Insights.
Go beyond the result. Follow the patterns. See the evidence.
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Explore competitions →Stories behind the signals
All tracked leagues · 794 signals · 190 clubs in this view
BarcelonaWinning, and exceeding expectationsInsight Score84/100
A winning run and points above forecast expectations stand out together. Separate the recorded results from the chance balance; the points comparison covers a different set of league matches.
- Wins in a rowLast 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-27 → 2026-10-17 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions - 10+
- Points minus expected11/11 current-league matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-17 UTC
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games - +6.3
- Goals scored / matchLast 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-27 → 2026-10-17 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions - 4.3
- Observed xG difference / match10-match profile · exact dates unavailable
Observed match xG · available averages - +2.60
Sources, limitations & score
- Deviation
- 100.0
- Recency
- 61.9
- Context
- 100.0
- Quality
- 67.9
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
- Wins in a row — A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
- Points minus expected — Points 33; xPts 26.7. Saved pre: 3; reconstructed: 8. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Goals scored / match — La Liga 2026-2027: 1.53 goals per team/match, 88 matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Observed xG difference / match — Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 3.55; xG against 0.95. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
LazioPoints ahead. Chance balance tells another story.Insight Score81/100
Points exceed the stored forecasts, while the observed xG profile has no positive balance. Results and chances tell different stories; this does not establish that a reversal is due.
- Points minus expected7/7 current-league matches · 2026-08-24 → 2026-10-18 UTC
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games - +8.2
- Observed xG difference / match10-match profile · exact dates unavailable
Observed match xG · available averages - −0.15
- Wins in a rowLast 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-24 → 2026-10-18 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions - 3
Sources, limitations & score
- Deviation
- 100.0
- Recency
- 64.0
- Context
- 100.0
- Quality
- 51.7
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
- Points minus expected — Points 19; xPts 10.8. Saved pre: 2; reconstructed: 5. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Observed xG difference / match — Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.15; xG against 1.3. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Wins in a row — A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
PSV EindhovenChance balance ahead of the points returnInsight Score76/100
A positive observed xG balance sits alongside points below stored forecast expectations. These are different windows: inspect finishing, conceding and individual matches before assigning a cause.
- Points minus expected11/11 current-league matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-17 UTC
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games - −3.9
- Observed xG difference / match10-match profile · exact dates unavailable
Observed match xG · available averages - +1.16
- Goals scored / matchLast 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-17 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions - 2.6
Sources, limitations & score
- Deviation
- 77.3
- Recency
- 61.9
- Context
- 100.0
- Quality
- 66.4
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
- Points minus expected — Points 20; xPts 23.9. Saved pre: 2; reconstructed: 9. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Observed xG difference / match — Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 2.27; xG against 1.11. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Goals scored / match — Eredivisie 2026-2027: 1.92 goals per team/match, 81 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
Bayern MünchenGoals accompanied by a positive chance balanceInsight Score75/100
Goals scored exceed the current league reference, alongside a positive observed xG profile. The sources have different windows; both describe past performances rather than the next result.
- Goals scored / matchLast 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-17 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions - 3.8
- Observed xG difference / match10-match profile · exact dates unavailable
Observed match xG · available averages - +2.15
Sources, limitations & score
- Deviation
- 100.0
- Recency
- 46.4
- Context
- 80.0
- Quality
- 60.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
- Goals scored / match — Bundesliga 2026-2027: 1.84 goals per team/match, 54 matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Observed xG difference / match — Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 3.27; xG against 1.12. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
ArsenalDefensive consistency, positive chance balanceInsight Score68/100
Clean sheets and low goals conceded accompany a positive observed xG balance. The xG profile describes overall chance balance; it is not, by itself, proof of strong defending.
- Clean sheetsLast 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions - 6/9
- Goals conceded / matchLast 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions - 0.6
- Observed xG difference / match10-match profile · exact dates unavailable
Observed match xG · available averages - +0.71
Sources, limitations & score
- Deviation
- 76.2
- Recency
- 48.0
- Context
- 80.0
- Quality
- 65.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
- Clean sheets — Premier League 2026-2027: 1.45 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Goals conceded / match — Premier League 2026-2027: 1.45 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Observed xG difference / match — Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.56; xG against 0.85. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
Each signal belongs to one category. Categories sum to All signals; stories combine related evidence across categories.
All signals794 signals · 190 clubs
Select a row to explore the evidence. Scroll to see all columns →
Ajax
Both teams scored
78%
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores54
Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Eredivisie 2026-2027: 1.92 goals per team/match, 81 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 11.9
- Recency
- 96.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 90.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Ajax’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | PEC ZwolleA | 2–0W | No |
| 2026-08-16 | HeerenveenH | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-08-30 | TelstarA | 4–0W | No |
| 2026-09-05 | PSV EindhovenH | 1–3L | Yes |
| 2026-09-12 | Fortuna SittardA | 5–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-15 | Willem IIH | 5–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-19 | ExcelsiorH | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-10-10 | NEC NijmegenH | 1–1D | Yes |
| 2026-10-18 | GroningenA | 5–2W | Yes |
Charleroi
Clean sheets
4
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores56
Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Belgian Pro League 2026-2027: 1.51 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 35.9
- Recency
- 76.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Charleroi’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | OH LeuvenH | 3–1W | No |
| 2026-08-16 | Lommel UnitedA | 1–0W | Yes |
| 2026-08-22 | KV MechelenH | 2–0W | Yes |
| 2026-08-29 | KortrijkA | 3–1W | No |
| 2026-09-05 | Union St. GilloiseH | 2–3L | No |
| 2026-09-13 | Zulte WaregemA | 1–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-19 | Cercle BruggeH | 3–2W | No |
| 2026-10-11 | Standard LiegeA | 1–0W | Yes |
Besiktas
Points above expected
+4.1
10/10 covered matches · current leagues
Forecast59
Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 10/10 current-league matches · 2026-08-16 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Points 21; xPts 16.9. Saved pre: 2; reconstructed: 8. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Deviation
- 41.0
- Recency
- 99.2
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 60.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
10/10 covered matches · current leagues
- Points
- 21.0
- xPts
- 16.9
Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 2; reconstructed: 8.
Full club analysis →
Villarreal
Goals conceded away per match
1.7
Last 6 recorded away matches
Scores43
An away-only conceding average that meets the descriptive threshold. Home results are excluded from this club window; the league reference includes both venues and does not adjust opposition.
Recorded scores · away only · Last 6 recorded away matches · 2026-08-16 → 2026-10-10 UTC. La Liga 2026-2027: 1.53 goals per team/match, 88 matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. League reference includes home and away games; this club window is away only. Context only, without opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 3.9
- Recency
- 73.5
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 75.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 6 recorded away matches
Oldest → newest · scores from Villarreal’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Racing SantanderA | 2–2D |
| 2026-08-23 | Atletico MadridA | 2–2D |
| 2026-08-28 | AlavesA | 0–1L |
| 2026-09-08 | Borussia DortmundA | 2–3L |
| 2026-09-17 | MalagaA | 3–1W |
| 2026-10-10 | Real MadridA | 0–1L |
Telstar
Points below expected
−4.3
9/9 covered matches · current leagues
Forecast57
The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 9/9 current-league matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Points 6; xPts 10.3. Saved pre: 1; reconstructed: 8. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Deviation
- 46.1
- Recency
- 92.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 50.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
9/9 covered matches · current leagues
- Points
- 6.0
- xPts
- 10.3
Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 1; reconstructed: 8.
Full club analysis →
FC Porto
Goals scored per match
2.2
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores61
This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-14 UTC. Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 34.2
- Recency
- 84.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 100.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from FC Porto’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | AlvercaH | 2–0W |
| 2026-08-15 | Rio AveA | 2–0W |
| 2026-08-23 | AroucaH | 2–0W |
| 2026-08-29 | Academico ViseuA | 3–0W |
| 2026-09-04 | MoreirenseH | 2–1W |
| 2026-09-08 | Manchester CityH | 0–2L |
| 2026-09-12 | Casa PiaA | 4–1W |
| 2026-09-20 | BenficaH | 3–1W |
| 2026-10-10 | MaritimoA | 2–1W |
| 2026-10-14 | Real BetisA | 2–3L |
Borussia Mönchengladbach
xG difference per match
−0.78
Underlying performance · 10-match window
Observed xG34
Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.
Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.26; xG against 2.04. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Deviation
- 52.0
- Recency
- 0.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Underlying performance · 10-match window
- xG for
- 1.26
- xG against
- 2.04
Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.
Full club analysis →
Sporting CP
Goals conceded per match
1.0
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores54
This conceding average meets the low-goals signal threshold. Compare it with the league reference; opponent strength and chance quality are not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-13 UTC. Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 15.5
- Recency
- 81.2
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 100.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Sporting CP’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | EstrelaA | 2–2D |
| 2026-08-14 | GuimaraesH | 3–2W |
| 2026-08-22 | AlvercaH | 3–1W |
| 2026-08-28 | Rio AveA | 4–0W |
| 2026-09-05 | NacionalH | 2–0W |
| 2026-09-09 | GalatasarayH | 3–1W |
| 2026-09-13 | FamalicaoA | 1–1D |
| 2026-09-19 | AroucaH | 2–2D |
| 2026-10-09 | SC BragaA | 3–1W |
| 2026-10-13 | LensA | 2–0W |
RAAL La Louvière
Goals conceded per match
2.3
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores51
This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-10 UTC. Belgian Pro League 2026-2027: 1.51 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 24.7
- Recency
- 73.5
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from RAAL La Louvière’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | AnderlechtA | 1–2L |
| 2026-08-16 | GentH | 1–2L |
| 2026-08-21 | Standard LiegeA | 0–2L |
| 2026-08-29 | KV MechelenH | 2–2D |
| 2026-09-05 | St. TruidenA | 0–4L |
| 2026-09-13 | KortrijkH | 3–0W |
| 2026-09-19 | OH LeuvenA | 0–2L |
| 2026-10-10 | Club Brugge KVH | 1–4L |
Real Madrid
Scoring in a row
7
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Streak77
The club has scored in consecutive recorded matches, starting with the latest result. One goal is enough to extend the run.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-26 → 2026-10-18 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
- Deviation
- 70.0
- Recency
- 96.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 100.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Real Madrid’s perspective. Event: Scoring in a row.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Real SociedadH | 4–1W | Yes |
| 2026-08-30 | MalagaH | 4–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-04 | Real BetisA | 0–1L | No |
| 2026-09-08 | InterH | 2–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-12 | Rayo VallecanoH | 4–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-15 | ElcheA | 3–2W | Yes |
| 2026-09-20 | Atletico MadridA | 1–2L | Yes |
| 2026-10-10 | VillarrealH | 1–0W | Yes |
| 2026-10-14 | AS RomaA | 4–3W | Yes |
| 2026-10-18 | SevillaH | 4–1W | Yes |
Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.
Full club analysis →
Lens
xG difference per match
+0.80
Underlying performance · 10-match window
Observed xG35
Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.
Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 2.25; xG against 1.45. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Deviation
- 53.3
- Recency
- 0.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Underlying performance · 10-match window
- xG for
- 2.25
- xG against
- 1.45
Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.
Full club analysis →
Willem II
Both teams scored
78%
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores53
Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Eredivisie 2026-2027: 1.92 goals per team/match, 81 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 11.9
- Recency
- 92.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 90.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Willem II’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | GO Ahead EaglesA | 1–4L | Yes |
| 2026-08-15 | NEC NijmegenH | 1–4L | Yes |
| 2026-08-30 | HeerenveenH | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-09-05 | ExcelsiorH | 0–3L | No |
| 2026-09-11 | AZ AlkmaarA | 1–1D | Yes |
| 2026-09-15 | AjaxA | 1–5L | Yes |
| 2026-09-19 | Fortuna SittardH | 0–1L | No |
| 2026-10-11 | UtrechtA | 1–3L | Yes |
| 2026-10-17 | Sparta RotterdamA | 2–3L | Yes |
Erzurumspor FK
Clean sheets
4
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores60
Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-16 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Süper Lig 2026-2027: 1.44 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 35.9
- Recency
- 92.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Erzurumspor FK’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | AmedA | 0–3L | No |
| 2026-08-21 | GalatasarayH | 0–4L | No |
| 2026-08-28 | GenclerbirligiA | 1–1D | No |
| 2026-09-05 | KonyasporH | 1–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-11 | BesiktasA | 0–3L | No |
| 2026-09-20 | SamsunsporH | 1–0W | Yes |
| 2026-10-10 | AlanyasporA | 0–0D | Yes |
| 2026-10-17 | EyüpsporH | 2–0W | Yes |
Sevilla
Points above expected
+4.0
9/9 covered matches · current leagues
Forecast58
Sevilla
+4.0
Points above expected
9/9 covered matches · current leagues
Points14.0xPts10.0
Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 9/9 current-league matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Points 14; xPts 10. Saved pre: 2; reconstructed: 7. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Deviation
- 42.9
- Recency
- 96.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 55.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
9/9 covered matches · current leagues
- Points
- 14.0
- xPts
- 10.0
Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 2; reconstructed: 7.
Full club analysis →
Manchester United
Goals conceded away per match
1.6
Last 5 recorded away matches
Scores46
An away-only conceding average that meets the descriptive threshold. Home results are excluded from this club window; the league reference includes both venues and does not adjust opposition.
Recorded scores · away only · Last 5 recorded away matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Premier League 2026-2027: 1.45 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-19 UTC. League reference includes home and away games; this club window is away only. Context only, without opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 4.4
- Recency
- 96.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 62.5
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 5 recorded away matches
Oldest → newest · scores from Manchester United’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Hull CityA | 0–2L |
| 2026-09-06 | EvertonA | 2–2D |
| 2026-09-20 | FulhamA | 1–1D |
| 2026-10-13 | Atletico MadridA | 0–2L |
| 2026-10-18 | LeedsA | 1–1D |
RAAL La Louvière
Points below expected
−4.3
8/8 covered matches · current leagues
Forecast52
The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 8/8 current-league matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-10 UTC. Points 4; xPts 8.3. Saved pre: 0; reconstructed: 8. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Deviation
- 49.6
- Recency
- 73.5
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
8/8 covered matches · current leagues
- Points
- 4.0
- xPts
- 8.3
Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 0; reconstructed: 8.
Full club analysis →
Besiktas
Goals scored per match
2.2
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores62
This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Süper Lig 2026-2027: 1.44 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 26.6
- Recency
- 99.2
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 100.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Besiktas’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | AlanyasporA | 0–1L |
| 2026-08-27 | Kauno ŽalgirisA | 0–1L |
| 2026-08-31 | Çorum FKH | 6–2W |
| 2026-09-05 | FenerbahceA | 2–1W |
| 2026-09-11 | Erzurumspor FKH | 3–0W |
| 2026-09-17 | MarseilleH | 4–1W |
| 2026-09-20 | AmedA | 2–3L |
| 2026-10-11 | KocaelisporH | 2–1W |
| 2026-10-15 | 1899 HoffenheimA | 3–2W |
| 2026-10-19 | TrabzonsporA | 0–2L |
Venezia
xG difference per match
−0.75
Underlying performance · 10-match window
Observed xG34
Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.
Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.33; xG against 2.08. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Deviation
- 50.0
- Recency
- 0.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Underlying performance · 10-match window
- xG for
- 1.33
- xG against
- 2.08
Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.
Full club analysis →
Atletico Madrid
Goals conceded per match
1.0
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores58
This conceding average meets the low-goals signal threshold. Compare it with the league reference; opponent strength and chance quality are not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-17 UTC. La Liga 2026-2027: 1.53 goals per team/match, 88 matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 19.0
- Recency
- 92.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 100.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Atletico Madrid’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | VillarrealH | 2–2D |
| 2026-08-29 | SevillaA | 3–1W |
| 2026-09-05 | Athletic ClubA | 0–3L |
| 2026-09-09 | LiverpoolA | 1–2L |
| 2026-09-13 | Real SociedadA | 3–0W |
| 2026-09-16 | OsasunaH | 4–0W |
| 2026-09-20 | Real MadridH | 2–1W |
| 2026-10-10 | AlavesA | 2–1W |
| 2026-10-13 | Manchester UnitedH | 2–0W |
| 2026-10-17 | EspanyolA | 1–0W |
Udinese
Goals conceded per match
2.3
Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores57
This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Serie A 2026-2027: 1.48 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 30.6
- Recency
- 96.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 70.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Alverca
Scoring in a row
7
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Streak66
The club has scored in consecutive recorded matches, starting with the latest result. One goal is enough to extend the run.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-12 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
- Deviation
- 64.6
- Recency
- 78.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Alverca’s perspective. Event: Scoring in a row.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | FC PortoA | 0–2L | No |
| 2026-08-15 | EstrelaH | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-08-22 | Sporting CPA | 1–3L | Yes |
| 2026-08-29 | Santa ClaraH | 1–1D | Yes |
| 2026-09-05 | SC BragaH | 1–2L | Yes |
| 2026-09-12 | NacionalA | 3–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-19 | Rio AveH | 1–0W | Yes |
| 2026-10-12 | FamalicaoA | 4–1W | Yes |
Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.
