Insights.
Go beyond the result. Follow the patterns. See the evidence.
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Explore competitions →Stories behind the signals
All tracked leagues · 794 signals · 190 clubs in this view
BarcelonaWinning, and exceeding expectationsInsight Score84/100
A winning run and points above forecast expectations stand out together. Separate the recorded results from the chance balance; the points comparison covers a different set of league matches.
- Wins in a rowLast 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-27 → 2026-10-17 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions - 10+
- Points minus expected11/11 current-league matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-17 UTC
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games - +6.3
- Goals scored / matchLast 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-27 → 2026-10-17 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions - 4.3
- Observed xG difference / match10-match profile · exact dates unavailable
Observed match xG · available averages - +2.60
Sources, limitations & score
- Deviation
- 100.0
- Recency
- 62.0
- Context
- 100.0
- Quality
- 67.9
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
- Wins in a row — A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
- Points minus expected — Points 33; xPts 26.7. Saved pre: 3; reconstructed: 8. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Goals scored / match — La Liga 2026-2027: 1.53 goals per team/match, 88 matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Observed xG difference / match — Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 3.55; xG against 0.95. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
LazioPoints ahead. Chance balance tells another story.Insight Score81/100
Points exceed the stored forecasts, while the observed xG profile has no positive balance. Results and chances tell different stories; this does not establish that a reversal is due.
- Points minus expected7/7 current-league matches · 2026-08-24 → 2026-10-18 UTC
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games - +8.2
- Observed xG difference / match10-match profile · exact dates unavailable
Observed match xG · available averages - −0.15
- Wins in a rowLast 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-24 → 2026-10-18 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions - 3
Sources, limitations & score
- Deviation
- 100.0
- Recency
- 64.1
- Context
- 100.0
- Quality
- 51.7
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
- Points minus expected — Points 19; xPts 10.8. Saved pre: 2; reconstructed: 5. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Observed xG difference / match — Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.15; xG against 1.3. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Wins in a row — A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
PSV EindhovenChance balance ahead of the points returnInsight Score76/100
A positive observed xG balance sits alongside points below stored forecast expectations. These are different windows: inspect finishing, conceding and individual matches before assigning a cause.
- Points minus expected11/11 current-league matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-17 UTC
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games - −3.9
- Observed xG difference / match10-match profile · exact dates unavailable
Observed match xG · available averages - +1.16
- Goals scored / matchLast 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-17 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions - 2.6
Sources, limitations & score
- Deviation
- 77.3
- Recency
- 62.0
- Context
- 100.0
- Quality
- 66.4
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
- Points minus expected — Points 20; xPts 23.9. Saved pre: 2; reconstructed: 9. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Observed xG difference / match — Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 2.27; xG against 1.11. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Goals scored / match — Eredivisie 2026-2027: 1.92 goals per team/match, 81 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
Bayern MünchenGoals accompanied by a positive chance balanceInsight Score75/100
Goals scored exceed the current league reference, alongside a positive observed xG profile. The sources have different windows; both describe past performances rather than the next result.
- Goals scored / matchLast 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-17 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions - 3.8
- Observed xG difference / match10-match profile · exact dates unavailable
Observed match xG · available averages - +2.15
Sources, limitations & score
- Deviation
- 100.0
- Recency
- 46.5
- Context
- 80.0
- Quality
- 60.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
- Goals scored / match — Bundesliga 2026-2027: 1.84 goals per team/match, 54 matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Observed xG difference / match — Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 3.27; xG against 1.12. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
ArsenalDefensive consistency, positive chance balanceInsight Score68/100
Clean sheets and low goals conceded accompany a positive observed xG balance. The xG profile describes overall chance balance; it is not, by itself, proof of strong defending.
- Clean sheetsLast 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions - 6/9
- Goals conceded / matchLast 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions - 0.6
- Observed xG difference / match10-match profile · exact dates unavailable
Observed match xG · available averages - +0.71
Sources, limitations & score
- Deviation
- 76.2
- Recency
- 48.1
- Context
- 80.0
- Quality
- 65.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
- Clean sheets — Premier League 2026-2027: 1.45 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Goals conceded / match — Premier League 2026-2027: 1.45 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Observed xG difference / match — Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.56; xG against 0.85. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
Each signal belongs to one category. Categories sum to All signals; stories combine related evidence across categories.
All signals794 signals · 190 clubs
Select a row to explore the evidence. Scroll to see all columns →
PSV Eindhoven
Both teams scored
80%
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores57
Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Eredivisie 2026-2027: 1.92 goals per team/match, 81 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 16.8
- Recency
- 93.1
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 100.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from PSV Eindhoven’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | ExcelsiorA | 2–1W | Yes |
| 2026-08-23 | GroningenH | 5–1W | Yes |
| 2026-08-30 | UtrechtA | 6–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-05 | AjaxA | 3–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-10 | Shakhtar DonetskH | 1–1D | Yes |
| 2026-09-13 | Sparta RotterdamH | 4–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-20 | TwenteA | 2–3L | Yes |
| 2026-10-09 | HeerenveenH | 2–0W | No |
| 2026-10-13 | RB LeipzigA | 0–1L | No |
| 2026-10-17 | ADO Den HaagA | 1–2L | Yes |
Borussia Dortmund
Clean sheets
4
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores64
Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-29 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Bundesliga 2026-2027: 1.84 goals per team/match, 54 matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 47.9
- Recency
- 93.1
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Borussia Dortmund’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Hamburger SVH | 2–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-05 | 1899 HoffenheimA | 3–2W | No |
| 2026-09-08 | VillarrealH | 3–2W | No |
| 2026-09-12 | SC Paderborn 07H | 3–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-19 | VfB StuttgartA | 1–0W | Yes |
| 2026-10-09 | Werder BremenH | 2–2D | No |
| 2026-10-14 | Bodo/GlimtA | 0–1L | No |
| 2026-10-17 | Union BerlinA | 0–0D | Yes |
Union St. Gilloise
Points above expected
+4.8
10/10 covered matches · current leagues
Forecast58
Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 10/10 current-league matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Points 24; xPts 19.2. Saved pre: 1; reconstructed: 9. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Deviation
- 48.0
- Recency
- 87.1
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 55.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
10/10 covered matches · current leagues
- Points
- 24.0
- xPts
- 19.2
Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 1; reconstructed: 9.
Full club analysis →
Marseille
Goals conceded away per match
1.8
Last 5 recorded away matches
Scores47
An away-only conceding average that meets the descriptive threshold. Home results are excluded from this club window; the league reference includes both venues and does not adjust opposition.
Recorded scores · away only · Last 5 recorded away matches · 2026-08-30 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Ligue 1 2026-2027: 1.52 goals per team/match, 63 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC. League reference includes home and away games; this club window is away only. Context only, without opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 8.4
- Recency
- 96.2
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 62.5
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 5 recorded away matches
Oldest → newest · scores from Marseille’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | MonacoA | 0–2L |
| 2026-09-11 | RennesA | 0–1L |
| 2026-09-17 | BesiktasA | 1–4L |
| 2026-10-11 | Estac TroyesA | 2–0W |
| 2026-10-18 | AngersA | 5–2W |
Charleroi
Wins in a row
3
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Streak53
Consecutive wins start with the latest recorded result. A draw or defeat ends the run within the available window.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-11 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
- Deviation
- 27.7
- Recency
- 76.2
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Charleroi’s perspective. Event: Wins in a row.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | OH LeuvenH | 3–1W | Yes |
| 2026-08-16 | Lommel UnitedA | 1–0W | Yes |
| 2026-08-22 | KV MechelenH | 2–0W | Yes |
| 2026-08-29 | KortrijkA | 3–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-05 | Union St. GilloiseH | 2–3L | No |
| 2026-09-13 | Zulte WaregemA | 1–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-19 | Cercle BruggeH | 3–2W | Yes |
| 2026-10-11 | Standard LiegeA | 1–0W | Yes |
Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.
Full club analysis →
Valencia
Points below expected
−5.1
9/9 covered matches · current leagues
Forecast61
Valencia
−5.1
Points below expected
9/9 covered matches · current leagues
Points6.0xPts11.1
The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 9/9 current-league matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Points 6; xPts 11.1. Saved pre: 2; reconstructed: 7. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Deviation
- 54.6
- Recency
- 93.1
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 55.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
9/9 covered matches · current leagues
- Points
- 6.0
- xPts
- 11.1
Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 2; reconstructed: 7.
