-09-05SunderlandH1–1DYes
2026-09-12BournemouthA2–2DYes
2026-09-18ChelseaH3–0WNo
2026-10-10Aston VillaA2–2DYes
2026-10-17LiverpoolH1–2LYes
Full club analysis →
Konyaspor Clean sheets 3 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores52
Scores Konyaspor 3 Clean sheets Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Clean sheet

Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Süper Lig 2026-2027: 1.44 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 52/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
12.8
Recency
92.4
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Konyaspor’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-15RizesporH0–1LNo
2026-08-22FenerbahceA2–4LNo
2026-08-29KocaelisporH1–2LNo
2026-09-05Erzurumspor FKA0–1LNo
2026-09-12TrabzonsporH1–0WYes
2026-09-18KasimpasaA0–0DYes
2026-10-11Istanbul BasaksehirH0–0DYes
2026-10-17AmedA0–1LNo
Full club analysis →
AZ Alkmaar Points above expected +2.4 11/11 covered matches · current leagues Forecast51
Forecast AZ Alkmaar +2.4 Points above expected 11/11 covered matches · current leagues Points23.0xPts20.6

Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 11/11 current-league matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Points 23; xPts 20.6. Saved pre: 2; reconstructed: 9. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 51/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
21.8
Recency
95.6
Context
40.0
Quality
59.1

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

11/11 covered matches · current leagues

Points
23.0
xPts
20.6

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 2; reconstructed: 9.

Full club analysis →
Levante Points below expected −2.2 8/8 covered matches · current leagues Forecast49
Forecast Levante −2.2 Points below expected 8/8 covered matches · current leagues Points7.0xPts9.2

The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 8/8 current-league matches · 2026-08-16 → 2026-10-16 UTC. Points 7; xPts 9.2. Saved pre: 2; reconstructed: 6. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 49/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
25.4
Recency
89.4
Context
40.0
Quality
50.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

8/8 covered matches · current leagues

Points
7.0
xPts
9.2

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 2; reconstructed: 6.

Full club analysis →
Werder Bremen Goals scored per match 2.0 Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions Scores45
Scores Werder Bremen 2.0 Goals scored per match Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 6 recorded matches · 2026-08-30 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Bundesliga 2026-2027: 1.84 goals per team/match, 54 matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 45/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
4.1
Recency
92.4
Context
40.0
Quality
60.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Werder Bremen’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-30SC FreiburgA1–4L
2026-09-05RB LeipzigH3–1W
2026-09-121.FC KölnA1–1D
2026-09-19FC AugsburgH3–2W
2026-10-09Borussia DortmundA2–2D
2026-10-17SC Paderborn 07H2–2D
Full club analysis →
Groningen xG difference per match −0.53 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG28
Observed xG Groningen −0.53 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for1.62xG against2.15

Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.62; xG against 2.15. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 28/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
35.3
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
1.62
xG against
2.15

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Levante Goals conceded per match 2.0 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores52
Scores Levante 2.0 Goals conceded per match Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-16 → 2026-10-16 UTC. La Liga 2026-2027: 1.53 goals per team/match, 88 matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 52/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
15.3
Recency
89.4
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Levante’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-16EspanyolA0–3L
2026-08-24OsasunaA0–0D
2026-08-29Real BetisH5–2W
2026-09-06MalagaA0–0D
2026-09-13BarcelonaH2–4L
2026-09-20VillarrealA1–3L
2026-10-12SevillaH3–3D
2026-10-16Deportivo La CorunaA1–1D
Full club analysis →
KVC Westerlo Scoring in a row 5 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Streak59
Streak KVC Westerlo 5 Scoring in a row Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Scoring in a row

The club has scored in consecutive recorded matches, starting with the latest result. One goal is enough to extend the run.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-11 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.

Insight Score 59/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
46.2
Recency
75.7
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from KVC Westerlo’s perspective. Event: Scoring in a row.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-08Union St. GilloiseH1–5LYes
2026-08-15GenkA2–3LYes
2026-08-23Lommel UnitedA0–4LNo
2026-08-30Zulte WaregemH2–2DYes
2026-09-05KV MechelenA4–0WYes
2026-09-12Standard LiegeH4–2WYes
2026-09-20St. TruidenA2–0WYes
2026-10-11AntwerpH5–1WYes

Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.

