Football / The bigger picture

Insights.

Go beyond the result. Follow the patterns. See the evidence.

How to read the signals →

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Competition selects current clubs. Result windows include all recorded competitions; points comparisons use covered current-league matches.

Stories behind the signals

All tracked leagues · 794 signals · 190 clubs in this view

Explore all signals ↓

Automatically selected connections · one story per club · experimental Insight Score orders stories, not teams.

BarcelonaWinning, and exceeding expectationsInsight Score84/100

A winning run and points above forecast expectations stand out together. Separate the recorded results from the chance balance; the points comparison covers a different set of league matches.

Wins in a rowLast 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-27 → 2026-10-17 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions
10+
Points minus expected11/11 current-league matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-17 UTC
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games
+6.3
Goals scored / matchLast 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-27 → 2026-10-17 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions
4.3
Observed xG difference / match10-match profile · exact dates unavailable
Observed match xG · available averages
+2.60
Sources, limitations & score
Insight Score 84/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
100.0
Recency
61.3
Context
100.0
Quality
67.9

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

  • Wins in a row — A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
  • Points minus expected — Points 33; xPts 26.7. Saved pre: 3; reconstructed: 8. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
  • Goals scored / match — La Liga 2026-2027: 1.53 goals per team/match, 88 matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
  • Observed xG difference / match — Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 3.55; xG against 0.95. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
LazioPoints ahead. Chance balance tells another story.Insight Score81/100

Points exceed the stored forecasts, while the observed xG profile has no positive balance. Results and chances tell different stories; this does not establish that a reversal is due.

Points minus expected7/7 current-league matches · 2026-08-24 → 2026-10-18 UTC
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games
+8.2
Observed xG difference / match10-match profile · exact dates unavailable
Observed match xG · available averages
−0.15
Wins in a rowLast 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-24 → 2026-10-18 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions
3
Sources, limitations & score
Insight Score 81/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
100.0
Recency
63.3
Context
100.0
Quality
51.7

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

  • Points minus expected — Points 19; xPts 10.8. Saved pre: 2; reconstructed: 5. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
  • Observed xG difference / match — Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.15; xG against 1.3. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
  • Wins in a row — A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
PSV EindhovenChance balance ahead of the points returnInsight Score76/100

A positive observed xG balance sits alongside points below stored forecast expectations. These are different windows: inspect finishing, conceding and individual matches before assigning a cause.

Points minus expected11/11 current-league matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-17 UTC
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games
−3.9
Observed xG difference / match10-match profile · exact dates unavailable
Observed match xG · available averages
+1.16
Goals scored / matchLast 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-17 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions
2.6
Sources, limitations & score
Insight Score 76/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
77.3
Recency
61.3
Context
100.0
Quality
66.4

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

  • Points minus expected — Points 20; xPts 23.9. Saved pre: 2; reconstructed: 9. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
  • Observed xG difference / match — Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 2.27; xG against 1.11. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
  • Goals scored / match — Eredivisie 2026-2027: 1.92 goals per team/match, 81 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
Bayern MünchenGoals accompanied by a positive chance balanceInsight Score74/100

Goals scored exceed the current league reference, alongside a positive observed xG profile. The sources have different windows; both describe past performances rather than the next result.

Goals scored / matchLast 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-17 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions
3.8
Observed xG difference / match10-match profile · exact dates unavailable
Observed match xG · available averages
+2.15
Sources, limitations & score
Insight Score 74/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
100.0
Recency
45.9
Context
80.0
Quality
60.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

  • Goals scored / match — Bundesliga 2026-2027: 1.84 goals per team/match, 54 matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
  • Observed xG difference / match — Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 3.27; xG against 1.12. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
ArsenalDefensive consistency, positive chance balanceInsight Score68/100

Clean sheets and low goals conceded accompany a positive observed xG balance. The xG profile describes overall chance balance; it is not, by itself, proof of strong defending.

Clean sheetsLast 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions
6/9
Goals conceded / matchLast 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions
0.6
Observed xG difference / match10-match profile · exact dates unavailable
Observed match xG · available averages
+0.71
Sources, limitations & score
Insight Score 68/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
76.2
Recency
47.5
Context
80.0
Quality
65.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

  • Clean sheets — Premier League 2026-2027: 1.45 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
  • Goals conceded / match — Premier League 2026-2027: 1.45 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
  • Observed xG difference / match — Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.56; xG against 0.85. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Each signal belongs to one category. Categories sum to All signals; stories combine related evidence across categories.

All signals794 signals · 190 clubs

Select a row to explore the evidence. Scroll to see all columns →

Crystal Palace xG difference per match −0.34 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG24

Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.52; xG against 1.86. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 24/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
22.7
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
1.52
xG against
1.86

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Celje Goals conceded per match 1.8 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores45

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-07-22 → 2026-10-15 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 45/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
11.5
Recency
86.0
Context
40.0
Quality
57.6

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Celje’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-07-22Egnatia RrogozhinëA3–3D
2026-07-28Egnatia RrogozhinëH1–1D
2026-08-04Ararat-ArmeniaA1–2L
2026-08-11Ararat-ArmeniaH2–0W
2026-08-19Slovan BratislavaA1–1D
2026-08-26Slovan BratislavaH1–2L
2026-09-16Bayer LeverkusenA0–2L
2026-10-15Omonia NicosiaH0–3L
Full club analysis →
Celje Both teams scored 63% Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores47

Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-07-22 → 2026-10-15 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 47/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
17.9
Recency
86.0
Context
40.0
Quality
57.6

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Celje’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-07-22Egnatia RrogozhinëA3–3DYes
2026-07-28Egnatia RrogozhinëH1–1DYes
2026-08-04Ararat-ArmeniaA1–2LYes
2026-08-11Ararat-ArmeniaH2–0WNo
2026-08-19Slovan BratislavaA1–1DYes
2026-08-26Slovan BratislavaH1–2LYes
2026-09-16Bayer LeverkusenA0–2LNo
2026-10-15Omonia NicosiaH0–3LNo
Full club analysis →
Ararat-Armenia Clean sheets 3 Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Scores46

Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-07-07 → 2026-10-15 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 46/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
7.2
Recency
86.0
Context
40.0
Quality
72.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Ararat-Armenia’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-07-07RigaH2–0WYes
2026-07-14RigaA2–3LNo
2026-07-21Shamrock RoversH2–0WYes
2026-07-28Shamrock RoversA1–2LNo
2026-08-04CeljeH2–1WNo
2026-08-11CeljeA0–2LNo
2026-08-20Universitatea CraiovaA1–1DNo
2026-08-27Universitatea CraiovaH1–0WYes
2026-09-16Sparta PrahaH1–4LNo
2026-10-15JagielloniaA1–3LNo
Full club analysis →
Union Berlin Points below expected −1.2 6/6 covered matches · current leagues Forecast45

The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 6/6 current-league matches · 2026-08-29 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Points 5; xPts 6.2. Saved pre: 2; reconstructed: 4. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 45/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
16.4
Recency
91.9
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

6/6 covered matches · current leagues

Points
5.0
xPts
6.2

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 2; reconstructed: 4.