Full club analysis →
FC Augsburg
Goals scored per match
2.7
Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores51
This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 6 recorded matches · 2026-08-30 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Bundesliga 2026-2027: 1.84 goals per team/match, 54 matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 21.4
- Recency
- 93.1
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 60.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from FC Augsburg’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | FC Schalke 04H | 3–0W |
| 2026-09-06 | Eintracht FrankfurtA | 4–1W |
| 2026-09-12 | Bayer LeverkusenH | 2–2D |
| 2026-09-19 | Werder BremenA | 2–3L |
| 2026-10-10 | Bayern MünchenH | 2–2D |
| 2026-10-17 | SV ElversbergA | 3–4L |
Cambuur
Unbeaten in a row
5
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Streak67
The latest recorded sequence contains wins and draws without a defeat. It counts results, without adjusting for the opposition.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-18 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
- Deviation
- 48.2
- Recency
- 96.2
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 90.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Cambuur’s perspective. Event: Unbeaten in a row.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 | ExcelsiorH | 0–4L | No |
| 2026-08-15 | Fortuna SittardA | 1–3L | No |
| 2026-08-23 | FeyenoordH | 2–5L | No |
| 2026-08-30 | TwenteH | 1–4L | No |
| 2026-09-06 | TelstarA | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-09-12 | NEC NijmegenH | 3–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-19 | ADO Den HaagA | 1–1D | Yes |
| 2026-10-11 | PEC ZwolleA | 1–0W | Yes |
| 2026-10-18 | AZ AlkmaarH | 2–2D | Yes |
Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.
Full club analysis →
Moreirense
xG difference per match
−0.85
Underlying performance · 10-match window
Observed xG36
Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.
Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 0.53; xG against 1.38. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Deviation
- 56.7
- Recency
- 0.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Underlying performance · 10-match window
- xG for
- 0.53
- xG against
- 1.38
Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.
Full club analysis →
Borussia Dortmund
Goals conceded per match
0.9
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores57
This conceding average meets the low-goals signal threshold. Compare it with the league reference; opponent strength and chance quality are not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-29 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Bundesliga 2026-2027: 1.84 goals per team/match, 54 matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 28.3
- Recency
- 93.1
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Borussia Dortmund’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Hamburger SVH | 2–0W |
| 2026-09-05 | 1899 HoffenheimA | 3–2W |
| 2026-09-08 | VillarrealH | 3–2W |
| 2026-09-12 | SC Paderborn 07H | 3–0W |
| 2026-09-19 | VfB StuttgartA | 1–0W |
| 2026-10-09 | Werder BremenH | 2–2D |
| 2026-10-14 | Bodo/GlimtA | 0–1L |
| 2026-10-17 | Union BerlinA | 0–0D |
Samsunspor
Goals conceded per match
2.4
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores59
This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-17 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Süper Lig 2026-2027: 1.44 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 30.3
- Recency
- 96.2
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Samsunspor’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 | GoztepeH | 3–3D |
| 2026-08-22 | RizesporA | 2–0W |
| 2026-08-30 | FenerbahceH | 0–2L |
| 2026-09-06 | KocaelisporA | 0–1L |
| 2026-09-12 | Çorum FKH | 1–5L |
| 2026-09-20 | Erzurumspor FKA | 0–1L |
| 2026-10-10 | TrabzonsporH | 0–3L |
| 2026-10-18 | KasimpasaA | 1–4L |
Twente
Scoring in a row
8
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Streak80
The club has scored in consecutive recorded matches, starting with the latest result. One goal is enough to extend the run.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-07-30 → 2026-10-18 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
- Deviation
- 80.0
- Recency
- 96.2
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 100.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Twente’s perspective. Event: Scoring in a row.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | Ferencvarosi TCA | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-08-09 | HeerenveenA | 0–1L | No |
| 2026-08-16 | PEC ZwolleH | 3–1W | Yes |
| 2026-08-30 | CambuurA | 4–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-06 | GroningenA | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-09-09 | TelstarH | 1–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-12 | ADO Den HaagH | 2–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-20 | PSV EindhovenH | 3–2W | Yes |
| 2026-10-10 | Fortuna SittardA | 1–1D | Yes |
| 2026-10-18 | UtrechtH | 1–2L | Yes |
Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.
Full club analysis →
Nottingham Forest
Losses in a row
3
Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions
Streak55
Consecutive defeats start with the latest recorded result. The sequence describes the results, without claiming a cause.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-18 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
- Deviation
- 26.3
- Recency
- 96.2
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 70.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Nottingham Forest’s perspective. Event: Losses in a row.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | LeedsH | 0–1L | Yes |
| 2026-08-29 | LiverpoolA | 2–2D | No |
| 2026-09-05 | TottenhamH | 0–0D | No |
| 2026-09-12 | Aston VillaA | 2–1W | No |
| 2026-09-19 | CoventryH | 0–1L | Yes |
| 2026-10-11 | Crystal PalaceA | 1–3L | Yes |
| 2026-10-18 | ArsenalH | 0–1L | Yes |
Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.
Full club analysis →
Ajax
xG difference per match
+1.07
Underlying performance · 10-match window
Observed xG41
Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.
Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 2.03; xG against 0.96. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Deviation
- 71.3
- Recency
- 0.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Underlying performance · 10-match window
- xG for
- 2.03
- xG against
- 0.96
Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.
Full club analysis →
Real Sociedad
Both teams scored
80%
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores67
Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-26 → 2026-10-18 UTC. La Liga 2026-2027: 1.53 goals per team/match, 88 matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 41.8
- Recency
- 96.2
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 100.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Real Sociedad’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Real MadridA | 1–4L | Yes |
| 2026-08-29 | EspanyolH | 2–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-03 | Celta VigoH | 0–0D | No |
| 2026-09-07 | ElcheA | 3–2W | Yes |
| 2026-09-13 | Atletico MadridH | 0–3L | No |
| 2026-09-17 | BournemouthH | 1–2L | Yes |
| 2026-09-20 | ValenciaA | 3–2W | Yes |
| 2026-10-11 | Deportivo La CorunaH | 3–2W | Yes |
| 2026-10-15 | Union St. GilloiseA | 1–1D | Yes |
| 2026-10-18 | MalagaA | 5–2W | Yes |
Bayer Leverkusen
Clean sheets
4
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores65
Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-29 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Bundesliga 2026-2027: 1.84 goals per team/match, 54 matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 47.9
- Recency
- 96.2
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Bayer Leverkusen’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | SV ElversbergA | 2–3L | No |
| 2026-09-05 | Union BerlinH | 4–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-12 | FC AugsburgA | 2–2D | No |
| 2026-09-16 | CeljeH | 2–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-20 | RB LeipzigH | 2–0W | Yes |
| 2026-10-10 | FSV Mainz 05A | 4–3W | No |
| 2026-10-15 | Lech PoznanA | 4–0W | Yes |
| 2026-10-18 | SC FreiburgH | 2–1W | No |
Academico Viseu
Points above expected
+4.8
8/8 covered matches · current leagues
Forecast54
Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 8/8 current-league matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-10 UTC. Points 14; xPts 9.2. Saved pre: 0; reconstructed: 8. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Deviation
- 55.4
- Recency
- 73.7
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
8/8 covered matches · current leagues
- Points
- 14.0
- xPts
- 9.2
Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 0; reconstructed: 8.
Full club analysis →
Lens
Goals conceded away per match
1.8
Last 5 recorded away matches
Scores47
An away-only conceding average that meets the descriptive threshold. Home results are excluded from this club window; the league reference includes both venues and does not adjust opposition.
Recorded scores · away only · Last 5 recorded away matches · 2026-08-29 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Ligue 1 2026-2027: 1.52 goals per team/match, 63 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC. League reference includes home and away games; this club window is away only. Context only, without opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 8.4
- Recency
- 93.1
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 62.5
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 5 recorded away matches
Oldest → newest · scores from Lens’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | StrasbourgA | 1–2L |
| 2026-09-10 | Slavia PrahaA | 3–2W |
| 2026-09-13 | Le MansA | 2–2D |
| 2026-09-18 | MonacoA | 1–2L |
| 2026-10-17 | Estac TroyesA | 3–1W |
Alverca
Wins in a row
3
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Streak53
Consecutive wins start with the latest recorded result. A draw or defeat ends the run within the available window.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-12 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
- Deviation
- 27.7
- Recency
- 78.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Alverca’s perspective. Event: Wins in a row.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | FC PortoA | 0–2L | No |
| 2026-08-15 | EstrelaH | 2–2D | No |
| 2026-08-22 | Sporting CPA | 1–3L | No |
| 2026-08-29 | Santa ClaraH | 1–1D | No |
| 2026-09-05 | SC BragaH | 1–2L | No |
| 2026-09-12 | NacionalA | 3–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-19 | Rio AveH | 1–0W | Yes |
| 2026-10-12 | FamalicaoA | 4–1W | Yes |
Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.