Full club analysis →
AZ Alkmaar
xG difference per match
+0.80
Underlying performance · 10-match window
Observed xG35
Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.
Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 2.2; xG against 1.4. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Deviation
- 53.3
- Recency
- 0.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Underlying performance · 10-match window
- xG for
- 2.20
- xG against
- 1.40
Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.
Full club analysis →
Fortuna Sittard
Both teams scored
78%
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores54
Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Eredivisie 2026-2027: 1.92 goals per team/match, 81 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 11.9
- Recency
- 96.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 90.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Fortuna Sittard’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | PSV EindhovenA | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-08-15 | CambuurH | 3–1W | Yes |
| 2026-08-22 | AZ AlkmaarH | 0–2L | No |
| 2026-08-28 | GroningenA | 3–2W | Yes |
| 2026-09-06 | ADO Den HaagA | 3–2W | Yes |
| 2026-09-12 | AjaxH | 1–5L | Yes |
| 2026-09-19 | Willem IIA | 1–0W | No |
| 2026-10-10 | TwenteH | 1–1D | Yes |
| 2026-10-18 | NEC NijmegenA | 2–2D | Yes |
FSV Mainz 05
Clean sheets
3
Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores58
Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 6 recorded matches · 2026-08-29 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Bundesliga 2026-2027: 1.84 goals per team/match, 54 matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 42.4
- Recency
- 92.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 60.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from FSV Mainz 05’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | SC Paderborn 07H | 0–0D | Yes |
| 2026-09-06 | Hamburger SVA | 5–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-12 | Eintracht FrankfurtH | 1–3L | No |
| 2026-09-19 | Borussia MönchengladbachA | 4–3W | No |
| 2026-10-10 | Bayer LeverkusenH | 3–4L | No |
| 2026-10-17 | FC Schalke 04A | 1–0W | Yes |
Monaco
Points above expected
+3.8
7/7 covered matches · current leagues
Forecast58
Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 7/7 current-league matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Points 14; xPts 10.2. Saved pre: 2; reconstructed: 5. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Deviation
- 47.5
- Recency
- 96.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 45.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
7/7 covered matches · current leagues
- Points
- 14.0
- xPts
- 10.2
Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 2; reconstructed: 5.
Full club analysis →
Aston Villa
Goals conceded away per match
1.6
Last 5 recorded away matches
Scores45
An away-only conceding average that meets the descriptive threshold. Home results are excluded from this club window; the league reference includes both venues and does not adjust opposition.
Recorded scores · away only · Last 5 recorded away matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Premier League 2026-2027: 1.45 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-19 UTC. League reference includes home and away games; this club window is away only. Context only, without opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 4.4
- Recency
- 92.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 62.5
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 5 recorded away matches
Oldest → newest · scores from Aston Villa’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | BrightonA | 0–4L |
| 2026-09-05 | Hull CityA | 0–0D |
| 2026-09-08 | Club Brugge KVA | 3–2W |
| 2026-09-19 | TottenhamA | 3–2W |
| 2026-10-17 | NewcastleA | 1–0W |
Konyaspor
Points below expected
−4.0
8/8 covered matches · current leagues
Forecast56
Konyaspor
−4.0
Points below expected
8/8 covered matches · current leagues
Points5.0xPts9.0
The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 8/8 current-league matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Points 5; xPts 9. Saved pre: 1; reconstructed: 7. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Deviation
- 46.2
- Recency
- 92.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 45.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
8/8 covered matches · current leagues
- Points
- 5.0
- xPts
- 9.0
Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 1; reconstructed: 7.
Full club analysis →
AS Roma
Goals scored per match
2.2
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores60
This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-24 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Serie A 2026-2027: 1.48 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 31.0
- Recency
- 92.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 90.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from AS Roma’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-24 | FiorentinaH | 4–0W |
| 2026-08-31 | LecceA | 4–0W |
| 2026-09-05 | AtalantaH | 2–1W |
| 2026-09-10 | FenerbahceA | 1–1D |
| 2026-09-14 | TorinoA | 2–0W |
| 2026-09-19 | InterH | 2–2D |
| 2026-10-11 | ComoA | 0–0D |
| 2026-10-14 | Real MadridH | 3–4L |
| 2026-10-17 | GenoaH | 2–0W |
Elche
xG difference per match
−0.74
Underlying performance · 10-match window
Observed xG33
Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.
Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 0.98; xG against 1.72. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Deviation
- 49.3
- Recency
- 0.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Underlying performance · 10-match window
- xG for
- 0.98
- xG against
- 1.72
Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.
Full club analysis →
Celta Vigo
Goals conceded per match
1.0
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores59
This conceding average meets the low-goals signal threshold. Compare it with the league reference; opponent strength and chance quality are not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-27 → 2026-10-18 UTC. La Liga 2026-2027: 1.53 goals per team/match, 88 matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 19.0
- Recency
- 96.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 100.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Celta Vigo’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | OsasunaH | 1–2L |
| 2026-08-30 | Athletic ClubH | 0–2L |
| 2026-09-03 | Real SociedadA | 0–0D |
| 2026-09-07 | GetafeA | 1–1D |
| 2026-09-13 | MalagaH | 1–1D |
| 2026-09-16 | Omonia NicosiaA | 0–1L |
| 2026-09-19 | Racing SantanderH | 5–0W |
| 2026-10-11 | ElcheA | 0–0D |
| 2026-10-15 | JuventusH | 1–2L |
| 2026-10-18 | AlavesH | 2–1W |
Venezia
Goals conceded per match
2.3
Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores56
This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Serie A 2026-2027: 1.48 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 30.6
- Recency
- 92.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 70.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Venezia’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | LecceH | 0–2L |
| 2026-08-28 | AC MilanA | 0–2L |
| 2026-09-06 | FrosinoneA | 2–3L |
| 2026-09-11 | FiorentinaH | 2–4L |
| 2026-09-19 | LazioH | 0–2L |
| 2026-10-12 | AtalantaA | 1–3L |
| 2026-10-17 | NapoliH | 1–0W |
Brighton
Scoring in a row
7
Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions
Streak67
The club has scored in consecutive recorded matches, starting with the latest result. One goal is enough to extend the run.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-18 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
- Deviation
- 61.3
- Recency
- 96.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 70.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Brighton’s perspective. Event: Scoring in a row.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Aston VillaH | 4–0W | Yes |
| 2026-08-30 | ChelseaA | 3–4L | Yes |
| 2026-09-05 | LeedsH | 1–1D | Yes |
| 2026-09-13 | CoventryA | 5–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-19 | ArsenalH | 3–0W | Yes |
| 2026-10-10 | SunderlandA | 2–0W | Yes |
| 2026-10-18 | Crystal PalaceH | 5–0W | Yes |
Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.
Full club analysis →
Besiktas
xG difference per match
+0.79
Underlying performance · 10-match window
Observed xG34
Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.
Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 2.06; xG against 1.27. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Deviation
- 52.7
- Recency
- 0.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Underlying performance · 10-match window
- xG for
- 2.06
- xG against
- 1.27
Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.