Full club analysis →
Borussia Dortmund Goals scored per match 1.8 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores48

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-29 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Bundesliga 2026-2027: 1.84 goals per team/match, 54 matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 48/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
2.7
Recency
91.9
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Borussia Dortmund’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-29Hamburger SVH2–0W
2026-09-051899 HoffenheimA3–2W
2026-09-08VillarrealH3–2W
2026-09-12SC Paderborn 07H3–0W
2026-09-19VfB StuttgartA1–0W
2026-10-09Werder BremenH2–2D
2026-10-14Bodo/GlimtA0–1L
2026-10-17Union BerlinA0–0D
Full club analysis →
Antwerp xG difference per match −0.32 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG23

Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.27; xG against 1.59. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 23/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
21.3
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
1.27
xG against
1.59

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Lech Poznan Goals conceded per match 1.8 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores45

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-07-21 → 2026-10-15 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 45/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
11.5
Recency
86.0
Context
40.0
Quality
57.6

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Lech Poznan’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-07-21AarhusA4–1W
2026-07-29AarhusH0–3L
2026-08-06KI KlaksvikH1–0W
2026-08-14KI KlaksvikA5–0W
2026-08-20FC ThunH7–0W
2026-08-27FC ThunA2–2D
2026-09-17Crystal PalaceA0–4L
2026-10-15Bayer LeverkusenH0–4L
Full club analysis →
Antwerp Both teams scored 63% Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores55

Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Belgian Pro League 2026-2027: 1.51 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 55/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
35.9
Recency
75.2
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Antwerp’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-09SK BeverenH2–1WYes
2026-08-15KortrijkA3–0WNo
2026-08-22GenkH4–4DYes
2026-08-30St. TruidenH1–4LYes
2026-09-05Standard LiegeA0–1LNo
2026-09-13Club Brugge KVA1–3LYes
2026-09-20Union St. GilloiseH0–2LNo
2026-10-11KVC WesterloA1–5LYes
Full club analysis →
SC Paderborn 07 Points below expected −1.2 6/6 covered matches · current leagues Forecast45

The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 6/6 current-league matches · 2026-08-29 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Points 5; xPts 6.2. Saved pre: 2; reconstructed: 4. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 45/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
16.4
Recency
91.9
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

6/6 covered matches · current leagues

Points
5.0
xPts
6.2

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 2; reconstructed: 4.

Full club analysis →
VfB Stuttgart Goals scored per match 1.8 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores48

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Bundesliga 2026-2027: 1.84 goals per team/match, 54 matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 48/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
2.7
Recency
91.9
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from VfB Stuttgart’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-28Bayern MünchenA1–5L
2026-09-041.FC KölnH4–1W
2026-09-09VikingH3–1W
2026-09-121899 HoffenheimA1–2L
2026-09-19Borussia DortmundH0–1L
2026-10-10SC Paderborn 07A2–0W
2026-10-14Slovan BratislavaA3–0W
2026-10-17Hamburger SVA0–1L
Full club analysis →
Heerenveen xG difference per match −0.31 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG23

Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.27; xG against 1.58. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 23/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
20.7
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
1.27
xG against
1.58

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
OH Leuven Goals conceded per match 1.8 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores46

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Belgian Pro League 2026-2027: 1.51 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 46/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
7.9
Recency
75.2
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from OH Leuven’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-09CharleroiA1–3L
2026-08-15Club Brugge KVH0–3L
2026-08-29Standard LiegeH1–2L
2026-09-03GentA0–1L
2026-09-06SK BeverenA0–3L
2026-09-12Cercle BruggeH1–1D
2026-09-19RAAL La LouvièreH2–0W
2026-10-11Union St. GilloiseA1–1D
Full club analysis →
Cercle Brugge Both teams scored 63% Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores55

Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-10 UTC. Belgian Pro League 2026-2027: 1.51 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 55/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
35.9
Recency
72.8
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Cercle Brugge’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-08Standard LiegeA2–2DYes
2026-08-14St. TruidenH3–3DYes
2026-08-23Club Brugge KVA0–1LNo
2026-08-29Lommel UnitedH0–1LNo
2026-09-06GentH0–3LNo
2026-09-12OH LeuvenA1–1DYes
2026-09-19CharleroiA2–3LYes
2026-10-10AnderlechtH1–2LYes
Full club analysis →
Gazişehir Gaziantep Points below expected −1.1 8/8 covered matches · current leagues Forecast45

The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 8/8 current-league matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Points 8; xPts 9.1. Saved pre: 1; reconstructed: 7. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 45/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
12.7
Recency
95.0
Context
40.0
Quality
45.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

8/8 covered matches · current leagues

Points
8.0
xPts
9.1

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 1; reconstructed: 7.

Full club analysis →
Estrela Goals scored per match 1.8 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores48

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 48/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
14.3
Recency
75.2
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Estrela’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-08Sporting CPH2–2D
2026-08-15AlvercaA2–2D
2026-08-30NacionalA3–2W
2026-09-05FamalicaoH2–2D
2026-09-10SC BragaH2–1W
2026-09-14Rio AveA3–3D
2026-09-20Academico ViseuH0–2L
2026-10-11AroucaA0–1L
Full club analysis →
Chelsea xG difference per match −0.30 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG23

Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.2; xG against 1.5. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 23/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
20.0
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
1.20
xG against
1.50

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Maritimo Goals conceded per match 1.8 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores47

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-10 UTC. Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 47/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
14.3
Recency
72.8
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Maritimo’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-08Casa PiaH1–0W
2026-08-16FamalicaoA2–1W
2026-08-22Academico ViseuH2–2D
2026-08-29AroucaA1–2L
2026-09-05BenficaH0–3L
2026-09-14MoreirenseA1–3L
2026-09-19GIL VicenteA1–1D
2026-10-10FC PortoH1–2L
Full club analysis →
KVC Westerlo Both teams scored 63% Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores55

Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Belgian Pro League 2026-2027: 1.51 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 55/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
35.9
Recency
75.2
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from KVC Westerlo’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-08Union St. GilloiseH1–5LYes
2026-08-15GenkA2–3LYes
2026-08-23Lommel UnitedA0–4LNo
2026-08-30Zulte WaregemH2–2DYes
2026-09-05KV MechelenA4–0WNo
2026-09-12Standard LiegeH4–2WYes
2026-09-20St. TruidenA2–0WNo
2026-10-11AntwerpH5–1WYes
Full club analysis →
Standard Liege Points below expected −1.1 8/8 covered matches · current leagues Forecast39

The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 8/8 current-league matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Points 11; xPts 12.1. Saved pre: 0; reconstructed: 8. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 39/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
12.7
Recency
75.2
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

8/8 covered matches · current leagues

Points
11.0
xPts
12.1

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 0; reconstructed: 8.