Full club analysis →
Union St. Gilloise xG difference per match +0.44 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG26
Observed xG Union St. Gilloise +0.44 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for1.40xG against0.96

Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.4; xG against 0.96. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 26/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
29.3
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
1.40
xG against
0.96

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Ipswich Both teams scored 71% Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Scores56
Scores Ipswich 71% Both teams scored Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Both teams scored

Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Premier League 2026-2027: 1.45 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 56/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
32.5
Recency
92.4
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Ipswich’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-22SunderlandH2–1WYes
2026-08-30Manchester UnitedA2–5LYes
2026-09-04LiverpoolH0–2LNo
2026-09-12Crystal PalaceA3–2WYes
2026-09-19EvertonA0–1LNo
2026-10-10FulhamH2–1WYes
2026-10-17Manchester CityA2–3LYes
Full club analysis →
Alanyaspor Clean sheets 3 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores52
Scores Alanyaspor 3 Clean sheets Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Clean sheet

Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Süper Lig 2026-2027: 1.44 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 52/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
12.8
Recency
92.4
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Alanyaspor’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-15Gazişehir GaziantepA1–1DNo
2026-08-23BesiktasH1–0WYes
2026-08-30EyüpsporA1–2LNo
2026-09-07RizesporA1–0WYes
2026-09-12GoztepeH2–2DNo
2026-09-19Çorum FKA2–1WNo
2026-10-10Erzurumspor FKH0–0DYes
2026-10-17FenerbahceA0–3LNo
Full club analysis →
Rennes Points above expected +2.3 9/9 covered matches · current leagues Forecast53
Forecast Rennes +2.3 Points above expected 9/9 covered matches · current leagues Points17.0xPts14.7

Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 9/9 current-league matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Points 17; xPts 14.7. Saved pre: 3; reconstructed: 6. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 53/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
24.6
Recency
95.6
Context
40.0
Quality
60.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

9/9 covered matches · current leagues

Points
17.0
xPts
14.7

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 3; reconstructed: 6.

Full club analysis →
Newcastle Points below expected −2.1 7/7 covered matches · current leagues Forecast49
Forecast Newcastle −2.1 Points below expected 7/7 covered matches · current leagues Points8.0xPts10.1

The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 7/7 current-league matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Points 8; xPts 10.1. Saved pre: 2; reconstructed: 5. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 49/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
26.3
Recency
92.4
Context
40.0
Quality
45.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

7/7 covered matches · current leagues

Points
8.0
xPts
10.1

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 2; reconstructed: 5.

Full club analysis →
SV Elversberg Goals scored per match 2.0 Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions Scores45
Scores SV Elversberg 2.0 Goals scored per match Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 6 recorded matches · 2026-08-29 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Bundesliga 2026-2027: 1.84 goals per team/match, 54 matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 45/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
4.1
Recency
92.4
Context
40.0
Quality
60.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from SV Elversberg’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-29Bayer LeverkusenH3–2W
2026-09-05Borussia MönchengladbachA4–3W
2026-09-13Bayern MünchenH1–2L
2026-09-20FC Schalke 04A0–0D
2026-10-10Union BerlinA0–1L
2026-10-17FC AugsburgH4–3W
Full club analysis →
Rayo Vallecano xG difference per match −0.53 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG28
Observed xG Rayo Vallecano −0.53 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for1.23xG against1.76

Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.23; xG against 1.76. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 28/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
35.3
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
1.23
xG against
1.76

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Genclerbirligi Goals conceded per match 2.0 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores53
Scores Genclerbirligi 2.0 Goals conceded per match Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Süper Lig 2026-2027: 1.44 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 53/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
18.1
Recency
92.4
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Genclerbirligi’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-15FenerbahceH2–1W
2026-08-23GoztepeA1–0W
2026-08-28Erzurumspor FKH1–1D
2026-09-06TrabzonsporA0–5L
2026-09-13KasimpasaH1–2L
2026-09-19Istanbul BasaksehirA0–4L
2026-10-10AmedH2–2D
2026-10-17GalatasarayH0–1L
Full club analysis →
Fiorentina Scoring in a row 5 Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Streak61
Streak Fiorentina 5 Scoring in a row Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Scoring in a row

The club has scored in consecutive recorded matches, starting with the latest result. One goal is enough to extend the run.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-24 → 2026-10-18 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.

Insight Score 61/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
43.8
Recency
95.6
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Fiorentina’s perspective. Event: Scoring in a row.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-24AS RomaA0–4LNo
2026-08-29FrosinoneH0–3LNo
2026-09-05TorinoH1–2LYes
2026-09-11VeneziaA4–2WYes
2026-09-20NapoliH1–1DYes
2026-10-10GenoaA1–2LYes
2026-10-18ComoH1–3LYes

Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.

Full club analysis →
Santa Clara xG difference per match +0.43 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG26
Observed xG Santa Clara +0.43 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for1.18xG against0.75

Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.18; xG against 0.75. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 26/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
28.7
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
1.18
xG against
0.75

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Udinese Both teams scored 71% Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Scores55
Scores Udinese 71% Both teams scored Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Both teams scored

Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Serie A 2026-2027: 1.48 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 55/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
25.0
Recency
95.6
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Udinese’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-22ComoH1–1DYes
2026-08-29MonzaA3–2WYes
2026-09-07LazioH1–2LYes
2026-09-14InterA3–5LYes
2026-09-19CagliariH0–1LNo
2026-10-12TorinoA1–2LYes
2026-10-18LecceH0–3LNo
Full club analysis →
Lech Poznan Clean sheets 3 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores48
Scores Lech Poznan 3 Clean sheets Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Clean sheet

Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-07-21 → 2026-10-15 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 48/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
20.5
Recency
86.5
Context
40.0
Quality
57.6

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Lech Poznan’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-07-21AarhusA4–1WNo
2026-07-29AarhusH0–3LNo
2026-08-06KI KlaksvikH1–0WYes
2026-08-14KI KlaksvikA5–0WYes
2026-08-20FC ThunH7–0WYes
2026-08-27FC ThunA2–2DNo
2026-09-17Crystal PalaceA0–4LNo
2026-10-15Bayer LeverkusenH0–4LNo
Full club analysis →
Benfica Points above expected +2.2 10/10 covered matches · current leagues Forecast48
Forecast Benfica +2.2 Points above expected 10/10 covered matches · current leagues Points25.0xPts22.8

Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 10/10 current-league matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Points 25; xPts 22.8. Saved pre: 1; reconstructed: 9. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 48/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
22.0
Recency
86.5
Context
40.0
Quality
55.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

10/10 covered matches · current leagues

Points
25.0
xPts
22.8

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 1; reconstructed: 9.

Full club analysis →
Elche Points below expected −2.0 9/9 covered matches · current leagues Forecast50
Forecast Elche −2.0 Points below expected 9/9 covered matches · current leagues Points7.0xPts9.0

The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 9/9 current-league matches · 2026-08-17 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Points 7; xPts 9. Saved pre: 2; reconstructed: 7. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 50/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
21.4
Recency
92.4
Context
40.0
Quality
55.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

9/9 covered matches · current leagues

Points
7.0
xPts
9.0

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 2; reconstructed: 7.

Full club analysis →
Lyon Goals scored per match 1.9 Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Scores57
Scores Lyon 1.9 Goals scored per match Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Ligue 1 2026-2027: 1.52 goals per team/match, 63 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 57/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
15.3
Recency
95.6
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Lyon’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-22ToulouseA2–0W
2026-08-26FenerbahceH1–2L
2026-08-29LE HavreH1–1D
2026-09-04AuxerreH3–1W
2026-09-12Paris FCA0–0D
2026-09-16AnderlechtA2–1W
2026-09-19RennesH4–0W
2026-10-09LensA1–2L
2026-10-15Crystal PalaceH3–2W
2026-10-18NiceH2–1W
Full club analysis →
SC Paderborn 07 xG difference per match −0.53 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG28
Observed xG SC Paderborn 07 −0.53 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for1.16xG against1.69

Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.16; xG against 1.69. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 28/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
35.3
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
1.16
xG against
1.69

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Newcastle Goals conceded per match 2.0 Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Scores52
Scores Newcastle 2.0 Goals conceded per match Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Premier League 2026-2027: 1.45 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 52/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
18.8
Recency
92.4
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Newcastle’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-23LiverpoolH2–2D
2026-08-29TottenhamA2–0W
2026-09-05BournemouthH2–2D
2026-09-14LeedsA1–4L
2026-09-19Hull CityH2–1W
2026-10-12CoventryA1–4L
2026-10-17Aston VillaH0–1L
Full club analysis →
FSV Mainz 05 Scoring in a row 5 Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions Streak57
Streak FSV Mainz 05 5 Scoring in a row Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Scoring in a row

The club has scored in consecutive recorded matches, starting with the latest result. One goal is enough to extend the run.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 6 recorded matches · 2026-08-29 → 2026-10-17 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.

Insight Score 57/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
40.9
Recency
92.4
Context
40.0
Quality
60.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from FSV Mainz 05’s perspective. Event: Scoring in a row.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-29SC Paderborn 07H0–0DNo
2026-09-06Hamburger SVA5–0WYes
2026-09-12Eintracht FrankfurtH1–3LYes
2026-09-19Borussia MönchengladbachA4–3WYes
2026-10-10Bayer LeverkusenH3–4LYes
2026-10-17FC Schalke 04A1–0WYes

Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.

Full club analysis →
Lask Linz xG difference per match +0.39 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG25
Observed xG Lask Linz +0.39 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for1.72xG against1.33

Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.72; xG against 1.33. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 25/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
26.0
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
1.72
xG against
1.33

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Atalanta Both teams scored 71% Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Scores55
Scores Atalanta 71% Both teams scored Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Both teams scored

Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Serie A 2026-2027: 1.48 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 55/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
25.0
Recency
95.6
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Atalanta’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-23SassuoloH2–1WYes
2026-08-31BolognaH1–0WNo
2026-09-05AS RomaA1–2LYes
2026-09-12CagliariH1–2LYes
2026-09-20JuventusA0–2LNo
2026-10-12VeneziaH3–1WYes
2026-10-18AC MilanA2–3LYes
Full club analysis →
Kocaelispor Clean sheets 3 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores52
Scores Kocaelispor 3 Clean sheets Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Clean sheet

Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-16 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Süper Lig 2026-2027: 1.44 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 52/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
12.8
Recency
95.6
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Kocaelispor’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-16Istanbul BasaksehirA0–2LNo
2026-08-24AmedH2–0WYes
2026-08-29KonyasporA2–1WNo
2026-09-06SamsunsporH1–0WYes
2026-09-13GalatasarayA0–1LNo
2026-09-19Gazişehir GaziantepH2–0WYes
2026-10-11BesiktasA1–2LNo
2026-10-18GoztepeH1–2LNo
Full club analysis →
Çorum FK Points above expected +2.2 8/8 covered matches · current leagues Forecast48
Forecast Çorum FK +2.2 Points above expected 8/8 covered matches · current leagues Points13.0xPts10.8

Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 8/8 current-league matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-16 UTC. Points 13; xPts 10.8. Saved pre: 1; reconstructed: 7. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 48/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
25.4
Recency
89.4
Context
40.0
Quality
45.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

8/8 covered matches · current leagues

Points
13.0
xPts
10.8

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 1; reconstructed: 7.

Full club analysis →
Istanbul Basaksehir Points below expected −1.9 8/8 covered matches · current leagues Forecast49
Forecast Istanbul Basaksehir −1.9 Points below expected 8/8 covered matches · current leagues Points11.0xPts12.9

The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 8/8 current-league matches · 2026-08-16 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Points 11; xPts 12.9. Saved pre: 1; reconstructed: 7. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 49/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
21.9
Recency
95.6
Context
40.0
Quality
45.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

8/8 covered matches · current leagues

Points
11.0
xPts
12.9

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 1; reconstructed: 7.

Full club analysis →
Twente Goals scored per match 1.9 Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Scores52
Scores Twente 1.9 Goals scored per match Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-07-30 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Eredivisie 2026-2027: 1.92 goals per team/match, 81 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 52/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
0.7
Recency
95.6
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Twente’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-07-30Ferencvarosi TCA2–2D
2026-08-09HeerenveenA0–1L
2026-08-16PEC ZwolleH3–1W
2026-08-30CambuurA4–1W
2026-09-06GroningenA2–2D
2026-09-09TelstarH1–0W
2026-09-12ADO Den HaagH2–0W
2026-09-20PSV EindhovenH3–2W
2026-10-10Fortuna SittardA1–1D
2026-10-18UtrechtH1–2L
Full club analysis →
Hamburger SV xG difference per match −0.52 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG28
Observed xG Hamburger SV −0.52 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for1.11xG against1.63

Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.11; xG against 1.63. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 28/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
34.7
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
1.11
xG against
1.63

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Sassuolo Goals conceded per match 2.0 Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Scores51
Scores Sassuolo 2.0 Goals conceded per match Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-16 UTC. Serie A 2026-2027: 1.48 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 51/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
19.7
Recency
89.4
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Sassuolo’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-23AtalantaA1–2L
2026-08-29TorinoH2–1W
2026-09-06BolognaA2–2D
2026-09-13JuventusH3–2W
2026-09-18MonzaA1–2L
2026-10-11AC MilanH1–1D
2026-10-16FrosinoneA2–4L
Full club analysis →
SC Freiburg xG difference per match +0.35 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG24
Observed xG SC Freiburg +0.35 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for1.52xG against1.17

Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.52; xG against 1.17. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 24/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
23.3
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
1.52
xG against
1.17

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Fiorentina Both teams scored 71% Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Scores55
Scores Fiorentina 71% Both teams scored Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Both teams scored

Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-24 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Serie A 2026-2027: 1.48 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 55/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
25.0
Recency
95.6
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Fiorentina’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-24AS RomaA0–4LNo
2026-08-29FrosinoneH0–3LNo
2026-09-05TorinoH1–2LYes
2026-09-11VeneziaA4–2WYes
2026-09-20NapoliH1–1DYes
2026-10-10GenoaA1–2LYes
2026-10-18ComoH1–3LYes
Full club analysis →
Zulte Waregem Clean sheets 3 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores47
Scores Zulte Waregem 3 Clean sheets Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Clean sheet

Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-10 UTC. Belgian Pro League 2026-2027: 1.51 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 47/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
12.8
Recency
73.2
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Zulte Waregem’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-09GenkH2–1WNo
2026-08-15Union St. GilloiseA0–0DYes
2026-08-22SK BeverenH4–0WYes
2026-08-30KVC WesterloA2–2DNo
2026-09-06KortrijkA2–0WYes
2026-09-13CharleroiH0–1LNo
2026-09-19AnderlechtA0–3LNo
2026-10-10GentH0–2LNo
Full club analysis →
Torino Points above expected +1.9 7/7 covered matches · current leagues Forecast50
Forecast Torino +1.9 Points above expected 7/7 covered matches · current leagues Points10.0xPts8.1

Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 7/7 current-league matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Points 10; xPts 8.1. Saved pre: 2; reconstructed: 5. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 50/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
23.8
Recency
98.8
Context
40.0
Quality
45.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

7/7 covered matches · current leagues

Points
10.0
xPts
8.1

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 2; reconstructed: 5.