Full club analysis →
Sparta Rotterdam
Both teams scored
78%
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores53
Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Eredivisie 2026-2027: 1.92 goals per team/match, 81 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 11.9
- Recency
- 92.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 90.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Sparta Rotterdam’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | FeyenoordH | 0–1L | No |
| 2026-08-14 | TelstarA | 3–1W | Yes |
| 2026-08-22 | UtrechtH | 3–3D | Yes |
| 2026-08-29 | ExcelsiorA | 1–2L | Yes |
| 2026-09-04 | PEC ZwolleH | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-09-13 | PSV EindhovenA | 1–4L | Yes |
| 2026-09-19 | HeerenveenH | 0–4L | No |
| 2026-10-10 | GO Ahead EaglesA | 3–3D | Yes |
| 2026-10-17 | Willem IIH | 3–2W | Yes |
Sturm Graz
Clean sheets
3
Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores52
Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 6 recorded matches · 2026-07-21 → 2026-10-15 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 38.6
- Recency
- 86.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 43.2
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Sturm Graz’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 | Heart Of MidlothianH | 4–0W | Yes |
| 2026-07-28 | Heart Of MidlothianA | 2–0W | Yes |
| 2026-08-05 | FenerbahceA | 0–2L | No |
| 2026-08-11 | FenerbahceH | 0–1L | No |
| 2026-09-16 | RennesH | 0–0D | Yes |
| 2026-10-15 | BournemouthA | 0–3L | No |
Real Madrid
Points above expected
+3.7
11/11 covered matches · current leagues
Forecast56
Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 11/11 current-league matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Points 27; xPts 23.3. Saved pre: 3; reconstructed: 8. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Deviation
- 33.6
- Recency
- 96.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 63.6
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
11/11 covered matches · current leagues
- Points
- 27.0
- xPts
- 23.3
Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 3; reconstructed: 8.
Full club analysis →
VfB Stuttgart
Goals conceded away per match
1.6
Last 5 recorded away matches
Scores46
An away-only conceding average that meets the descriptive threshold. Home results are excluded from this club window; the league reference includes both venues and does not adjust opposition.
Recorded scores · away only · Last 5 recorded away matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Bundesliga 2026-2027: 1.84 goals per team/match, 54 matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-18 UTC. League reference includes home and away games; this club window is away only. Context only, without opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 5.8
- Recency
- 92.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 62.5
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 5 recorded away matches
Oldest → newest · scores from VfB Stuttgart’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Bayern MünchenA | 1–5L |
| 2026-09-12 | 1899 HoffenheimA | 1–2L |
| 2026-10-10 | SC Paderborn 07A | 2–0W |
| 2026-10-14 | Slovan BratislavaA | 3–0W |
| 2026-10-17 | Hamburger SVA | 0–1L |
PSV Eindhoven
Points below expected
−3.9
11/11 covered matches · current leagues
Forecast55
The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 11/11 current-league matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Points 20; xPts 23.9. Saved pre: 2; reconstructed: 9. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Deviation
- 35.5
- Recency
- 92.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 59.1
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
11/11 covered matches · current leagues
- Points
- 20.0
- xPts
- 23.9
Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 2; reconstructed: 9.
Full club analysis →
GO Ahead Eagles
Goals scored per match
2.2
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores54
This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Eredivisie 2026-2027: 1.92 goals per team/match, 81 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 10.3
- Recency
- 96.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 90.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from GO Ahead Eagles’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | Willem IIH | 4–1W |
| 2026-08-16 | FeyenoordA | 2–2D |
| 2026-08-23 | ADO Den HaagH | 3–1W |
| 2026-08-29 | AZ AlkmaarA | 2–5L |
| 2026-09-08 | UtrechtA | 3–3D |
| 2026-09-12 | GroningenH | 1–1D |
| 2026-09-20 | NEC NijmegenA | 1–1D |
| 2026-10-10 | Sparta RotterdamH | 3–3D |
| 2026-10-18 | PEC ZwolleA | 1–4L |
KVC Westerlo
xG difference per match
−0.74
Underlying performance · 10-match window
Observed xG33
Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.
Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.21; xG against 1.95. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Deviation
- 49.3
- Recency
- 0.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Underlying performance · 10-match window
- xG for
- 1.21
- xG against
- 1.95
Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.
Full club analysis →
Club Brugge KV
Goals conceded per match
1.0
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores55
This conceding average meets the low-goals signal threshold. Compare it with the league reference; opponent strength and chance quality are not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-13 UTC. Belgian Pro League 2026-2027: 1.51 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 18.7
- Recency
- 81.2
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 100.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Club Brugge KV’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 | KortrijkH | 3–0W |
| 2026-08-15 | OH LeuvenA | 3–0W |
| 2026-08-23 | Cercle BruggeH | 1–0W |
| 2026-08-30 | GentA | 1–2L |
| 2026-09-04 | Lommel UnitedA | 1–0W |
| 2026-09-08 | Aston VillaH | 2–3L |
| 2026-09-13 | AntwerpH | 3–1W |
| 2026-09-20 | GenkH | 3–0W |
| 2026-10-10 | RAAL La LouvièreA | 4–1W |
| 2026-10-13 | InterA | 4–3W |
Estac Troyes
Goals conceded per match
2.3
Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores55
This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Ligue 1 2026-2027: 1.52 goals per team/match, 63 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 27.2
- Recency
- 92.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 70.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Estac Troyes’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Paris FCH | 0–0D |
| 2026-08-29 | LorientA | 2–1W |
| 2026-09-06 | StrasbourgH | 2–6L |
| 2026-09-13 | LilleA | 0–2L |
| 2026-09-19 | AngersA | 0–2L |
| 2026-10-11 | MarseilleH | 0–2L |
| 2026-10-17 | LensH | 1–3L |
Brentford
Scoring in a row
7
Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions
Streak67
The club has scored in consecutive recorded matches, starting with the latest result. One goal is enough to extend the run.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-17 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
- Deviation
- 61.3
- Recency
- 92.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 70.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Brentford’s perspective. Event: Scoring in a row.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | TottenhamH | 3–0W | Yes |
| 2026-08-30 | LeedsA | 1–1D | Yes |
| 2026-09-05 | SunderlandH | 1–1D | Yes |
| 2026-09-12 | BournemouthA | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-09-18 | ChelseaH | 3–0W | Yes |
| 2026-10-10 | Aston VillaA | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-10-17 | LiverpoolH | 1–2L | Yes |
Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.
Full club analysis →
Manchester City
xG difference per match
+0.77
Underlying performance · 10-match window
Observed xG34
Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.
Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 2.16; xG against 1.39. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Deviation
- 51.3
- Recency
- 0.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Underlying performance · 10-match window
- xG for
- 2.16
- xG against
- 1.39
Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.
Full club analysis →
Sevilla
Both teams scored
78%
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores63
Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-18 UTC. La Liga 2026-2027: 1.53 goals per team/match, 88 matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 36.0
- Recency
- 96.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 90.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Sevilla’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Rayo VallecanoH | 2–1W | Yes |
| 2026-08-22 | Athletic ClubA | 3–1W | Yes |
| 2026-08-29 | Atletico MadridH | 1–3L | Yes |
| 2026-09-06 | EspanyolA | 1–1D | Yes |
| 2026-09-11 | ValenciaH | 1–0W | No |
| 2026-09-16 | Deportivo La CorunaA | 1–0W | No |
| 2026-09-19 | BarcelonaH | 1–3L | Yes |
| 2026-10-12 | LevanteA | 3–3D | Yes |
| 2026-10-18 | Real MadridA | 1–4L | Yes |
Manchester City
Clean sheets
4
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores61
Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Premier League 2026-2027: 1.45 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 33.4
- Recency
- 92.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 90.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Manchester City’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | BournemouthH | 2–1W | No |
| 2026-08-28 | Crystal PalaceA | 4–1W | No |
| 2026-09-05 | CoventryH | 1–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-08 | FC PortoA | 2–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-13 | Manchester UnitedA | 1–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-20 | SunderlandH | 5–3W | No |
| 2026-10-11 | LiverpoolA | 3–0W | Yes |
| 2026-10-14 | Paris Saint GermainH | 2–4L | No |
| 2026-10-17 | IpswichH | 3–2W | No |
Club Brugge KV
Points above expected
+3.7
10/10 covered matches · current leagues
Forecast52
Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 10/10 current-league matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-13 UTC. Points 24; xPts 20.3. Saved pre: 1; reconstructed: 9. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Deviation
- 37.0
- Recency
- 81.2
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 55.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
10/10 covered matches · current leagues
- Points
- 24.0
- xPts
- 20.3
Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 1; reconstructed: 9.