Full club analysis →
Strasbourg Goals scored per match 1.7 Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Scores47

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Ligue 1 2026-2027: 1.52 goals per team/match, 63 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 47/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
6.8
Recency
91.9
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Strasbourg’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-21MarseilleA0–4L
2026-08-29LensH2–1W
2026-09-06Estac TroyesA6–2W
2026-09-12MonacoH1–1D
2026-09-19Paris FCA1–2L
2026-10-11NiceA1–2L
2026-10-17Paris Saint GermainH1–3L
Full club analysis →
Red Bull Salzburg xG difference per match −0.29 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG23

Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.35; xG against 1.64. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 23/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
19.3
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
1.35
xG against
1.64

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
SK Beveren Goals conceded per match 1.8 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores44

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-09 UTC. Belgian Pro League 2026-2027: 1.51 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 44/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
7.9
Recency
70.4
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from SK Beveren’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-09AntwerpA1–2L
2026-08-16AnderlechtH1–0W
2026-08-22Zulte WaregemA0–4L
2026-08-28GenkA0–4L
2026-09-06OH LeuvenH3–0W
2026-09-12St. TruidenH2–0W
2026-09-20KortrijkA0–1L
2026-10-09Lommel UnitedH1–3L
Full club analysis →
Standard Liege Both teams scored 63% Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores55

Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Belgian Pro League 2026-2027: 1.51 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 55/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
35.9
Recency
75.2
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Standard Liege’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-08Cercle BruggeH2–2DYes
2026-08-16KV MechelenA3–3DYes
2026-08-21RAAL La LouvièreH2–0WNo
2026-08-29OH LeuvenA2–1WYes
2026-09-05AntwerpH1–0WNo
2026-09-12KVC WesterloA2–4LYes
2026-09-18GentA1–2LYes
2026-10-11CharleroiH0–1LNo
Full club analysis →
Toulouse Goals scored per match 1.7 Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Scores47

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-16 UTC. Ligue 1 2026-2027: 1.52 goals per team/match, 63 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 47/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
6.8
Recency
88.9
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Toulouse’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-22LyonH0–2L
2026-08-29Stade Brestois 29A2–2D
2026-09-03LilleH0–1L
2026-09-12LorientA2–2D
2026-09-19LE HavreH3–2W
2026-10-10MonacoA2–2D
2026-10-16Le MansA3–0W
Full club analysis →
Sturm Graz xG difference per match −0.29 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG23

Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.16; xG against 1.45. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 23/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
19.3
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
1.16
xG against
1.45

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Feyenoord Goals conceded per match 1.7 Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Scores54

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-16 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Eredivisie 2026-2027: 1.92 goals per team/match, 81 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 54/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
7.8
Recency
91.9
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Feyenoord’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-16GO Ahead EaglesH2–2D
2026-08-23CambuurA5–2W
2026-08-30ADO Den HaagH2–2D
2026-09-05NEC NijmegenA3–1W
2026-09-09BarcelonaA1–5L
2026-09-13PEC ZwolleA7–0W
2026-09-20UtrechtH5–0W
2026-10-10AZ AlkmaarH2–0W
2026-10-14ComoH3–2W
2026-10-17TelstarA4–3W
Full club analysis →
Levante Both teams scored 63% Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores48

Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-16 → 2026-10-16 UTC. La Liga 2026-2027: 1.53 goals per team/match, 88 matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 48/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
6.3
Recency
88.9
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Levante’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-16EspanyolA0–3LNo
2026-08-24OsasunaA0–0DNo
2026-08-29Real BetisH5–2WYes
2026-09-06MalagaA0–0DNo
2026-09-13BarcelonaH2–4LYes
2026-09-20VillarrealA1–3LYes
2026-10-12SevillaH3–3DYes
2026-10-16Deportivo La CorunaA1–1DYes
Full club analysis →
Sassuolo Goals scored per match 1.7 Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Scores47

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-16 UTC. Serie A 2026-2027: 1.48 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 47/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
8.9
Recency
88.9
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Sassuolo’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-23AtalantaA1–2L
2026-08-29TorinoH2–1W
2026-09-06BolognaA2–2D
2026-09-13JuventusH3–2W
2026-09-18MonzaA1–2L
2026-10-11AC MilanH1–1D
2026-10-16FrosinoneA2–4L
Full club analysis →
Çorum FK xG difference per match −0.30 Underlying performance · 8-match window Observed xG21

Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.

Observed match xG · available averages · 8-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.12; xG against 1.42. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 21/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
18.5
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
32.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 8-match window

xG for
1.12
xG against
1.42

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Lecce Goals conceded per match 1.7 Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Scores49

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Serie A 2026-2027: 1.48 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 49/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
8.9
Recency
95.0
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Lecce’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-23VeneziaA2–0W
2026-08-31AS RomaH0–4L
2026-09-07CagliariA0–1L
2026-09-13MonzaH3–2W
2026-09-20AC MilanA0–3L
2026-10-11BolognaH1–2L
2026-10-18UdineseA3–0W
Full club analysis →
Çorum FK Both teams scored 63% Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores58

Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-16 UTC. Süper Lig 2026-2027: 1.44 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 58/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
33.3
Recency
88.9
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Çorum FK’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-14GalatasarayA2–2DYes
2026-08-22KasimpasaH0–1LNo
2026-08-31BesiktasA2–6LYes
2026-09-06EyüpsporH3–0WNo
2026-09-12SamsunsporA5–1WYes
2026-09-19AlanyasporH1–2LYes
2026-10-11Gazişehir GaziantepA3–0WNo
2026-10-16RizesporH2–1WYes
Full club analysis →
Paris FC Goals scored per match 1.7 Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Scores48

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Ligue 1 2026-2027: 1.52 goals per team/match, 63 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 48/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
6.8
Recency
95.0
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Paris FC’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-22Estac TroyesA0–0D
2026-08-30NiceH3–0W
2026-09-06MarseilleA3–2W
2026-09-12LyonH0–0D
2026-09-19StrasbourgH2–1W
2026-10-10LorientA0–1L
2026-10-18RennesH4–3W
Full club analysis →
Utrecht xG difference per match −0.27 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG22

Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.38; xG against 1.65. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 22/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
18.0
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
1.38
xG against
1.65

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Inter Goals conceded per match 1.7 Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Scores52

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Serie A 2026-2027: 1.48 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 52/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
7.8
Recency
91.9
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Inter’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-22MonzaH4–1W
2026-08-30CagliariA1–0W
2026-09-05NapoliH3–2W
2026-09-08Real MadridA1–2L
2026-09-14UdineseH5–3W
2026-09-19AS RomaA2–2D
2026-10-10ParmaH3–0W
2026-10-13Club Brugge KVH3–4L
2026-10-17BolognaA3–1W
Full club analysis →
AZ Alkmaar Both teams scored 60% Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Scores60

Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Eredivisie 2026-2027: 1.92 goals per team/match, 81 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 60/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
23.2
Recency
95.0
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from AZ Alkmaar’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-15UtrechtA4–1WYes
2026-08-22Fortuna SittardA2–0WNo
2026-08-29GO Ahead EaglesH5–2WYes
2026-09-06HeerenveenA3–2WYes
2026-09-11Willem IIH1–1DYes
2026-09-16SunderlandA0–1LNo
2026-09-20TelstarH1–0WNo
2026-10-10FeyenoordA0–2LNo
2026-10-15Hapoel Beer ShevaH2–1WYes
2026-10-18CambuurA2–2DYes
Full club analysis →
Arsenal Goals scored per match 1.7 Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Scores53

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Premier League 2026-2027: 1.45 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 53/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
8.2
Recency
95.0
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Arsenal’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-21CoventryH3–0W
2026-08-31Aston VillaA1–0W
2026-09-06ChelseaH2–1W
2026-09-09NapoliA1–0W
2026-09-12SunderlandA2–0W
2026-09-19BrightonA0–3L
2026-10-10LeedsH2–1W
2026-10-13LilleH3–0W
2026-10-18Nottingham ForestA1–0W
Full club analysis →
Erzurumspor FK xG difference per match −0.28 Underlying performance · 8-match window Observed xG20

Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.

Observed match xG · available averages · 8-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 0.82; xG against 1.1. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 20/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
17.2
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
32.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 8-match window

xG for
0.82
xG against
1.10

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Marseille Goals conceded per match 1.7 Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Scores52

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Ligue 1 2026-2027: 1.52 goals per team/match, 63 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 52/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
5.6
Recency
95.0
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Marseille’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-21StrasbourgH4–0W
2026-08-30MonacoA0–2L
2026-09-06Paris FCH2–3L
2026-09-11RennesA0–1L
2026-09-17BesiktasA1–4L
2026-09-20Paris Saint GermainH1–2L
2026-10-11Estac TroyesA2–0W
2026-10-15Olympiakos PiraeusH0–1L
2026-10-18AngersA5–2W
Full club analysis →
Benfica Both teams scored 60% Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Scores56

Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-20 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 56/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
17.2
Recency
86.0
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Benfica’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-20AarhusH3–1WYes
2026-08-27AarhusA3–1WYes
2026-08-31EstorilH2–1WYes
2026-09-05MaritimoA3–0WNo
2026-09-09MoreirenseA4–0WNo
2026-09-13GIL VicenteH3–1WYes
2026-09-16AC MilanA2–0WNo
2026-09-20FC PortoA1–3LYes
2026-10-11GuimaraesH2–0WNo
2026-10-15CelticH4–1WYes
Full club analysis →
Crystal Palace Goals scored per match 1.7 Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Scores53

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Premier League 2026-2027: 1.45 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 53/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
8.2
Recency
95.0
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Crystal Palace’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-22EvertonA0–2L
2026-08-28Manchester CityH1–4L
2026-09-05FulhamA3–2W
2026-09-12IpswichH2–3L
2026-09-17Lech PoznanH4–0W
2026-09-20LeedsA0–0D
2026-10-11Nottingham ForestH3–1W
2026-10-15LyonA2–3L
2026-10-18BrightonA0–5L
Full club analysis →
Lyon xG difference per match −0.25 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG22

Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.32; xG against 1.57. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 22/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
16.7
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
1.32
xG against
1.57

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Rennes Goals conceded per match 1.7 Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Scores52

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Ligue 1 2026-2027: 1.52 goals per team/match, 63 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 52/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
5.6
Recency
95.0
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Rennes’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-23Paris Saint GermainH2–2D
2026-08-30Le MansH3–2W
2026-09-06AngersA2–1W
2026-09-11MarseilleH1–0W
2026-09-16Sturm GrazA0–0D
2026-09-19LyonA0–4L
2026-10-11AuxerreH4–1W
2026-10-15OFIH2–1W
2026-10-18Paris FCA3–4L
Full club analysis →
Celtic Both teams scored 60% Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Scores51

Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-25 → 2026-10-18 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 51/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
14.4
Recency
95.0
Context
40.0
Quality
72.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Celtic’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-25Lask LinzA1–5LYes
2026-08-29FalkirkH2–1WYes
2026-09-02AberdeenH3–0WNo
2026-09-05ST MirrenA2–1WYes
2026-09-09ST JohnstoneA1–0WNo
2026-09-17Ferencvarosi TCH1–3LYes
2026-09-20RangersH0–1LNo
2026-10-11MotherwellA2–0WNo
2026-10-15BenficaA1–4LYes
2026-10-18Heart Of MidlothianH7–1WYes
Full club analysis →
Marseille Goals scored per match 1.7 Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Scores52

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Ligue 1 2026-2027: 1.52 goals per team/match, 63 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 52/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
5.6
Recency
95.0
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Marseille’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-21StrasbourgH4–0W
2026-08-30MonacoA0–2L
2026-09-06Paris FCH2–3L
2026-09-11RennesA0–1L
2026-09-17BesiktasA1–4L
2026-09-20Paris Saint GermainH1–2L
2026-10-11Estac TroyesA2–0W
2026-10-15Olympiakos PiraeusH0–1L
2026-10-18AngersA5–2W
Full club analysis →
Genoa xG difference per match −0.24 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG22

Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 0.93; xG against 1.17. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 22/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
16.0
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
0.93
xG against
1.17

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Lens Goals conceded per match 1.7 Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Scores51