Full club analysis →
Fulham
Points below expected
−5.1
7/7 covered matches · current leagues
Forecast63
The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 7/7 current-league matches · 2026-08-24 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Points 5; xPts 10.1. Saved pre: 2; reconstructed: 5. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Deviation
- 63.8
- Recency
- 93.1
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 45.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
7/7 covered matches · current leagues
- Points
- 5.0
- xPts
- 10.1
Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 2; reconstructed: 5.
Full club analysis →
KVC Westerlo
Goals scored per match
2.5
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores55
This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Belgian Pro League 2026-2027: 1.51 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 33.1
- Recency
- 76.2
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from KVC Westerlo’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | Union St. GilloiseH | 1–5L |
| 2026-08-15 | GenkA | 2–3L |
| 2026-08-23 | Lommel UnitedA | 0–4L |
| 2026-08-30 | Zulte WaregemH | 2–2D |
| 2026-09-05 | KV MechelenA | 4–0W |
| 2026-09-12 | Standard LiegeH | 4–2W |
| 2026-09-20 | St. TruidenA | 2–0W |
| 2026-10-11 | AntwerpH | 5–1W |
KVC Westerlo
Unbeaten in a row
5
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Streak59
The latest recorded sequence contains wins and draws without a defeat. It counts results, without adjusting for the opposition.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-11 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
- Deviation
- 46.2
- Recency
- 76.2
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from KVC Westerlo’s perspective. Event: Unbeaten in a row.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | Union St. GilloiseH | 1–5L | No |
| 2026-08-15 | GenkA | 2–3L | No |
| 2026-08-23 | Lommel UnitedA | 0–4L | No |
| 2026-08-30 | Zulte WaregemH | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-09-05 | KV MechelenA | 4–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-12 | Standard LiegeH | 4–2W | Yes |
| 2026-09-20 | St. TruidenA | 2–0W | Yes |
| 2026-10-11 | AntwerpH | 5–1W | Yes |
Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.
Full club analysis →
Cambuur
xG difference per match
−0.84
Underlying performance · 10-match window
Observed xG36
Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.
Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.19; xG against 2.03. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Deviation
- 56.0
- Recency
- 0.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Underlying performance · 10-match window
- xG for
- 1.19
- xG against
- 2.03
Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.
Full club analysis →
Arouca
Goals conceded per match
0.9
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores50
This conceding average meets the low-goals signal threshold. Compare it with the league reference; opponent strength and chance quality are not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 19.1
- Recency
- 76.2
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Arouca’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | GuimaraesA | 1–0W |
| 2026-08-16 | MoreirenseH | 4–0W |
| 2026-08-23 | FC PortoA | 0–2L |
| 2026-08-29 | MaritimoH | 2–1W |
| 2026-09-07 | EstorilA | 0–0D |
| 2026-09-13 | Santa ClaraH | 1–2L |
| 2026-09-19 | Sporting CPA | 2–2D |
| 2026-10-11 | EstrelaH | 1–0W |
GO Ahead Eagles
Goals conceded per match
2.3
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores55
This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Eredivisie 2026-2027: 1.92 goals per team/match, 81 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 14.1
- Recency
- 96.2
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 90.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from GO Ahead Eagles’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | Willem IIH | 4–1W |
| 2026-08-16 | FeyenoordA | 2–2D |
| 2026-08-23 | ADO Den HaagH | 3–1W |
| 2026-08-29 | AZ AlkmaarA | 2–5L |
| 2026-09-08 | UtrechtA | 3–3D |
| 2026-09-12 | GroningenH | 1–1D |
| 2026-09-20 | NEC NijmegenA | 1–1D |
| 2026-10-10 | Sparta RotterdamH | 3–3D |
| 2026-10-18 | PEC ZwolleA | 1–4L |
Union St. Gilloise
Scoring in a row
8
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Streak78
The club has scored in consecutive recorded matches, starting with the latest result. One goal is enough to extend the run.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-11 → 2026-10-15 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
- Deviation
- 80.0
- Recency
- 87.1
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 100.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Union St. Gilloise’s perspective. Event: Scoring in a row.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 | Bodo/GlimtA | 2–3L | Yes |
| 2026-08-15 | Zulte WaregemH | 0–0D | No |
| 2026-08-30 | AnderlechtH | 3–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-02 | St. TruidenA | 3–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-05 | CharleroiA | 3–2W | Yes |
| 2026-09-12 | Lommel UnitedH | 5–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-17 | PlzenA | 3–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-20 | AntwerpA | 2–0W | Yes |
| 2026-10-11 | OH LeuvenH | 1–1D | Yes |
| 2026-10-15 | Real SociedadH | 1–1D | Yes |
Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.
Full club analysis →
Strasbourg
Losses in a row
3
Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions
Streak54
Consecutive defeats start with the latest recorded result. The sequence describes the results, without claiming a cause.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-17 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
- Deviation
- 26.3
- Recency
- 93.1
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 70.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Strasbourg’s perspective. Event: Losses in a row.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | MarseilleA | 0–4L | Yes |
| 2026-08-29 | LensH | 2–1W | No |
| 2026-09-06 | Estac TroyesA | 6–2W | No |
| 2026-09-12 | MonacoH | 1–1D | No |
| 2026-09-19 | Paris FCA | 1–2L | Yes |
| 2026-10-11 | NiceA | 1–2L | Yes |
| 2026-10-17 | Paris Saint GermainH | 1–3L | Yes |
Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.
Full club analysis →
Napoli
xG difference per match
+1.02
Underlying performance · 10-match window
Observed xG40
Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.
Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.81; xG against 0.79. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Deviation
- 68.0
- Recency
- 0.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Underlying performance · 10-match window
- xG for
- 1.81
- xG against
- 0.79
Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.
Full club analysis →
FC Augsburg
Both teams scored
83%
Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores57
Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 6 recorded matches · 2026-08-30 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Bundesliga 2026-2027: 1.84 goals per team/match, 54 matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 39.4
- Recency
- 93.1
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 60.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from FC Augsburg’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | FC Schalke 04H | 3–0W | No |
| 2026-09-06 | Eintracht FrankfurtA | 4–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-12 | Bayer LeverkusenH | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-09-19 | Werder BremenA | 2–3L | Yes |
| 2026-10-10 | Bayern MünchenH | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-10-17 | SV ElversbergA | 3–4L | Yes |
RB Leipzig
Clean sheets
4
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores64
Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-29 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Bundesliga 2026-2027: 1.84 goals per team/match, 54 matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 47.9
- Recency
- 93.1
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from RB Leipzig’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Borussia MönchengladbachH | 3–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-05 | Werder BremenA | 1–3L | No |
| 2026-09-10 | ComoA | 1–4L | No |
| 2026-09-13 | Hamburger SVH | 5–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-20 | Bayer LeverkusenA | 0–2L | No |
| 2026-10-10 | Eintracht FrankfurtH | 6–0W | Yes |
| 2026-10-13 | PSV EindhovenH | 1–0W | Yes |
| 2026-10-17 | Bayern MünchenA | 1–6L | No |
Cagliari
Points above expected
+4.8
7/7 covered matches · current leagues
Forecast63
Cagliari
+4.8
Points above expected
7/7 covered matches · current leagues
Points13.0xPts8.2
Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 7/7 current-league matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Points 13; xPts 8.2. Saved pre: 2; reconstructed: 5. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Deviation
- 60.0
- Recency
- 99.5
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 45.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
7/7 covered matches · current leagues
- Points
- 13.0
- xPts
- 8.2
Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 2; reconstructed: 5.
Full club analysis →
Sevilla
Goals conceded away per match
1.8
Last 5 recorded away matches
Scores47
An away-only conceding average that meets the descriptive threshold. Home results are excluded from this club window; the league reference includes both venues and does not adjust opposition.
Recorded scores · away only · Last 5 recorded away matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-18 UTC. La Liga 2026-2027: 1.53 goals per team/match, 88 matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. League reference includes home and away games; this club window is away only. Context only, without opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 7.1
- Recency
- 96.2
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 62.5
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 5 recorded away matches
Oldest → newest · scores from Sevilla’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Athletic ClubA | 3–1W |
| 2026-09-06 | EspanyolA | 1–1D |
| 2026-09-16 | Deportivo La CorunaA | 1–0W |
| 2026-10-12 | LevanteA | 3–3D |
| 2026-10-18 | Real MadridA | 1–4L |
Lazio
Wins in a row
3
Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions
Streak55
Consecutive wins start with the latest recorded result. A draw or defeat ends the run within the available window.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-24 → 2026-10-18 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
- Deviation
- 26.3
- Recency
- 96.2
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 70.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Lazio’s perspective. Event: Wins in a row.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-24 | BolognaA | 1–0W | Yes |
| 2026-08-30 | GenoaH | 1–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-07 | UdineseA | 2–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-12 | AC MilanH | 2–2D | No |
| 2026-09-19 | VeneziaA | 2–0W | Yes |
| 2026-10-11 | MonzaH | 3–1W | Yes |
| 2026-10-18 | JuventusA | 3–0W | Yes |
Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.