Full club analysis →
Napoli
Goals conceded away per match
1.6
Last 5 recorded away matches
Scores45
An away-only conceding average that meets the descriptive threshold. Home results are excluded from this club window; the league reference includes both venues and does not adjust opposition.
Recorded scores · away only · Last 5 recorded away matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Serie A 2026-2027: 1.48 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-19 UTC. League reference includes home and away games; this club window is away only. Context only, without opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 3.9
- Recency
- 92.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 62.5
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 5 recorded away matches
Oldest → newest · scores from Napoli’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | GenoaA | 2–0W |
| 2026-09-05 | InterA | 2–3L |
| 2026-09-20 | FiorentinaA | 1–1D |
| 2026-10-13 | VillarrealA | 1–3L |
| 2026-10-17 | VeneziaA | 0–1L |
Celta Vigo
Points below expected
−3.8
11/11 covered matches · current leagues
Forecast57
The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 11/11 current-league matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Points 11; xPts 14.8. Saved pre: 3; reconstructed: 8. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Deviation
- 34.5
- Recency
- 96.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 63.6
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
11/11 covered matches · current leagues
- Points
- 11.0
- xPts
- 14.8
Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 3; reconstructed: 8.
Full club analysis →
RB Leipzig
Goals scored per match
2.3
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores51
This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-29 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Bundesliga 2026-2027: 1.84 goals per team/match, 54 matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 11.9
- Recency
- 92.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from RB Leipzig’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Borussia MönchengladbachH | 3–0W |
| 2026-09-05 | Werder BremenA | 1–3L |
| 2026-09-10 | ComoA | 1–4L |
| 2026-09-13 | Hamburger SVH | 5–0W |
| 2026-09-20 | Bayer LeverkusenA | 0–2L |
| 2026-10-10 | Eintracht FrankfurtH | 6–0W |
| 2026-10-13 | PSV EindhovenH | 1–0W |
| 2026-10-17 | Bayern MünchenA | 1–6L |
Estoril
xG difference per match
−0.73
Underlying performance · 10-match window
Observed xG33
Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.
Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.02; xG against 1.75. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Deviation
- 48.7
- Recency
- 0.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Underlying performance · 10-match window
- xG for
- 1.02
- xG against
- 1.75
Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.
Full club analysis →
Trabzonspor
Goals conceded per match
1.0
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores58
This conceding average meets the low-goals signal threshold. Compare it with the league reference; opponent strength and chance quality are not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Süper Lig 2026-2027: 1.44 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 15.7
- Recency
- 99.2
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 100.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Trabzonspor’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | KasimpasaA | 1–1D |
| 2026-08-20 | Ferencvarosi TCH | 0–1L |
| 2026-08-23 | Istanbul BasaksehirH | 2–1W |
| 2026-08-27 | Ferencvarosi TCA | 0–4L |
| 2026-08-31 | AmedA | 1–2L |
| 2026-09-06 | GenclerbirligiH | 5–0W |
| 2026-09-12 | KonyasporA | 0–1L |
| 2026-09-19 | GalatasarayH | 4–0W |
| 2026-10-10 | SamsunsporA | 3–0W |
| 2026-10-19 | BesiktasH | 2–0W |
Groningen
Goals conceded per match
2.1
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores52
This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Eredivisie 2026-2027: 1.92 goals per team/match, 81 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 6.5
- Recency
- 96.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 90.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Groningen’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | UtrechtH | 2–1W |
| 2026-08-16 | ADO Den HaagA | 4–1W |
| 2026-08-23 | PSV EindhovenA | 1–5L |
| 2026-08-28 | Fortuna SittardH | 2–3L |
| 2026-09-06 | TwenteH | 2–2D |
| 2026-09-12 | GO Ahead EaglesA | 1–1D |
| 2026-09-18 | PEC ZwolleH | 3–0W |
| 2026-10-11 | ExcelsiorA | 5–1W |
| 2026-10-18 | AjaxH | 2–5L |
Lazio
Scoring in a row
7
Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions
Streak67
The club has scored in consecutive recorded matches, starting with the latest result. One goal is enough to extend the run.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-24 → 2026-10-18 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
- Deviation
- 61.3
- Recency
- 96.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 70.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Lazio’s perspective. Event: Scoring in a row.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-24 | BolognaA | 1–0W | Yes |
| 2026-08-30 | GenoaH | 1–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-07 | UdineseA | 2–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-12 | AC MilanH | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-09-19 | VeneziaA | 2–0W | Yes |
| 2026-10-11 | MonzaH | 3–1W | Yes |
| 2026-10-18 | JuventusA | 3–0W | Yes |
Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.
Full club analysis →
Galatasaray
xG difference per match
+0.75
Underlying performance · 10-match window
Observed xG34
Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.
Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.97; xG against 1.22. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Deviation
- 50.0
- Recency
- 0.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Underlying performance · 10-match window
- xG for
- 1.97
- xG against
- 1.22
Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.
Full club analysis →
ADO Den Haag
Both teams scored
78%
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores53
Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Eredivisie 2026-2027: 1.92 goals per team/match, 81 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 11.9
- Recency
- 92.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 90.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from ADO Den Haag’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | AZ AlkmaarA | 0–2L | No |
| 2026-08-16 | GroningenH | 1–4L | Yes |
| 2026-08-23 | GO Ahead EaglesA | 1–3L | Yes |
| 2026-08-30 | FeyenoordA | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-09-06 | Fortuna SittardH | 2–3L | Yes |
| 2026-09-12 | TwenteA | 0–2L | No |
| 2026-09-19 | CambuurH | 1–1D | Yes |
| 2026-10-11 | TelstarA | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-10-17 | PSV EindhovenH | 2–1W | Yes |
Juventus
Clean sheets
4
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores65
Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Serie A 2026-2027: 1.48 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 43.0
- Recency
- 96.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 90.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Juventus’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | FrosinoneA | 1–0W | Yes |
| 2026-08-29 | ParmaH | 2–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-06 | AC MilanH | 1–1D | No |
| 2026-09-13 | SassuoloA | 2–3L | No |
| 2026-09-17 | NEC NijmegenH | 5–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-20 | AtalantaH | 2–0W | Yes |
| 2026-10-11 | CagliariA | 1–1D | No |
| 2026-10-15 | Celta VigoA | 2–1W | No |
| 2026-10-18 | LazioH | 0–3L | No |
Chelsea
Points above expected
+3.7
7/7 covered matches · current leagues
Forecast56
Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 7/7 current-league matches · 2026-08-24 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Points 13; xPts 9.3. Saved pre: 2; reconstructed: 5. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Deviation
- 46.3
- Recency
- 92.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 45.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
7/7 covered matches · current leagues
- Points
- 13.0
- xPts
- 9.3
Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 2; reconstructed: 5.
Full club analysis →
Fortuna Sittard
Goals conceded away per match
1.6
Last 5 recorded away matches
Scores47
An away-only conceding average that meets the descriptive threshold. Home results are excluded from this club window; the league reference includes both venues and does not adjust opposition.
Recorded scores · away only · Last 5 recorded away matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Eredivisie 2026-2027: 1.92 goals per team/match, 81 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-18 UTC. League reference includes home and away games; this club window is away only. Context only, without opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 8.5
- Recency
- 96.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 62.5
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 5 recorded away matches
Oldest → newest · scores from Fortuna Sittard’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | PSV EindhovenA | 2–2D |
| 2026-08-28 | GroningenA | 3–2W |
| 2026-09-06 | ADO Den HaagA | 3–2W |
| 2026-09-19 | Willem IIA | 1–0W |
| 2026-10-18 | NEC NijmegenA | 2–2D |
Marseille
Points below expected
−3.8
9/9 covered matches · current leagues
Forecast58
The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 9/9 current-league matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Points 9; xPts 12.8. Saved pre: 3; reconstructed: 6. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Deviation
- 40.7
- Recency
- 96.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 60.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
9/9 covered matches · current leagues
- Points
- 9.0
- xPts
- 12.8
Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 3; reconstructed: 6.