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Ligue 1 2026-2027: 1.52 goals per team/match, 63 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 51/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
5.6
Recency
91.9
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Lens’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-22AuxerreH5–2W
2026-08-29StrasbourgA1–2L
2026-09-05LorientH0–1L
2026-09-10Slavia PrahaA3–2W
2026-09-13Le MansA2–2D
2026-09-18MonacoA1–2L
2026-10-09LyonH2–1W
2026-10-13Sporting CPH0–2L
2026-10-17Estac TroyesA3–1W
Full club analysis →
Galatasaray Both teams scored 60% Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Scores62

Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Süper Lig 2026-2027: 1.44 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 62/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
31.1
Recency
91.9
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Galatasaray’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-14Çorum FKH2–2DYes
2026-08-21Erzurumspor FKA4–0WNo
2026-08-29GoztepeH3–2WYes
2026-09-04Istanbul BasaksehirA3–2WYes
2026-09-09Sporting CPA1–3LYes
2026-09-13KocaelisporH1–0WNo
2026-09-19TrabzonsporA0–4LNo
2026-10-09KasimpasaH3–1WYes
2026-10-13BarcelonaH1–4LYes
2026-10-17GenclerbirligiA1–0WNo
Full club analysis →
Heerenveen Goals scored per match 1.7 Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Scores51

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-16 UTC. Eredivisie 2026-2027: 1.92 goals per team/match, 81 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 51/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
8.6
Recency
88.9
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Heerenveen’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-09TwenteH1–0W
2026-08-16AjaxA2–2D
2026-08-22PEC ZwolleH0–2L
2026-08-30Willem IIA2–2D
2026-09-06AZ AlkmaarH2–3L
2026-09-13TelstarH0–0D
2026-09-19Sparta RotterdamA4–0W
2026-10-09PSV EindhovenA0–2L
2026-10-16ExcelsiorH4–0W
Full club analysis →
FC Augsburg xG difference per match −0.23 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG21

Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 2.02; xG against 2.25. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 21/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
15.3
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
2.02
xG against
2.25

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Valencia Goals conceded per match 1.7 Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Scores51

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-17 UTC. La Liga 2026-2027: 1.53 goals per team/match, 88 matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 51/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
4.5
Recency
91.9
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Valencia’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-22Celta VigoH0–0D
2026-08-25Real BetisH0–1L
2026-08-30Deportivo La CorunaA1–3L
2026-09-06BarcelonaH0–5L
2026-09-11SevillaA0–1L
2026-09-15AlavesA1–0W
2026-09-20Real SociedadH2–3L
2026-10-11Racing SantanderA2–2D
2026-10-17Athletic ClubH0–0D
Full club analysis →
Ferencvarosi TC Both teams scored 60% Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Scores49

Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-07-09 → 2026-10-15 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 49/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
14.4
Recency
86.0
Context
40.0
Quality
72.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Ferencvarosi TC’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-07-09VojvodinaA2–1WYes
2026-07-16VojvodinaH3–0WNo
2026-07-23TwenteA2–1WYes
2026-07-30TwenteH2–2DYes
2026-08-05Gornik ZabrzeH1–0WNo
2026-08-13Gornik ZabrzeA1–1DYes
2026-08-20TrabzonsporA1–0WNo
2026-08-27TrabzonsporH4–0WNo
2026-09-17CelticA3–1WYes
2026-10-15PlzenH2–1WYes
Full club analysis →
Eintracht Frankfurt Goals scored per match 1.7 Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions Scores44

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 6 recorded matches · 2026-08-29 → 2026-10-16 UTC. Bundesliga 2026-2027: 1.84 goals per team/match, 54 matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 44/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
4.6
Recency
88.9
Context
40.0
Quality
60.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Eintracht Frankfurt’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-29Union BerlinA3–3D
2026-09-06FC AugsburgH1–4L
2026-09-12FSV Mainz 05A3–1W
2026-09-19SC FreiburgH2–2D
2026-10-10RB LeipzigA0–6L
2026-10-161.FC KölnH1–0W
Full club analysis →
Famalicao xG difference per match −0.23 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG21

Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 0.9; xG against 1.13. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 21/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
15.3
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
0.90
xG against
1.13

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Sunderland Goals conceded per match 1.7 Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Scores53

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Premier League 2026-2027: 1.45 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 53/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
8.2
Recency
95.0
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Sunderland’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-22IpswichA1–2L
2026-08-30FulhamH1–0W
2026-09-05BrentfordA1–1D
2026-09-12ArsenalH0–2L
2026-09-16AZ AlkmaarH1–0W
2026-09-20Manchester CityA3–5L
2026-10-10BrightonH0–2L
2026-10-15TorreenseA2–1W
2026-10-18BournemouthA0–2L
Full club analysis →
Besiktas Both teams scored 60% Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Scores63

Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Süper Lig 2026-2027: 1.44 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 63/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
31.1
Recency
98.2
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Besiktas’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-23AlanyasporA0–1LNo
2026-08-27Kauno ŽalgirisA0–1LNo
2026-08-31Çorum FKH6–2WYes
2026-09-05FenerbahceA2–1WYes
2026-09-11Erzurumspor FKH3–0WNo
2026-09-17MarseilleH4–1WYes
2026-09-20AmedA2–3LYes
2026-10-11KocaelisporH2–1WYes
2026-10-151899 HoffenheimA3–2WYes
2026-10-19TrabzonsporA0–2LNo
Full club analysis →
1899 Hoffenheim Goals scored per match 1.6 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores50

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-29 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Bundesliga 2026-2027: 1.84 goals per team/match, 54 matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 50/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
6.4
Recency
95.0
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from 1899 Hoffenheim’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-291.FC KölnA2–3L
2026-09-05Borussia DortmundH2–3L
2026-09-12VfB StuttgartH2–1W
2026-09-17OFIA0–2L
2026-09-20SC Paderborn 07A1–3L
2026-10-10Hamburger SVH2–3L
2026-10-15BesiktasH2–3L
2026-10-18Borussia MönchengladbachA2–1W
Full club analysis →
Jagiellonia xG difference per match −0.23 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG21

Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.55; xG against 1.78. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 21/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
15.3
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
1.55
xG against
1.78

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
FSV Mainz 05 Goals conceded per match 1.7 Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions Scores45

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 6 recorded matches · 2026-08-29 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Bundesliga 2026-2027: 1.84 goals per team/match, 54 matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 45/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
4.6
Recency
91.9
Context
40.0
Quality
60.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from FSV Mainz 05’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-29SC Paderborn 07H0–0D
2026-09-06Hamburger SVA5–0W
2026-09-12Eintracht FrankfurtH1–3L
2026-09-19Borussia MönchengladbachA4–3W
2026-10-10Bayer LeverkusenH3–4L
2026-10-17FC Schalke 04A1–0W
Full club analysis →
Ararat-Armenia Both teams scored 60% Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Scores49

Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-07-07 → 2026-10-15 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 49/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
14.4
Recency
86.0
Context
40.0
Quality
72.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Ararat-Armenia’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-07-07RigaH2–0WNo
2026-07-14RigaA2–3LYes
2026-07-21Shamrock RoversH2–0WNo
2026-07-28Shamrock RoversA1–2LYes
2026-08-04CeljeH2–1WYes
2026-08-11CeljeA0–2LNo
2026-08-20Universitatea CraiovaA1–1DYes
2026-08-27Universitatea CraiovaH1–0WNo
2026-09-16Sparta PrahaH1–4LYes
2026-10-15JagielloniaA1–3LYes
Full club analysis →
Standard Liege Goals scored per match 1.6 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores44

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Belgian Pro League 2026-2027: 1.51 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 44/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
3.7
Recency
75.2
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Standard Liege’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-08Cercle BruggeH2–2D
2026-08-16KV MechelenA3–3D
2026-08-21RAAL La LouvièreH2–0W
2026-08-29OH LeuvenA2–1W
2026-09-05AntwerpH1–0W
2026-09-12KVC WesterloA2–4L
2026-09-18GentA1–2L
2026-10-11CharleroiH0–1L
Full club analysis →
Shakhtar Donetsk xG difference per match −0.23 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG21

Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.04; xG against 1.27. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 21/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
15.3
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
1.04
xG against
1.27

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Slovan Bratislava Goals conceded per match 1.6 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores45

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-07-21 → 2026-10-14 UTC. UEFA Champions League 2026-2027: 2.04 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-08 → 2026-10-14 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 45/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
12.3
Recency
83.2
Context
40.0
Quality
57.6

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Slovan Bratislava’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-07-21SaburtaloA2–0W
2026-07-29SaburtaloH1–1D
2026-08-04Mjallby AIFA2–1W
2026-08-11Mjallby AIFH2–0W
2026-08-19CeljeH1–1D
2026-08-26CeljeA2–1W
2026-09-09Paris Saint GermainA1–6L
2026-10-14VfB StuttgartH0–3L
Full club analysis →
Alverca Goals scored per match 1.6 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores47

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-12 UTC. Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 47/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
9.6
Recency
77.8
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Alverca’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-09FC PortoA0–2L
2026-08-15EstrelaH2–2D
2026-08-22Sporting CPA1–3L
2026-08-29Santa ClaraH1–1D
2026-09-05SC BragaH1–2L
2026-09-12NacionalA3–1W
2026-09-19Rio AveH1–0W
2026-10-12FamalicaoA4–1W
Full club analysis →
Sparta Praha xG difference per match −0.21 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG21

Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.15; xG against 1.36. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 21/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
14.0
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
1.15
xG against
1.36

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Standard Liege Goals conceded per match 1.6 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores44

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Belgian Pro League 2026-2027: 1.51 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 44/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
3.7
Recency
75.2
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Standard Liege’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-08Cercle BruggeH2–2D
2026-08-16KV MechelenA3–3D
2026-08-21RAAL La LouvièreH2–0W
2026-08-29OH LeuvenA2–1W
2026-09-05AntwerpH1–0W
2026-09-12KVC WesterloA2–4L
2026-09-18GentA1–2L
2026-10-11CharleroiH0–1L
Full club analysis →
Villarreal Goals scored per match 1.6 Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Scores52

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-17 UTC. La Liga 2026-2027: 1.53 goals per team/match, 88 matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 52/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
2.3
Recency
91.9
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Villarreal’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-23Atletico MadridA2–2D
2026-08-28AlavesA0–1L
2026-09-05Deportivo La CorunaH2–3L
2026-09-08Borussia DortmundA2–3L
2026-09-14Real BetisH1–2L
2026-09-17MalagaA3–1W
2026-09-20LevanteH3–1W
2026-10-10Real MadridA0–1L
2026-10-13NapoliH3–1W
2026-10-17ElcheH0–0D
Full club analysis →
Bodo/Glimt xG difference per match −0.20 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG21

Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.42; xG against 1.62. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 21/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
13.3
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
1.42
xG against
1.62

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Çorum FK Goals conceded per match 1.6 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores48

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-16 UTC. Süper Lig 2026-2027: 1.44 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 48/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
5.9
Recency
88.9
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Çorum FK’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-14GalatasarayA2–2D
2026-08-22KasimpasaH0–1L
2026-08-31BesiktasA2–6L
2026-09-06EyüpsporH3–0W
2026-09-12SamsunsporA5–1W
2026-09-19AlanyasporH1–2L
2026-10-11Gazişehir GaziantepA3–0W
2026-10-16RizesporH2–1W
Full club analysis →
Ipswich Goals scored per match 1.6 Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Scores46

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Premier League 2026-2027: 1.45 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 46/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
4.2
Recency
91.9
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Ipswich’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-22SunderlandH2–1W
2026-08-30Manchester UnitedA2–5L
2026-09-04LiverpoolH0–2L
2026-09-12Crystal PalaceA3–2W
2026-09-19EvertonA0–1L
2026-10-10FulhamH2–1W
2026-10-17Manchester CityA2–3L
Full club analysis →
Celtic Goals conceded per match 1.6 Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Scores48

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-25 → 2026-10-18 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 48/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
6.6
Recency
95.0
Context
40.0
Quality
72.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Celtic’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-25Lask LinzA1–5L
2026-08-29FalkirkH2–1W
2026-09-02AberdeenH3–0W
2026-09-05ST MirrenA2–1W
2026-09-09ST JohnstoneA1–0W
2026-09-17Ferencvarosi TCH1–3L
2026-09-20RangersH0–1L
2026-10-11MotherwellA2–0W
2026-10-15BenficaA1–4L
2026-10-18Heart Of MidlothianH7–1W
Full club analysis →
Auxerre Goals scored per match 1.6 Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Scores46

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Ligue 1 2026-2027: 1.52 goals per team/match, 63 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 46/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
1.7
Recency
95.0
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Auxerre’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-22LensA2–5L
2026-08-29AngersH1–3L
2026-09-04LyonA1–3L
2026-09-12NiceH1–0W
2026-09-20Stade Brestois 29H2–1W
2026-10-11RennesA1–4L
2026-10-18LE HavreA3–1W
Full club analysis →
Ararat-Armenia Goals conceded per match 1.6 Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Scores46