Full club analysis →
Udinese
Points below expected
−5.1
7/7 covered matches · current leagues
Forecast63
The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 7/7 current-league matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Points 4; xPts 9.1. Saved pre: 2; reconstructed: 5. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Deviation
- 63.8
- Recency
- 96.2
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 45.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
7/7 covered matches · current leagues
- Points
- 4.0
- xPts
- 9.1
Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 2; reconstructed: 5.
Full club analysis →
Groningen
Goals scored per match
2.4
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores56
This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Eredivisie 2026-2027: 1.92 goals per team/match, 81 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 17.9
- Recency
- 96.2
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 90.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Groningen’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | UtrechtH | 2–1W |
| 2026-08-16 | ADO Den HaagA | 4–1W |
| 2026-08-23 | PSV EindhovenA | 1–5L |
| 2026-08-28 | Fortuna SittardH | 2–3L |
| 2026-09-06 | TwenteH | 2–2D |
| 2026-09-12 | GO Ahead EaglesA | 1–1D |
| 2026-09-18 | PEC ZwolleH | 3–0W |
| 2026-10-11 | ExcelsiorA | 5–1W |
| 2026-10-18 | AjaxH | 2–5L |
Brighton
Unbeaten in a row
5
Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions
Streak61
The latest recorded sequence contains wins and draws without a defeat. It counts results, without adjusting for the opposition.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-18 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
- Deviation
- 43.8
- Recency
- 96.2
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 70.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Brighton’s perspective. Event: Unbeaten in a row.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Aston VillaH | 4–0W | Yes |
| 2026-08-30 | ChelseaA | 3–4L | No |
| 2026-09-05 | LeedsH | 1–1D | Yes |
| 2026-09-13 | CoventryA | 5–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-19 | ArsenalH | 3–0W | Yes |
| 2026-10-10 | SunderlandA | 2–0W | Yes |
| 2026-10-18 | Crystal PalaceH | 5–0W | Yes |
Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.
Full club analysis →
Malaga
xG difference per match
−0.84
Underlying performance · 10-match window
Observed xG36
Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.
Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 0.84; xG against 1.68. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Deviation
- 56.0
- Recency
- 0.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Underlying performance · 10-match window
- xG for
- 0.84
- xG against
- 1.68
Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.
Full club analysis →
Charleroi
Goals conceded per match
0.9
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores51
This conceding average meets the low-goals signal threshold. Compare it with the league reference; opponent strength and chance quality are not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Belgian Pro League 2026-2027: 1.51 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 21.5
- Recency
- 76.2
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Charleroi’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | OH LeuvenH | 3–1W |
| 2026-08-16 | Lommel UnitedA | 1–0W |
| 2026-08-22 | KV MechelenH | 2–0W |
| 2026-08-29 | KortrijkA | 3–1W |
| 2026-09-05 | Union St. GilloiseH | 2–3L |
| 2026-09-13 | Zulte WaregemA | 1–0W |
| 2026-09-19 | Cercle BruggeH | 3–2W |
| 2026-10-11 | Standard LiegeA | 1–0W |
Cambuur
Goals conceded per match
2.3
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores55
This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Eredivisie 2026-2027: 1.92 goals per team/match, 81 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 14.1
- Recency
- 96.2
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 90.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Cambuur’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 | ExcelsiorH | 0–4L |
| 2026-08-15 | Fortuna SittardA | 1–3L |
| 2026-08-23 | FeyenoordH | 2–5L |
| 2026-08-30 | TwenteH | 1–4L |
| 2026-09-06 | TelstarA | 2–2D |
| 2026-09-12 | NEC NijmegenH | 3–0W |
| 2026-09-19 | ADO Den HaagA | 1–1D |
| 2026-10-11 | PEC ZwolleA | 1–0W |
| 2026-10-18 | AZ AlkmaarH | 2–2D |
Cambuur
Scoring in a row
8
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Streak77
The club has scored in consecutive recorded matches, starting with the latest result. One goal is enough to extend the run.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-18 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
- Deviation
- 77.1
- Recency
- 96.2
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 90.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Cambuur’s perspective. Event: Scoring in a row.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 | ExcelsiorH | 0–4L | No |
| 2026-08-15 | Fortuna SittardA | 1–3L | Yes |
| 2026-08-23 | FeyenoordH | 2–5L | Yes |
| 2026-08-30 | TwenteH | 1–4L | Yes |
| 2026-09-06 | TelstarA | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-09-12 | NEC NijmegenH | 3–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-19 | ADO Den HaagA | 1–1D | Yes |
| 2026-10-11 | PEC ZwolleA | 1–0W | Yes |
| 2026-10-18 | AZ AlkmaarH | 2–2D | Yes |
Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.
Full club analysis →
LE Havre
Losses in a row
3
Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions
Streak55
Consecutive defeats start with the latest recorded result. The sequence describes the results, without claiming a cause.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-18 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
- Deviation
- 26.3
- Recency
- 96.2
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 70.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from LE Havre’s perspective. Event: Losses in a row.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | MonacoH | 0–1L | Yes |
| 2026-08-29 | LyonA | 1–1D | No |
| 2026-09-05 | Stade Brestois 29H | 1–2L | Yes |
| 2026-09-12 | AngersH | 0–0D | No |
| 2026-09-19 | ToulouseA | 2–3L | Yes |
| 2026-10-10 | LilleA | 0–1L | Yes |
| 2026-10-18 | AuxerreH | 1–3L | Yes |
Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.
Full club analysis →
Amed
xG difference per match
+1.09
Underlying performance · 8-match window
Observed xG38
Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.
Observed match xG · available averages · 8-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.84; xG against 0.75. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Deviation
- 67.1
- Recency
- 0.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 32.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Underlying performance · 8-match window
- xG for
- 1.84
- xG against
- 0.75
Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.
Full club analysis →
Jagiellonia
Both teams scored
83%
Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores56
Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 6 recorded matches · 2026-08-06 → 2026-10-15 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 50.0
- Recency
- 87.1
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 43.2
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Jagiellonia’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | RangersH | 2–1W | Yes |
| 2026-08-13 | RangersA | 1–1D | Yes |
| 2026-08-20 | SaburtaloH | 4–0W | No |
| 2026-08-27 | SaburtaloA | 2–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-16 | Olympiakos PiraeusA | 1–2L | Yes |
| 2026-10-15 | Ararat-ArmeniaH | 3–1W | Yes |
Arouca
Clean sheets
4
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores58
Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 42.3
- Recency
- 76.2
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Arouca’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | GuimaraesA | 1–0W | Yes |
| 2026-08-16 | MoreirenseH | 4–0W | Yes |
| 2026-08-23 | FC PortoA | 0–2L | No |
| 2026-08-29 | MaritimoH | 2–1W | No |
| 2026-09-07 | EstorilA | 0–0D | Yes |
| 2026-09-13 | Santa ClaraH | 1–2L | No |
| 2026-09-19 | Sporting CPA | 2–2D | No |
| 2026-10-11 | EstrelaH | 1–0W | Yes |
Trabzonspor
Points above expected
+4.6
8/8 covered matches · current leagues
Forecast60
Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 8/8 current-league matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Points 16; xPts 11.4. Saved pre: 1; reconstructed: 7. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Deviation
- 53.1
- Recency
- 99.5
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 45.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
8/8 covered matches · current leagues
- Points
- 16.0
- xPts
- 11.4
Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 1; reconstructed: 7.
Full club analysis →
Real Madrid
Goals conceded away per match
1.8
Last 5 recorded away matches
Scores44
An away-only conceding average that meets the descriptive threshold. Home results are excluded from this club window; the league reference includes both venues and does not adjust opposition.