Full club analysis →
Amed
Goals scored per match
2.3
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores56
This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-16 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Süper Lig 2026-2027: 1.44 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 26.2
- Recency
- 92.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Amed’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Erzurumspor FKH | 3–0W |
| 2026-08-24 | KocaelisporA | 0–2L |
| 2026-08-31 | TrabzonsporH | 2–1W |
| 2026-09-06 | KasimpasaA | 2–2D |
| 2026-09-13 | Istanbul BasaksehirH | 5–0W |
| 2026-09-20 | BesiktasH | 3–2W |
| 2026-10-10 | GenclerbirligiA | 2–2D |
| 2026-10-17 | KonyasporH | 1–0W |
Strasbourg
xG difference per match
−0.72
Underlying performance · 10-match window
Observed xG33
Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.
Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.21; xG against 1.93. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Deviation
- 48.0
- Recency
- 0.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Underlying performance · 10-match window
- xG for
- 1.21
- xG against
- 1.93
Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.
Full club analysis →
AC Milan
Goals conceded per match
1.0
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores57
This conceding average meets the low-goals signal threshold. Compare it with the league reference; opponent strength and chance quality are not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Serie A 2026-2027: 1.48 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 20.0
- Recency
- 96.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 90.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from AC Milan’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | TorinoA | 2–1W |
| 2026-08-28 | VeneziaH | 2–0W |
| 2026-09-06 | JuventusA | 1–1D |
| 2026-09-12 | LazioA | 2–2D |
| 2026-09-16 | BenficaH | 0–2L |
| 2026-09-20 | LecceH | 3–0W |
| 2026-10-11 | SassuoloA | 1–1D |
| 2026-10-15 | Red Bull SalzburgA | 4–0W |
| 2026-10-18 | AtalantaH | 3–2W |
Rio Ave
Goals conceded per match
2.1
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores53
This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 28.7
- Recency
- 76.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Rio Ave’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | GIL VicenteA | 0–1L |
| 2026-08-15 | FC PortoH | 0–2L |
| 2026-08-22 | EstorilA | 2–0W |
| 2026-08-28 | Sporting CPH | 0–4L |
| 2026-09-06 | Santa ClaraA | 0–4L |
| 2026-09-14 | EstrelaH | 3–3D |
| 2026-09-19 | AlvercaA | 0–1L |
| 2026-10-11 | NacionalH | 3–2W |
Monza
Scoring in a row
7
Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions
Streak68
The club has scored in consecutive recorded matches, starting with the latest result. One goal is enough to extend the run.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-19 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
- Deviation
- 61.3
- Recency
- 99.2
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 70.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Monza’s perspective. Event: Scoring in a row.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | InterA | 1–4L | Yes |
| 2026-08-29 | UdineseH | 2–3L | Yes |
| 2026-09-06 | ParmaA | 1–1D | Yes |
| 2026-09-13 | LecceA | 2–3L | Yes |
| 2026-09-18 | SassuoloH | 2–1W | Yes |
| 2026-10-11 | LazioA | 1–3L | Yes |
| 2026-10-19 | CagliariH | 4–0W | Yes |
Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.
Full club analysis →
Brighton
xG difference per match
+0.74
Underlying performance · 10-match window
Observed xG33
Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.
Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 2.01; xG against 1.27. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Deviation
- 49.3
- Recency
- 0.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Underlying performance · 10-match window
- xG for
- 2.01
- xG against
- 1.27
Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.
Full club analysis →
Estrela
Both teams scored
75%
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores58
Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 43.6
- Recency
- 76.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Estrela’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | Sporting CPH | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-08-15 | AlvercaA | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-08-30 | NacionalA | 3–2W | Yes |
| 2026-09-05 | FamalicaoH | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-09-10 | SC BragaH | 2–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-14 | Rio AveA | 3–3D | Yes |
| 2026-09-20 | Academico ViseuH | 0–2L | No |
| 2026-10-11 | AroucaA | 0–1L | No |
Lille
Clean sheets
4
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores65
Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Ligue 1 2026-2027: 1.52 goals per team/match, 63 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 44.4
- Recency
- 92.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 90.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Lille’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | AngersA | 2–0W | Yes |
| 2026-08-28 | Paris Saint GermainH | 2–2D | No |
| 2026-09-03 | ToulouseA | 1–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-08 | Real BetisH | 2–3L | No |
| 2026-09-13 | Estac TroyesH | 2–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-20 | NiceA | 1–2L | No |
| 2026-10-10 | LE HavreH | 1–0W | Yes |
| 2026-10-13 | ArsenalA | 0–3L | No |
| 2026-10-17 | Stade Brestois 29H | 1–1D | No |
SV Elversberg
Points above expected
+3.7
6/6 covered matches · current leagues
Forecast57
Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 6/6 current-league matches · 2026-08-29 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Points 10; xPts 6.3. Saved pre: 2; reconstructed: 4. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Deviation
- 50.5
- Recency
- 92.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
6/6 covered matches · current leagues
- Points
- 10.0
- xPts
- 6.3
Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 2; reconstructed: 4.
Full club analysis →
Trabzonspor
Goals conceded away per match
1.6
Last 5 recorded away matches
Scores40
An away-only conceding average that meets the descriptive threshold. Home results are excluded from this club window; the league reference includes both venues and does not adjust opposition.
Recorded scores · away only · Last 5 recorded away matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-10 UTC. Süper Lig 2026-2027: 1.44 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-19 UTC. League reference includes home and away games; this club window is away only. Context only, without opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 4.1
- Recency
- 73.5
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 62.5
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 5 recorded away matches
Oldest → newest · scores from Trabzonspor’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | KasimpasaA | 1–1D |
| 2026-08-27 | Ferencvarosi TCA | 0–4L |
| 2026-08-31 | AmedA | 1–2L |
| 2026-09-12 | KonyasporA | 0–1L |
| 2026-10-10 | SamsunsporA | 3–0W |
Napoli
Points below expected
−3.5
9/9 covered matches · current leagues
Forecast56
The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 9/9 current-league matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Points 10; xPts 13.5. Saved pre: 3; reconstructed: 6. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Deviation
- 37.5
- Recency
- 92.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 60.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
9/9 covered matches · current leagues
- Points
- 10.0
- xPts
- 13.5
Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 3; reconstructed: 6.
Full club analysis →
Çorum FK
Goals scored per match
2.3
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores56
This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-16 UTC. Süper Lig 2026-2027: 1.44 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 26.2
- Recency
- 89.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Çorum FK’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | GalatasarayA | 2–2D |
| 2026-08-22 | KasimpasaH | 0–1L |
| 2026-08-31 | BesiktasA | 2–6L |
| 2026-09-06 | EyüpsporH | 3–0W |
| 2026-09-12 | SamsunsporA | 5–1W |
| 2026-09-19 | AlanyasporH | 1–2L |
| 2026-10-11 | Gazişehir GaziantepA | 3–0W |
| 2026-10-16 | RizesporH | 2–1W |
GO Ahead Eagles
xG difference per match
−0.71
Underlying performance · 10-match window
Observed xG33
Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.
Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.54; xG against 2.25. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Deviation
- 47.3
- Recency
- 0.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Underlying performance · 10-match window
- xG for
- 1.54
- xG against
- 2.25
Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.
Full club analysis →
Juventus
Goals conceded per match
1.0
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores57
This conceding average meets the low-goals signal threshold. Compare it with the league reference; opponent strength and chance quality are not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Serie A 2026-2027: 1.48 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 20.0
- Recency
- 96.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 90.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Juventus’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | FrosinoneA | 1–0W |
| 2026-08-29 | ParmaH | 2–0W |
| 2026-09-06 | AC MilanH | 1–1D |
| 2026-09-13 | SassuoloA | 2–3L |
| 2026-09-17 | NEC NijmegenH | 5–0W |
| 2026-09-20 | AtalantaH | 2–0W |
| 2026-10-11 | CagliariA | 1–1D |
| 2026-10-15 | Celta VigoA | 2–1W |
| 2026-10-18 | LazioH | 0–3L |
Casa Pia
Goals conceded per match
2.1
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores52
This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-10 UTC. Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 28.7
- Recency
- 73.5
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Casa Pia’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | MaritimoA | 0–1L |
| 2026-08-17 | BenficaH | 0–7L |
| 2026-08-24 | GIL VicenteA | 0–2L |
| 2026-08-30 | MoreirenseH | 0–1L |
| 2026-09-06 | GuimaraesA | 0–0D |
| 2026-09-12 | FC PortoH | 1–4L |
| 2026-09-20 | EstorilA | 2–1W |
| 2026-10-10 | Santa ClaraH | 0–1L |
Auxerre
Scoring in a row
7
Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions
Streak67
The club has scored in consecutive recorded matches, starting with the latest result. One goal is enough to extend the run.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-18 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
- Deviation
- 61.3
- Recency
- 96.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 70.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Auxerre’s perspective. Event: Scoring in a row.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | LensA | 2–5L | Yes |
| 2026-08-29 | AngersH | 1–3L | Yes |
| 2026-09-04 | LyonA | 1–3L | Yes |
| 2026-09-12 | NiceH | 1–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-20 | Stade Brestois 29H | 2–1W | Yes |
| 2026-10-11 | RennesA | 1–4L | Yes |
| 2026-10-18 | LE HavreA | 3–1W | Yes |
Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.
