Burnley
L90 Strength L90 Strength is LOAD90’s own club strength rating on a fixed 0–100 scale, built from its Elo rating. League Strength uses the mean Elo of a league's clubs and a separate league calibration, so the two scores are not directly comparable.

-8.8 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down. 34.4-8.8
World Rank 170th Global, by Elo
League Rank — L90 Strength
Last WolvesH xG 1.0–2.1 1–1

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Burnley · All competitions

Forecast

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xPts = 3 × win probability + draw probability. — means no published forecast. Open a match for xG and the full forecast.

Results

Burnley · All competitions

Full time
WolvesPremier League 2025-2026 · Home D 1–1 1.0–2.1 xG -0.6 Δpts ArsenalPremier League 2025-2026 · Away L 0–1 0.2–1.3 xG -0.3 Δpts Aston VillaPremier League 2025-2026 · Home D 2–2 1.8–1.4 xG +0.1 Δpts LeedsPremier League 2025-2026 · Away L 1–3 0.6–1.6 xG -0.5 Δpts Manchester CityPremier League 2025-2026 · Home L 0–1 0.6–3.4 xG -0.5 Δpts Nottingham ForestPremier League 2025-2026 · Away L 1–4 0.4–1.2 xG -0.6 Δpts BrightonPremier League 2025-2026 · Home L 0–2 0.9–1.9 xG -0.9 Δpts FulhamPremier League 2025-2026 · Away L 1–3 1.2–3.2 xG -0.7 Δpts BournemouthPremier League 2025-2026 · Home D 0–0 1.4–2.6 xG -0.1 Δpts EvertonPremier League 2025-2026 · Away L 0–2 0.8–1.3 xG -0.7 Δpts BrentfordPremier League 2025-2026 · Home L 3–4 1.0–2.3 xG -1.2 Δpts ChelseaPremier League 2025-2026 · Away D 1–1 0.9–2.0 xG +0.6 Δpts Crystal PalacePremier League 2025-2026 · Away W 3–2 0.5–1.8 xG +2.3 Δpts West HamPremier League 2025-2026 · Home L 0–2 1.3–1.0 xG -1.4 Δpts SunderlandPremier League 2025-2026 · Away L 0–3 0.1–1.2 xG -1.2 Δpts TottenhamPremier League 2025-2026 · Home D 2–2 1.4–2.1 xG -0.3 Δpts LiverpoolPremier League 2025-2026 · Away D 1–1 0.4–3.2 xG +0.5 Δpts Manchester UnitedPremier League 2025-2026 · Home D 2–2 0.2–2.6 xG -0.1 Δpts BrightonPremier League 2025-2026 · Away L 0–2 0.3–1.5 xG -0.7 Δpts NewcastlePremier League 2025-2026 · Home L 1–3 1.1–2.3 xG -1.1 Δpts EvertonPremier League 2025-2026 · Home D 0–0 1.4–0.8 xG -0.3 Δpts BournemouthPremier League 2025-2026 · Away D 1–1 0.4–1.4 xG +0.1 Δpts FulhamPremier League 2025-2026 · Home L 2–3 2.5–2.2 xG -1.4 Δpts NewcastlePremier League 2025-2026 · Away L 1–2 1.6–1.8 xG -0.7 Δpts Crystal PalacePremier League 2025-2026 · Home L 0–1 1.0–0.6 xG -1.2 Δpts BrentfordPremier League 2025-2026 · Away L 1–3 1.0–3.1 xG -0.9 Δpts ChelseaPremier League 2025-2026 · Home L 0–2 0.4–1.7 xG -1.1 Δpts West HamPremier League 2025-2026 · Away L 2–3 1.1–3.0 xG -1.3 Δpts ArsenalPremier League 2025-2026 · Home L 0–2 0.4–2.4 xG -0.7 Δpts WolvesPremier League 2025-2026 · Away W 3–2 1.4–2.3 xG +1.6 Δpts LeedsPremier League 2025-2026 · Home W 2–0 0.5–2.6 xG +1.5 Δpts Aston VillaPremier League 2025-2026 · Away L 1–2 0.4–1.2 xG -0.9 Δpts Manchester CityPremier League 2025-2026 · Away L 1–5 0.4–2.0 xG -0.6 Δpts Nottingham ForestPremier League 2025-2026 · Home D 1–1 0.9–1.1 xG -0.5 Δpts LiverpoolPremier League 2025-2026 · Home L 0–1 0.1–2.7 xG -0.7 Δpts Manchester UnitedPremier League 2025-2026 · Away L 2–3 1.2–3.6 xG -1.0 Δpts SunderlandPremier League 2025-2026 · Home W 2–0 1.0–0.8 xG +0.9 Δpts TottenhamPremier League 2025-2026 · Away L 0–3 0.9–2.3 xG -1.2 Δpts

Score and actual xG show Burnley first. Δpts = points taken − pre-match xPts. — means data unavailable.