Recorded scores · away only · Last 5 recorded away matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-14 UTC. La Liga 2026-2027: 1.53 goals per team/match, 88 matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. League reference includes home and away games; this club window is away only. Context only, without opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 7.1
- Recency
- 84.2
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 62.5
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 5 recorded away matches
Oldest → newest · scores from Real Madrid’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | EspanyolA | 2–1W |
| 2026-09-04 | Real BetisA | 0–1L |
| 2026-09-15 | ElcheA | 3–2W |
| 2026-09-20 | Atletico MadridA | 1–2L |
| 2026-10-14 | AS RomaA | 4–3W |
Hamburger SV
Wins in a row
3
Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions
Streak52
Consecutive wins start with the latest recorded result. A draw or defeat ends the run within the available window.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 6 recorded matches · 2026-08-29 → 2026-10-17 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
- Deviation
- 24.5
- Recency
- 93.1
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 60.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Hamburger SV’s perspective. Event: Wins in a row.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Borussia DortmundA | 0–2L | No |
| 2026-09-06 | FSV Mainz 05H | 0–5L | No |
| 2026-09-13 | RB LeipzigA | 0–5L | No |
| 2026-09-19 | 1.FC KölnH | 2–1W | Yes |
| 2026-10-10 | 1899 HoffenheimA | 3–2W | Yes |
| 2026-10-17 | VfB StuttgartH | 1–0W | Yes |
Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.
Full club analysis →
Bologna
Points below expected
−5.0
7/7 covered matches · current leagues
Forecast62
The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 7/7 current-league matches · 2026-08-24 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Points 5; xPts 10. Saved pre: 2; reconstructed: 5. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Deviation
- 62.5
- Recency
- 93.1
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 45.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
7/7 covered matches · current leagues
- Points
- 5.0
- xPts
- 10.0
Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 2; reconstructed: 5.
Full club analysis →
Fenerbahce
Goals scored per match
2.4
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores63
This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Süper Lig 2026-2027: 1.44 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 33.7
- Recency
- 93.1
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 100.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Fenerbahce’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | KonyasporH | 4–2W |
| 2026-08-26 | LyonA | 2–1W |
| 2026-08-30 | SamsunsporA | 2–0W |
| 2026-09-05 | BesiktasH | 1–2L |
| 2026-09-10 | AS RomaH | 1–1D |
| 2026-09-14 | Gazişehir GaziantepA | 0–0D |
| 2026-09-20 | EyüpsporH | 8–0W |
| 2026-10-10 | RizesporA | 3–0W |
| 2026-10-14 | Aston VillaA | 0–6L |
| 2026-10-17 | AlanyasporH | 3–0W |
Athletic Club
Unbeaten in a row
5
Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions
Streak61
The latest recorded sequence contains wins and draws without a defeat. It counts results, without adjusting for the opposition.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-17 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
- Deviation
- 43.8
- Recency
- 93.1
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 70.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Athletic Club’s perspective. Event: Unbeaten in a row.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | SevillaH | 1–3L | No |
| 2026-08-27 | BarcelonaA | 0–2L | No |
| 2026-08-30 | Celta VigoA | 2–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-05 | Atletico MadridH | 3–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-12 | ElcheH | 1–1D | Yes |
| 2026-09-19 | AlavesH | 0–0D | Yes |
| 2026-10-17 | ValenciaA | 0–0D | Yes |
Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.
Full club analysis →
RAAL La Louvière
xG difference per match
−0.83
Underlying performance · 10-match window
Observed xG35
Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.
Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.1; xG against 1.93. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Deviation
- 55.3
- Recency
- 0.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Underlying performance · 10-match window
- xG for
- 1.10
- xG against
- 1.93
Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.
Full club analysis →
Monaco
Goals conceded per match
0.9
Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores54
This conceding average meets the low-goals signal threshold. Compare it with the league reference; opponent strength and chance quality are not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Ligue 1 2026-2027: 1.52 goals per team/match, 63 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 23.8
- Recency
- 96.2
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 70.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Monaco’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | LE HavreA | 1–0W |
| 2026-08-30 | MarseilleH | 2–0W |
| 2026-09-04 | Paris Saint GermainA | 2–1W |
| 2026-09-12 | StrasbourgA | 1–1D |
| 2026-09-18 | LensH | 2–1W |
| 2026-10-10 | ToulouseH | 2–2D |
| 2026-10-18 | LorientA | 0–1L |
NEC Nijmegen
Goals conceded per match
2.2
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores56
This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-25 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Eredivisie 2026-2027: 1.92 goals per team/match, 81 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 9.9
- Recency
- 96.2
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 100.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from NEC Nijmegen’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | Bodo/GlimtA | 0–3L |
| 2026-08-29 | PEC ZwolleA | 3–1W |
| 2026-09-05 | FeyenoordH | 1–3L |
| 2026-09-08 | ExcelsiorH | 2–2D |
| 2026-09-12 | CambuurA | 0–3L |
| 2026-09-17 | JuventusA | 0–5L |
| 2026-09-20 | GO Ahead EaglesH | 1–1D |
| 2026-10-10 | AjaxA | 1–1D |
| 2026-10-15 | Levski SofiaH | 1–1D |
| 2026-10-18 | Fortuna SittardH | 2–2D |
Bayer Leverkusen
Scoring in a row
8
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Streak74
The club has scored in consecutive recorded matches, starting with the latest result. One goal is enough to extend the run.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-29 → 2026-10-18 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
- Deviation
- 73.8
- Recency
- 96.2
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Bayer Leverkusen’s perspective. Event: Scoring in a row.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | SV ElversbergA | 2–3L | Yes |
| 2026-09-05 | Union BerlinH | 4–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-12 | FC AugsburgA | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-09-16 | CeljeH | 2–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-20 | RB LeipzigH | 2–0W | Yes |
| 2026-10-10 | FSV Mainz 05A | 4–3W | Yes |
| 2026-10-15 | Lech PoznanA | 4–0W | Yes |
| 2026-10-18 | SC FreiburgH | 2–1W | Yes |
Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.
Full club analysis →
Borussia Dortmund
xG difference per match
+0.89
Underlying performance · 10-match window
Observed xG37
Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.
Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.85; xG against 0.96. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Deviation
- 59.3
- Recency
- 0.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Underlying performance · 10-match window
- xG for
- 1.85
- xG against
- 0.96
Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.
Full club analysis →
1.FC Köln
Both teams scored
83%
Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores56
Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 6 recorded matches · 2026-08-29 → 2026-10-16 UTC. Bundesliga 2026-2027: 1.84 goals per team/match, 54 matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 39.4
- Recency
- 90.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 60.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from 1.FC Köln’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | 1899 HoffenheimH | 3–2W | Yes |
| 2026-09-04 | VfB StuttgartA | 1–4L | Yes |
| 2026-09-12 | Werder BremenH | 1–1D | Yes |
| 2026-09-19 | Hamburger SVA | 1–2L | Yes |
| 2026-10-11 | Borussia MönchengladbachH | 2–1W | Yes |
| 2026-10-16 | Eintracht FrankfurtA | 0–1L | No |
GIL Vicente
Clean sheets
4
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores64
Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 42.3
- Recency
- 99.5
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from GIL Vicente’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | Rio AveH | 1–0W | Yes |
| 2026-08-24 | Casa PiaH | 2–0W | Yes |
| 2026-08-30 | FamalicaoA | 0–0D | Yes |
| 2026-09-06 | Academico ViseuH | 0–1L | No |
| 2026-09-13 | BenficaA | 1–3L | No |
| 2026-09-19 | MaritimoH | 1–1D | No |
| 2026-10-09 | MoreirenseA | 1–0W | Yes |
| 2026-10-19 | SC BragaA | 2–1W | No |
Brighton
Points above expected
+4.6
7/7 covered matches · current leagues
Forecast61
Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 7/7 current-league matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Points 16; xPts 11.4. Saved pre: 2; reconstructed: 5. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Deviation
- 57.5
- Recency
- 96.2
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 45.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
7/7 covered matches · current leagues
- Points
- 16.0
- xPts
- 11.4
Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 2; reconstructed: 5.
Full club analysis →
Real Betis
Goals conceded away per match
1.8
Last 5 recorded away matches
Scores32
An away-only conceding average that meets the descriptive threshold. Home results are excluded from this club window; the league reference includes both venues and does not adjust opposition.
Recorded scores · away only · Last 5 recorded away matches · 2026-08-25 → 2026-09-20 UTC. La Liga 2026-2027: 1.53 goals per team/match, 88 matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. League reference includes home and away games; this club window is away only. Context only, without opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 7.1
- Recency
- 37.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 62.5
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 5 recorded away matches
Oldest → newest · scores from Real Betis’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | ValenciaA | 1–0W |
| 2026-08-29 | LevanteA | 2–5L |
| 2026-09-08 | LilleA | 3–2W |
| 2026-09-14 | VillarrealA | 2–1W |
| 2026-09-20 | Deportivo La CorunaA | 1–1D |
St. Truiden
Points below expected
−4.9
8/8 covered matches · current leagues
Forecast55
The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 8/8 current-league matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Points 8; xPts 12.9. Saved pre: 0; reconstructed: 8. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Deviation
- 56.5
- Recency
- 76.2
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
8/8 covered matches · current leagues
- Points
- 8.0
- xPts
- 12.9
Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 0; reconstructed: 8.