Full club analysis →
Stade Brestois 29
xG difference per match
+0.73
Underlying performance · 10-match window
Observed xG33
Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.
Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 2.02; xG against 1.29. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Deviation
- 48.7
- Recency
- 0.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Underlying performance · 10-match window
- xG for
- 2.02
- xG against
- 1.29
Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.
Full club analysis →
Goztepe
Both teams scored
75%
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores68
Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-17 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Süper Lig 2026-2027: 1.44 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 56.4
- Recency
- 96.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Goztepe’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 | SamsunsporA | 3–3D | Yes |
| 2026-08-23 | GenclerbirligiH | 0–1L | No |
| 2026-08-29 | GalatasarayA | 2–3L | Yes |
| 2026-09-07 | Gazişehir GaziantepH | 2–4L | Yes |
| 2026-09-12 | AlanyasporA | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-09-20 | RizesporH | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-10-12 | EyüpsporA | 4–0W | No |
| 2026-10-18 | KocaelisporA | 2–1W | Yes |
Heerenveen
Clean sheets
4
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores68
Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-16 UTC. Eredivisie 2026-2027: 1.92 goals per team/match, 81 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 57.1
- Recency
- 89.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 90.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Heerenveen’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | TwenteH | 1–0W | Yes |
| 2026-08-16 | AjaxA | 2–2D | No |
| 2026-08-22 | PEC ZwolleH | 0–2L | No |
| 2026-08-30 | Willem IIA | 2–2D | No |
| 2026-09-06 | AZ AlkmaarH | 2–3L | No |
| 2026-09-13 | TelstarH | 0–0D | Yes |
| 2026-09-19 | Sparta RotterdamA | 4–0W | Yes |
| 2026-10-09 | PSV EindhovenA | 0–2L | No |
| 2026-10-16 | ExcelsiorH | 4–0W | Yes |
Hull City
Points above expected
+3.6
7/7 covered matches · current leagues
Forecast56
Hull City
+3.6
Points above expected
7/7 covered matches · current leagues
Points9.0xPts5.4
Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 7/7 current-league matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Points 9; xPts 5.4. Saved pre: 2; reconstructed: 5. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Deviation
- 45.0
- Recency
- 92.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 45.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
7/7 covered matches · current leagues
- Points
- 9.0
- xPts
- 5.4
Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 2; reconstructed: 5.
Full club analysis →
Excelsior
Goals conceded away per match
1.6
Last 5 recorded away matches
Scores46
An away-only conceding average that meets the descriptive threshold. Home results are excluded from this club window; the league reference includes both venues and does not adjust opposition.
Recorded scores · away only · Last 5 recorded away matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-16 UTC. Eredivisie 2026-2027: 1.92 goals per team/match, 81 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-18 UTC. League reference includes home and away games; this club window is away only. Context only, without opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 8.5
- Recency
- 89.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 62.5
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 5 recorded away matches
Oldest → newest · scores from Excelsior’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 | CambuurA | 4–0W |
| 2026-09-05 | Willem IIA | 3–0W |
| 2026-09-08 | NEC NijmegenA | 2–2D |
| 2026-09-19 | AjaxA | 2–2D |
| 2026-10-16 | HeerenveenA | 0–4L |
Casa Pia
Points below expected
−3.5
8/8 covered matches · current leagues
Forecast49
The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 8/8 current-league matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-10 UTC. Points 4; xPts 7.5. Saved pre: 0; reconstructed: 8. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Deviation
- 40.4
- Recency
- 73.5
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
8/8 covered matches · current leagues
- Points
- 4.0
- xPts
- 7.5
Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 0; reconstructed: 8.
Full club analysis →
FSV Mainz 05
Goals scored per match
2.3
Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores48
This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 6 recorded matches · 2026-08-29 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Bundesliga 2026-2027: 1.84 goals per team/match, 54 matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 12.7
- Recency
- 92.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 60.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from FSV Mainz 05’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | SC Paderborn 07H | 0–0D |
| 2026-09-06 | Hamburger SVA | 5–0W |
| 2026-09-12 | Eintracht FrankfurtH | 1–3L |
| 2026-09-19 | Borussia MönchengladbachA | 4–3W |
| 2026-10-10 | Bayer LeverkusenH | 3–4L |
| 2026-10-17 | FC Schalke 04A | 1–0W |
Nacional
xG difference per match
−0.71
Underlying performance · 10-match window
Observed xG33
Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.
Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.05; xG against 1.76. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Deviation
- 47.3
- Recency
- 0.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Underlying performance · 10-match window
- xG for
- 1.05
- xG against
- 1.76
Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.
Full club analysis →
Bayern München
Goals conceded per match
1.0
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores56
This conceding average meets the low-goals signal threshold. Compare it with the league reference; opponent strength and chance quality are not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Bundesliga 2026-2027: 1.84 goals per team/match, 54 matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 24.7
- Recency
- 92.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Bayern München’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | VfB StuttgartH | 5–1W |
| 2026-09-05 | FC Schalke 04A | 0–0D |
| 2026-09-10 | Bodo/GlimtH | 5–0W |
| 2026-09-13 | SV ElversbergA | 2–1W |
| 2026-09-18 | Union BerlinH | 7–0W |
| 2026-10-10 | FC AugsburgA | 2–2D |
| 2026-10-13 | VikingA | 3–3D |
| 2026-10-17 | RB LeipzigH | 6–1W |
Rayo Vallecano
Goals conceded per match
2.1
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores56
This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. La Liga 2026-2027: 1.53 goals per team/match, 88 matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 19.4
- Recency
- 99.2
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Rayo Vallecano’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | SevillaA | 1–2L |
| 2026-08-20 | AlavesH | 1–1D |
| 2026-08-31 | BarcelonaA | 2–5L |
| 2026-09-05 | Racing SantanderH | 3–2W |
| 2026-09-12 | Real MadridA | 1–4L |
| 2026-09-15 | EspanyolH | 2–1W |
| 2026-09-19 | OsasunaA | 1–1D |
| 2026-10-19 | GetafeA | 1–1D |
Sassuolo
Scoring in a row
7
Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions
Streak66
The club has scored in consecutive recorded matches, starting with the latest result. One goal is enough to extend the run.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-16 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
- Deviation
- 61.3
- Recency
- 89.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 70.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Sassuolo’s perspective. Event: Scoring in a row.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | AtalantaA | 1–2L | Yes |
| 2026-08-29 | TorinoH | 2–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-06 | BolognaA | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-09-13 | JuventusH | 3–2W | Yes |
| 2026-09-18 | MonzaA | 1–2L | Yes |
| 2026-10-11 | AC MilanH | 1–1D | Yes |
| 2026-10-16 | FrosinoneA | 2–4L | Yes |
Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.
Full club analysis →
Arsenal
xG difference per match
+0.71
Underlying performance · 10-match window
Observed xG33
Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.
Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.56; xG against 0.85. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Deviation
- 47.3
- Recency
- 0.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Underlying performance · 10-match window
- xG for
- 1.56
- xG against
- 0.85
Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.