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-07-07 → 2026-10-15 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 46/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
6.6
Recency
86.0
Context
40.0
Quality
72.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Ararat-Armenia’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-07-07RigaH2–0W
2026-07-14RigaA2–3L
2026-07-21Shamrock RoversH2–0W
2026-07-28Shamrock RoversA1–2L
2026-08-04CeljeH2–1W
2026-08-11CeljeA0–2L
2026-08-20Universitatea CraiovaA1–1D
2026-08-27Universitatea CraiovaH1–0W
2026-09-16Sparta PrahaH1–4L
2026-10-15JagielloniaA1–3L
Full club analysis →
Manchester United Goals scored per match 1.6 Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Scores51

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Premier League 2026-2027: 1.45 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 51/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
4.0
Recency
95.0
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Manchester United’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-22Hull CityA0–2L
2026-08-30IpswichH5–2W
2026-09-06EvertonA2–2D
2026-09-10Sabah FAH4–0W
2026-09-13Manchester CityH0–1L
2026-09-20FulhamA1–1D
2026-10-10TottenhamH1–1D
2026-10-13Atletico MadridA0–2L
2026-10-18LeedsA1–1D
Full club analysis →
Atalanta Goals conceded per match 1.6 Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Scores47

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Serie A 2026-2027: 1.48 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 47/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
3.5
Recency
95.0
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Atalanta’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-23SassuoloH2–1W
2026-08-31BolognaH1–0W
2026-09-05AS RomaA1–2L
2026-09-12CagliariH1–2L
2026-09-20JuventusA0–2L
2026-10-12VeneziaH3–1W
2026-10-18AC MilanA2–3L
Full club analysis →
Bournemouth Goals scored per match 1.6 Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Scores51

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Premier League 2026-2027: 1.45 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 51/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
4.0
Recency
95.0
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Bournemouth’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-23Manchester CityA1–2L
2026-08-29EvertonH1–1D
2026-09-05NewcastleA2–2D
2026-09-12BrentfordH2–2D
2026-09-17Real SociedadA2–1W
2026-09-20LiverpoolH0–1L
2026-10-10ChelseaA1–5L
2026-10-15Sturm GrazH3–0W
2026-10-18SunderlandH2–0W
Full club analysis →
Toulouse Goals conceded per match 1.6 Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Scores45

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-16 UTC. Ligue 1 2026-2027: 1.52 goals per team/match, 63 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 45/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
1.7
Recency
88.9
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Toulouse’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-22LyonH0–2L
2026-08-29Stade Brestois 29A2–2D
2026-09-03LilleH0–1L
2026-09-12LorientA2–2D
2026-09-19LE HavreH3–2W
2026-10-10MonacoA2–2D
2026-10-16Le MansA3–0W
Full club analysis →
Sevilla Goals scored per match 1.6 Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Scores50

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-18 UTC. La Liga 2026-2027: 1.53 goals per team/match, 88 matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 50/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
0.7
Recency
95.0
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Sevilla’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-15Rayo VallecanoH2–1W
2026-08-22Athletic ClubA3–1W
2026-08-29Atletico MadridH1–3L
2026-09-06EspanyolA1–1D
2026-09-11ValenciaH1–0W
2026-09-16Deportivo La CorunaA1–0W
2026-09-19BarcelonaH1–3L
2026-10-12LevanteA3–3D
2026-10-18Real MadridA1–4L
Full club analysis →
LE Havre Goals conceded per match 1.6 Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Scores46

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Ligue 1 2026-2027: 1.52 goals per team/match, 63 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 46/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
1.7
Recency
95.0
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from LE Havre’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-23MonacoH0–1L
2026-08-29LyonA1–1D
2026-09-05Stade Brestois 29H1–2L
2026-09-12AngersH0–0D
2026-09-19ToulouseA2–3L
2026-10-10LilleA0–1L
2026-10-18AuxerreH1–3L
Full club analysis →
Red Bull Salzburg Goals scored per match 1.5 Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions Scores39

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 6 recorded matches · 2026-08-06 → 2026-10-15 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 39/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
2.2
Recency
86.0
Context
40.0
Quality
43.2

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Red Bull Salzburg’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-06PafosH1–0W
2026-08-13PafosA3–3D
2026-08-20Mjallby AIFA1–0W
2026-08-27Mjallby AIFH3–0W
2026-09-17Levski SofiaA1–0W
2026-10-15AC MilanH0–4L
Full club analysis →
Bournemouth Goals conceded per match 1.6 Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Scores51

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Premier League 2026-2027: 1.45 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 51/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
4.0
Recency
95.0
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Bournemouth’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-23Manchester CityA1–2L
2026-08-29EvertonH1–1D
2026-09-05NewcastleA2–2D
2026-09-12BrentfordH2–2D
2026-09-17Real SociedadA2–1W
2026-09-20LiverpoolH0–1L
2026-10-10ChelseaA1–5L
2026-10-15Sturm GrazH3–0W
2026-10-18SunderlandH2–0W
Full club analysis →
Santa Clara Goals scored per match 1.5 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores44

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-10 → 2026-10-10 UTC. Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 44/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
4.8
Recency
72.8
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Santa Clara’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-10NacionalH2–2D
2026-08-15Academico ViseuA1–0W
2026-08-23FamalicaoH1–0W
2026-08-29AlvercaA1–1D
2026-09-06Rio AveH4–0W
2026-09-13AroucaA2–1W
2026-09-20SC BragaH0–0D
2026-10-10Casa PiaA1–0W
Full club analysis →
SC Paderborn 07 Goals conceded per match 1.5 Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions Scores46

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 6 recorded matches · 2026-08-29 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Bundesliga 2026-2027: 1.84 goals per team/match, 54 matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 46/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
8.9
Recency
91.9
Context
40.0
Quality
60.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from SC Paderborn 07’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-29FSV Mainz 05A0–0D
2026-09-05SC FreiburgH0–1L
2026-09-12Borussia DortmundA0–3L
2026-09-201899 HoffenheimH3–1W
2026-10-10VfB StuttgartH0–2L
2026-10-17Werder BremenA2–2D
Full club analysis →
Rayo Vallecano Goals scored per match 1.5 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores49

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. La Liga 2026-2027: 1.53 goals per team/match, 88 matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 49/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
1.1
Recency
98.2
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Rayo Vallecano’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-15SevillaA1–2L
2026-08-20AlavesH1–1D
2026-08-31BarcelonaA2–5L
2026-09-05Racing SantanderH3–2W
2026-09-12Real MadridA1–4L
2026-09-15EspanyolH2–1W
2026-09-19OsasunaA1–1D
2026-10-19GetafeA1–1D
Full club analysis →
Estoril Goals conceded per match 1.5 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores44