Full club analysis →
SC Freiburg
Goals scored per match
2.5
Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores50
This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 6 recorded matches · 2026-08-30 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Bundesliga 2026-2027: 1.84 goals per team/match, 54 matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 17.1
- Recency
- 96.2
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 60.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from SC Freiburg’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Werder BremenH | 4–1W |
| 2026-09-05 | SC Paderborn 07A | 1–0W |
| 2026-09-12 | Borussia MönchengladbachH | 5–0W |
| 2026-09-19 | Eintracht FrankfurtA | 2–2D |
| 2026-10-11 | FC Schalke 04H | 2–1W |
| 2026-10-18 | Bayer LeverkusenA | 1–2L |
Werder Bremen
Unbeaten in a row
5
Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions
Streak58
The latest recorded sequence contains wins and draws without a defeat. It counts results, without adjusting for the opposition.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 6 recorded matches · 2026-08-30 → 2026-10-17 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
- Deviation
- 40.9
- Recency
- 93.1
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 60.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Werder Bremen’s perspective. Event: Unbeaten in a row.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | SC FreiburgA | 1–4L | No |
| 2026-09-05 | RB LeipzigH | 3–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-12 | 1.FC KölnA | 1–1D | Yes |
| 2026-09-19 | FC AugsburgH | 3–2W | Yes |
| 2026-10-09 | Borussia DortmundA | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-10-17 | SC Paderborn 07H | 2–2D | Yes |
Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.
Full club analysis →
Getafe
xG difference per match
−0.81
Underlying performance · 10-match window
Observed xG35
Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.
Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 0.58; xG against 1.39. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Deviation
- 54.0
- Recency
- 0.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Underlying performance · 10-match window
- xG for
- 0.58
- xG against
- 1.39
Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.
Full club analysis →
Athletic Club
Goals conceded per match
0.9
Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores53
This conceding average meets the low-goals signal threshold. Compare it with the league reference; opponent strength and chance quality are not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-17 UTC. La Liga 2026-2027: 1.53 goals per team/match, 88 matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 21.1
- Recency
- 93.1
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 70.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Athletic Club’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | SevillaH | 1–3L |
| 2026-08-27 | BarcelonaA | 0–2L |
| 2026-08-30 | Celta VigoA | 2–0W |
| 2026-09-05 | Atletico MadridH | 3–0W |
| 2026-09-12 | ElcheH | 1–1D |
| 2026-09-19 | AlavesH | 0–0D |
| 2026-10-17 | ValenciaA | 0–0D |
Crystal Palace
Goals conceded per match
2.2
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores60
This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Premier League 2026-2027: 1.45 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 29.1
- Recency
- 96.2
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 90.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Crystal Palace’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | EvertonA | 0–2L |
| 2026-08-28 | Manchester CityH | 1–4L |
| 2026-09-05 | FulhamA | 3–2W |
| 2026-09-12 | IpswichH | 2–3L |
| 2026-09-17 | Lech PoznanH | 4–0W |
| 2026-09-20 | LeedsA | 0–0D |
| 2026-10-11 | Nottingham ForestH | 3–1W |
| 2026-10-15 | LyonA | 2–3L |
| 2026-10-18 | BrightonA | 0–5L |
Rayo Vallecano
Scoring in a row
8
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Streak75
The club has scored in consecutive recorded matches, starting with the latest result. One goal is enough to extend the run.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
- Deviation
- 73.8
- Recency
- 99.5
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Rayo Vallecano’s perspective. Event: Scoring in a row.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | SevillaA | 1–2L | Yes |
| 2026-08-20 | AlavesH | 1–1D | Yes |
| 2026-08-31 | BarcelonaA | 2–5L | Yes |
| 2026-09-05 | Racing SantanderH | 3–2W | Yes |
| 2026-09-12 | Real MadridA | 1–4L | Yes |
| 2026-09-15 | EspanyolH | 2–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-19 | OsasunaA | 1–1D | Yes |
| 2026-10-19 | GetafeA | 1–1D | Yes |
Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.
Full club analysis →
Juventus
xG difference per match
+0.89
Underlying performance · 10-match window
Observed xG37
Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.
Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.5; xG against 0.61. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Deviation
- 59.3
- Recency
- 0.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Underlying performance · 10-match window
- xG for
- 1.50
- xG against
- 0.61
Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.
Full club analysis →
Inter
Both teams scored
78%
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores63
Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Serie A 2026-2027: 1.48 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 39.8
- Recency
- 93.1
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 90.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Inter’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | MonzaH | 4–1W | Yes |
| 2026-08-30 | CagliariA | 1–0W | No |
| 2026-09-05 | NapoliH | 3–2W | Yes |
| 2026-09-08 | Real MadridA | 1–2L | Yes |
| 2026-09-14 | UdineseH | 5–3W | Yes |
| 2026-09-19 | AS RomaA | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-10-10 | ParmaH | 3–0W | No |
| 2026-10-13 | Club Brugge KVH | 3–4L | Yes |
| 2026-10-17 | BolognaA | 3–1W | Yes |
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Clean sheets
4
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores57
Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-07-21 → 2026-10-15 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 43.6
- Recency
- 87.1
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 57.6
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Hapoel Beer Sheva’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 | Vikingur ReykjavikA | 1–2L | No |
| 2026-07-29 | Vikingur ReykjavikH | 2–0W | Yes |
| 2026-08-04 | FK Crvena ZvezdaH | 1–0W | Yes |
| 2026-08-11 | FK Crvena ZvezdaA | 2–0W | Yes |
| 2026-08-19 | Sabah FAH | 2–1W | No |
| 2026-08-25 | Sabah FAA | 2–5L | No |
| 2026-09-16 | Dinamo ZagrebH | 0–0D | Yes |
| 2026-10-15 | AZ AlkmaarA | 1–2L | No |
Amed
Points above expected
+4.5
8/8 covered matches · current leagues
Forecast58
Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 8/8 current-league matches · 2026-08-16 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Points 17; xPts 12.5. Saved pre: 1; reconstructed: 7. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Deviation
- 51.9
- Recency
- 93.1
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 45.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
8/8 covered matches · current leagues
- Points
- 17.0
- xPts
- 12.5
Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 1; reconstructed: 7.
Full club analysis →
Galatasaray
Goals conceded away per match
1.8
Last 5 recorded away matches
Scores47
An away-only conceding average that meets the descriptive threshold. Home results are excluded from this club window; the league reference includes both venues and does not adjust opposition.
Recorded scores · away only · Last 5 recorded away matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Süper Lig 2026-2027: 1.44 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-19 UTC. League reference includes home and away games; this club window is away only. Context only, without opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 9.4
- Recency
- 93.1
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 62.5
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 5 recorded away matches
Oldest → newest · scores from Galatasaray’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Erzurumspor FKA | 4–0W |
| 2026-09-04 | Istanbul BasaksehirA | 3–2W |
| 2026-09-09 | Sporting CPA | 1–3L |
| 2026-09-19 | TrabzonsporA | 0–4L |
| 2026-10-17 | GenclerbirligiA | 1–0W |
Nacional
Points below expected
−4.8
8/8 covered matches · current leagues
Forecast54
The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 8/8 current-league matches · 2026-08-10 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Points 4; xPts 8.8. Saved pre: 0; reconstructed: 8. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Deviation
- 55.4
- Recency
- 76.2
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
8/8 covered matches · current leagues
- Points
- 4.0
- xPts
- 8.8
Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 0; reconstructed: 8.
Full club analysis →
Chelsea
Goals scored per match
2.4
Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores57
This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-24 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Premier League 2026-2027: 1.45 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 33.5
- Recency
- 93.1
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 70.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Chelsea’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-24 | FulhamA | 3–2W |
| 2026-08-30 | BrightonH | 4–3W |
| 2026-09-06 | ArsenalA | 1–2L |
| 2026-09-12 | Hull CityH | 2–2D |
| 2026-09-18 | BrentfordA | 0–3L |
| 2026-10-10 | BournemouthH | 5–1W |
| 2026-10-17 | EvertonA | 2–0W |
Casa Pia
xG difference per match
−0.80
Underlying performance · 10-match window
Observed xG35
Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.
Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 0.58; xG against 1.38. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Deviation
- 53.3
- Recency
- 0.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Underlying performance · 10-match window
- xG for
- 0.58
- xG against
- 1.38
Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.