Full club analysis →
Kasimpasa
Both teams scored
75%
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores68
Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Süper Lig 2026-2027: 1.44 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 56.4
- Recency
- 96.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Kasimpasa’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | TrabzonsporH | 1–1D | Yes |
| 2026-08-22 | Çorum FKA | 1–0W | No |
| 2026-08-30 | Istanbul BasaksehirA | 1–1D | Yes |
| 2026-09-06 | AmedH | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-09-13 | GenclerbirligiA | 2–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-18 | KonyasporH | 0–0D | No |
| 2026-10-09 | GalatasarayA | 1–3L | Yes |
| 2026-10-18 | SamsunsporH | 4–1W | Yes |
Everton
Clean sheets
3
Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores55
Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Premier League 2026-2027: 1.45 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 27.5
- Recency
- 92.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 70.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Everton’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Crystal PalaceH | 2–0W | Yes |
| 2026-08-29 | BournemouthA | 1–1D | No |
| 2026-09-06 | Manchester UnitedH | 2–2D | No |
| 2026-09-12 | TottenhamA | 0–0D | Yes |
| 2026-09-19 | IpswichH | 1–0W | Yes |
| 2026-10-11 | Hull CityA | 2–2D | No |
| 2026-10-17 | ChelseaH | 0–2L | No |
Real Sociedad
Points above expected
+3.5
11/11 covered matches · current leagues
Forecast56
Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 11/11 current-league matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Points 17; xPts 13.5. Saved pre: 3; reconstructed: 8. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Deviation
- 31.8
- Recency
- 96.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 63.6
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
11/11 covered matches · current leagues
- Points
- 17.0
- xPts
- 13.5
Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 3; reconstructed: 8.
Full club analysis →
Levski Sofia
Goals conceded away per match
1.6
Last 5 recorded away matches
Scores40
An away-only conceding average that meets the descriptive threshold. Home results are excluded from this club window; the league reference includes both venues and does not adjust opposition.
Recorded scores · away only · Last 5 recorded away matches · 2026-07-07 → 2026-10-15 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. League reference includes home and away games; this club window is away only. Context only, without opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 5.0
- Recency
- 86.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 45.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 5 recorded away matches
Oldest → newest · scores from Levski Sofia’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-07 | Borac Banja LukaA | 1–1D |
| 2026-07-29 | Universitatea CraiovaA | 2–2D |
| 2026-08-11 | Kairat AlmatyA | 1–0W |
| 2026-08-26 | AEK Athens FCA | 0–4L |
| 2026-10-15 | NEC NijmegenA | 1–1D |
Genoa
Points below expected
−3.5
7/7 covered matches · current leagues
Forecast56
The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 7/7 current-league matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Points 4; xPts 7.5. Saved pre: 2; reconstructed: 5. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Deviation
- 43.8
- Recency
- 92.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 45.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
7/7 covered matches · current leagues
- Points
- 4.0
- xPts
- 7.5
Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 2; reconstructed: 5.
Full club analysis →
Real Betis
Goals scored per match
2.1
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores58
This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-25 → 2026-10-17 UTC. La Liga 2026-2027: 1.53 goals per team/match, 88 matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 20.1
- Recency
- 92.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 100.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Real Betis’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | ValenciaA | 1–0W |
| 2026-08-29 | LevanteA | 2–5L |
| 2026-09-04 | Real MadridH | 1–0W |
| 2026-09-08 | LilleA | 3–2W |
| 2026-09-14 | VillarrealA | 2–1W |
| 2026-09-17 | GetafeH | 1–0W |
| 2026-09-20 | Deportivo La CorunaA | 1–1D |
| 2026-10-11 | OsasunaH | 5–2W |
| 2026-10-14 | FC PortoH | 3–2W |
| 2026-10-17 | BarcelonaH | 2–5L |
Academico Viseu
xG difference per match
−0.76
Underlying performance · 8-match window
Observed xG31
Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.
Observed match xG · available averages · 8-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.02; xG against 1.78. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Deviation
- 46.8
- Recency
- 0.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 32.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Underlying performance · 8-match window
- xG for
- 1.02
- xG against
- 1.78
Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.
Full club analysis →
Kocaelispor
Goals conceded per match
1.0
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores53
This conceding average meets the low-goals signal threshold. Compare it with the league reference; opponent strength and chance quality are not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-16 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Süper Lig 2026-2027: 1.44 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 14.5
- Recency
- 96.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Kocaelispor’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Istanbul BasaksehirA | 0–2L |
| 2026-08-24 | AmedH | 2–0W |
| 2026-08-29 | KonyasporA | 2–1W |
| 2026-09-06 | SamsunsporH | 1–0W |
| 2026-09-13 | GalatasarayA | 0–1L |
| 2026-09-19 | Gazişehir GaziantepH | 2–0W |
| 2026-10-11 | BesiktasA | 1–2L |
| 2026-10-18 | GoztepeH | 1–2L |
KVC Westerlo
Goals conceded per match
2.1
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores50
This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Belgian Pro League 2026-2027: 1.51 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 20.5
- Recency
- 76.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from KVC Westerlo’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | Union St. GilloiseH | 1–5L |
| 2026-08-15 | GenkA | 2–3L |
| 2026-08-23 | Lommel UnitedA | 0–4L |
| 2026-08-30 | Zulte WaregemH | 2–2D |
| 2026-09-05 | KV MechelenA | 4–0W |
| 2026-09-12 | Standard LiegeH | 4–2W |
| 2026-09-20 | St. TruidenA | 2–0W |
| 2026-10-11 | AntwerpH | 5–1W |
Aston Villa
Scoring in a row
6
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Streak69
The club has scored in consecutive recorded matches, starting with the latest result. One goal is enough to extend the run.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-17 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
- Deviation
- 57.9
- Recency
- 92.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 90.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Aston Villa’s perspective. Event: Scoring in a row.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | BrightonA | 0–4L | No |
| 2026-08-31 | ArsenalH | 0–1L | No |
| 2026-09-05 | Hull CityA | 0–0D | No |
| 2026-09-08 | Club Brugge KVA | 3–2W | Yes |
| 2026-09-12 | Nottingham ForestH | 1–2L | Yes |
| 2026-09-19 | TottenhamA | 3–2W | Yes |
| 2026-10-10 | BrentfordH | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-10-14 | FenerbahceH | 6–0W | Yes |
| 2026-10-17 | NewcastleA | 1–0W | Yes |
Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.
Full club analysis →
AC Milan
xG difference per match
+0.70
Underlying performance · 10-match window
Observed xG32
Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.
Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.97; xG against 1.27. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Deviation
- 46.7
- Recency
- 0.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Underlying performance · 10-match window
- xG for
- 1.97
- xG against
- 1.27
Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.
Full club analysis →
Maritimo
Both teams scored
75%
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores58
Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-10 UTC. Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 43.6
- Recency
- 73.5
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Maritimo’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | Casa PiaH | 1–0W | No |
| 2026-08-16 | FamalicaoA | 2–1W | Yes |
| 2026-08-22 | Academico ViseuH | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-08-29 | AroucaA | 1–2L | Yes |
| 2026-09-05 | BenficaH | 0–3L | No |
| 2026-09-14 | MoreirenseA | 1–3L | Yes |
| 2026-09-19 | GIL VicenteA | 1–1D | Yes |
| 2026-10-10 | FC PortoH | 1–2L | Yes |
About these insights
Read the signal. Keep the context.
Insights describe what is recorded. Use club and match analysis to explore what comes next.
Insight Score · experimental editorial interest. This version uses 0.35D + 0.25R + 0.20C + 0.20Q. D measures heuristic deviation, R observation recency, C breadth of evidence families and Q data quality. These starting weights are uncalibrated. It is neither team strength, win probability, statistical significance nor forecast confidence. Related result signals share one family; different sources are not automatically statistically independent. Unknown dates receive zero recency; unknown xG coverage limits its quality component. League averages are context references, not opponent-adjusted estimates.
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Result signals use the last 10 recorded matches; away signals use the last 8 away matches. At least 5 are required. Missing and special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound.
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Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored or conceded, capped at 6; zero keeps a marker. Teal / amber / red means win / draw / loss. Faded bars mean the event did not happen. Open the evidence for full scores.
Separate the sources
xG uses observed Playing style averages before the next or latest league fixture; coverage can differ between inputs. xPts comes from stored LOAD90 forecasts on identical covered games, including labelled historical reconstructions.
Types alternate for variety. Values are ordered within their own metric, without a combined ranking. These descriptive signals do not change the LOAD90 forecast.
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