Full club analysis →
Fenerbahce Points below expected −1.8 10/10 covered matches · current leagues Forecast49
Forecast Fenerbahce −1.8 Points below expected 10/10 covered matches · current leagues Points17.0xPts18.8

The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 10/10 current-league matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Points 17; xPts 18.8. Saved pre: 2; reconstructed: 8. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 49/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
18.0
Recency
92.4
Context
40.0
Quality
60.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

10/10 covered matches · current leagues

Points
17.0
xPts
18.8

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 2; reconstructed: 8.

Full club analysis →
Real Sociedad Goals scored per match 1.9 Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Scores56
Scores Real Sociedad 1.9 Goals scored per match Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-26 → 2026-10-18 UTC. La Liga 2026-2027: 1.53 goals per team/match, 88 matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 56/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
13.0
Recency
95.6
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Real Sociedad’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-26Real MadridA1–4L
2026-08-29EspanyolH2–1W
2026-09-03Celta VigoH0–0D
2026-09-07ElcheA3–2W
2026-09-13Atletico MadridH0–3L
2026-09-17BournemouthH1–2L
2026-09-20ValenciaA3–2W
2026-10-11Deportivo La CorunaH3–2W
2026-10-15Union St. GilloiseA1–1D
2026-10-18MalagaA5–2W
Full club analysis →
Cagliari xG difference per match −0.51 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG28
Observed xG Cagliari −0.51 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for1.31xG against1.82

Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.31; xG against 1.82. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 28/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
34.0
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
1.31
xG against
1.82

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Coventry Goals conceded per match 2.0 Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Scores53
Scores Coventry 2.0 Goals conceded per match Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Premier League 2026-2027: 1.45 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 53/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
18.8
Recency
98.8
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Coventry’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-21ArsenalA0–3L
2026-08-29Hull CityH0–1L
2026-09-05Manchester CityA0–1L
2026-09-13BrightonH0–5L
2026-09-19Nottingham ForestA1–0W
2026-10-12NewcastleH4–1W
2026-10-19TottenhamA1–3L
Full club analysis →
RB Leipzig xG difference per match +0.35 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG24
Observed xG RB Leipzig +0.35 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for1.92xG against1.57

Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.92; xG against 1.57. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 24/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
23.3
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
1.92
xG against
1.57

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Torino Both teams scored 71% Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Scores55
Scores Torino 71% Both teams scored Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Both teams scored

Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Serie A 2026-2027: 1.48 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 55/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
25.0
Recency
98.8
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Torino’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-23AC MilanH1–2LYes
2026-08-29SassuoloA1–2LYes
2026-09-05FiorentinaA2–1WYes
2026-09-14AS RomaH0–2LNo
2026-09-19BolognaA1–1DYes
2026-10-12UdineseH2–1WYes
2026-10-19ParmaA3–0WNo
Full club analysis →
Lommel United Clean sheets 3 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores46
Scores Lommel United 3 Clean sheets Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Clean sheet

Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-09 UTC. Belgian Pro League 2026-2027: 1.51 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 46/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
12.8
Recency
70.8
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Lommel United’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-08St. TruidenA1–1DNo
2026-08-16CharleroiH0–1LNo
2026-08-23KVC WesterloH4–0WYes
2026-08-29Cercle BruggeA1–0WYes
2026-09-04Club Brugge KVH0–1LNo
2026-09-12Union St. GilloiseA0–5LNo
2026-09-19KV MechelenH0–0DYes
2026-10-09SK BeverenA3–1WNo
Full club analysis →
Groningen Points above expected +1.8 9/9 covered matches · current leagues Forecast49
Forecast Groningen +1.8 Points above expected 9/9 covered matches · current leagues Points14.0xPts12.2

Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 9/9 current-league matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Points 14; xPts 12.2. Saved pre: 1; reconstructed: 8. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 49/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
19.3
Recency
95.6
Context
40.0
Quality
50.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

9/9 covered matches · current leagues

Points
14.0
xPts
12.2

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 1; reconstructed: 8.

Full club analysis →
Goztepe Points below expected −1.8 8/8 covered matches · current leagues Forecast48
Forecast Goztepe −1.8 Points below expected 8/8 covered matches · current leagues Points9.0xPts10.8

The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 8/8 current-league matches · 2026-08-17 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Points 9; xPts 10.8. Saved pre: 1; reconstructed: 7. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 48/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
20.8
Recency
95.6
Context
40.0
Quality
45.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

8/8 covered matches · current leagues

Points
9.0
xPts
10.8

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 1; reconstructed: 7.