Full club analysis →
Leeds
Goals conceded per match
0.9
Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores53
This conceding average meets the low-goals signal threshold. Compare it with the league reference; opponent strength and chance quality are not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Premier League 2026-2027: 1.45 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 20.3
- Recency
- 96.2
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 70.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Leeds’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Nottingham ForestA | 1–0W |
| 2026-08-30 | BrentfordH | 1–1D |
| 2026-09-05 | BrightonA | 1–1D |
| 2026-09-14 | NewcastleH | 4–1W |
| 2026-09-20 | Crystal PalaceH | 0–0D |
| 2026-10-10 | ArsenalA | 1–2L |
| 2026-10-18 | Manchester UnitedH | 1–1D |
ADO Den Haag
Goals conceded per match
2.2
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores53
This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Eredivisie 2026-2027: 1.92 goals per team/match, 81 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 10.3
- Recency
- 93.1
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 90.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from ADO Den Haag’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | AZ AlkmaarA | 0–2L |
| 2026-08-16 | GroningenH | 1–4L |
| 2026-08-23 | GO Ahead EaglesA | 1–3L |
| 2026-08-30 | FeyenoordA | 2–2D |
| 2026-09-06 | Fortuna SittardH | 2–3L |
| 2026-09-12 | TwenteA | 0–2L |
| 2026-09-19 | CambuurH | 1–1D |
| 2026-10-11 | TelstarA | 2–2D |
| 2026-10-17 | PSV EindhovenH | 2–1W |
Gent
Scoring in a row
8
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Streak68
The club has scored in consecutive recorded matches, starting with the latest result. One goal is enough to extend the run.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-10 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
- Deviation
- 73.8
- Recency
- 73.7
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Gent’s perspective. Event: Scoring in a row.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | KV MechelenH | 2–0W | Yes |
| 2026-08-16 | RAAL La LouvièreA | 2–1W | Yes |
| 2026-08-30 | Club Brugge KVH | 2–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-03 | OH LeuvenH | 1–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-06 | Cercle BruggeA | 3–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-13 | GenkA | 1–1D | Yes |
| 2026-09-18 | Standard LiegeH | 2–1W | Yes |
| 2026-10-10 | Zulte WaregemA | 2–0W | Yes |
Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.
Full club analysis →
Twente
xG difference per match
+0.89
Underlying performance · 10-match window
Observed xG37
Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.
Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.63; xG against 0.74. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Deviation
- 59.3
- Recency
- 0.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Underlying performance · 10-match window
- xG for
- 1.63
- xG against
- 0.74
Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.
Full club analysis →
Como
Both teams scored
78%
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores64
Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Serie A 2026-2027: 1.48 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 39.8
- Recency
- 96.2
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 90.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Como’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | UdineseA | 1–1D | Yes |
| 2026-08-30 | NapoliA | 2–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-04 | GenoaA | 4–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-10 | RB LeipzigH | 4–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-14 | ParmaH | 2–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-20 | FrosinoneA | 0–2L | No |
| 2026-10-11 | AS RomaH | 0–0D | No |
| 2026-10-14 | FeyenoordA | 2–3L | Yes |
| 2026-10-18 | FiorentinaA | 3–1W | Yes |
Gent
Clean sheets
4
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores55
Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-10 UTC. Belgian Pro League 2026-2027: 1.51 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 35.9
- Recency
- 73.7
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Gent’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | KV MechelenH | 2–0W | Yes |
| 2026-08-16 | RAAL La LouvièreA | 2–1W | No |
| 2026-08-30 | Club Brugge KVH | 2–1W | No |
| 2026-09-03 | OH LeuvenH | 1–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-06 | Cercle BruggeA | 3–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-13 | GenkA | 1–1D | No |
| 2026-09-18 | Standard LiegeH | 2–1W | No |
| 2026-10-10 | Zulte WaregemA | 2–0W | Yes |
KVC Westerlo
Points above expected
+4.4
8/8 covered matches · current leagues
Forecast53
Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 8/8 current-league matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Points 13; xPts 8.6. Saved pre: 0; reconstructed: 8. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Deviation
- 50.8
- Recency
- 76.2
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
8/8 covered matches · current leagues
- Points
- 13.0
- xPts
- 8.6
Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 0; reconstructed: 8.
Full club analysis →
Goztepe
Goals conceded away per match
1.8
Last 5 recorded away matches
Scores48
An away-only conceding average that meets the descriptive threshold. Home results are excluded from this club window; the league reference includes both venues and does not adjust opposition.
Recorded scores · away only · Last 5 recorded away matches · 2026-08-17 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Süper Lig 2026-2027: 1.44 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-19 UTC. League reference includes home and away games; this club window is away only. Context only, without opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 9.4
- Recency
- 96.2
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 62.5
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 5 recorded away matches
Oldest → newest · scores from Goztepe’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 | SamsunsporA | 3–3D |
| 2026-08-29 | GalatasarayA | 2–3L |
| 2026-09-12 | AlanyasporA | 2–2D |
| 2026-10-12 | EyüpsporA | 4–0W |
| 2026-10-18 | KocaelisporA | 2–1W |
Villarreal
Points below expected
−4.6
11/11 covered matches · current leagues
Forecast59
The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 11/11 current-league matches · 2026-08-16 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Points 12; xPts 16.6. Saved pre: 3; reconstructed: 8. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Deviation
- 41.8
- Recency
- 93.1
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 63.6
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
11/11 covered matches · current leagues
- Points
- 12.0
- xPts
- 16.6
Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 3; reconstructed: 8.
Full club analysis →
Lech Poznan
Goals scored per match
2.4
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores53
This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-07-21 → 2026-10-15 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 34.1
- Recency
- 87.1
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 57.6
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Lech Poznan’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 | AarhusA | 4–1W |
| 2026-07-29 | AarhusH | 0–3L |
| 2026-08-06 | KI KlaksvikH | 1–0W |
| 2026-08-14 | KI KlaksvikA | 5–0W |
| 2026-08-20 | FC ThunH | 7–0W |
| 2026-08-27 | FC ThunA | 2–2D |
| 2026-09-17 | Crystal PalaceA | 0–4L |
| 2026-10-15 | Bayer LeverkusenH | 0–4L |
Udinese
xG difference per match
−0.79
Underlying performance · 10-match window
Observed xG34
Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.
Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.07; xG against 1.86. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Deviation
- 52.7
- Recency
- 0.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Underlying performance · 10-match window
- xG for
- 1.07
- xG against
- 1.86
Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.
Full club analysis →
Lorient
Goals conceded per match
0.9
Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores54
This conceding average meets the low-goals signal threshold. Compare it with the league reference; opponent strength and chance quality are not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Ligue 1 2026-2027: 1.52 goals per team/match, 63 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 23.8
- Recency
- 96.2
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 70.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Lorient’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | NiceA | 0–0D |
| 2026-08-29 | Estac TroyesH | 1–2L |
| 2026-09-05 | LensA | 1–0W |
| 2026-09-12 | ToulouseH | 2–2D |
| 2026-09-19 | Le MansA | 1–2L |
| 2026-10-10 | Paris FCH | 1–0W |
| 2026-10-18 | MonacoH | 1–0W |
Nacional
Goals conceded per match
2.3
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores55
This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-10 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 33.5
- Recency
- 76.2
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Nacional’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 | Santa ClaraA | 2–2D |
| 2026-08-16 | EstorilH | 2–0W |
| 2026-08-23 | GuimaraesA | 0–1L |
| 2026-08-30 | EstrelaH | 2–3L |
| 2026-09-05 | Sporting CPA | 0–2L |
| 2026-09-12 | AlvercaH | 1–3L |
| 2026-09-19 | FamalicaoH | 0–4L |
| 2026-10-11 | Rio AveA | 2–3L |
Charleroi
Scoring in a row
8
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Streak69
The club has scored in consecutive recorded matches, starting with the latest result. One goal is enough to extend the run.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-11 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
- Deviation
- 73.8
- Recency
- 76.2
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Charleroi’s perspective. Event: Scoring in a row.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | OH LeuvenH | 3–1W | Yes |
| 2026-08-16 | Lommel UnitedA | 1–0W | Yes |
| 2026-08-22 | KV MechelenH | 2–0W | Yes |
| 2026-08-29 | KortrijkA | 3–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-05 | Union St. GilloiseH | 2–3L | Yes |
| 2026-09-13 | Zulte WaregemA | 1–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-19 | Cercle BruggeH | 3–2W | Yes |
| 2026-10-11 | Standard LiegeA | 1–0W | Yes |
Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.
Full club analysis →
Club Brugge KV
xG difference per match
+0.87
Underlying performance · 10-match window
Observed xG36
Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.
Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 2.61; xG against 1.74. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Deviation
- 58.0
- Recency
- 0.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Underlying performance · 10-match window
- xG for
- 2.61
- xG against
- 1.74
Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.
Full club analysis →
Lens
Both teams scored
78%
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores59
Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Ligue 1 2026-2027: 1.52 goals per team/match, 63 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 27.6
- Recency
- 93.1
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 90.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Lens’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | AuxerreH | 5–2W | Yes |
| 2026-08-29 | StrasbourgA | 1–2L | Yes |
| 2026-09-05 | LorientH | 0–1L | No |
| 2026-09-10 | Slavia PrahaA | 3–2W | Yes |
| 2026-09-13 | Le MansA | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-09-18 | MonacoA | 1–2L | Yes |
| 2026-10-09 | LyonH | 2–1W | Yes |
| 2026-10-13 | Sporting CPH | 0–2L | No |
| 2026-10-17 | Estac TroyesA | 3–1W | Yes |
Omonia Nicosia
Clean sheets
4
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores57
Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-07-22 → 2026-10-15 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 43.6
- Recency
- 87.1
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 57.6
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Omonia Nicosia’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | Kairat AlmatyH | 1–0W | Yes |
| 2026-07-29 | Kairat AlmatyA | 0–1L | No |
| 2026-08-06 | Lincoln Red Imps FCA | 1–1D | No |
| 2026-08-13 | Lincoln Red Imps FCH | 1–0W | Yes |
| 2026-08-20 | St. TruidenA | 0–1L | No |
| 2026-08-27 | St. TruidenH | 4–2W | No |
| 2026-09-16 | Celta VigoH | 1–0W | Yes |
| 2026-10-15 | CeljeA | 3–0W | Yes |
Paris FC
Points above expected
+4.3
7/7 covered matches · current leagues
Forecast60
Paris FC
+4.3
Points above expected
7/7 covered matches · current leagues
Points14.0xPts9.7
Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 7/7 current-league matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Points 14; xPts 9.7. Saved pre: 2; reconstructed: 5. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Deviation
- 53.8
- Recency
- 96.2
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 45.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
7/7 covered matches · current leagues
- Points
- 14.0
- xPts
- 9.7
Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 2; reconstructed: 5.
Full club analysis →
Sabah FA
Goals conceded away per match
1.8
Last 5 recorded away matches
Scores26
An away-only conceding average that meets the descriptive threshold. Home results are excluded from this club window; the league reference includes both venues and does not adjust opposition.
Recorded scores · away only · Last 5 recorded away matches · 2026-07-14 → 2026-09-10 UTC. UEFA Champions League 2026-2027: 2.04 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-08 → 2026-10-14 UTC. League reference includes home and away games; this club window is away only. Context only, without opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 5.8
- Recency
- 27.1
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 45.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 5 recorded away matches
Oldest → newest · scores from Sabah FA’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-14 | The New SaintsA | 2–1W |
| 2026-07-28 | KuPSA | 2–0W |
| 2026-08-05 | AarhusA | 1–2L |
| 2026-08-19 | Hapoel Beer ShevaA | 1–2L |
| 2026-09-10 | Manchester UnitedA | 0–4L |
Nottingham Forest
Points below expected
−4.6
7/7 covered matches · current leagues
Forecast61
The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 7/7 current-league matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Points 5; xPts 9.6. Saved pre: 2; reconstructed: 5. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Deviation
- 57.5
- Recency
- 96.2
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 45.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
7/7 covered matches · current leagues
- Points
- 5.0
- xPts
- 9.6
Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 2; reconstructed: 5.
Full club analysis →
Union St. Gilloise
Goals scored per match
2.3
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores60
This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-11 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Belgian Pro League 2026-2027: 1.51 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 28.6
- Recency
- 87.1
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 100.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Union St. Gilloise’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 | Bodo/GlimtA | 2–3L |
| 2026-08-15 | Zulte WaregemH | 0–0D |
| 2026-08-30 | AnderlechtH | 3–0W |
| 2026-09-02 | St. TruidenA | 3–0W |
| 2026-09-05 | CharleroiA | 3–2W |
| 2026-09-12 | Lommel UnitedH | 5–0W |
| 2026-09-17 | PlzenA | 3–0W |
| 2026-09-20 | AntwerpA | 2–0W |
| 2026-10-11 | OH LeuvenH | 1–1D |
| 2026-10-15 | Real SociedadH | 1–1D |
Frosinone
xG difference per match
−0.79
Underlying performance · 10-match window
Observed xG34
Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.
Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.41; xG against 2.2. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Deviation
- 52.7
- Recency
- 0.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Underlying performance · 10-match window
- xG for
- 1.41
- xG against
- 2.20
Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.
Full club analysis →
Lyon
Goals conceded per match
1.0
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores60
This conceding average meets the low-goals signal threshold. Compare it with the league reference; opponent strength and chance quality are not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Ligue 1 2026-2027: 1.52 goals per team/match, 63 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 21.4
- Recency
- 96.2
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 100.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Lyon’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | ToulouseA | 2–0W |
| 2026-08-26 | FenerbahceH | 1–2L |
| 2026-08-29 | LE HavreH | 1–1D |
| 2026-09-04 | AuxerreH | 3–1W |
| 2026-09-12 | Paris FCA | 0–0D |
| 2026-09-16 | AnderlechtA | 2–1W |
| 2026-09-19 | RennesH | 4–0W |
| 2026-10-09 | LensA | 1–2L |
| 2026-10-15 | Crystal PalaceH | 3–2W |
| 2026-10-18 | NiceH | 2–1W |
Kortrijk
Goals conceded per match
2.3
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores51
This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-10 UTC. Belgian Pro League 2026-2027: 1.51 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 24.7
- Recency
- 73.7
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Kortrijk’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 | Club Brugge KVA | 0–3L |
| 2026-08-15 | AntwerpH | 0–3L |
| 2026-08-29 | CharleroiH | 1–3L |
| 2026-09-03 | AnderlechtA | 0–1L |
| 2026-09-06 | Zulte WaregemH | 0–2L |
| 2026-09-13 | RAAL La LouvièreA | 0–3L |
| 2026-09-20 | SK BeverenH | 1–0W |
| 2026-10-10 | GenkA | 0–3L |
Atletico Madrid
Scoring in a row
7
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Streak76
The club has scored in consecutive recorded matches, starting with the latest result. One goal is enough to extend the run.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-17 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
- Deviation
- 70.0
- Recency
- 93.1
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 100.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Atletico Madrid’s perspective. Event: Scoring in a row.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | VillarrealH | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-08-29 | SevillaA | 3–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-05 | Athletic ClubA | 0–3L | No |
| 2026-09-09 | LiverpoolA | 1–2L | Yes |
| 2026-09-13 | Real SociedadA | 3–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-16 | OsasunaH | 4–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-20 | Real MadridH | 2–1W | Yes |
| 2026-10-10 | AlavesA | 2–1W | Yes |
| 2026-10-13 | Manchester UnitedH | 2–0W | Yes |
| 2026-10-17 | EspanyolA | 1–0W | Yes |
Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.
Full club analysis →
Villarreal
xG difference per match
+0.82
Underlying performance · 10-match window
Observed xG35
Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.
Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 2.12; xG against 1.3. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Deviation
- 54.7
- Recency
- 0.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Underlying performance · 10-match window
- xG for
- 2.12
- xG against
- 1.30
Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.
Full club analysis →About these insights
Read the signal. Keep the context.
Insights describe what is recorded. Use club and match analysis to explore what comes next.
Insight Score · experimental editorial interest. This version uses 0.35D + 0.25R + 0.20C + 0.20Q. D measures heuristic deviation, R observation recency, C breadth of evidence families and Q data quality. These starting weights are uncalibrated. It is neither team strength, win probability, statistical significance nor forecast confidence. Related result signals share one family; different sources are not automatically statistically independent. Unknown dates receive zero recency; unknown xG coverage limits its quality component. League averages are context references, not opponent-adjusted estimates.
Check the window
Result signals use the last 10 recorded matches; away signals use the last 8 away matches. At least 5 are required. Missing and special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound.
Read the chart
Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored or conceded, capped at 6; zero keeps a marker. Teal / amber / red means win / draw / loss. Faded bars mean the event did not happen. Open the evidence for full scores.
Separate the sources
xG uses observed Playing style averages before the next or latest league fixture; coverage can differ between inputs. xPts comes from stored LOAD90 forecasts on identical covered games, including labelled historical reconstructions.
Types alternate for variety. Values are ordered within their own metric, without a combined ranking. These descriptive signals do not change the LOAD90 forecast.
Explore methodology →