Current load

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Schedule difficulty all competitions

Each bar is one match: 50% match difficulty from current relative Elo strength + 50% calendar load (rest, match congestion and travel). Higher means harder, on a 0–100 scale. This is a descriptive index, not a win probability. Lighter bars are upcoming; the dashed line marks today. Grey marks missing data. 16 Aug at Tottenham: Schedule difficulty 37/100; match difficulty 73/100
L
 Aug 23 Aug vs Sunderland: Schedule difficulty 35/100; match difficulty 69/100
W
 30 Aug at Manchester United: Schedule difficulty 43/100; match difficulty 85/100
L
 14 Sep vs Liverpool: Schedule difficulty 44/100; match difficulty 88/100
L
 Sep 20 Sep vs Nottingham Forest: Schedule difficulty 40/100; match difficulty 79/100
D
 27 Sep at Manchester City: Schedule difficulty 47/100; match difficulty 93/100
L
 5 Oct at Aston Villa: Schedule difficulty 44/100; match difficulty 88/100
L
 Oct 18 Oct vs Leeds: Schedule difficulty 41/100; match difficulty 81/100
W
 26 Oct at Wolves: Schedule difficulty 29/100; match difficulty 58/100
W
 1 Nov vs Arsenal: Schedule difficulty 48/100; match difficulty 95/100
L
 Nov 8 Nov at West Ham: Schedule difficulty 37/100; match difficulty 74/100
L
 22 Nov vs Chelsea: Schedule difficulty 42/100; match difficulty 83/100
L
 29 Nov at Brentford: Schedule difficulty 41/100; match difficulty 82/100
L
 3 Dec vs Crystal Palace: Schedule difficulty 37/100; match difficulty 74/100
L
 Dec 6 Dec at Newcastle: Schedule difficulty 44/100; match difficulty 79/100
L
 13 Dec vs Fulham: Schedule difficulty 38/100; match difficulty 75/100
L
 20 Dec at Bournemouth: Schedule difficulty 45/100; match difficulty 83/100
D
 27 Dec vs Everton: Schedule difficulty 38/100; match difficulty 76/100
D
 30 Dec vs Newcastle: Schedule difficulty 44/100; match difficulty 79/100
L
 3 Jan at Brighton: Schedule difficulty 54/100; match difficulty 87/100
L
 Jan 7 Jan vs Manchester United: Schedule difficulty 50/100; match difficulty 85/100
D
 17 Jan at Liverpool: Schedule difficulty 44/100; match difficulty 88/100
D
 24 Jan vs Tottenham: Schedule difficulty 37/100; match difficulty 73/100
D
 2 Feb at Sunderland: Schedule difficulty 35/100; match difficulty 69/100
L
 Feb 7 Feb vs West Ham: Schedule difficulty 37/100; match difficulty 74/100
L
 11 Feb at Crystal Palace: Schedule difficulty 37/100; match difficulty 74/100
W
 21 Feb at Chelsea: Schedule difficulty 42/100; match difficulty 83/100
D
 28 Feb vs Brentford: Schedule difficulty 41/100; match difficulty 82/100
L
 3 Mar at Everton: Schedule difficulty 42/100; match difficulty 76/100
L
 Mar 14 Mar vs Bournemouth: Schedule difficulty 42/100; match difficulty 83/100
D
 21 Mar at Fulham: Schedule difficulty 38/100; match difficulty 75/100
L
 11 Apr vs Brighton: Schedule difficulty 44/100; match difficulty 87/100
L
 Apr 19 Apr at Nottingham Forest: Schedule difficulty 40/100; match difficulty 79/100
L
 22 Apr vs Manchester City: Schedule difficulty 51/100; match difficulty 93/100
L
 1 May at Leeds: Schedule difficulty 41/100; match difficulty 81/100
L
 May 10 May vs Aston Villa: Schedule difficulty 44/100; match difficulty 88/100
D
 18 May at Arsenal: Schedule difficulty 48/100; match difficulty 95/100
L
 24 May vs Wolves: Schedule difficulty 29/100; match difficulty 58/100
D

Schedule next 30 days · forecast and load

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Win · draw · loss: LOAD90 forecastLoad bar: rest, matches and travel before each game (context; only 4+ matches in 14 days changes the forecast)

Fixture Swing

Opponent opportunity across the next 3 matches · all competitions

0 of 3 forecasts available · Partial window

No upcoming fixtures.

Swing compares total forecast goals with total baseline goals for the included matches. Forecasts are available up to 21 days ahead. Missing snapshots and different model revisions are excluded; a partial window covers only the matches shown with values. Your team's own conditions are kept in each baseline.