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-10 UTC. Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 44/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
4.8
Recency
72.8
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Estoril’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-07FamalicaoH1–1D
2026-08-16NacionalA0–2L
2026-08-22Rio AveH0–2L
2026-08-31BenficaA1–2L
2026-09-07AroucaH0–0D
2026-09-14SC BragaA0–1L
2026-09-20Casa PiaH1–2L
2026-10-10Academico ViseuA1–2L
Full club analysis →
Antwerp Goals scored per match 1.5 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores43

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Belgian Pro League 2026-2027: 1.51 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 43/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
0.5
Recency
75.2
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Antwerp’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-09SK BeverenH2–1W
2026-08-15KortrijkA3–0W
2026-08-22GenkH4–4D
2026-08-30St. TruidenH1–4L
2026-09-05Standard LiegeA0–1L
2026-09-13Club Brugge KVA1–3L
2026-09-20Union St. GilloiseH0–2L
2026-10-11KVC WesterloA1–5L
Full club analysis →
Genk Goals conceded per match 1.5 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores42

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-10 UTC. Belgian Pro League 2026-2027: 1.51 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 42/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
0.5
Recency
72.8
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Genk’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-09Zulte WaregemA1–2L
2026-08-15KVC WesterloH3–2W
2026-08-22AntwerpA4–4D
2026-08-28SK BeverenH4–0W
2026-09-06AnderlechtA0–0D
2026-09-13GentH1–1D
2026-09-20Club Brugge KVA0–3L
2026-10-10KortrijkH3–0W
Full club analysis →
Istanbul Basaksehir Goals scored per match 1.5 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores48

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-16 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Süper Lig 2026-2027: 1.44 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 48/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
1.8
Recency
95.0
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Istanbul Basaksehir’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-16KocaelisporH2–0W
2026-08-23TrabzonsporA1–2L
2026-08-30KasimpasaH1–1D
2026-09-04GalatasarayH2–3L
2026-09-13AmedA0–5L
2026-09-19GenclerbirligiH4–0W
2026-10-11KonyasporA0–0D
2026-10-18Gazişehir GaziantepH2–1W
Full club analysis →
Istanbul Basaksehir Goals conceded per match 1.5 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores48

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-16 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Süper Lig 2026-2027: 1.44 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 48/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
1.8
Recency
95.0
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Istanbul Basaksehir’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-16KocaelisporH2–0W
2026-08-23TrabzonsporA1–2L
2026-08-30KasimpasaH1–1D
2026-09-04GalatasarayH2–3L
2026-09-13AmedA0–5L
2026-09-19GenclerbirligiH4–0W
2026-10-11KonyasporA0–0D
2026-10-18Gazişehir GaziantepH2–1W
Full club analysis →
Kasimpasa Goals scored per match 1.5 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores48

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Süper Lig 2026-2027: 1.44 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 48/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
1.8
Recency
95.0
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Kasimpasa’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-15TrabzonsporH1–1D
2026-08-22Çorum FKA1–0W
2026-08-30Istanbul BasaksehirA1–1D
2026-09-06AmedH2–2D
2026-09-13GenclerbirligiA2–1W
2026-09-18KonyasporH0–0D
2026-10-09GalatasarayA1–3L
2026-10-18SamsunsporH4–1W
Full club analysis →
Gazişehir Gaziantep Goals conceded per match 1.5 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores48

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Süper Lig 2026-2027: 1.44 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 48/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
1.8
Recency
95.0
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Gazişehir Gaziantep’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-15AlanyasporH1–1D
2026-08-23EyüpsporA1–0W
2026-08-29RizesporH1–2L
2026-09-07GoztepeA4–2W
2026-09-14FenerbahceH0–0D
2026-09-19KocaelisporA0–2L
2026-10-11Çorum FKH0–3L
2026-10-18Istanbul BasaksehirA1–2L
Full club analysis →
Levante Goals scored per match 1.5 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores47

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-16 → 2026-10-16 UTC. La Liga 2026-2027: 1.53 goals per team/match, 88 matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 47/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
1.1
Recency
88.9
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Levante’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-16EspanyolA0–3L
2026-08-24OsasunaA0–0D
2026-08-29Real BetisH5–2W
2026-09-06MalagaA0–0D
2026-09-13BarcelonaH2–4L
2026-09-20VillarrealA1–3L
2026-10-12SevillaH3–3D
2026-10-16Deportivo La CorunaA1–1D
Full club analysis →
Alverca Goals conceded per match 1.5 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores45

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-12 UTC. Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 45/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
4.8
Recency
77.8
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Alverca’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-09FC PortoA0–2L
2026-08-15EstrelaH2–2D
2026-08-22Sporting CPA1–3L
2026-08-29Santa ClaraH1–1D
2026-09-05SC BragaH1–2L
2026-09-12NacionalA3–1W
2026-09-19Rio AveH1–0W
2026-10-12FamalicaoA4–1W
Full club analysis →
Villarreal Goals conceded per match 1.5 Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Scores51

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-17 UTC. La Liga 2026-2027: 1.53 goals per team/match, 88 matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 51/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
1.2
Recency
91.9
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Villarreal’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-23Atletico MadridA2–2D
2026-08-28AlavesA0–1L
2026-09-05Deportivo La CorunaH2–3L
2026-09-08Borussia DortmundA2–3L
2026-09-14Real BetisH1–2L
2026-09-17MalagaA3–1W
2026-09-20LevanteH3–1W
2026-10-10Real MadridA0–1L
2026-10-13NapoliH3–1W
2026-10-17ElcheH0–0D
Full club analysis →
About these insights
A little context goes a long way

Read the signal. Keep the context.

Insights describe what is recorded. Use club and match analysis to explore what comes next.

Insight Score · experimental editorial interest. This version uses 0.35D + 0.25R + 0.20C + 0.20Q. D measures heuristic deviation, R observation recency, C breadth of evidence families and Q data quality. These starting weights are uncalibrated. It is neither team strength, win probability, statistical significance nor forecast confidence. Related result signals share one family; different sources are not automatically statistically independent. Unknown dates receive zero recency; unknown xG coverage limits its quality component. League averages are context references, not opponent-adjusted estimates.

01

Check the window

Result signals use the last 10 recorded matches; away signals use the last 8 away matches. At least 5 are required. Missing and special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound.

02

Read the chart

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored or conceded, capped at 6; zero keeps a marker. Teal / amber / red means win / draw / loss. Faded bars mean the event did not happen. Open the evidence for full scores.

03

Separate the sources

xG uses observed Playing style averages before the next or latest league fixture; coverage can differ between inputs. xPts comes from stored LOAD90 forecasts on identical covered games, including labelled historical reconstructions.

Types alternate for variety. Values are ordered within their own metric, without a combined ranking. These descriptive signals do not change the LOAD90 forecast.

Explore methodology →