Full club analysis →
Galatasaray Goals scored per match 1.9 Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Scores57
Scores Galatasaray 1.9 Goals scored per match Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Süper Lig 2026-2027: 1.44 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 57/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
16.1
Recency
92.4
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Galatasaray’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-14Çorum FKH2–2D
2026-08-21Erzurumspor FKA4–0W
2026-08-29GoztepeH3–2W
2026-09-04Istanbul BasaksehirA3–2W
2026-09-09Sporting CPA1–3L
2026-09-13KocaelisporH1–0W
2026-09-19TrabzonsporA0–4L
2026-10-09KasimpasaH3–1W
2026-10-13BarcelonaH1–4L
2026-10-17GenclerbirligiA1–0W
Full club analysis →
Telstar xG difference per match −0.51 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG28
Observed xG Telstar −0.51 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for1.65xG against2.16

Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.65; xG against 2.16. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 28/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
34.0
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
1.65
xG against
2.16

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Werder Bremen Goals conceded per match 2.0 Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions Scores45
Scores Werder Bremen 2.0 Goals conceded per match Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 6 recorded matches · 2026-08-30 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Bundesliga 2026-2027: 1.84 goals per team/match, 54 matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 45/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
4.1
Recency
92.4
Context
40.0
Quality
60.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Werder Bremen’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-30SC FreiburgA1–4L
2026-09-05RB LeipzigH3–1W
2026-09-121.FC KölnA1–1D
2026-09-19FC AugsburgH3–2W
2026-10-09Borussia DortmundA2–2D
2026-10-17SC Paderborn 07H2–2D
Full club analysis →
Gent xG difference per match +0.35 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG24
Observed xG Gent +0.35 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for1.42xG against1.07

Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.42; xG against 1.07. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 24/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
23.3
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
1.42
xG against
1.07

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Leeds Both teams scored 71% Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Scores57
Scores Leeds 71% Both teams scored Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Both teams scored

Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Premier League 2026-2027: 1.45 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 57/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
32.5
Recency
95.6
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Leeds’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-22Nottingham ForestA1–0WNo
2026-08-30BrentfordH1–1DYes
2026-09-05BrightonA1–1DYes
2026-09-14NewcastleH4–1WYes
2026-09-20Crystal PalaceH0–0DNo
2026-10-10ArsenalA1–2LYes
2026-10-18Manchester UnitedH1–1DYes
Full club analysis →
SK Beveren Clean sheets 3 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores46
Scores SK Beveren 3 Clean sheets Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Clean sheet

Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-09 UTC. Belgian Pro League 2026-2027: 1.51 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 46/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
12.8
Recency
70.8
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from SK Beveren’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-09AntwerpA1–2LNo
2026-08-16AnderlechtH1–0WYes
2026-08-22Zulte WaregemA0–4LNo
2026-08-28GenkA0–4LNo
2026-09-06OH LeuvenH3–0WYes
2026-09-12St. TruidenH2–0WYes
2026-09-20KortrijkA0–1LNo
2026-10-09Lommel UnitedH1–3LNo
Full club analysis →
Alverca Points above expected +1.8 8/8 covered matches · current leagues Forecast43
Forecast Alverca +1.8 Points above expected 8/8 covered matches · current leagues Points11.0xPts9.2

Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 8/8 current-league matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-12 UTC. Points 11; xPts 9.2. Saved pre: 0; reconstructed: 8. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 43/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
20.8
Recency
78.2
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

8/8 covered matches · current leagues

Points
11.0
xPts
9.2

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 0; reconstructed: 8.

Full club analysis →
Estac Troyes Points below expected −1.7 7/7 covered matches · current leagues Forecast48
Forecast Estac Troyes −1.7 Points below expected 7/7 covered matches · current leagues Points4.0xPts5.7

The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 7/7 current-league matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Points 4; xPts 5.7. Saved pre: 2; reconstructed: 5. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 48/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
21.3
Recency
92.4
Context
40.0
Quality
45.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

7/7 covered matches · current leagues

Points
4.0
xPts
5.7

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 2; reconstructed: 5.

Full club analysis →
Liverpool Goals scored per match 1.9 Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Scores55
Scores Liverpool 1.9 Goals scored per match Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Premier League 2026-2027: 1.45 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 55/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
16.6
Recency
92.4
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Liverpool’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-23NewcastleA2–2D
2026-08-29Nottingham ForestH2–2D
2026-09-04IpswichA2–0W
2026-09-09Atletico MadridH2–1W
2026-09-12FulhamH0–0D
2026-09-20BournemouthA1–0W
2026-10-11Manchester CityH0–3L
2026-10-14Lask LinzA6–3W
2026-10-17BrentfordA2–1W
Full club analysis →
Kocaelispor xG difference per match −0.51 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG28
Observed xG Kocaelispor −0.51 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for0.76xG against1.27

Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 0.76; xG against 1.27. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 28/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
34.0
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
0.76
xG against
1.27

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
FC Augsburg Goals conceded per match 2.0 Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions Scores45
Scores FC Augsburg 2.0 Goals conceded per match Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 6 recorded matches · 2026-08-30 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Bundesliga 2026-2027: 1.84 goals per team/match, 54 matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 45/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
4.1
Recency
92.4
Context
40.0
Quality
60.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from FC Augsburg’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-30FC Schalke 04H3–0W
2026-09-06Eintracht FrankfurtA4–1W
2026-09-12Bayer LeverkusenH2–2D
2026-09-19Werder BremenA2–3L
2026-10-10Bayern MünchenH2–2D
2026-10-17SV ElversbergA3–4L
Full club analysis →
Sparta Rotterdam xG difference per match +0.34 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG24
Observed xG Sparta Rotterdam +0.34 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for2.05xG against1.71

Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 2.05; xG against 1.71. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 24/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
22.7
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
2.05
xG against
1.71

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Bournemouth Both teams scored 67% Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Scores59
Scores Bournemouth 67% Both teams scored Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Both teams scored

Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Premier League 2026-2027: 1.45 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 59/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
26.6
Recency
95.6
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Bournemouth’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-23Manchester CityA1–2LYes
2026-08-29EvertonH1–1DYes
2026-09-05NewcastleA2–2DYes
2026-09-12BrentfordH2–2DYes
2026-09-17Real SociedadA2–1WYes
2026-09-20LiverpoolH0–1LNo
2026-10-10ChelseaA1–5LYes
2026-10-15Sturm GrazH3–0WNo
2026-10-18SunderlandH2–0WNo
Full club analysis →
Amed Clean sheets 3 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores52
Scores Amed 3 Clean sheets Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Clean sheet

Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-16 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Süper Lig 2026-2027: 1.44 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 52/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
12.8
Recency
92.4
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Amed’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-16Erzurumspor FKH3–0WYes
2026-08-24KocaelisporA0–2LNo
2026-08-31TrabzonsporH2–1WNo
2026-09-06KasimpasaA2–2DNo
2026-09-13Istanbul BasaksehirH5–0WYes
2026-09-20BesiktasH3–2WNo
2026-10-10GenclerbirligiA2–2DNo
2026-10-17KonyasporH1–0WYes
Full club analysis →
Lecce Points above expected +1.7 7/7 covered matches · current leagues Forecast48
Forecast Lecce +1.7 Points above expected 7/7 covered matches · current leagues Points9.0xPts7.3

Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 7/7 current-league matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Points 9; xPts 7.3. Saved pre: 2; reconstructed: 5. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 48/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
21.3
Recency
95.6
Context
40.0
Quality
45.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

7/7 covered matches · current leagues

Points
9.0
xPts
7.3

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 2; reconstructed: 5.

Full club analysis →
PEC Zwolle Points below expected −1.6 9/9 covered matches · current leagues Forecast48
Forecast PEC Zwolle −1.6 Points below expected 9/9 covered matches · current leagues Points7.0xPts8.6

The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 9/9 current-league matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Points 7; xPts 8.6. Saved pre: 1; reconstructed: 8. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 48/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
17.1
Recency
95.6
Context
40.0
Quality
50.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

9/9 covered matches · current leagues

Points
7.0
xPts
8.6

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 1; reconstructed: 8.

Full club analysis →
Rennes Goals scored per match 1.9 Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Scores55
Scores Rennes 1.9 Goals scored per match Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Ligue 1 2026-2027: 1.52 goals per team/match, 63 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 55/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
14.4
Recency
95.6
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Rennes’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-23Paris Saint GermainH2–2D
2026-08-30Le MansH3–2W
2026-09-06AngersA2–1W
2026-09-11MarseilleH1–0W
2026-09-16Sturm GrazA0–0D
2026-09-19LyonA0–4L
2026-10-11AuxerreH4–1W
2026-10-15OFIH2–1W
2026-10-18Paris FCA3–4L
Full club analysis →
Werder Bremen xG difference per match −0.50 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG28
Observed xG Werder Bremen −0.50 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for1.31xG against1.81

Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.31; xG against 1.81. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 28/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
33.3
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
1.31
xG against
1.81

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Real Sociedad Goals conceded per match 1.9 Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Scores56
Scores Real Sociedad 1.9 Goals conceded per match Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-26 → 2026-10-18 UTC. La Liga 2026-2027: 1.53 goals per team/match, 88 matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 56/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
13.0
Recency
95.6
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Real Sociedad’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-26Real MadridA1–4L
2026-08-29EspanyolH2–1W
2026-09-03Celta VigoH0–0D
2026-09-07ElcheA3–2W
2026-09-13Atletico MadridH0–3L
2026-09-17BournemouthH1–2L
2026-09-20ValenciaA3–2W
2026-10-11Deportivo La CorunaH3–2W
2026-10-15Union St. GilloiseA1–1D
2026-10-18MalagaA5–2W
Full club analysis →
Toulouse xG difference per match +0.33 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG24
Observed xG Toulouse +0.33 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for1.39xG against1.06

Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.39; xG against 1.06. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 24/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
22.0
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
1.39
xG against
1.06

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Rennes Both teams scored 67% Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Scores52
Scores Rennes 67% Both teams scored Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Both teams scored

Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Ligue 1 2026-2027: 1.52 goals per team/match, 63 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 52/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
6.1
Recency
95.6
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Rennes’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-23Paris Saint GermainH2–2DYes
2026-08-30Le MansH3–2WYes
2026-09-06AngersA2–1WYes
2026-09-11MarseilleH1–0WNo
2026-09-16Sturm GrazA0–0DNo
2026-09-19LyonA0–4LNo
2026-10-11AuxerreH4–1WYes
2026-10-15OFIH2–1WYes
2026-10-18Paris FCA3–4LYes
Full club analysis →
Liverpool Clean sheets 3 Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Scores53
Scores Liverpool 3 Clean sheets Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Clean sheet

Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Premier League 2026-2027: 1.45 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 53/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
11.9
Recency
92.4
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Liverpool’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-23NewcastleA2–2DNo
2026-08-29Nottingham ForestH2–2DNo
2026-09-04IpswichA2–0WYes
2026-09-09Atletico MadridH2–1WNo
2026-09-12FulhamH0–0DYes
2026-09-20BournemouthA1–0WYes
2026-10-11Manchester CityH0–3LNo
2026-10-14Lask LinzA6–3WNo
2026-10-17BrentfordA2–1WNo
Full club analysis →
Como Points above expected +1.6 9/9 covered matches · current leagues Forecast50
Forecast Como +1.6 Points above expected 9/9 covered matches · current leagues Points17.0xPts15.4

Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 9/9 current-league matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Points 17; xPts 15.4. Saved pre: 3; reconstructed: 6. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 50/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
17.1
Recency
95.6
Context
40.0
Quality
60.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

9/9 covered matches · current leagues

Points
17.0
xPts
15.4

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 3; reconstructed: 6.

Full club analysis →
Sparta Rotterdam Points below expected −1.6 9/9 covered matches · current leagues Forecast47
Forecast Sparta Rotterdam −1.6 Points below expected 9/9 covered matches · current leagues Points9.0xPts10.6

The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 9/9 current-league matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Points 9; xPts 10.6. Saved pre: 1; reconstructed: 8. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 47/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
17.1
Recency
92.4
Context
40.0
Quality
50.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

9/9 covered matches · current leagues

Points
9.0
xPts
10.6

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 1; reconstructed: 8.

Full club analysis →
Lens Goals scored per match 1.9 Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Scores54
Scores Lens 1.9 Goals scored per match Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Ligue 1 2026-2027: 1.52 goals per team/match, 63 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 54/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
14.4
Recency
92.4
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Lens’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-22AuxerreH5–2W
2026-08-29StrasbourgA1–2L
2026-09-05LorientH0–1L
2026-09-10Slavia PrahaA3–2W
2026-09-13Le MansA2–2D
2026-09-18MonacoA1–2L
2026-10-09LyonH2–1W
2026-10-13Sporting CPH0–2L
2026-10-17Estac TroyesA3–1W
Full club analysis →
Lecce xG difference per match −0.49 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG27
Observed xG Lecce −0.49 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for1.32xG against1.81

Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.32; xG against 1.81. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 27/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
32.7
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
1.32
xG against
1.81

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Fortuna Sittard Goals conceded per match 1.9 Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Scores50
Scores Fortuna Sittard 1.9 Goals conceded per match Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Eredivisie 2026-2027: 1.92 goals per team/match, 81 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 50/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
1.1
Recency
95.6
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Fortuna Sittard’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-08PSV EindhovenA2–2D
2026-08-15CambuurH3–1W
2026-08-22AZ AlkmaarH0–2L
2026-08-28GroningenA3–2W
2026-09-06ADO Den HaagA3–2W
2026-09-12AjaxH1–5L
2026-09-19Willem IIA1–0W
2026-10-10TwenteH1–1D
2026-10-18NEC NijmegenA2–2D
Full club analysis →
Athletic Club xG difference per match +0.33 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG24
Observed xG Athletic Club +0.33 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for1.46xG against1.13

Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.46; xG against 1.13. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 24/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
22.0
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
1.46
xG against
1.13

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
About these insights
A little context goes a long way

Read the signal. Keep the context.

Insights describe what is recorded. Use club and match analysis to explore what comes next.

Insight Score · experimental editorial interest. This version uses 0.35D + 0.25R + 0.20C + 0.20Q. D measures heuristic deviation, R observation recency, C breadth of evidence families and Q data quality. These starting weights are uncalibrated. It is neither team strength, win probability, statistical significance nor forecast confidence. Related result signals share one family; different sources are not automatically statistically independent. Unknown dates receive zero recency; unknown xG coverage limits its quality component. League averages are context references, not opponent-adjusted estimates.

01

Check the window

Result signals use the last 10 recorded matches; away signals use the last 8 away matches. At least 5 are required. Missing and special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound.

02

Read the chart

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored or conceded, capped at 6; zero keeps a marker. Teal / amber / red means win / draw / loss. Faded bars mean the event did not happen. Open the evidence for full scores.

03

Separate the sources

xG uses observed Playing style averages before the next or latest league fixture; coverage can differ between inputs. xPts comes from stored LOAD90 forecasts on identical covered games, including labelled historical reconstructions.

Types alternate for variety. Values are ordered within their own metric, without a combined ranking. These descriptive signals do not change the LOAD90 forecast.

Explore methodology →